Home / Transcripts / Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited (4568) · October 30, 2026

Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited (4568) Earnings Call Transcript

October 30, 2026

TSE JP Health Care Pharmaceuticals earnings 130 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Ari Fujishiro executive
#1

[Interpreted] Thank you for waiting. From now on, we would like to open Daiichi Sankyo's FY 2026 Second Quarter Earnings Call. And my name is Fujishiro, working as MC for today's session covering IL. First of all, about the languages of choice. In this session, we use both Japanese and English, so that you have a simultaneous translation service. [Operator Instructions]. Presentation decks are available to be downloaded on a corporate website, IR Library, earnings call related document. And so today, we have 4 speakers, Representative Director, President and CEO, Okuzawa; and also Ken Keller, the Board Member, Global Oncology Business Head; and John Tsai, Global R&D Head; and also Kodama, CFO of the company. First of all, Okuzawa, Ken, John will give you the overview of the year performance and our plan 7:00 PM will receive questions from investors and analysts. [Operator Instructions] This session is recorded. Please be aware of that. Let's get started. Mr. Okuzawa, the floor is you guys now.

Hiroyuki Okuzawa executive
#2

[Interpreted] This is Okuzawa. Thank you very much for participating in Daiichi Sankyo's Financial Results Presentation Meeting today. I will now walk you through our consolidated financial results for the second quarter of FY 2026, which were announced today at 1:00 p.m. following the presentation material. Please turn to Slide 3. We will cover FY '2026 Q2 financial results, business update and R&D update in this order. Business update will be presented by Ken Keller, Head of Global Oncology Business and R&D update by John Tsai, Head of Global R&D. We will take your questions at the end of the session. Please turn to Slide 4. Highlights of the second quarter. Strong growth in our flagship products ENHERTU and DATROWAY drove revenue past the JPY 1 trillion mark by the second quarter. Progress is on track toward achieving record high full year revenue. Regarding operating profit, COGS ratio improved, and we are well on track toward a significant year-on-year increase in full year operating profit. Our consolidated forecast for FY 2026 remains unchanged from the forecast announced in July. For your reference, updated sales projections by product and unit are available in the supplementary materials. This slide provides an overview of our consolidated results for the second quarter of FY 2026. Revenue increased by JPY 191.9 billion or 19.7% year-on-year, reaching JPY 1,167.2 billion, Cost of sales increased by JPY 1.1 billion year-on-year. SG&A expenses increased by JPY 96.9 billion year-on-year. R&D expenses increased by JPY 23.2 billion year-on-year. As a result, core operating profit increased by JPY 70.6 billion or 46.9% year-on-year to JPY 221.3 billion. Regarding the CMO compensation fee included in the cost of sales although there was an increase resulting from a onetime payment we made to certain CMOs, foreign exchange adjustments and partial reversals of provisions recorded in FY 2025 for calendar years 2026 and 2027 resulted in JPY 16.7 billion decrease year-on-year, resulting in a total of JPY 4.3 billion. The onetime payment to certain CMOs was made to resolve any future potential shortfall between our supply plan and minimum purchase applications, thereby eliminating future uncertainties and risks associated with these contracts in a manner consistent with economic rationality. In addition to the JPY 4.3 billion booked in the second quarter, as already informed in the full year projection, JPY 80 billion CMO compensation fee related to calendar year 2028 is expected to be booked in the third quarter or later this fiscal year. But because we also expect additional reversal of the provision booked last fiscal year, the total amount projected remains the same. For details, please refer to Appendix Slide 26. Operating profit, which includes noncore income and expenses, increased JPY 49.6 billion or 34.4% year-on-year to JPY 193.8 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the company rose by JPY 20.7 billion to 15.8% year-on-year to JPY 151.5 billion. Quarterly EPS increased by JPY 12.67 year-on-year to JPY 83.22. Foreign exchange rates reflected a weaker yen against both the dollar and the euro. Slide 6, please. From here, I will explain the factors for increase and decrease year-on-year. revenue grew by JPY 191.9 billion year-on-year. Here is the breakdown by business unit. First, Japan business unit achieved sales increases in anticancer agents, ENHERTU and DATROWAY and pain treatment, Tarlige, but antiepileptic impact so generic employee and termination of the co-commercialization agreement. Antiplatelet agent, Effient, also saw generic entry and oral anticoagulant, Lixiana, was affected by NHI drug -- this resulted in Japan business revenue decrease of JPY 8.3 billion. Next, our overseas business units, excluding the foreign impact here. In the oncology business, driven by strong growth of ENHERTU and DATROWAY, revenue increased by JPY 114.3 billion. In the American region, in deficiency anemia therapies, Venofer and Injectafer and generic injectables sales decreased, resulting in JPY 25.4 billion revenue decrease. In the EU specialty business, growth of cholesterol-lowering agents, [indiscernible] was offset by a decline in Lixiana resulting in JPY 800 million revenue decrease. In the ASCA business, Asia, South and Central America, led by growth in ENHERTU, notably in Brazil, revenue increased by JPY 11.5 billion. In the upfront payment and regulatory sales milestone related to alliance with AstraZeneca and U.S. Merck. Regulatory milestones were recognized for ENHERTU approvals in the U.S. for HER2-positive breast cancer neoadjuvant adjuvant treatment and in Europe for first-line treatment resulting in JPY 26.6 billion revenue increase. The positive impact of foreign exchange on total revenue was JPY 73.9 billion. Slide 7 shows operating profit factors for change. As mentioned, the breakdown of the JPY 49.6 billion will be shown, and revenue grew by JPY 191.9 billion. Regarding cost of sales and expenses in cost of sales, due to revenue growth, other cost of sales increased by JPY 17.7 billion. On the other hand, due to a decrease in CMO compensation fee, the overall increase in cost of sales was limited to JPY 1.1 billion. SG&A expenses increased, reflecting the increase in profit share with AstraZeneca by JPY 96.9 billion. Regarding R&D expenses, due to weaker yen and increases in R&D investments associated with development progress for 5 DXd-ADCs and next wave R&D expenses increased by JPY 23.2 billion. Noncore income and expenses, mainly due to EU specialty business unit restructuring and impairment loss on paclitaxel increased by JPY 21 billion. Next, Slide 8 explains changes in profit attributable to owners of the company. Operating profit increased by JPY 49.6 billion as explained. Financial income expenses, mainly due to the deterioration in foreign exchange gains and losses were affected by JPY 20 billion. Income taxes, reflecting higher profit before tax increased by JPY 7.4 billion, following the partial share transfer of Daiichi Sankyo Healthcare in July this year. Profit attributable to noncontrolling interests has been recognized starting this quarter. Consequently, profit attributable to owners of the company increased by JPY 20.7 billion year-on-year to JPY 151.1 billion. Slide 9, on July 31, 2026, we submitted parcel corrections to our FY 2025 financial results to the Tokyo Stock Exchange. We take this matter very seriously, recognizing the significance to the reliability of our financial reporting. The issue stemmed from errors in data aggregation process, and we recognize that no structural issues were found that would compromise the effectiveness of the overall internal control system. Meanwhile, as recent business growth and globalization have made our organization and operational processes, more complex. The Board of Directors is not viewing this as an isolated event, but is discussing how to identify and oversee financial reporting risks in a timely and appropriate manner going forward. We are committed to enhancing the accuracy and reliability of our financial disclosures by regularly evaluating and monitoring both the internal control system itself and the effectiveness of the strengthened operational processes. Next, I will review the progress of our operational excellence program. This initiative is an enterprise waste transformation program designed to achieve our 2035 vision and the sixth medium-term business plan by focusing on strategic prioritization and resource allocation to fundamentally strengthen our profitability, competitiveness and organizational capabilities. This program consists of external expense optimization, process transformation through AI and structural transformation. External expense optimization is optimizing procurement processes based on unified data from our global ERP. Business process transformation through AI is developing multiple concrete use cases. Structural transformation is simplifying our organizational and business operating model. We are advancing the identification of high-impact areas and measures for profitability and are now in the pace of developing and executing detailed plans for each initiative. Through these efforts, we will create capacity to invest in DXd ADCs subsequent BGTs, AI and other priorities while securing the midterm plans profit trajectory by delivering the JPY 200 billion cost optimization committed at the plan's announcement. Internally, we have targeted benefits exceeding JPY 200 billion over 5 years, and any surplus will be reviewed for cash allocation based on comprehensive reviews of our financial standing. I will now hand over to Ken Keller, Head of Global Oncology Business, for the business update.

Ken Keller executive
#3

Thank you, Okuzawa-san. Hello. This is Ken Keller, I'm Head of the Global Oncology Business Unit. I'll provide an update on business performance beginning with ENHERTU. Next slide, please. ENHERTU delivered another quarter of outstanding performance. Global product sales reached JPY 464.5 billion, an increase of 45.9% year-over-year or JPY 146.1 billion. This performance demonstrates the strength of ENHERTU today and the scale of the opportunity still ahead. Growth in the second quarter comes from 3 clear drivers. First, deeper penetration in existing indications; second, expansion into new indications; and third, broader access for patients around the world. Importantly, this growth is broad-based. The U.S. region led with 55% year-over-year growth, followed by our ASCA region at 49%, Japan at 37% and Europe at 26%. In the U.S., we have launched 3 important new indications this year. In January, we launched the first line HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer indication, and this is based on DESTINY-Breast09. I'm happy to report the adoption has been impressive. ENHERTU has already become the market share leader and the new standard of care, and we expect adoption to continue as physicians gain experience with this regimen. This indication has also recently been approved in China, Japan and Europe. Based on the strength of the U.S. launch, we see a substantial opportunity, and we expect to replicate that success globally. Equally important is our progress in early-stage breast cancer, bringing ENHERTU into the early-stage curative setting has always been our goal. Since our first approval in late-stage advanced setting, we felt ENHERTU's greatest and biggest impact would be in the early treatment setting where cure was still possible. It is gratifying to us and the entire oncology community to now have launched ENHERTU in both the neoadjuvant and the adjuvant settings based on DESTINY-Breast11 and DESTINY-Breast05 in the United States. I am pleased to share with you that ENHERTU's adoption is increasing month after month in both settings. Based on the early adoption and the feedback from oncologists, we are confident that ENHERTU will soon become the market share leader and establish itself as the new standard of care in both settings. As I stated, these are potentially curative settings, which makes this expansion and our progress, especially meaningful both for patients and for the long-term growth profile of ENHERTU. We are also making progress in expanding access. Following extensive negotiations, I'm happy to report that ENHERTU has achieved public reimbursement in the United Kingdom for HER2 low metastatic breast cancer after chemotherapy. This provides access to approximately 1,000 patients who have been waiting for a new treatment option. ENHERTU has already transformed the treatment of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer. As ENHERTU moves into earlier stages of disease and reaches patients globally, we believe its clinical impact and commercial potential will become even greater. ENHERTU's overall Q2 picture is one of accelerating growth as its addressable market continues to expand, and there is significant headroom. ENHERTU is nowhere close to the limits of its opportunity. Next slide. Now I'll turn to an update on DATROWAY's performance. DATROWAY is rapidly emerging as our next major growth driver. Q2 global product sales reached JPY 48.3 billion, an increase of JPY 32.6 billion year-over-year. Growth accelerated sequentially during the quarter, and we expect continued momentum throughout the second half of this fiscal year. In the U.S., market share continues to expand in the EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer setting. As physicians gain experience with DATROWAY and their confidence in its clinical profile grows, we expect substantial growth in the coming years. Importantly, the experience gained from prescribing DATROWAY in this lung cancer indication will serve as a strong foundation as we're ready for the top line results of multiple lung cancer trials in fiscal 2027. Our May launch in the first-line PD-L1 inhibitor ineligible metastatic triple-negative breast cancer setting is progressing very well. Market penetration and new patient starts are increasing every month. Physicians are highlighting 3 important attributes in their treatment decisions. First, it's DATROWAY's unique overall survival benefit, it's doubling of overall response rate and its convenient dosing. At last week's ESMO meeting, we also presented new data on DATROWAY's CNS activity in triple-negative breast cancer based from our TROPION-Breast02 trial. This is important because up to 1/3 of patients with triple-negative breast cancer, eventually develop brain metastasis, an area where there is significant unmet need and very limited treatment options. These data showcased the CNS efficacy of DATROWAY in triple-negative breast cancer patients with baseline brain metastasis. The trial demonstrated that DATROWAY significantly improved progression-free survival, response rates, and CNS disease control compared to investigator's choice of chemotherapy. The median CNS progression free survival reached 9.5 months with DATROWAY compared to 2.6 months with chemotherapy. This data underscores the potential of DATROWAY as a first-line treatment option for triple-negative breast cancer patients. Now I attended ESMO and the physician feedback on these data was highly encouraging. Based on that feedback, we believe these findings further strengthen DATROWAY's clinical profile and will inform and strongly influence future treatment decisions. DATROWAY's global expansion is also accelerating. It was approved in Japan on September 16 for first-line metastatic triple-negative breast cancer. It achieved public reimbursement in Germany for first-line triple-negative breast cancer, supporting European growth. And it was launched in Brazil in August. DATROWAY now has multiple growth engines, increasing U.S. adoption, expansion into additional indications, new clinical evidence and a growing global footprint. DATROWAY is becoming an increasingly important contributor to our oncology growth with substantial potential still to be unlocked. This foundation will position DATROWAY strongly for its upcoming clinical data catalysts expected in fiscal '27. Next slide, please. Now I'd like to talk about the recent collaboration with Summit. Our collaboration with Summit Therapeutics is a strategically important step in maximizing the potential of DATROWAY. Together with AstraZeneca, we will evaluate DATROWAY in combination with ivonescimab across multiple tumor types, including lung cancer and breast cancers. The collaboration will begin with a Phase III study in first-line triple-negative breast cancer. Our ambition is to establish DATROWAY as a backbone of treatment across multiple cancers and combinations will be an important part of achieving that ambition. DATROWAY brings a TROP2 directed DXd ADC together with ivonescimab's dual targeting of PD-1 and VEGF. This gives us an opportunity to investigate this differentiated treatment regimen across multiple tumor types. We believe the next era of oncology will be defined not only by better individual medicines, but increasingly by the right combinations for the right patients. This collaboration is an example of how we intend to move with speed, use external innovation and strategically work with partners to maximize the value of our pipeline. Next slide. Daiichi Sankyo has built world-class science. We must now ensure that our commercialization capabilities are equally world-class. Our portfolio is entering a new phase. We will have more indications, more markets and more launches to manage. We will have more than 20 registrational trials expected to be read out over the next several years. Together with a significant number of early-stage assets advancing through our pipeline. At the same time, the pharmaceutical environment is increasingly interconnected, a pricing or access decision in one market can influence value in many others. This creates an unprecedented opportunity to bring more medicines to more patients. It also significantly increases the value at stake. To capture this opportunity, our commercial model will evolve. Effective April 2027, we will operate as one global commercialization organization, bringing our regional businesses and our global commercial functions together under one unified accountability. This change will support faster and better decisions more efficient resource allocation, it will elevate launch readiness and allow us to build better capabilities to deliver more consistent world-class execution across markets. It will also strengthen collaboration internally between commercial, R&D and our technology unit. In the new commercialization organization, our responsibility and commitment is to convert our expanding pipeline into sustainable, global revenue and operating growth, delivering greater value for patients, Daiichi Sankyo and our shareholders, all with a singular goal of ensuring our medicines reach the right patient at the right time, every time across the globe. I'll now turn it over to John Tsai, our Head of Research and Development.

John Tsai executive
#4

Thanks, Ken. This is John Tsai, and I'm going to give you the updates from R&D over the last quarter. Next slide, please. We start with the results of DESTINY-Lung04 where we released these results at the World Congress of Lung Cancer in early September. In this study, ENHERTU versus standard of care, which is platinum pemetrexed doublet plus pembro demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival with a hazard ratio of 0.63. This is in first-line patients with advanced HER2 mutated non-small cell lung cancer, and the results represented a 6-month improvement in medium progression-free survival. In the primary analysis ENHERTU monotherapy reduced the risk of disease progression by 37% and a medium progression-free survival of 14.3 months versus 8.3 months for the platinum pemetrexed doublet with pembro. The results were demonstrated and consistent across subgroups, including prespecified subgroups in patients with brain metastases, smoking status in HER2-mutated status. At the time of the analysis, the overall survival was less than 50% mature. While there was no observed overall survival benefit at this early time point, the OS also did not favor ENHERTU, but we did see greater use of HER2 therapies in the control arm. Next slide, please. I'd like to give you some regulatory updates for ENHERTU. First, for DESTINY-Breast09 in the first-line HER2 mutated metastatic breast cancer setting with ENHERTU plus pertuzumab, which demonstrated a decreased risk of disease progression or death by 44%. This was approved in China in August. And in September, we received the approvals in Japan and the EU. Next, in DESTINY-Breast05, which is in the HER2-positive early breast cancer adjuvant setting, which demonstrated a reduced risk of invasive disease or death by 53%, this was approved in China and EU in October. Lastly, for ENHERTU in the HER2 pan-tumor solid tumors, this was approved in China and also in October, and this was based on 4 Phase II trials across a broad range of solid tumors. With that approval in China, that equates to 10 indications for ENHERTU in China. Next slide, please. Now I'd like to go over the updates for DATROWAY. For DATROWAY and TROPION-Breast02, which is in the first-line metastatic or unresectable triple-negative breast cancer setting, this was approved in the U.S. in May of 2026. Following that, we received approval in the EU in July approval in Japan in September and in China in October of this year. For TROPION-Urothelial04, which is in high-risk muscle-invasive urothelial cancer, we started the study, and the first subject was dosed in August of this year. Moving on to I-DXd. We voluntarily withdrew the filing for the accelerated approval of I-DXd in extensive stage small cell lung cancer in September. This was based on discussions with the FDA, where the data from our Phase II ID8-01 study did not support an accelerated filing in discussions with the FDA. We continue to enroll patients in ID802, our Phase III trial and the enrollment of this study is nearly complete. Next slide, please. Here, I'd like to share some additional data for R-DXd, which was shown at ESMO just this past week. This is an update of REJOICE-Ovarian01 and Phase II/III trial. And the results shared here is from all patients treated in the Phase II dose optimization study of the REJOICE-Ovarian01. This is data that has longer follow-up than what we've seen before. And the results demonstrated further improvement in duration response, progression-free survival and patient reported outcomes. We also demonstrated efficacy in patients with CDH6 greater than 1% biomarker. Based on this, we're moving forward with the 5.6 milligrams per kilogram, and these results demonstrated an overall confirmed overall response rate of 49.7% and a median progression-free survival of 7.9%, with a balanced safety profile of 5.8% low-grade ILDs. To note, there were no grade 5 ILDs at this dose. Next slide, please. We continue to advance our DXd ADC platform in the ovarian cancer space. You can see here that ENHERTU continues to advance in the HER2+ first-line maintenance study in DESTINY-Ovarian01. In addition to REJOICE-Ovarian01, we also are advancing REJOICE-Ovarian04 in the platinum-sensitive ovarian cancer second-line space, we're advancing REJOICE-Ovarian04 in the platinum-resistant ovarian cancer space in the first-line maintenance setting and also REJOICE-Ovarian05 in the platinum-sensitive ovarian cancer, second-line induction and maintenance patients who are PARP progressors. These are our advancements in just the ovarian cancer space. Go to the next slide, please. For the news flow in 2026, the majority of these data readouts remain the same. There is one change, which is highlighted in blue here. That is the change in AVANZAR, which we'll report out in calendar year first half 2027. And specifically, it will be in the first quarter of 2027 calendar year. One last thing before I conclude my remarks, I'm proud to say that we received the international Pre-Galeun Award for ENHERTU as the best technology product, and this is an award that's given out every 2 years by the Gallium foundation. This is the second award granted to ENHERTU following receipt of the National Pre-Galian USA Award for Best Technology product in 2024. We're very proud to receive this matter, and this was received yesterday. With those, I conclude my remarks. Go to the next slide, please.

Michiko Harada executive
#5

[Interpreted] Slide 23 shows the upcoming IR event. On November 25, Japan Time, we will host the sustainability meeting. Additionally, we plan to hold an R&D-focused IR event within FY 2026. Details will be announced as soon as they are finalized. We will now move on to the questions-and-answer session.[Operator Instructions]

Operator operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] We will move on to the first question. Citigroup Securities, Mr. Yamaguchi.

Hidemaru Yamaguchi analyst
#7

[Interpreted] My name is Yamaguchi. The first question I have is directly to Ken-san. And that all way TMBC in that indication, it's doing well. And so then PD-L1. No question about that. The your competitor product, got the indication. And so that away is limited to PD-L1 ineligible. And till there would be is easier to use given this? Is it impactful to the performance or not impactful? And so this is about new detail. I'm sorry about that. This is my first question.

Ken Keller executive
#8

Thank you very much for the question. So in the United States, when we look at DATROWAY and the triple-negative breast cancer indication, the real drivers of choice today are overall survival, overall response rate, ease of use and then another factor that comes in there is comfort with the drug and habit. And so in the United States, our competitor was launched before we were. And so today, physicians are gaining experience with DATROWAY in our new indication. And I can say the feedback is very positive. And so specifically your question about is the broader indication or the lack of it making an impact, very much at all. It's more about the comfort of physicians who have been using that competitive product. Now they're trying data. And I think as they try, you'll see adoption accelerating even further from here.

Hidemaru Yamaguchi analyst
#9

[Interpreted] The second question to Kodama-san and the CMO payment compensation and that was explained previously, up to Q2 and the full year result, like those are not changed and as they are changed. And up to Q2, what is going on and to JPY 80 billion plus or minus for the full year, like a long-term expectation is something I would like to ask you.

Tomohiro Kodama executive
#10

[Interpreted] Thank you for the question. And the CMO compensation, and in Q2, so status. And also for the full year, JPY 80 billion was announced, whether those numbers stay the same, not that be the question. And so Slide #26 probably. And Okuzawa already explained. And in FY 2025 -- or if telling year '26 and '27, we have reserves. And so we have ForEx at play, and it fluctuates because of that. And so that at the end of the fiscal year, you might have a negative impact due to stronger. On the other hand, part of CMOs in the future, so we are making lump-sum payment for the future cancellation and so that we are getting additional amount, but in calendar year 2028, in terms of the reserve, and that is expected to be JPY 80 billion and no change to that number for the time being, and our original assumption was a negotiation and that is in progress. And so we are managing the situation. And one additional information is ForEx. And because of the fluctuation, the amount might come up or come down.

Operator operator
#11

Next question, UBS Securities, Mr. Sakai, please.

Fumiyoshi Sakai analyst
#12

[Interpreted] This is Sakai from UBS Securities. And this CMO compensation fee, I have additional question to Kodama-san. I-DXd, withdrawing of the application submission. This means that the supply necessary will become less. And looking at FY -- calendar year '28, no change you said just now, which means because this is a not big indication, not affected. -- not affecting JPY 80 billion. Is this the right way to look at it? And then in the balance sheet, inventory is increasing. Is this commercial inventory what kind of inventory? I think we had booked for that in the past, but can you explain further?

Tomohiro Kodama executive
#13

[Interpreted] Thank you very much for your question. Two questions. One with CMO compensation, ID8 withdrawal of the submission impact, plus the other is inventory increase of about JPY 100 billion. You were asking about this content. And now CMO compensation fee. Impact by I-DXd -- and as you are right, I-DXd, yes, the impact is not that big from I-DXd. And in the future, we will be expanding our applications. We are conducting various studies to broaden our applications considering this aspect, what we had already prepared for, the timing of starting to use what we pared for will be a bit later, but we do not expect any significant or meaningful impact right now. And the second question was about inventory. Yes, you're right. R&D related and clinical tire-related inventory, they were expensed when they took place and the increase in the inventory is basically the commercial inventory. And as we may have explained a number of times for DXd ADCs, the manufacturing period is quite long, and we are preparing for future sales. And we are manufacturing for future sales, the DXd ADCs. And because we are seeing ENHERTU sales expansion are preparing inventory a bit beforehand, that is why you are seeing a start of inventory increase.

Fumiyoshi Sakai analyst
#14

[Interpreted] I see. And then my second question is for John-san. Do the existing DATROWAY data such as immunotherapy like in long-term PFS tail? I mean -- because we're wondering like AVANZAR delayed readout reflect a slower event [indiscernible] beyond the medium with the median PFS largely unchanged. With [indiscernible] hazard over time, be a reasonable assumption here?

John Tsai executive
#15

Thanks for your question. It's very helpful. We're eagerly awaiting the results of the AVANZAR just like everyone else. Given that the study continues to be blinded, we don't have the insights specifically around AVANZAR and the curves. I think once the results are available, we will have much better insights. I'm sorry that I don't have the details, but we don't because the study is currently blinded. We don't have any insights on what those curves look like. So as soon as we have those, we'll be glad to share with them. Thank you.

Operator operator
#16

[Interpreted] The next question is from JP Morgan Securities, Mr. Wakao.

Seiji Wakao analyst
#17

[Interpreted] JP Morgan, Wakao speaking. I have a question to John. AVANZAR, the readout is delayed so that the event accumulation is getting delayed. On the other hand, AVANZAR clinical study protocol in that version 3 and after event occurrence has not been changed in the protocol, is that right understanding? And so the previous change was at the introduction of QES. Is my understanding correct?

John Tsai executive
#18

Yes. I'm happy to give you some insights about the AVANZAR. As you know, AVANZAR is designed to evaluate both the non-squamous intention to treat unselected population and the biomarker positive population. This is designed to have co-primary endpoints for both PFS and OS. And because OS is an important endpoint for first-line non-small cell lung cancer patients for approval for regulatory agencies around the world, we included OS as one of the co-primary endpoints. The primary endpoint analysis for PFS is timed so that we should have sufficient maturity to characterize the overall OS trends. And we have not conducted any PFS interims in this trial. This is an exception to the rule of disclosure of interims. We usually do not discuss interim results. But in this specific situation, we're sharing that we did not conduct any interims in this study. These are some of the insights that I can share regarding the way that we've looked at and evaluate AVANZAR from a study standpoint.

Seiji Wakao analyst
#19

[Interpreted] No change to the event weight, and so I understand you are not conducting interim, but the event occurrence rate, what is going on there? Your assumption hasn't been changed?

John Tsai executive
#20

That's correct. We have not made any event assumption changes, we continue to advance the study as we originally intended.

Seiji Wakao analyst
#21

[Interpreted] The second point, Dato lung cancer and AVANZAR PFS accumulation is lagging behind. And so PL-07, probably it might happen in that study. But as of now, for the readout is expected in FY 2027, and so in the study in assumption, of course, there might be a range, but it is lagging behind a little. And so PL-07, if there isn't any, then our clinical trial design issue was there or the population or a regimen issue. Can you give me some kind of hint why that is the case?

John Tsai executive
#22

Thank you for your question. I'll reinforce that the primary endpoint analysis for AVANZAR is for progression-free survival, PFS. That should allow us to have sufficient maturity to characterize the overall OS trends. So in that respect, that's how we've powered AVANZAR. For PL-07, we continue to progress as we've always intended, and there's been no changes in the design. So overall, we continue to have those time lines with a slight delay in AVANZAR.

Operator operator
#23

[Interpreted] Next is Morgan Stanley MUFJ Securities, Mr. Muraoka, please.

Shinichiro Muraoka analyst
#24

[Interpreted] This is Morgan Stanley, Muraoka speaking. First, I want to ask Kodama-san. This time, the second quarter results was very good. At the time of the first quarter, without noise, your fundamental business result was great. My question is, what should we expect for the third quarter? I want to confirm what you expect for the third quarter? I know that you don't have quarterly based guidance, but there is this JPY 80 billion payment. This could take place both over third quarter or fourth quarter and maybe fourth quarter portion may be bigger. And the usual pattern is that in the third quarter, you would say that profit has already topped the full year forecast. And the fourth quarter would be a bigger [indiscernible] loss and end the year, not as big of OP loss than usual years, but is this how I should imagine the year to go?

Tomohiro Kodama executive
#25

That is pretty difficult question to answer. The question was what to expect in the third quarter and fourth quarter. And when we divide between third and fourth quarter, what is the picture of the PL to expect the split between third and fourth quarter. This is how I understood your question. And as Muraoka-san said, the past pattern of Daiichi Sankyo is when we look back in the fourth quarter, we were weak, both in revenue and with the impact of NHI price revision in Japan, and there is also inventory adjustment. We had the seasonability and COGS, inventory disposal loss and valuation loss were usually determined in the fourth quarter. Expenses wise, in the fourth quarter, expenses were heavy in the fourth quarter. And this trend, I think, does continue to apply this year, too, but will this mean a loss? I wonder, but comparing between third quarter and fourth quarter, in the third quarter, we booked bigger profits and weaker profit in the fourth quarter. This is the trend we also expect at the end of the year, at the end of the calendar year, like Christmas and beginning of the New Year, what is going to be the inventory adjustment, some years earlier. And in other years later, it is a bit difficult to control. But for expenses from the third quarter to the fourth quarter, expenses are expected to increase. This is my expectation.

Shinichiro Muraoka analyst
#26

[Interpreted] Then the JPY 80 billion, this will be heavy in the fourth quarter. Is that right rather than third quarter?

Tomohiro Kodama executive
#27

[Interpreted] As of now, more heavy as a matter of probability in the fourth quarter, but the key is to the CMOs, the 2028 manufacturing plan. What is the agreement timing of 2028 manufacturing with the CMOs. From the calendar year end to the beginning of the new calendar year, the agreements will take place. And how we discuss with the CMOs will be factor. But what we expect now is more towards the fourth quarter.

Shinichiro Muraoka analyst
#28

[Interpreted] And I have one further question. That is for John Tsai-san. This time, AVANZAR will become next calendar year first half according to AstraZeneca disclosure, TLO 7, AstraZeneca's disclosure-wise, also calendar year first half, no change which means AVANZAR and TLO7, both almost the same timing, I'm wondering. Is this the right timing gap? First half of the year means both will be -- possibly be submitted together to ASCO. Is this the expectation and the current scheduling? Can you give me more color?

John Tsai executive
#29

Sure. Thank you for your question. As you correctly stated, the results for AVANZAR will be in the first quarter calendar year of 2027, and AVANZAR will be around the same time. It will be in the first half calendar year of 2027. So they are timed very closely together. We have not looked at the specific timing for submissions to various congresses, but we will be very prompt in sharing these results out of major Congress. We've not decided which Congress to share this with. But as soon as the data is available, we will be sharing it at an upcoming congress. So we will not delay. Thank you.

Operator operator
#30

[Interpreted] Next question is Tony Ren, Macquarie, please.

Tony Ren analyst
#31

Okay. Perfect. Yes, a couple of questions to John. So the first one is about the CNS activity of your DXd platform. It -- I was at ESMO as well. And it appears to me that one of your competitors, a leading competitor, they refused to recruit any patients with CNS disease into their studies. And I think that's your big differentiator. What -- so John, could you explain to me how do you think about what makes 1 topoisomerase, 1 ADC to have CNS activity, whereas another one doesn't. So that's my first question.

John Tsai executive
#32

Yes. Thank you for your question. As you correctly stated, we released results at ESMO of both the CNS activity for ENHERTU as well as for DATROWAY, and we've seen very good activity for our DXd ADCs for CNS activity, particularly those patients who had brain metastases. Specific to your biologic question, of understanding exactly why this works in what happens with competitors. Certainly, we don't comment about why competitors actually have excluded patients from their trial. But we are very happy with the results that we've seen in the CNS activity. We don't know if this is a buy standard effect or what we've seen is that the DXd ADCs have very strong effects in terms of the results that we've seen when you actually are an the monoclonal antibody, whether these are around TROP2 patients for DATROWAY or HER2 patients because we do know that there's HER2 receptors and TROP2 receptors in various organs throughout the body. So as we've seen these results, we do see this activity, and it is a differentiated activity for our DXd ADCs. Thank you.

Tony Ren analyst
#33

The second question is about ovarian cancer. So you obviously are going with KATHERINE6 approach, right? And we also see some news announcements at ESMO without data, just top line news about poly receptor alpha. How do you think about these 2 somewhat overlapping sub-patient populations in ovarian cancer?

John Tsai executive
#34

Yes. The ovarian cancer space, as you noted, has seen really good results, and this is great for patients, both with folate receptor alpha targeted agents as well as for CDH6 ADCs. We've seen very good results with CDH6. They are differentiated in terms of the results. I think we will find out more as patients begin to see the responses from these 2 different classes of agents. I'll also note that there are differences in the AE profiles. And I believe this is going to be also another point of differentiation. But I do think that there will be further classification and understanding of ovarian cancer across these different groups and different classes of agents.

Tony Ren analyst
#35

Do you think one class would be positioned ahead of another?

John Tsai executive
#36

I think that's to be determined. But as I said, perhaps there may be differences in the AE profile and familiarity of the oncologist of which agents they would choose in terms of treatment.

Operator operator
#37

[Interpreted] Next is from Daiwa Securities, Mr. Hashiguchi, please.

Kazuaki Hashiguchi analyst
#38

[Interpreted] This is Hashiguchi from Daiwa Securities. My first question is for John-san. I-DXd, why did you withdraw the submission or application? And with this, the speed of the development compared to GSK with disease, would be the same or a bit behind? I'm wondering. And considering the situation, the competitive environment -- how do you view the competitive environment? I-DXd's expected differentiation, could you also explain what is the differentiation for TROP2, for example, compared with competition? Safety profile is clearly different. And the plan -- and is reflected in the clinical trial plans. But for I-DXd, you are conducting similar trials, whether competitors in the conventions, ILD is less, they are emphasizing very loudly. As Daiichi Sankyo, what are the strengths? What are the attraction that you can emphasize? Please explain to me.

John Tsai executive
#39

Sure. Thank you for your question. For I-DXd, as you asked around the withdrawal of the accelerated approval approach. You also noted that the competition has advanced very quickly. In light of the benefit risk and the discussions that we've had with the FDA, the FDA wanted us to continue with our Phase III program, which is almost completed for enrollment. Based on those discussions, we decided to withdraw the I-DXd approach for accelerated approval, and we're advancing with the full Phase III program. That's why we've decided to actually continue given that we're almost fully recruited for the I-DXd Phase III program. In terms of the differentiation, I think it really comes down to efficacy and also looking at differentiation versus the safety profile. The current advances that were demonstrated at ESMO, not everyone can tolerate the bispecific that's currently out in the market. So as we move forward, we have a number of programs for I-DXd, and we continue to advance them with excitement moving forward. You did ask a question on differentiation for TROP2. I didn't know if you were referring to the non-small cell lung cancer space versus small cell lung cancer space. For the small cell lung cancer space, we are obviously continuing to advance with I-DXd. We also have next steps of combination of gocatomig, which is our DLL3 plus I-DXd for the B7-H3 approach in the first-line small cell lung cancer space. That's how we're differentiating. So referring to for non-small cell lung cancer, and you asked about differentiation. And the way that we're differentiated there is we have a number of global non-small cell lung cancer first-line studies that we'll be reading out. And I did refer to those earlier, the AVANZAR trial that will be coming out in the first quarter of next year, TROPION-Lung07, which is in the PD-L1 less than 50%. In the TROPION-Lung 08, greater than 50%, we also have PD-L1 across the board for EGFR mutated population, which is TROPION-Lung14 and in the second-line EGFR-mutated patient, which is TROPION-Lung15. That's 5 global trials in the non-small cell lung cancer space in the TROP2 biomarker, and that's the most extensive first-line non-small cell lung cancer program that's been conducted by any company. So that's how we're differentiating between both small cell lung cancer and non-small cell lung cancer. Thank you.

Kazuaki Hashiguchi analyst
#40

[Interpreted] My second question is for Kodama-san. The loss compensation to CMOs. In the first half, there was a reversal to the provision. And in the second half, also, according to the Slide 26 image drawing, about JPY 10 billion in reversal this scale of reversal seems to be expected. For what reason is this reversal occurring ENHERTU and DATROWAY sales being strong. And as a result, you are producing more. Is this the right simple understanding for the reversal? Or is there another reason? And 2028 onwards, the compensation be. Basically, there will be some acceleration delays in the clinical studies. But rather than that, the bigger impact may be more bigger volume like net sales volume that may have bigger sales impact in the short term, in my view. Is this understanding correct?

Tomohiro Kodama executive
#41

[Interpreted] Thank you for your questions. CMO compensation fee. One is this Q2 reversal reason and then the future reasons are 4 changes 2028 onwards. This is how I understand. The first question, Q2 reversal. There are 2 components. The first component is foreign exchange fluctuation. This is a bigger component. And the other component is the change in the provision itself. That is what has become mixed so far. In the provisioning, we look at the manufacturing plan and sales to a third party, once things become visible, we provision but situations become different and more certain. And what is already determined will be changing. And there are some changes in the estimates. These were the factors for changes in the provision or reversals in the provision. And what about in the future? Yes, as you say, the commercial production part, what is going to be the production volume is the big part. But in addition, the clinical trials Also, there will be CMO production volumes and may be affected. Therefore, the progress of the clinical trials will affect the CMO compensation fee provisions. And before launches, we start production a few years in advance. And if there are changes in the manufacturing plan, the manufacturing volume will change, which means clinical trial situation and progress does affect pretty much. And whether the future new products move ahead in development and move on to the clinical trial stage will also be a bearing factor. I hope this answered your question.

Kazuaki Hashiguchi analyst
#42

[Interpreted] And excuse me, just one point earlier, Muraoka asked about the split between third quarter and fourth quarter and the balance between the 2 quarters. One thing I forgot to mention is the following. That is, as you may already know and may be obvious, I may not need to state, but ENHERTU sales milestone that is time to be booked in the fourth quarter. This time more than JPY 90 billion we expect. This part between the third versus fourth quarter will be the big fourth quarter factor to be booked in -- sorry, I forgot to mention this earlier. This point I wanted to add.

Operator operator
#43

[Interpreted] The next question, Bernstein, Mr. Sogi.

Miki Sogi analyst
#44

I have a couple of questions to John. So John, you briefly mentioned that the OS is a core primary endpoint for AVANZAR. And I actually thought that it was a dual endpoint rather than a co-primary. And I thought that if AVANZAR hit positive for QC's positive PFS, that should actually secure the technical success of the trial. So it would be great if you can elaborate on that. And also, I have a similar question about TL07.TL07 has more arms experiment are on triple, doublet and also, of course, it's looking at ITT and QCs population for PFS and OS. It seems that it's quite a lot of the primary endpoints. I'm wondering how the design manages in [indiscernible] location.

John Tsai executive
#45

Yes. Thanks. So specifically on your question around the dual primary endpoint versus the co-primary endpoint, if in either situation where we reach the PFS or the OS, that would be considered statistically significant and positive for us. So whether you want to call that the co-primary endpoint or dual primary endpoints in either case, whether that would be in the -- whether that would be PFS or OS, those would be considered positive. On the TROPION-Lung07 in terms of the powering, we don't comment on the alpha and powering for these studies, unfortunately. So for us, while we've conducted the 3 arms, as you outlined, we continue to move forward with these studies, and we do think that we have robust patients recruited and sufficient powering for our end points.

Miki Sogi analyst
#46

Great. So one more question. This is regarding your collaboration with Summit for a combination with one ivonescimab. So you have already included the non-small cell -- or the lung cancer is one area for a potential combination for DATROWAY. And so first of all, so are you -- is it reasonable to assume that you're waiting for AVANZAR and/or the TL07 data to come out to make a decision? - and also, how do you think about ivonescimab is the preferred efficacy in squamous rather than nonsquamous in which the DATROWAY has been developed for non-small cell lung cancer?

John Tsai executive
#47

Yes. Thanks for your question. As you know, we've seen a lot of positive data in the PD-1, PD-L1 bispecifics. And those have demonstrated really good results. Many of those results are in the Chinese population versus the Western population. We're having really good discussions on advancing these programs, both in breast cancer, also in lung cancer and other tumor types. Whether we will wait for these results before moving forward. These studies are in the design phase. And as we move forward, obviously, the results that we get from our studies will help guide us on how to further improve the approach that we take for all of these studies. So currently, we're advancing in these discussions and collaborations and the design as the results become available we will certainly leverage the insights to improve the overall strategy for us in the combinations with ivonescimab. Thank you.

Operator operator
#48

[Interpreted] SMBC Nikko Securities, Mr. Wada, please.

Hiroshi Wada analyst
#49

[Interpreted] This is Wada from SMBC Nikko Securities. I have a question for John-san. One question ivonescimab and -- yes, combination therapy with ivonescimab, Keytruda and Opdivo, next generation wise, there is high expectation. And there is the synergy effect being viewed and is set to become the backbone therapy for cancer treatment. And there are various documents provided. And chemotherapies and ADCs, there are a lot of combination therapies taking place. Can better way have backbone usage in combination with PD-1 and VEGF? Is -- what is the mechanism of action, positive points that makes DATROWAY backbones to be combined with other treatments?

John Tsai executive
#50

Thank you for your question. And what we've seen so far is really good results from PD-1 as the starting point. And if we look back for the last 5 to 7 years, the approach many people took was combinations of immunotherapy with immunotherapy. And we've not seen very much progress in combinations of immunotherapy, PD-L1 or PD-1 specifically with other IO agents. However, I think complementary mechanisms of approach for tumor types such as non-small cell lung cancer is one that has demonstrated really good effects. What we've seen so far is in specific populations, the PD-1 plus VEGF, where you actually are starving the tumor of their vasculature -- actually with immuno-oncology is a unique mechanism that demonstrated advancements. Also what we're testing, and we should be able to find out in the very near future is the TROP2 ADC with a specific cytotoxic payload differentiated from previous ADCs may have effect through DATROWAY. In this way, complementary mechanisms of immuno-oncology with the VEGF potentially with an ADC such as a TROP-2 ADC may have the best effect and that may be an approach looking at approaching tumor types such as non-small cell lung cancer that would allow us to get the best effect. And that's what we're really driving for and that's what we're hoping to get results from in combination with ivonescimab and potentially other PD-1 VEGFs in that class of drugs. Obviously, some of the approaches that we're going to have to take is to find the right balance of what is the right dosing for these drugs, and that's some of the steps that we will be taking based on the results that we see this.

Operator operator
#51

Next question is Michael Nedelcovych, TD Cowen, please.

Michael Nedelcovych analyst
#52

I have 2 for John. John, first, just a follow-up on your comment around AVANZAR interim PFS analysis not having been conducted yet. Can you confirm whether that also means futility analyses have not been conducted?

John Tsai executive
#53

Yes, thanks for your question. We did not conduct an interim PFS and the futility we pass. So there's no concerns about futility in the specific patient.

Michael Nedelcovych analyst
#54

Wonderful. Very clear. And then my other question is actually a follow-up on the commentary around I-DXd filing withdrawal. Can you provide any more details on that decision given that the application received priority review and Daiichi and Merck had just experienced a similar issue with HER3 DXd? This came as quite a surprise. You noted that the FDA emphasized the Phase III trial, but it has already been initiated. So I'm a bit confused as to why the company and the FDA were not already aligned on the potential for accelerated approval. I guess one explanation could be that the Phase III trial recruited faster than anticipated, but it looks like the primary completion date on clinicaltrials.gov was actually delayed in August, not advanced. So just any additional detail on how that proceeded would be very helpful.

John Tsai executive
#55

Sure. Happy to give you some additional comments and background on I-DXd. In terms of the I-DXd and the extensive stage small cell lung cancer landscape, as you probably know, the competitive set around the treatment for patients with small cell lung cancer is advancing very quickly. We had good discussions with the regulatory agency. We are almost completed for our Phase III program for I-DXd. And in terms of time lines, overall, we are advancing with speed given the time lines and some of the discussions that we have with the FDA, we agreed with the FDA that the best approach would be to advance with our Phase III results that would become available. So that's the background that I could share with you.

Operator operator
#56

[Interpreted] [Operator Instructions] JP Morgan, Mr. Wakao.

Seiji Wakao analyst
#57

[Interpreted] I would like to ask you another question for John. So do you think [indiscernible] to expect the KEYNOTE-189, this meant to achieve a longer PFS day than the roughly 8 months in the original 189 study? If so, what [indiscernible] Could you explain the improvement?

John Tsai executive
#58

Yes. I can't speculate on the results from KEYNOTE-189. But I will say that as we've seen in the general community that physicians have gotten a better understanding of use of immuno-oncology agents such as PD-1 since start of some of these trials. So with that, as with any trial that gets into the marketplace, as you get more familiarity, you also understand how to manage the adverse event profiles of these drugs. So while the data is blinded for AVANZAR, TL07 and 08, what I can say is that I do believe that physicians have a better understanding of how to use PD-1 therapies, but that doesn't explain everything in our studies are blinded, and I won't comment on the powering or the advancement of our programs, but I can tell you about clinical practice.

Operator operator
#59

[Interpreted] Next is Sogi-san from Bernstein.

Miki Sogi analyst
#60

I have another question to John. So it looks like the bladder cancer is quite exciting the opportunity for DATROWAY. And I see that you're already conducting the Phase III in second line as well as you have initiated the adjuvant setting. And so the first line, I have a question for first line. Is this something that you are not pursuing because of the strong data coming from the KEYTRUDA or you're waiting for some additional data that could allow you to make a decision on the first line?

John Tsai executive
#61

Yes. So for urothelial advancement for overall TROPION 03 and 04, those are advancing. We do have a Phase I/II study, and the information will better inform how we will advance in the first-line treatment regimen.

Miki Sogi analyst
#62

And one more quickly, if I may. And also, we understand that you guys are conducting Phase II pan-tumor trials for 3 ADCs, IDX, RDX and Her3 HDD when are we going to see the data?

John Tsai executive
#63

Yes. As with any of our programs, we do the pan tumor trials to understand where each of these Dxds have the most effect across various tumor types. We do have -- because these are early signal-seeking studies, we actually roll out these studies over time as we fully recruit in each one of these tumor types. So over the next -- whether it would be a year or next 2 years, as these patients are fully recruited in each of these specific settings we'll be releasing those results.

Miki Sogi analyst
#64

Can I expect something starting to come up in next year, 2027?

John Tsai executive
#65

I won't specifically highlight the timing because we have not disclosed those, but I think we will be sharing those information in the very near future. Thank you.

Operator operator
#66

Next question is Tony Ren, Macquarie, please.

Tony Ren analyst
#67

Just another quick follow-up question, again to John. Are you guys planning to put more ADCs based on your modified PDB technology into clinical development. I know there was an earlier announcement in a year. Just wanted to see what's your thinking on that construct right now?

John Tsai executive
#68

Thanks. We do have advancements in the next generation of ADCs and our research team, I'm very proud of the work that they've been doing. We do have subsequent advances and looking at whether that's the linker, payload relationship and different cytotoxic payloads. So you will be hearing about them we are not specifically disclosing any of our payloads as obviously for obvious reasons. So as soon as that's available, we will share in generality what those are, but we won't be sharing specific details about them. But I will say that many of them are moving forward and very close to the clinic.

Operator operator
#69

[Interpreted] Investor and Analyst Q&A session is going to be closed, and all the investors and analysts, thank you so much for your time today. After this, starting from 10 minutes past 7 p.m., we would like to start Q&A with journalists. And please continue to participate in this Q&A session.

Read the full transcript via the API

You're viewing the first half of this call. Get the complete Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited transcript - plus 258,000+ transcripts from 12,000+ companies, speaker segments and full-text search - through the EarningsAPI REST API or hosted MCP server.

Get an API key View API docs →

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited earnings transcripts and 258,000+ others is available through the EarningsAPI REST API and the hosted MCP server. Quarterly plans from $145 - full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.