Stantec Inc. (STN) Earnings Call Transcript

Welcome to Stantec's Second Quarter 2026Results Webcast and Conference Call. Leading the call today are Gord Johnston, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Vito Culmone, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Stantec invites those dialing in to view the slide presentation, which is available in the Investors section at stantec.com. Today's call is also webcast. Please be advised that if you have dialed in, while also viewing the webcast, you should mute your computer as there is a delay between the webcast. All information provided during this conference call is subject to the forward-looking statement qualification set out on Slide 2 and detailed in Stantec's Management's Discussion and Analysis and Inc. in full for the purposes of today's call. Unless otherwise noted, dollar amounts discussed in today's call are expressed in Canadian dollars and are generally rounded. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mr. Gord Johnston. Please go ahead, sir.

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Our second quarter financial results continue to showcase the strength of our business. Stantec's diversification across operating regions and across sectors has kept us on track to deliver on our financial targets for the year. In the second quarter, we grew our net revenue to $1.8 billion, up almost 12% compared to Q2 2025 driven by almost 4% organic and 7% acquisition growth. Organic growth was driven by double-digit growth of approximately 13% in our global region. And our industry-leading water business achieved close to 12% organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased over 17%, and we achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.7% a record for Q2, and this represents an increase of 90 basis points year-over-year. Adjusted EPS grew over 18% compared to Q2 2025. Looking at our results in each of our geographies. In the second quarter, U.S. net revenue increased almost 13%, driven by the acquisition and strong performance of Page. Underlying demand across our end markets remains very strong, supported by long-term investments in infrastructure, energy, transportation, water and advanced manufacturing facilities. Our water business saw continued demand and work on large wastewater treatment projects. In Energy & Resources, work on a major hydropower dam project drove organic growth and our infrastructure business delivered growth through data center projects in our North Central region and benefited from favorable recoveries on a large transportation project. While organic growth was flat in the quarter, driven by some delays and the slower ramp-up on certain projects, we've already started to see positive signs of acceleration in Q3 and expect this trend to continue throughout the back half of this year. In Canada, second quarter net revenue grew 2.4% organically. Double-digit organic net revenue growth in our water business was driven by biosolids projects and continued momentum on wastewater projects. Robust net revenue growth was also achieved in both our Buildings and Environmental Services businesses through public sector investment, primarily in our civic markets, and an increase in environmental planning in the mining industry, respectively. Our infrastructure business continued to experience a wind down of certain transit and roadway projects in accordance with anticipated project cycles. Lastly, our global business delivered over 18% net revenue growth in the second quarter, driven by almost 13% organic and over 2% acquisition growth as well as positive foreign exchange impacts. Our industry-leading water business delivered over 20% organic growth this quarter through long-term framework agreements and public sector investments in water infrastructure across the U.K., Australia and New Zealand. The ramp-up of new projects in Chile and Peru drove strong organic growth in Energy & Resources as the growing need for energy transition solutions continues to drive demand and mining for copper. On a year-to-date basis, our global operations also had modest growth in its infrastructure business, driven primarily by double-digit organic growth in Germany due to momentum on a major public sector electrical transmission project, and increased volume on transit and rail projects. I'll now turn the call over to Vito to review our second quarter financial results in more detail.

Thank you, Gord, and good morning, everyone. Strong operational execution supported by sustained demand across our diversified multi-sector and multiregional platform, continues to deliver solid financial results. At the midyear point of 2026, we are firmly on track to deliver against all of our financial guidance metrics. In the second quarter, we achieved gross revenue of $2.2 billion and net revenue of $1.8 billion, an 11.5% increase compared to Q2 of 2025. This growth was driven by 3.7% organic and 7.1% acquisition growth, which primarily reflects strong results from our global region and from the Page acquisition, respectively. Project margins as a percentage of our net revenue increased 30 basis points to 54.5%. We achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.7% in the quarter, a 90 basis point increase compared to Q2 of 2025. On a trailing 12-month basis, our adjusted EBITDA margin is 18% an increase of 80 basis points compared to the prior trailing 12 months. The growth in margins continues to be driven by a methodical and disciplined approach to all aspects of our business. It all starts with a continued focus of execution and servicing of our client needs. The work we do is a meaningful value across all of our sectors and regions and our focus remains on enabling superior outcomes for our clients, all the while focusing on efficient management of our operations and the optimization of our discretionary spending. On the back of our increase in net revenue and the expansion of our margins, our adjusted EPS in the second quarter increased 18.4% to $1.61. Turning to our cash flow, liquidity and capital resources. Following the financial integration of Page in Q1, our operating cash flows in Q2 returned to a more normalized cadence. And on a year-to-date basis, our cash flows from operations totaled $116 million. In terms of capital allocation, our strategy remains unchanged. We believe that continued disciplined M&A remains our highest source of value creation for our shareholders, measured over a reasonable period of time. The pipeline remains robust, notwithstanding certain short-term dislocation and valuation ranges between public and private entities. Given our proven track record of disciplined M&A, we expect the strategic expansion of our business to continue. And to that end, although perhaps on a smaller scale, we are happy to announce the acquisition of niche a 200-person engineering and environmental consultancy firm in Australia. [ Nish ] help strengthened our environmental services business in the region and supports our ability to help clients advance critical infrastructure and develop projects while protecting and restoring natural environments. This transaction closed effective July 31. Our continued strong operating cash flow and exemplary balance sheet offers us considerable flexibility in our capital allocation activities. And in Q2, we stepped into our NCIB and repurchased approximately 1.7 million common shares or 1.5% of our outstanding shares for an aggregate purchase price of approximately $175 million. Notwithstanding this cash outflow, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio remained at 1.3x within our internal target range of 1 to 2x. And given our Q2 NCIB activity, it's prudent for us to have additional flexibility, and we intend to seek TSX approval to expand the program beyond the existing 2% limit. And finally, DSO at the end of the second quarter was 75 days within our internal target. I'll now hand the call back to Gord to discuss our backlog our recent project wins and our outlook for 2026.

Great. Thanks, Vito. At the end of Q2, our contract backlog reached a record of $9.2 billion a 17.5% increase year-over-year, representing approximately 13 months of work. Year-over-year, our backlog has grown 7% organically. During the quarter, backlog grew in each of our regions. The most notable year-over-year growth coming from our global region, which delivered double-digit growth of almost 25%. We also saw strong backlog growth in water, which delivered over 10% organic growth. Acquisitions completed in 2025 further contributed to backlog growth by almost 8%, primarily within our Buildings business, which had over 40% growth. I'll now highlight a few projects Stantec secured during the quarter, showcasing the breadth of opportunities we're capturing across diverse markets, project sizes and levels of complexity. Our buildings team was selected to provide architecture, engineering and integrated design services for Meta's $13 billion data center in Surgeon County Alberta. The project strengthens our data center capabilities while supporting the continued expansion of Alberta's critical digital infrastructure. Stantec's water team was selected to provide preliminary design and evaluation services for the Drake water reclamation facility in Fort Collins, Colorado, a 23 million-gallon per day wastewater treatment plant. The project will modernize critical Headworks infrastructure improving debris removal and treatment reliability, while reducing impacts to downstream processes. Activity continues to ramp up in Australia for our Buildings business, supported by increased investment in social infrastructure. During the quarter, the team was selected to provide engineering services for the Red Cliff Hospital redevelopment in Queensland, further strengthening our position in the growing health care infrastructure market. The team was also selected by the Western Australia Department of Housing and works for a 10-year framework to provide engineering and building related consulting services for nonresidential projects, including education, health care, Justice and other social infrastructure. As we look toward the remainder of the year, we continue to track to our 2026 financial targets. And with the continued solid progress to date, we are increasing and narrowing the range of adjusted EBITDA margin we expect to achieve. We continue to expect net revenue growth in the range of 8.5% to 11.5% driven by strong acquisition growth from Page and organic growth across our operating regions. Overall organic net revenue growth is now expected to be in the mid-single-digit range, driven by strong demand across all geographic reporting segments and business units. In the U.S., we expect organic net revenue growth to be in the mid-single-digit range. We expect activity to accelerate in the second half of the year, supported by the demand across all 5 of our business verticals. We are encouraged by the increased activity and movement we started to see with large environmental projects ramping up, increased demand related to Water and Energy & Resources as well as growing demand in key areas such as advanced manufacturing and data centers. In Canada, we also now expect to achieve mid-single-digit organic growth supported by public sector spending plans and continued demand, particularly around water and buildings. There's still a lot of momentum around defense and other nation-building projects, which are still in the early stages. We expect these programs to contribute more fully in 2027 and beyond. Lastly, Global is expected to achieve high single-digit organic growth. The growth in global is being driven by high levels of activity in our water business under AMP8 and other framework agreements, strong demand in Energy & Resources, particularly in Latin America, and positive demand fundamentals across other global business units. With our strong margins year-to-date and continued focus on operational excellence, we are increasing our outlook for adjusted EBITDA margin. We now expect to deliver 17.8% to 18.3% for the year. Finally, we are maintaining our adjusted EPS target for the year of 15% to 18% growth, reflecting our confidence in delivering strong bottom line results and long-term shareholder value. Before we open up the line for questions, I'd like to take a moment to acknowledge that this is my final earnings call as Stantec's President and CEO. As announced in June, I'll be retiring from the role effective October 1, and transitioning to Vice Chair of Stantec's Board of Directors. It's been an incredible privilege to lead this company for the last 8.5 years, and I'm very proud of what our teams have accomplished together. The underlying demand for our services is strong, and our diversified, resilient, stable and multisector platform positions us well to capture opportunities across the markets that we serve. I'm especially excited to be passing the torch to Susan Reisbord. Susan has a deep understanding of our business, our clients and our people. Having worked closely with her, I have all the confidence in her capabilities, experience and energy to lead Stantec into its next chapter. I'm looking forward to staying close to the company in my role as Vice Chair and supporting Susan as the team as they continue to execute on the opportunities ahead. Finally, I want to thank our employees, our clients and all of our analysts and shareholders for their support over the years. And with that, let me turn the call over to the operator for questions. Operator?

[Operator Instructions] And our first question for today comes from Sahabat Khan from RBC Capital Markets.

Great. And before I get into the questions, I just want to congratulate Gord on a great run here in your current seat and all the best in the -- the next chapter.

Thanks so much, Sabahat. I think it's been an incredible privilege to lead the team over the last 8.5 years, and I wouldn't have traded it for anything.

Great. Just maybe, I guess, starting with kind of the outlook for the back half of the year. on the U.S. segment, it looks like you're pointing to mid-single-digit organic growth. Just looking at the first half, call it, low single digit for the first half implies about a high single-digit organic for the back half of the year in the U.S. If you can maybe just detail out your sort of the building blocks and sort of confidence in that outlook on getting to that high single-digit range over the next couple of quarters?

Thanks, Sabahat, for the question. And so in the U.S. specifically, we see that this is not a demand issue. It's really more of a timing issue for us here in Q2. We had a number of projects wrap up as per schedule and planned and a number of projects that we've got awarded and got in backlog, just were a bit slow getting out of the blocks and getting started. Now subsequent to the quarter, we've seen some good positive momentum in Q3. A number of these projects have kicked off and the field seasons are going and such. So in addition to that momentum, as we look at the back half of the year, we're looking from a demand perspective. The sales funnel is strong, the soft backlog, both trending really, really well. And also, if you look at our -- the organic backlog growth in the U.S., both year-to-date and year-over-year, both up in positive organic territory further supporting that ramp-up and that momentum as we enter the second half of the year and particularly into 2027. One other thing that just to call out is the Page acquisition. And we've talked about in the prepared remarks and with others over the year, Page is a fantastic company, and they're performing exceptionally well, driving strong acquisition growth. As per our normal processes, when a company joins us for a year, we report that growth as acquisition growth. But now in Q3, pages flipping over to that will be reported as organic growth in Q3 and Q4 of the year. So these projects that we've got in the backlog ramping up strong sales, strong backlog, good organic backlog growth there in the U.S. year-to-date and year-over-year. Page transitioning from acquisition into the organic side. That all kind of supports our thesis of that continued organic acceleration into the second half of the year and good momentum into 2027.

Great. And then just on the margin side, it looks like about call it, 80 bps or so of year-over-year EBITDA margin improvement through the first half of the year. The guidance increase implies round numbers about 15 basis points. Maybe if you can just walk us through the puts and takes on the assumption of the full year guide and maybe sort of the delta between the higher amount realized versus the guide increase?

Sabahat, it's Vito here. Yes, we're incredibly proud of the progress we've made with margin expansion. And you heard that in my prepared remarks, that comes from really across all elements of our business. Our project margins continue to be strong, and that's all about the right client, the right price. Obviously and exemplary project execution. The team always works towards that. When you're looking at our admin and marketing, obviously, that's been declining as a percentage of our overall revenue. That reflects, obviously, improved utilization. And when you think about utilization, that's probably 1 of the pieces as we go into the back half and just maybe attaching myself to Gord's comments, we feel incredibly confident with the velocity of the business moving forward. That's what we're going to require and it is already requiring head count and expansion of our workforce. So I think what you see in the back half margin expansion, moderation, if you will, relative to our year-to-date performance is really just that timing of workforce. And as we obviously look to lean into our -- what will be significant organic growth in the back half. But overall, the momentum around our margin improvement and there's probably a little bit of conservatism built into there, quite frankly. I think this is now, what is it, maybe the seventh quarter of year-over-year margin expansion. And on a trailing 12 months, as you heard me say, 80 bps ahead. So this just enables continued investment in our business as well as we move forward and we're focused on ensuring we're making those internal investments moving forward as well.

Great. And then just the last 1 on my end. I think the commentary around Page sounds like it's trending well. Are you able to share maybe the organic growth or just the growth rate in that business on a year-over-year basis, maybe through Q1 and Q2 of this year. as we think about how that can contribute to the overall static numbers?

Yes. Sabahat it's hard for us to do that because the baseline business is probably not in accordance with our how we convert to our IFRS accounting. But I would venture to say that it's robust. And as Gord has alluded to, we probably underreported by smidgen our Q2 organic because of the way we do things. And that is we shifted a significant amount of our building workforce to the Page led opportunities that, as Gord has noted, will be reflected in organic going forward. So Q2 probably a little understated, frankly, we don't get into slicing and dicing those numbers too much, but organic growth in Page quite robust.

And our next question comes from the line of Frederic Bastien from Layman James.

Good morning, guys. How are you? How does it feel? How does this feel at work?

It's actually been a really interesting preparing for the quarter, preparing for the earnings call. so many things where this is the last time we'll do this. This is the last time we'll do this. But I'm just actually so thrilled to be staying on the board. I love our company. I love our clients, I love our people and what we do. So being able to stay connected to the company through being on the board, I think, for me, is the best of both worlds.

Great. Thanks. We're excited to have you stick around a little longer, and congrats on a great career. Now on to question, as Vito, you alluded to earlier, a good chunk of the margin expansion came from the project margins, which is nice to see not all coming from SG&A and cost optimization. How far can you get those margins going? I mean it's -- they've been in a low -- 54% range for quite some time. Is there an opportunity for Stantec to take them even higher on a go-forward basis?

That's obviously -- we're centered really on continuing to provide outstanding outcomes for our customers. that really is the ethos of our organization. And along with that, obviously, is a great project execution, the right risk profile, great value for our work and being obviously transparent about that with our client base. We're in the middle of our 3-year planning process right now. So we'll probably have a more robust, I'll say, aligned response to that, as we roll out the back half of the year here and as we get into our Investor Day in December. But I think bottom line margins, and it does all start with the project margin, and I love the fact that you start with that because at the end of the day, that is the spine that drives bottom line. And we're really, really confident about that. With the macro demand being as strong as it is across our markets, we really can be picky and choosy, quite frankly, in some of the clients that we're choosing and whatnot. So really confident about project margins going forward.

My other question is around M&A activity. We've seen some bids recently in the public sector realm, one, privatization, 1 obviously didn't pan through as of yet. But how are you reconciling sort of the valuations you're probably still seeing in the private sector land, which were probably still elevated, and the current valuations here in the public sector? And what might -- what that might bring in terms of opportunity for you to deploy capital?

Yes. The acquisition environment is incredibly active right now. And you may some reference to like a number of the typical transactions that we would see in our space where publics are bringing some private firms on. There is still a bit of a dislocation in those where those public markets, who are looking to sell are still a little bit elevated over where we are in the public markets, but we're still in the midst of any number of conversations at different levels and we have been for some time. And actually, that will be -- 1 of the things that I'll continue to work closely with Susan and the team as we're halfway through some of these M&A conversations, we want to just all stay involved in a supportive role just from a continuity perspective, but in addition to that, I think you make reference to that we've seen some big moves on the chessboard that people are being -- that are -- some that are public and others that I think people are just kind of thinking about in the back. And so -- this is a very attractive industry. And do I think further consolidation is likely, I think perhaps it will in the next year or so. So Stantec is -- we're very alive to all these things. And we just remain focused on doing what's best for Stantec and our shareholders in the long run.

And our next question comes from the line of Yuri Lynk from Canaccord Genuity.

Good morning, guys. And congrats to both Gordon and Susan. Just wanted to turn back to the U.S. for a minute. Gord, I mean, I get that you're seeing an acceleration in some of those delayed projects. But was there an overriding theme as to the original slowdown that you saw in the U.S.? And any comment on how that might have translated into backlog, organic backlog growth was also 2.5% lower than what we've seen. So what's going on in the quarter there?

Yes. So again, just to reiterate, I think a lot of it was just a timing issue. When we talk about some of the projects, they were a little bit slower to get going out of the gate there in Q2, a little bit in all of the different groups. For example, in our Environmental Services group, we had a large program with the Navy that was a little bit slower to get moving. It's moving now. We had another really significant project with a large electrical utility in the U.S. West that got going. And so we're seeing, again, that's moving in our infrastructure group. That was a little slower than in Q2 than we would have liked a large public transit project in the U.S. South was a little bit slow to get moving, and we were actually working on a very, very significant proposal in Q2 as well. So a number of those things just took a little bit longer to get going. But I mentioned that big -- that significant proposal that we worked on in infrastructure, that would have a very positive impact on backlog with that 1 came through. So I think it's just 1 of those quarters that the stars aligned, maybe not in the way that you would have wanted them to. But we don't -- longer term, we really don't see it having any negative impact on the business nor do we believe it should be reflective sort of on how we'll perform in the second half of the year.

Okay. And just should we expect the organic growth recovery in the U.S. to kind of build throughout the back half of the year, especially considering you've got a pretty easy comparable in the fourth quarter.

Yes, I think that's right. I think we should -- our forecast is for some good organic growth here in Q3 and further strengthening into Q4. And really then entering 2027 with good and strong momentum.

Okay. Last 1 for me, just a clarification on the G&A expense. Just wondering if -- given the share price movement in the quarter, if there was any positive impact from TI in the quarter?

Very minor. We hedge most of our long-term incentive programs. So essentially, there's an offset and between any valuation between our hedging program and then obviously, the mark-to-market on our SGS very minor small benefit.

And our next question comes from the line of Michael Tupholme from TD Cowen.

Congratulations Gordon.

Yes. Thanks so much. It's interesting as I kind of reflect on what we've done over the last 8.5 years, I'm actually just so incredibly proud of what we've collectively done as a team and positioning Stantec for success going forward.

Absolutely. The first question I wanted to ask is you've had a lot of questions here on the call about the U.S. organic growth and the pickup you expect in the second half to get you to your full year mid-single-digit organic growth target. Can we talk a little bit about Canada because it's a similar situation there where half 1 organic growth has been a little bit slow. You're trending at the moment below your mid-single-digit organic growth target for the year. So how do you think about the organic growth pickup in the back half in Canada and exactly what is driving that?

Yes. No, thanks. Great question. And so we see in Canada, again, good organic backlog growth year-to-date and year-over-year. A lot of projects. We talked about that $13 billion meta data center project that we've got going on, there's a really significant program that we're running just kicking off for a utility here in Western Canada. An enormous amount of opportunity up in defense, in the north and with some of these nation-building projects. So we see a lot of support for us moving forward. And in particular, though, in Canada, our water and our Buildings Group, backlogs are looking great, and we see continued organic expansion there. So I think we're just fairly broad-based in Canada supportive of growth into the second half of the year here.

I think you got it, Gord. Buildings and Water, we expect would be the biggest drivers of increase in organic growth in Canada.

Okay. And then second question, regarding the improved margins obviously, very strong performance. You called out a number of drivers. One of the things you mentioned is optimization of digital strategies. I'm just wondering if you can elaborate a little bit on what it is you had going on in the quarter from that perspective that benefited the margins and how we think about that also going forward.

Yes. I think digitization, obviously, is at the core of our ongoing strategies throughout our organization. And when we think about some of the back-office related opportunities for us, whether it's accounting, finance accounts that it's always been a core component for us. when we're looking at bidding and proposals right now, we're really leaning into digitization, implementation of some artificial intelligence tools -- so those are all core to what we're discussing, and we'll continue to be part of our basically ingrained in our 3-year strategy.

And our next question comes from the line of Chris Murray from ATB Cormac.

Yes. Thanks, folks. Gord, let me echo my congratulations, like everyone else. I guess the first question, we talked a little bit about Canada and the U.S., but global also has been very, very strong. And in fact, you're moving at higher -- is there something in particular that's driving that? Is it maybe Europe coming back a little stronger than you had expected? But any additional color that you could give us maybe breaking down Europe versus the New Zealand or Australia, just so we have a flavor of how this is all coming together would be great.

Yes, absolutely. So we're seeing pretty broad-based strength in our global operations. Australia has returned to organic growth. I don't have the number here, but I think kind of mid-single-digit-ish organic growth in Australia in the U.K., very, very strong. We're seeing the certainly, the growth in AMP8, extremely strong, as we would have expected. We're running about 15% organic growth right now in the U.K., incredibly strong. And then another area for us. Europe, absolutely with our operations in Germany with ZetCon. We're running low 20s in terms of organic growth rates there. But in terms of just raw numbers, it's Latin America. And with the demand for copper and the work that we're doing down there, we're seeing over 50% organic growth in our Latin American operations right now. So really strong sort of across our global operations.

Okay. That's helpful. And I guess the next question, maybe for Vito, I'm not sure if you want to -- or Gord, do you want to chime in on this one. But just thinking about the NCIB. You talked about increasing it and maybe looking at it. But your commentary around multiples in the private market versus public market -- we've got public market valuations at pretty much 20-year lows -- is there any thought about doing a larger buyback? It almost makes sense if the privates are not really where you need them to be. Any thoughts around maybe doing a substantial issuer bid, maybe taking your leverage into the middle of your range and sort of waiting out whatever this valuation gap is for now?

Chris, as you heard me say in my prepared remarks, at the -- at the core of what we believe is long-term value creation is continued M&A and expansion of our portfolio in our regions. And as Gord has already noted, we're seeing some really good opportunities starting to surface and I expect us to be more active in that portfolio. We just announced niche, as you saw, that's a relatively small but important 1 for us. And my prediction for the next 12 months would be more M&A relative to the last 12 months, where, obviously, Page would have been our most significant acquisition. So we're feeling good about how that evolved, notwithstanding what we're describing as obviously well pricing dislocation and we'll continue to be very disciplined in that. I think SIB is 1 step further from where we currently are, we've stepped into the NCIB. We are going to the regulator now and essentially expanding our program from 2% to 5%. And so I just love that flexibility. I'm going from 2 to 5. That's another meaningful step. It doesn't mean we're going to execute all the way to 5, but continuing to have the flexibility of with respect to, obviously, where our valuation sits, which, as you noted, is not, I think, representative of what we believe long-term value is and long-term representation there, we'll take measured steps along the way here.