Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (APLS) Earnings Call Transcript
May 14, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
It's our pleasure to have all of you with us this morning here in Las Vegas. Our first presenting company is Apellis Pharmaceuticals. I'm Tazeen Ahmad. I'm one of the senior SMID biotech analysts. Sitting next to me are two members from the Apellis management team, Cedric Francois, who is, of course, President and CEO; as well as Tim Sullivan, who is Chief Financial Officer. Gentlemen, good morning, and thanks for making the trip over.
Thank you. Glad to be here. .
We'll start with you, Cedric, about -- a little bit about the company broad overview. What does the company focus on, some of the things that have been occurring. And then we'll talk to Tim about some news that you guys announced this morning.
Thank you so much, Tazeen. Thank you for inviting us. Love being here in Vegas. That's -- look, this is a really exciting time for us as a company, right? I mean we are in this exciting transition phase. We have two marketed products in the last -- that came on the market in the last 3 years, EMPAVELI and SYFOVRE. SYFOVRE is on its track for one of the strongest launches in recent memory. Two products that make an incredible difference in the lives of patients. What we have in front of us is, of course, the continued growth of SYFOVRE. We are now 1 year in and north of $400 million in sales, of course, but it addresses this incredible unmet need in this blinding disease for patients. And then EMPAVELI, which I'd like to call the little train that could because in PNH, it made an incredible difference for -- in lives of patients, but this is the moment where it will blossom into new indications. We are looking forward to the VALIANT trial. That's a Phase III readout this summer, where we are hoping to have the first approved product in C3 glomerulopathy and IC-MPGN and other indications that we will be talking about in the future as well. And then, of course, our pipeline. We have an siRNA product that is currently in early clinical development. And then preclinically, we continue to work on this complement pathway that we know so well and have gotten to appreciate so much. And where we have our Beam collaboration alongside other new technologies that will come to bear that we will talk about more in the second half of this year.
Okay. We'll go into a lot more detail in a minute about all of those things that you talked about. But Tim I think it's probably a good time to talk about the press release that you guys issued this morning. Can you talk about the refinancing of the SFJ debt arrangement through Sixth Street that you announced? Maybe some details around it? How it came about? And what does it mean?
Yes. Thank you. So this is big news for us, right? We just announced a $475 million financing with Sixth Street. This facility is initially $375 million draw, and that was used to replace -- almost entirely used to replace the SFJ Pharmaceuticals debt. The important thing about that is that over the course of the next few years, we had $366 million in payments to SFJ. And we took that out on a debt-neutral basis with $375 million from Six Street, which is fantastic. And these terms were phenomenal, and they did a couple of things for us. We previously messaged that Six Street was a great instrument for its time, but it has certain constraints including the fact that it had these -- over the next 19 months -- sorry, SFJ required over $200 million in payments, cash payments over the next 19 months. So we felt that was obviously something we needed to address. And the Six Street facility helped us do that. In addition, these are incredible terms, right? So what that did was it allowed us to get an interest-only debt vehicle, where the payment of principal is delayed until 2030. And these are very -- also very exceptional term. So probably the best credit spreads seen in a biopharma deal, debt deal in the last 5 years. So the SOFR plus 5.75 are really phenomenal terms. So we're really proud of the deal. And actually, it was -- the genesis of this was sort of 6 months ago, we really looked at how we could increase our financial flexibility and bring in capital and do so nondilutively, that started with the, I think, the well misunderstood capped call unwind, which got us $100 million, removing these $366 million in near-term payments to SFJ, we also brought in $32 million in this deal. So that together is $500 million nondilutively we brought in just with this deal and with the cap call. We also have the flexibility to bring in $100 million with an accounts receivable line and $100 million more from Six Street. So when you put all that together, that's $700 million in flexibility we've gotten nondilutively. And what's really nice about this is that we can say we're no longer relying on the capital markets to fund the business, right? And that's something that's a huge milestone for any company, and it's really honestly a great day for Apellis to be able to say that.
Okay. So yes, for sure, the terms that you announced seem really attractive. I think one question that folks are going to ask is, what are your finance needs for the next few years. Cedric started off by talking about the run rate for SYFOVRE in particular, which has been spectacular. So knowing that you do have cash flow coming in, how does that impact your view of the need to have this kind of flexibility and access to cash.
Well, that's the wonderful thing about this deal is that we don't need to, right? And so -- with the strong growth of SYFOVRE, and with EMPAVELI, the contributions of those excellent products and strong launches, we pretty much will be covering our operating expenses in the near future. And then the cash items really were the fact that we're financing these accounts receivables. So we extend payables to these retinal specialists, and that's something that we finance, right? And we couldn't access that capital. But with this new facility, they're allowing us to access some of that. And also, we took away these SFJ payments, which were substantial. And in fact, the first one of which -- the first one of this -- the payments of the $200 million was meant to be today. So we took that out too. So it's actually phenomenal for us, really.
So -- with that in mind, how should we be thinking about a couple more items and then we'll go back to the metrics of the launch, about where you feel the sales force size is? Do you need to invest any more money either in DTC and you've done a ton of DTC. Everybody knows the Henry Winkler ad by now on television. And how are you thinking about what's going to be needed in order to make this $1 billion-plus product just in terms of resources?
Well, I think it's on its way already to the $1 billion-plus product. But DTC has been a fundamental component of that. We've never held back from doing DTC, and it's honestly been something that's, I think, been one of the core arrows in our quiver in terms of this launch. We continue to invest, and we're looking -- we actually just began -- I think you -- some of you may have seen, we've had a branded campaign that's just begun. You'll start to see a little more of that over time. But that's never been something we've taken off the table in any of our projections. So yes, that's been phenomenal. And then in terms of the sales force size, I think the one thing that probably is the variable there is Europe, and I know we'll probably talk about that later. But right now, we're at steady state. And we've always offered our Head of Commercial, Adam, whatever he needed to build out that sales force. It's currently 100 people when you include field reimbursement representatives, salespeople, med affairs. That's not very big. So you increase that by 20%, it's not going to cost that much. So you're getting tremendous leverage out of your sales force in this particular indication. So I wouldn't look at that as a future expense that's massive.
Okay. So let's transition back to SYFOVRE and the launch metrics. So you reported another very strong quarter last week, I believe. And inclusive of I think the 5,000 or so free vials. You would have been trending to close to $150 million, which is, if my math is correct, was double digit, once again, double-digit quarter-on-quarter growth. Questions that have been coming into us that I'm hoping you can give some color to are how are you thinking about the dynamics of 2Q without giving specific guidance, of course. You do now have a competitor that received a J-code on April 1, and that's been front and center in the minds of investors. So maybe Cedric, can you talk through, I guess, qualitatively, what you're hearing and seeing? And any changes if you feel are needed to your strategy for marketing?
So what has been the biggest surprise even to us is how many patients have this disease and how driven these patients are to find treatments, right? I mean we are currently only at about 12% of patients with a confirmed diagnosis being seen by eye care professionals that are on treatment between our competitor and us. And that is, of course, something that is reflected in that growth that I don't think anybody had predicted when we sat here last year. That will continue, right? I mean, the notion that somehow this -- we're at the end of the ropes here and that is going to stabilize. It has just started. And that is something that we look forward to being there for these patients for many years to come. Another aspect is that in Q1 there was -- the percentage growth in Q1 may have been less than in Q4. It was "only 20%." Normally, Q1 for anti-VEGF is pretty much flat. And the reason for that is you have recertifications, but also older people typically don't go and start on new treatments in the winter. There's dynamics like that, that are out there. The first quarter for us was phenomenal. I mean month after month after month, we see that growth continue. And that is really what stands out. And again, it's a reflection of the need that exists there. I think also that there's -- we're coming more and more in a place of stability where with 250,000 injections done, I mean 0.25 million, right? I mean it's massive. We really understand the benefits and the safety profile of this drug to patients. Physicians are becoming very comfortable with this product as well, and that's something that we will continue to build on. So we are in a very happy place right now. And I understand that after the past couple of years that people think like, yes, wherever is this going? What does this market mean? Are there patients? This is an enormous unmet need that we feel privileged to address.
Do you feel that based on the trends you're seeing so far using your word phenomenal that, that phenomenal trend will continue through the rest of the year?
Yes. I think the -- not the rest of the year, I think, for years to come. I mean the next product in geographic atrophy should there be another successful product is not going to be earlier than 2028. I mean -- so in terms of competitive dynamics, the need that exists and the ability to address that market, it's a very privileged situation to be in. So yes.
I think one other metric that's worth mentioning is that by our math anyways, roughly only 12% of patients who have been diagnosed and seen by a physician are being treated, right? That's today. That includes both treatments. So there is a tremendous amount of room to just continue with those patients who haven't even been brought into a doctor's office and haven't been diagnosed. So that's less than the 1.5 million -- far less than the 1.5 million we believe are out there.
Yes. So that's a good point, Tim. But for the patients who are already diagnosed where the doctor has not prescribed, let's say, SYFOVRE yet, what's been the reason that they've given?
Well, obviously, there were the safety events last year, right? And I think always when you have a new product that comes out, I mean, a new disease with the first treatment, with a new modality, a new drug, you are going to have forces like that at work. I always give the example of 2005 when the anti-VEGFs came out, you would be surprised how many retina doctors at the time said that they would never do an intravitreal injection. They will all deny it today. But back then, that was kind of not a rare concept. When you go into a new disease like this, you're going to find these forces where you're sitting with the physician and the physician is going to tell you, look, yes, there's these new products. You don't have an acute disease. Why don't we wait a couple of months, maybe a year, let's see how this all pans out, what's really going on, and then we'll put you on treatment. And that's something that we see with a lot of practices and a lot of patients. And whenever I speak about this with physicians or in the company or outside entities, it's that balance, right, between people standing on the sidelines, wanting to be uber conservative, which is understandable, right? I mean not really understanding what the benefit is, how it works, what the risks are, et cetera, and then people that really drive the product. At some point, right, you have to just make sure that the balance is always in favor of the latter ones. And at some point, the other ones are going to come along because the reality on the ground is also that people that do not prescribe the drug, lose patients to other physicians that do.
So on the point of safety, is there any reason to believe that safety events would just suddenly stop?
No. Look, I think we are thinking about mitigation strategies around it. It's an extremely rare event, right? And this is something else that I think got little bit lost in translation in the last year maybe. Intravitreal injections once in a while will give this phenomenon, right? It's associated with it. There's kind of this extremely rare event that happens with the first injection, right, about 1 in 4,000, more than half of those have partial or even full recovery. The notion was at the time the uncertainty. Is it more frequent than that? Are we just scratching the surface? Well, that's not the case, we know that now.
Yes. So how long -- just remind us, when did the drug launch and how much real-world safety data has been collected since then?
Well, I mean we do continuous monitoring, right? I mean that is part of our very thorough pharmacovigilance program. I think we have about 20 people working on this full time.
So it launched just over a year ago.
It launched just over a year ago, yes, 250,000 injections. And again, with kind of a very good understanding now that there's a risk of about 1 in 4,000 on the first injection. After that, it goes back to the baseline of what you would get with anti-VEGF, et cetera. And important to note, is that with an intravitreal injection, every injection, there is a risk of developing infections and ophthalmitis. That is very similar to this. So it's kind of like having one extra injection. That is a knowledge that we very well understand now and that just is a matter of communicating and making it part of life.
Okay. So maybe let's just talk about continuing patients versus new patient starts. There was a comment that I think your Chief Medical Officer, Caroline made on your earnings call about a question regarding switching. And I think maybe you can clarify this for us Cedric that her answer was that at this stage, it would be very uncommon for a doctor to switch a patient from one drug to another. So can you elaborate on that a little bit? .
Yes, I think we're in this phase right now where everything is very new still. When you have a patient on SYFOVRE or IZERVAY and you want to switch that patient over, you're going to have to explain to that patient why you want to do that. I mean that's the simple answer to that. It's not an easy -- and if you wanted to switch one versus the other, you can focus on the efficacy profile maybe versus the other. They make this story around safety. I mean it's like -- but it's just -- it's not an easy conversation. I think in the long run, what will really stand out is what is the best drug to slow down the progression of GA. And of course, with up to 42% slowdown in extrafoveal patient in the third year of dosing, that is a massive benefit rate. It's a neurodegenerative conditions slowed down almost in health. And more and more we see that in the field with physicians and with patients becoming the prevailing narrative.
Okay. And then as far as new patient adds, I think you had talked about -- you've been consistently talking about double-digit accounts being added since launch pretty consistently, except for that maybe a couple of weeks when the news of the safety events occurred. But can you give us color on what type of accounts those are? Like what are those practices like?
It very varies. I mean, at this stage of the launch, the accounts that typically come on board are going to be not the bigger private equity practices, but a lot of smaller practices that come on board. Academic practices that have much more red tape to put things on formulary, those can be struggling along as well. So it's a bit of a blend of many.
And do you know what it takes for that particular practice to write a script? Does it take a certain number of touch points with your sales force? Does it take education in some form? What is the driver of a practice finally making that decision? And how confident are you that you will continue to see that pace of new additions?
There's a whole standardized process, right, in which we bring accounts on board and make them familiar with the product, assign our field force to them, et cetera. So again, it's like -- it's hard to believe, but it's only been a year, right, I mean that we've been into this launch. We're only scratching the surface in terms of the number of patients that have been treated in terms of the number of physicians that are prescribing. And again, I mean, we see that momentum continue to build.
Okay. Then just in terms of market share between Apellis and Astellas, I think it's important to note, we've talked about this a couple of times, but just to make it clear. Astellas is saying that by year-end, they expect to have a 40% market share. Can you talk to how you're calculating market share? And what some of the differences might be? And why it may not necessarily be an apples-to-apples comparison?
Yes. I mean first, the apples for us are patients, right? So not number of injections. So that is the -- that's I think very important. And again, I think that there will, of course, be fluctuations between these two entities, but this will be a very powerful duopoly. Where the balance ends up between these two, we'll find out. But unquestionably we both going to win. The big advantage we have, of course, is this, what we believe, a very big difference in terms of the efficacy profile, which will become more clear as time progresses.
Do you feel that, that efficacy advantage is still as robust today as it was in September when IZERVAY launched in favor of Apellis?
I think the efficacy difference is larger now than it was back then. We continue to gather data and data is remarkable, right? I mean every year, the percentage slowdown becomes more pronounced. I would say the headwind that our competitor has more than, I would say, disappointing data in the second year of dosing to put it mildly, is the lack of data, right? I mean they only had 280 subjects more or less on active treatment for their entire NDA, right? And only about 200 of those patients were in that second year of dosing did not perform well. And then after that, there is a big treatment holiday and then a handful of patients that went in an extension study, that's not really an extension study. So we're not going to get more. And I think that's something that's going to benefit us a lot, right? We have the GALE extension study, where we have a very large number of patients. This is in the fourth year now. We're going to have all the way up to 5-year data to communicate. So we know a lot about this drug, both on efficacy and safety, and that's going to, I think, win in the end.
Okay. So maybe let's move on to Europe. I think that's also been a journey for Apellis over the last couple of years. So I think it's safe to say we were all surprised, and I'm assuming you were as well. And basically, it seems like everything just got reset. And it says if you're being reviewed for the first time. So can you just give us a little bit of color on how that happened?
Yes, that's a very accurate description, actually. So what happened is that there was a lawsuit that had nothing to do with us, between the company and the European Union that led the European Union to become to kind of really revisit what were already very strict standards but even stringent on what the rules were for a scientific advice meeting. And all of the scientific advice meetings that were under review where they thought that these new rules may not fully be compliant with those scientific advice meetings, they decided to put the clock back to before that. So that's what happened. So we're going to have a new scientific advice meeting. We're going to do that with the same countries that we had in the first review. It will continue to be an uphill battle. We think that the odds of approvability have not changed compared to where they were a month ago. There is, of course, potentially important delay here, that CHMP opinion now is going to come at the latest in July, should it be negative. Then of course, we have to go through the appeal again.
And -- because it's a "first" review again, are you -- have you been able to submit new real-world data on SYFOVRE?
Yes, we have. So it's, of course, an advantage, right?
And how are you thinking about, I guess, steps that would be needed in order to -- because it's the same rapporteurs as the first round. And some folks have said, well, if the rapporteurs didn't like the first time around, why would they like it the second time around?
First of all, I think that's a fair comment, right? I mean there will be some inherent bias there. On the other hand, there is new data. I think there's also -- there's been a lot of attention to this program that was drawn because of the first negative opinion. I think it depends a little bit on the -- how people are predisposed, right? I mean if they're open minded, I think, hopefully, there is a dialogue there. We're just going to go through the motions and the work that's in front of us.
And you would have the ability to appeal if the decision was negative?
That's correct.
Okay. So the one other question I wanted to ask on Europe was about excitement of physicians to want to use the product there. I think there's the impression that because of how the doctors are reimbursed in the U.S. versus how doctors are compensated in Europe that even if you were to get an approval eventually in Europe that, that market size is potentially much smaller than what you're seeing so far in the U.S. But can you comment on what your feedback has been when you have spoken to physicians there and their desire to want to use SYFOVRE for your related products?
Very, very positive. I think it's kind of funny because on the regulatory and of course, you have kind of a bureaucratic process that we're kind of a little bit falling victim to right now, maybe. But on the other hand, the retina community is -- they've also kind of seen the enormous growth that we had in the U.S., the need that is here. You have to remember that publications are starting to come out now, not from us, but independent third parties looking at the slowdown and the benefits that this drug can have for patients. Combine that with, again, the unmet need and the desire of patients to find treatment or to have treatment, I think Europe is going to be a very important unmet need for us, and secondary, [indiscernible] an important market opportunity.
Okay. So we talked about what you think the potential opportunity is, but I did want to talk about a topic that is very frequently coming up in conversation that I have with investors, and I'm sure you're getting the same question, which is you're having a great launch. You might even have a great launch year, but who's to say that the trajectory of that launch can continue beyond this year? What if this is a $1 billion product. And the $1 billion is a healthy sum, but folks wanted to be much higher than that. We've comped you to the VEGF market, with AMD market. What's giving you the confidence that you'll be able to have a multibillion-dollar product?
The number of patients and their desire to be treated. That's kind of the simple answer. I mean, as Tim alluded to earlier, I mean, 12% of patients that are being seen by eye care professionals. That's it. Those are the patients on treatment right now. So there's an enormous number of patients within the practices and then those that haven't seen eye care professionals yet because remember, until a year ago, there was not really a point in seeing a retina specialist because there was nothing to give them.
Yes. You talked about ophthalmologists were not retina specialists now becoming involved in finding and recommending patients. How is that going to work?
Yes. I think it is more kind of the -- it is the awareness around the fact that there is a treatment available that can be at your optometrist level, at the ophthalmologists level. I mean, quite frankly, the general practitioner's level, right? I mean...
What's your level of detailing to those types of physicians right now?
We take a very broad view of kind of our target audience in terms of making sure that patients become aware that there is a treatment, and that they should go see a retina doctors. So we're not just limiting that to the retina practice.
Yes, but we don't have a bunch of salespeople going to those right now. Those -- the salespeople are primarily focused on the retinal docs themselves.
Maybe Tim on that point, for the practices that have prescribed at least 1 patient to take SYFOVRE. Do you have a sense of if they're prescribing ones they're likely to prescribe again?
Well, I think everybody is different, right? If you say, one, I don't know what one means necessarily, there may be a patient that's -- may be a doctor that's reluctant, but it still does it once in a while. But most -- but doctors who are prescribing SYFOVRE for the most part, have continued to prescribe SYFOVRE, right? Some prescribe both. Some prescribe only IZERVAY. We've seen all of those. But what we also have seen and these are conversations we have as management with certain docs, but also the sales force is that the conversation has really started to center after the aftermath of last year, has now really settled down and started to focus on the efficacy. And we're hearing that reflected back to us as something that's very different. These are not the same. C3 and C5 are not the same.
Okay. We only have a couple of minutes left. So I did want to at least touch upon the Phase III VALIANT study that's upcoming. What's the expectation for that? Can you talk about the addressable patient population that would become available to you if that study were to be positive? And what would be the next steps if the study is positive?
Yes. Thank you, Tazeen. So C3G and IC-MPGN are two rare indications that we are very excited about being able to address. So about 5,000 patients in the U.S. between those two indications. Between 1,000 to 1,500 of those are transplanted individuals. And what we did in the VALIANT trial, which is 124 subjects, I mean, as far as I know, the largest Phase III program ever done in this disease, we took, again, a broad view, pre-transplant, post-transplant and then both patients, 28 subjects with IC-MPGN and then remaining patients with C3G in its native form. The primary endpoint is a percentage reduction in proteinuria from baseline. If that meet significance, that is something that retina -- nephrologists tell us they would consider clinically meaningful. But we have a lot of data. I'd say the most important data, again, that we correlate to the proteinuria that we have been able to see in our DISCOVERY study is then the NOBLE data where we had transplanted subject, 13 of them, and we're able to see how that C3 product kind of like snow in the sun melts away from the glomeruli, providing us a solid anatomical underpinning for what we also see on the proteinuria finding.
So if that dataset is positive, you would presumably seek a label ad?
That is correct. It would be a new NDA within this indication.
A new NDA. So how long of a review would that be? And would that qualify for any kind of priority review, do you think, just based on need?
Well, we will, of course, apply for a priority review. If it gets awarded considering that it is the same molecule, the review times would be a little bit shorter than typically would be the case. So it would be 6 months from the time of the filing.
So technically, it's possible that you could have this approved and being marketed by the end of next year?
We're not guiding on that, but that is -- would technically be possible.
Yes. And in terms of infrastructure changes or ads that you would need to make, how are you thinking about that?
So we have -- we are currently kind of using our rare disease infrastructure that we have for PNH focused on hematologists and redirecting that now towards the nephrology space. And within nephrology, it's pretty remarkable to see how this product even in a pre-approval context is gaining traction, right? I mean we spoke about it in our earnings call, in xenotransplantation, the last 3 xenotransplants that were done, all these patients received EMPAVELI to control C3 in that setting. It's a drug that does remarkable things in these patients, and I think it's going to continue to grow.
Okay. Great. With that, we're out of time. So thank you so much for joining us this morning. It was a pleasure to catch up again. Thanks, everybody, for coming in and listening.
Thank you, Tazeen. Thank you.
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