Home / Transcripts / HeidelbergCement India Limited (500292) · February 10, 2022

HeidelbergCement India Limited (500292) Earnings Call Transcript

February 10, 2022

BSE Limited IN Materials Construction Materials earnings 64 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the HeidelbergCement India Limited Q3 FY '22 Call hosted by PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Vaibhav Agarwal from PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Vaibhav Agarwal analyst
#2

Thank you, Aman, and good afternoon, everyone. On behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, we welcome you to the Q3 FY '22 call of HeidelbergCement India Limited. On the call we have with us Mr. Jamshed Naval Cooper, Managing Director; and Mr. Anil Sharma, Chief Financial Officer at HeidelbergCement India Limited. I would like to mention on behalf of HeidelbergCement India Limited and its management that certain statements that may be made or discussed on the conference call many forward-looking statements related to future developments and the current performance. These statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors, which may cause the actual developments and results to differ materially from the statements made. HeidelbergCement India Limited and management of the company assumes no obligation to update or alter these forward-looking shipments, whether as a result of new information or future events or otherwise. Also, HeidelbergCement India Limited has uploaded a copy of the Q3 FY '22 presentation on the stock exchanges and its website. Participants may download a copy of the presentation from these websites. I will now hand over the floor to the management of HeidelbergCement India Limited for the opening remarks, which will be followed by an interactive Q&A. Thank you, and over to you, Cooper sir.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#3

Thank you, and good afternoon to everybody for your presence. If you have downloaded all the presentations, I will run past by this. Yes, this quarter indeed has been a very traumatic one for reasons of the cost increases, which have been very severe. And the impact, we get is unprecedented impact we have seen in the month of this quarter was the low demand because of infrastructure low spending and the market did not move to the expectation. And the double whammy was power and fuel cost was through the roof. So we suffered. But yes, I think nothing to worry about it. So the volumes were down by 11%, the cost up by 13%. We could increase the price a little bit and got some 2% relief out of it, pass it on to the consumers. But given this current situation, I will talk to you later on also, but as of now, the quarter has been not a good one. I think this would be one of the rare ones, which we have suffered. If I look at the other areas of our business, on alternative fuels, we started on the ESG. So that is a very good thing to have happened to Heidelberg that even now today we are with running AFR. And the target is to run to about 8% to 9% of TSR we should reach as soon as possible. On our 55-megawatt solar power project and our sourcing of third power for 15-megawatt at Jhansi, I think this is all under way and it should happen start triggering from this month onwards or late -- early as next month, some of these [indiscernible]. So there is a positive side to it. Share of green power is about 20% for us with 100% blended, so we are fully covered from the ESG side. We are -- on a carbon footprint, we are far ahead on many of our colleagues in the industry. We operate on negative net working capital. That is also the silver lining there. And on a net cash balance basis, we are about INR 181 crores of cash surplus. I have spoken to you about -- going to Page -- Slide 3 -- Slide 4. You can see the picture of the WHR -- the AFR plant which is in operation. And on the right-hand side of the picture, you can see that 5.5 solar projects are ready, okay? As far as the AFR is continuously we are getting, but there can be some glitches here in AFR. Sometimes it happens because we are using biowaste. So sometimes it does not come out otherwise. But we are creating capacity to store about 4 to 5 days of stock of biowaste, so we can run this plant on 100%. We have reached as high as TSRs of almost 9% of TSRs. On some days, we can -- we are able to meet. That means the plant has proven its capability that it can deliver higher TSR. But it will take its time to stabilize. But 4% to 5% of TSR we are guaranteeing that it will happen now. Coming to our environmental footprint, you are seeing on Slide 5, this is a very unique activity which we have started somewhere in 2015 and now we are continuing. The target was to get the ambient temperature inside our plants to 2 degrees lower than what it exists 1 kilometer away from the plant. Very happy to say that a rearview in the previous quarter, we had clocked almost 1.6. Now we are at 1.7, so there is an improvement. And the Jhansi, of course, we compare all the units together. So as a group, HeidelbergCement Group, India plant, which includes Zuari Cement plants also. The second unit among our India units is Jhansi, which has crossed 2.2 target. So we are very happy that Jhansi team has really worked to see that they are able to achieve a better environment, work environment in their area of operations. On CSR initiatives, Slide #6. We are now making classroom smart by putting boards in classrooms. So there is an obligation there on terms of CSR also. So on Ammasandra, we are giving school children kits, educational kits. Another important part is on Slide #7. We had given a commitment to the government -- to the local government, which is at Damoh plant, to put up an OPD center. So we are creating this center under the CSR activities, which will be one of its kind. And it will be very big respite to the people of Damoh. So that's the investment we are making, and that is in the progress. Rural health checkups and other things are continuing as it is. Now coming to the basics of our business if you are waiting to hear, which is on Slide #8. On -- if I look at -- if I take exception months, which is exception quarter at December, and if I look at the 9 months, trailing 9 months, okay, we have had a volume growth of close to 11%, which I think we should appreciate more than getting bogged down with 1 quarter of bad quarter, which is not -- which does not set any precedence, neither it sets any tone for the future. So this will come back from the cloud because we had this COVID. After COVID, we had this Omicron variant. So one after the other, and the fuel prices and the benching trades, which are going up through the roof, will cause the concern. And it will not end here. It may continue also but let us look at -- focus more on the Indian domestic demand, okay, how does it stack up. I think the demand in India is going to come back, and it will remain strong. People have made good amount of money in the stock exchanges in the retail investor. We should flow that again into the retail -- realty sector, and we should see again a boost in demand for housing. Coming to the reason for decreased profitability. As I said that the major area for us has been fuel. There might be some -- I'll discover up with further also. The volumes -- of course, the volumes took a hit. We took a hit on generation because when the volumes go down, we cannot produce electrical power to almost in the quarter. By a quarter-on-quarter basis, if I look almost 2 gigajoules of power we could not generate. If we generated almost 15 gigajoules of power in the December quarter, now we have -- could generate 13. So that adds up -- all these adds up to it. Now this is the slide where I can spend a little -- give you more details on Slide #10. You can see the power and fuel, how it has impacted us on a per tonne basis of cement. Then comes the raw material. The raw material is also inclusive of our packing material. So the granule prices shot up significantly through the roof because of the PC prices that is baked into this. The other part is when diesel prices go up, your transfer of clinker, which is almost more than 50% of the clinker we transferred from Damoh to Jhansi, so that cost is baked into this. So this is where -- we take our clinker transportation, logistics cost also under the part of raw material because it is a raw material for some other units. And that has also come here. So these are the 2 factors, which has led to this INR 167 per tonne increase -- impact on the EBITDA margin. Coming to the other things. I can think, this INR 47 which is there, we can discuss if you have any points on this. There are 3, 4 issues there which we have [indiscernible]. One was also the unseasonal times of -- I'll request Anil to dwell on all the 4 points of -- which are there.

Anil Sharma executive
#4

Maybe after your presentation.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#5

After my presentation, you can dwell on all the 4 points which are -- which has led to this INR 47 increase. But let me tell you, it is nothing a matter of concern for us because there is some advertising costs and other things. Don't take it as an expenditure, take it as an investment. You will see the returns coming on in the long run for this INR 47 will give us more returns in the long run. Interest-bearing loans, you wanted to know -- if you want to know, this is how it is. Now we are -- almost on a net basis, we are a debt-free company. These loans, which are interest-free loans. These are bullet payments, which will happen in the period of 2026 and still we sit on cash. Coming to our -- the key points of our business. 45% of our volumes are moved by road, where we have to reduce our pet coke. Earlier, we were firing almost 70% pet coke now, which is total reverse. It is 69%, 70% has come to coal. You can see the difference between pet coke and fuel -- cost of fuel, it is significantly higher -- pet coke is significantly high. But when we do this pet coke, when we reduce the pet coke, we have to increase our sweetener consumption also. So there is a negative impact on that count also. So all that gets -- is all linked one by one. Coming to our high premium products, we are good at around 22%. We have clocked [indiscernible], so this is a very reasonable figure to achieve, between 25% -- we'll reach 25% in the year or so, it is good enough. But at the moment, we are not pushing these products too much beyond a point. 77% is close to our trade sales. Nontrade took a beating, and trade also took a beating. So there is a difference in a little bit of realignment in the percentages. Earlier, we had started clocking almost 85% of trade. So that has slipped a little bit. Our work, whatever work we do gets also due recognition. So you can see the accolades which have come to us. We were awarded -- recognized as the 3rd Fastest Growing Cement Company in medium category by the Indian Cement Review. So there is one of these awards. Under the CSR Award, we got a silver category in 8th CSR Times award for rural development. These are some pictures of our team -- our technical director and his team are taking -- receiving the award from Honorable Minister, Mr. Pralhad Joshi. While we talk about ESG and other things, okay, on energy, we are very conservative. We are focused extremely and Jhansi has got the privilege -- distinction, I would say, of the sixth consecutive year being awarded as -- for the energy conservation. Going forward, coming to Slide 16. We have seen the budget outlay has increased into, so we can hope that there will be something good for cement demand on this side. GDP is forecasted to grow better. IMF has already improved the rating from 8.5% to 9%, so we should hope that GDP continues to grow. And then if GDP grows at 9%, we should expect cement to be around 9%, if not less. That's the growth we should see. Third wave of the COVID is now -- people are getting used to it. Life is getting back to normal. But let us not conclude that the pandemic is over. We never know what is around the corner hidden for us. Fuel cost almost doubled, almost we have seen on our fuel has just gone through the roof. Very difficult times, but let us not be very hopeful that the fuel will come down to yesteryear levels of when we saw pet coke at $48, which is not going to happen. At least in the foreseeable future, in a year or 2, I don't see that happen. On power distribution, we are expecting that too soon, we might see some power tariffs going up, so we should be prepared. We are preparing for that. And that is why our team is working on renewable energy third-party sourcing on power generation through solar power plants. And our AFR, if we can reduce -- if we can improve output through our WHR also, so that will be our main focus areas. With -- another thing which I want to -- before I conclude this, I want to add is that cost pressures because of the fuel and everything is so much enormous that cement cannot remain at this level now. Cement has to -- the cement prices must -- I think they should go up. It is our constant endeavor -- at HeidelbergCement India, I am telling my team that we have to pass on the cost increases to the consumer. You cannot keep it with you because it is unfair to the shareholders clearly. So we are -- every day, we are trying to see that somewhere we can take bites from here and there and improve our margins. So we have been increasing prices with very, very small increase. We have done it in the month of February -- in the month of January, minor, we tried it. We tried something, but we had to roll back. But we did take some benefit out of it. We increased by INR 5, rolled back it by INR 2, INR 3 here and there when the market did not absorb it. But there is some gain, which is gradually coming in, but the volume should now start coming in, that is major concern for us. On Slide #17, I want to mention that we took a little bit an aggressive stand on our social media. This part also is part of our other cost you can see that. These are all -- we are getting a number of -- now more people are attached to us. We have revamped our website. This was the need of the hour. There are many customers who want to see us in better light. They have been recommending that to improve, provide more information to them through social media and other things. So that is what we are trying to address their needs. Because the new-gen customers are more on social media, and they are wanting to know about the company and about the products and about how we can benefit from the company. So we are using these media from our side. This is all from my side. Very happy to answer your questions. Anil and my team, everybody is here to answer -- take your questions. If we have missed anything, we will definitely answer it to the best of our abilities. And we want to keep our business as transparent and clear as ever. We want to give to our investors a comfort that we are -- we will tell you what it is. We will not try to do anything, which is -- we want consistency in our business. So -- but of course, we cannot -- you'll have to give us -- pardon us for any extraneous pressures, which come because of demand and other things, which we are not able to foresee sometimes or are not able to manage. And it is not possible to manage either. So thank you once again for staying invested with us and giving us a sense of confidence in us and holding us in the right spirit. Thank you very much, and over to you, Vaibhav.

Operator operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] First question is from Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital Markets.

Shravan Shah analyst
#7

Sir, simple basic question is how do we now see the overall cost moving up in the fourth quarter? Will -- can we see a further increase because at this time our raw material cost including the change in inventory is significantly increased Q-o-Q? So that is one. So entire -- all the cost line items, so how much we can see further increase? Second, on pricing front, last time, we have said strongly that it will be increasing significantly prices every month. You have already given that by November and December and January, we will be seeing INR 500 per bag, which is not happening, as you said, that INR 5, even the January hike, you have taken a rollback of INR 2 to INR 3. So how do we see the pricing or the realization for us going forward? So to get the ultimate understanding, just trying to understand how do we see the EBITDA per tonne in the next quarter. Can we see a significant improvement?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#8

So Shravan, just to answer that when I made this comment that we should see these high prices, it was based on that with such high cost coming in. I think it will -- nobody will be able to keep the price with them, okay? They will have to pass it on to the consumers. But probably the industry was not able to pass for whatever reasons. I cannot say for others why they did not. Because for me, there is a price elasticity. If I take a price increase of INR 10 and if competition or the others don't take similar increases. There is a price parallelism which happens in the cement industry. The differences can be between competing brands depending on which brand level you are competing. The elasticity can be INR 5 to INR 7, okay? Beyond that, you have to fold back again into the same deal. So I cannot tell you why the prices have not gone up. But today, I'm sure that everybody has exhausted in this industry would have exhausted, I would suggest. So that they would have exhausted their own low-cost inventories, okay, their low-cost materials. And now they must be having all materials, which are inventory, which would be high priced. So there is no way, but the way is only one way through the tunnel. You can't go back into the tunnel. So now it will force you through the -- smoke you through the tunnel, and you'll have to come out of it, and you will have to increase prices. Coming to quarter 4 on prices, I'm sure that prices should go up. These are the good demand months also. So there is no reason why the prices should not go up. We have seen good production in the quarter -- the third quarter. I think this inventory would have also piled up a little bit. January, they would have been able to exhaust the inventory. And from February onwards, the prices should move up. That's my feeling. Coming to your inventory cost of fast and going forward, I think the prices will remain same. I think the cost will not come down significantly. Minor here and there, small things may happen, but not significant. Let us not give you any picture which is very nice for a very good-looking picture or tell you anything which we do not expect it to happen.

Anil Sharma executive
#9

Just to add with respect to cost part, I think we need to also understand that some of the costs, like diesel prices because of their transportation cost is higher, which resulted into higher [indiscernible] cost. Then granule prices by the refineries, they have increased significantly during the last 1 year. And taking cost because of that has increased between 30% to 40% during the last quarter. With respect to our raw material prices, with respect to our fuel prices, this is pure external things. And in the near term, we can say that, okay, that may continue. Maybe there will be some softening on account of petrol prices, which we have seen in the month of November or December, but cost will remain on that account in the coming 2, 3 months. Now with respect to this other expenditures, I think this expenditure per tonne basis seems higher during the December quarter. But in absolute terms, as compared to corresponding quarter of last year, it is slightly reduced. And there are 2 kind of costs we grouped under this other expenditure. Some of the expenditures are fixed in nature, either traveling or maybe the -- our administrative costs. And some of the expenditures are variable in nature that is related to operations of the company. So the handling cost and some of the cost related to recent taxes like limestone royalty and other things. So on increase or decrease of the cement production in the cement this stage, cost may go down, which are the variable in nature, but cost may also be static if these are the fixed nature. During December quarter, after second wave, when the -- July, August, when the COVID and Delta were actually start reducing. Some of the activities, which we have stopped during the last 1 year, especially our dealer mix and the people who are going to market, those have been restricted or limited in the last 1 year or 1.5 years. So during this Diwali and the month of December, we started moving to market and started meeting with our networks. And also, we have started doing some advertisement, especially digital media, and wall painting. This wall painting and holding kind of things were almost stopped during the last 16 to 18 months, from March 2020 to -- up to until August 2021. Some of the expenditure in other expenses are maybe of the fixed nature, but we have revamped and increased it a little bit to sustain our market share in this [indiscernible] market. It seems on a high side on a per tonne basis because of the lower volume, but I think going forward, we will be back with this on same per tonne basis on the other expenditures. Mr. Shah also has raised one point with respect to inventory. So Mr. Shah, if you see our trend of the December quarter of 2020 or even in the past years, our inventory always decreased because in the month of November, December, we took plant shutdown of our kiln so that we should be ready with our production capability and efficiency when the peak season starts from the month of January. This year also, we have done same thing. If you compare our inventory decrease amount or the trend of the inventory decrease amount with the December 2020, you will find the same trend happened. Yes, as compared to September, September, our inventory increased and that we do in order to have the inventory post-festive season. So that time, we tried to increase as on 30th September. In December, we tried to reduce our inventory by taking these shutdowns. So these are the development, and those are the very material development happen in the December quarter. And always, you'll find the December quarter, this kind of shutdown.

Shravan Shah analyst
#10

The last question is, in terms of the volume for fourth quarter, can we see Y-o-Y growth in the fourth quarter? And the 2 data points, what's the -- net debt, you have mentioned, INR 1,811 million, but what's the gross debt and gross cash and how much CapEx we have done till now?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#11

So -- as far as the cement is going on last March last quarter, we did INR 1.25 billion. Okay. And so we will -- we are working on that, but we should at least be there.

Anil Sharma executive
#12

And on the CapEx side, our CapEx, we have taken normal sustainable CapEx, which is almost 35% to 40% of our annual depreciation that amounted in the range of INR 500 million, INR 50 crore for this fiscal year. And during '21/'22 fiscal year, we have taken 2 projects related to sustainability. One is our alternative fuel project. Total investment we did for this project is INR 16 crores in 2 years. So in the fiscal year '21 also, we have incurred half of the amount, and then the remaining amount we incurred in December. That is the total amount of INR 6 crore to INR 7 crore came during the current year. And then we also invested CapEx for our solar power plant. So during fiscal year '21/'22, our total CapEx will be in the range of INR 75 crores. Out of that, we have incurred almost INR 50 crores, INR 55 crores in 9 months. And balance we will do in the remaining 3 months.

Shravan Shah analyst
#13

Sir, lastly, cash and gross debt number -- gross cash and gross debt.

Anil Sharma executive
#14

So for the gross debt and cash balance also in the March balance sheet, the total amount which is we can say net debt level is higher as compared to September quarter. September quarter, our net cash balance was around INR 1 billion. It increased to INR 1.8 billion at this moment. And this is happening on account of better working capital optimization. And during this quarter, we have repaid our INR 1.2 billion total loan. If you see this -- one of our slides in our presentation, there you will find the total bank balance also, which is INR 4.1 billion, so total INR 415 crores is the gross cash and bank balance.

Operator operator
#15

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#16

Sir, my question pertains to the scenario in the central market with multiple players entering that market, UltraTech expanding capacities, even ACC and JK Cement would be increasing their capacities next year. What is the sense on the market? And where is Heidelberg positioned in terms of its CapEx, capacity expansions and volume growth visibility?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#17

Okay, Rajesh, we -- as you said -- know that in March of '20, we debottlenecked and added almost close to 1 million tonnes, okay? We will be adding a little more quantities in the next few quarters also in '22, '23 by debottlenecking. Right now, we are operating at 73% utilization -- capacity utilization for the quarter. We have got enough headroom right now. So we will not lose market share. If that is the question, that is the answer to it, yes, we will not lose market share. Growing capacities in this particular market in Central region, it is not possible as of now because after this debottlenecking, we will add about another 0.5 million tonnes net. And then it will be -- then we'll have to sustain this. To sustain market share on a -- as a company to retain its market share, we are looking at the greenfield project, which is in Gujarat, which one -- which we are working as of now. So the competition, in terms of competition, yes, competition has increased. But ultimately, we have to learn to live with competition. Everybody has to live into a world of competitive environment. We are not concerned about the environment because today also, when the capacities are coming up, we have enough headroom for today also. And I think every cement company has the same. Everybody is operating around 70%, 71%, 70% in Central India. But luckily in Central India, if I look at it, in quite a few months, we operate close to over 80%, 82% also.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#18

Okay. And this greenfield expansion, any time lines by when you would start groundbreaking or any -- by when this project could be [indiscernible]?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#19

So Rajesh, we are working with the government to get us approval for environmental clearances and things like that, which is regularly being monitored month after month. It takes about a year, 1.5 years to get the environmental clearances. Once that comes to us, then we will do the further work on it. Some amount of CapEx will happen sometime in '23. We hope to start something in '23 if everything goes right.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#20

Okay. So '23, you would plan to -- if the EC is achieved, after that, this being a greenfield another 3-year before this could be operational?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#21

3 years.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#22

3 years. So FY '23, plus 3 years, FY '26 somewhere...

Jamshed Cooper executive
#23

Project is not that even that you cannot see the project. But ultimately, once the clearance comes, you can put up a plant in 24 months also.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#24

Correct. Correct. Yes. So primarily in North, Central market, you would peak out at with 0.5 million tonnes incremental capacity enhancement. This is clinker, you said, right?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#25

Yes, this is cement, basically.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#26

Okay. Any clinker debottlenecking also you are working on, sir?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#27

Yes, we are deterring will add up to it because we already have enough grinding capability we have. So we have to now augment on the clinker. So that is unlikely we are working on coolers.

Rajesh Ravi analyst
#28

Okay. And on the merger of Zuari -- the amalgamation of Zuari, any thought on that, sir?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#29

The group has given guidelines on those. We are working on it. It will happen, it will take time.

Operator operator
#30

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from Utkarsh Nopany from Haitong.

Utkarsh Nopany analyst
#31

Sir, my first question is on -- again, on market share. So if we see like we have increased our capacity, say, from 5.3 million tonnes to 6.3 million tonnes through debottlenecking around 1.5 to 2 years back, but still, our sales volume is down by 4.5% on a 3-year CAGR basis, whereas our major peers have posted positive volume growth over the same period despite no increase in their cement capacity. And what we are observing that new -- few new players have entered into the Central region, and they have been able to successfully ramp up their capacity over the last 2, 3 years period. So sir, can you please help us understand what is the reason for the same?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#32

I don't know where you are seeing the ramp-up capacity. The only player which operates in the south of our plant is Prism Cement, okay? So I have not seen that they have ramped up their volumes anywhere. Okay. Yes, there are other companies which are bringing cement from other towns, other cities. They might have been selling more. So it is not an apple-to-apple comparison, I would say. And all said and done, during the COVID period, everybody has lost volumes here and there. If you're an all-India player and if you are posting an all-India higher volumes, that does not apply to us in Central India. But Central India demand is close to about 48 million tonnes of capacity, which is about 50 to 53, around that much, it is happening. And most of the cement which is being produced also in Central India is finding its way out of Central India. So that is not -- it is not disturbing the equilibrium. Ultimately, there will be some minus 0.5% here and there 1 quarter or half of next quarter can happen. But if I look at my last 5 years of data, we have not lost market share.

Utkarsh Nopany analyst
#33

Okay. And sir, considering that a lot of new capacity is likely to come up in Central region over the next 2 years, so wanted a sense from you that by when we can expect our existing capacity to be ramped up to earlier level of 90% rate.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#34

93%, it is just only a matter of demand. Today, also, if I look at it, last month also, our plants operated close to about 80% to 83% capacity utilization. So it's a question of demand. If we get the demand, we will [indiscernible] the material, not an issue.

Utkarsh Nopany analyst
#35

Okay. And sir, can you please provide the detail of capacity expansion plan for Zuari Cement, say, over the next 3 to 4 years from here?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#36

Zuari plant?

Utkarsh Nopany analyst
#37

Yes sir. Zuari Cement, the capacity.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#38

[indiscernible] Is it that we're not a listed for.

Utkarsh Nopany analyst
#39

Okay. And sir, what is the reason for sharp increase in other expense in December quarter? Was there any one-off included in other expense?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#40

As I said, there is nothing as such.

Anil Sharma executive
#41

Mr. Nopany, what we have explained that this expenditure -- some of the expenditures are of the fixed nature. If you see the total expenditure, it's -- compared to corresponding quarter of last year, it has not increased in the absolute terms. Yes, on per tonne basis, there is an increase of around INR 60, INR 70. And there are 3, 4 elements actually what we have done from the regular nature. In December quarter, those things we could not do during the last 18 months because of the COVID. One of that thing was our dealer mix, then the wall painting. During this quarter, we have started our digital advertisement also. And again, because of the relaxation by the government, the movement of the people have started and some of the traveling and other expenditures also have incurred during this quarter. So those are the regular nature of expenditure. But when we compare with the corresponding quarter of last year or the September quarter, some of the expenditures had increased during December quarter, and it will be normalized maybe in coming months.

Operator operator
#42

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from Sanjay Nandi from Ratnabali Investment Private Limited.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#43

Sir, just a few questions from my side. So what is the current clinker utilization for this third quarter?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#44

The clinker capacity is close to about 61.5%.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#45

61.5%, right, sir?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#46

Yes.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#47

And what has been this clinker to cement conversion ratio, sir?

Anil Sharma executive
#48

Clinker capacity utilization.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#49

Yes, clinker capacity utilization.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#50

You wanted clinker utilization. Clinker utilization was 73%.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#51

73%.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#52

73%.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#53

73%. And what was the clinker to cement conversion ratio, if you can kindly share?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#54

That is what I meant. Clinker factor we absorb almost close to about 24.5% of [indiscernible]

Anil Sharma executive
#55

Clinker factor is 61.5%.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#56

61.5% clinker factor, right. Okay. Okay. And sir, did we take any price hike in the first month of this quarter? Like January is already over. So most of the companies are taking a price hike.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#57

No price hike. As I said that around sometime in -- around 20th we tried some -- attempting some price changes. We did one on -- we did some change on 7th of the month, then we did something on 15th, 14th, 15th of the month but in small, small pieces. Some of them were successful. Some of them were not successful.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#58

Okay. So do you plan any kind of price hike, sir, going forward from the month of February, as you said, sir?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#59

Yes, we are increasing. Now we are increasing every Monday some price or the other in the market. Somewhere in small pockets, wherever we are seeing that there is a -- demand is coming up, so we are increasing prices. But it is a very small, but that will be permanent increases. We are not wanting to give one price and then take it back and then roll back the prices. That does not leave give a good figure feature to the trading community. Trading community requires the stability of prices. They require consistent prices.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#60

Got it, sir. Sir, in this quarter also, we would find that we have taken some improvement in relation we could see like in the quarter 3 compared to quarter 2 of this year. So does it happen because of the mix of change in your mix? Or is something -- improvement in realization?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#61

So it is basically the market prices we have to take the prices up. Otherwise, you have seen cost has gone up by 13%. We have increased the prices only by 2%, which we could have passed on the entire 13%, and would have been smiling our way to front of you.

Sanjay Nandi analyst
#62

So you mean to say our mix is overall same, right, in this particular quarter?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#63

Yes, this is actually -- it's almost same.

Anil Sharma executive
#64

We only deal with [indiscernible] product. So there is no change in the product [indiscernible]. And you have also seen that our [indiscernible] sales is in the range of 75% to 80%, so that remains also same. There is no change in the mix of the product or -- and no change for the sector.

Operator operator
#65

Next question is from Roshan Paunikar from JM Financial. Mr. Roshan you're requested to be a bit loud, please. You're not audible clearly.

Roshan Paunikar analyst
#66

Yes. am I audible now?

Operator operator
#67

Yes.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#68

Yes, please.

Roshan Paunikar analyst
#69

So sir, basically, my question is regarding the price hike. So you mentioned that we tried to increase the price by about INR 5, and then we saw some rollback. So my question is why is there a resistance or there's a vulnerability to pass on the cost increases? Because costs have risen materially. And the rollbacks to the price hikes have been happening. So is it because of the influx in the product from some other regions? Or has there been any slowdown in demand in any of these segments that we cater to?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#70

So Roshan, see, in cement, there is a price elasticity between -- at different times, okay? So you can go to a -- you can stretch to a certain extent. Then when you see your sales -- and then it has to be also supported a little bit by demand, okay? So that means if the demand is good, the price hikes will come better, okay? The price hikes will come faster also. But sometimes when we do these types of things and the demands are not supportive, and we -- I normally will tell my team that [Foreign Language]. So they may go ahead and increase the prices by INR 4, INR 5 and then in 3 days, they don't be able to sell, if it's demand then they come back and say we can roll it back. Now coming when -- if the demand was supposed to be good, then this will get absorbed within 3 days or 4 days. Nobody will question it, and it will go through. So it's a question of supply-demand. I cannot say that I cannot take -- see, cement prices are something, which are known to every industry person in -- it is highly competitive. If I increase my prices, I'm sure my competitor would know about it within a matter of minutes. And if I drop the prices, he would also know it probably within a matter of seconds because price drops are conveyed by sales team faster than the price increases. So this is our dilemma which we live through. So if competition also probably acts in that direction, if the direction is there, then probably the price hikes will come faster. If competitors have enough material with them and they don't increase prices, they are comfortable in the comfort zone, the prices will not go up. I'm only waiting for that February should look a little better now after the winter are -- harsh winters are getting over, it should start looking better now.

Roshan Paunikar analyst
#71

Right. Right. Sir, is there any slowdown in the demand in the rural side because that's what we are hearing?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#72

There is a slowdown in demand, no doubt about it.

Roshan Paunikar analyst
#73

Okay. Okay. And second question is on the Gujarat expansion. So you mentioned and you've given some time lines as well. Just one question on that. When will we start the land acquisition or have we already started it?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#74

As I said, till the time I get the environmental clearance, we will not put any CapEx there.

Operator operator
#75

Next question is from Rakesh Vyas from HDFC Mutual Fund.

Rakesh Vyas analyst
#76

A couple of questions from my side. First one is on the fuel essentially. Almost 70% of coal, and I'm presuming that most of it is domestic coal. What we are now seeing is that incrementally e-auction prices are actually continuing to go up month-on-month. So in that context, compared to 3Q numbers, are we likely to see increased cost pressure on fuel side going forward into next 3 to 6 months? Or we are fairly confident that the worst of the fuel cost inflation is behind us?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#77

You wanted -- okay. So I was answering this question of yours. Yes, the fuel on an international basis does not look to be very pleasant. So we should not expect any downside on this that prices will come down. It should -- even if it remains at this price, we should be okay with it.

Rakesh Vyas analyst
#78

But just to get more clarity, sir. I presume a large part of this coal purchases are also through e-auction in domestic side. So I'm just trying to understand, are the prices higher compared to what we have been purchasing in recent past even now?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#79

Yes, prices are on the high side.

Rakesh Vyas analyst
#80

Okay. Okay. Sir, second question is related to the demand, and you just indicated rural demand seems to be slowing down. But I'm just from the point that UP is going through election phase, and generally, we have seen demand settles during such time period. So is this demand slackness largely you would attribute more to the ongoing elections? Or you are seeing this weakness in demand even in your other markets like MP, et cetera, which would generally then reflect a general slowdown in the demand per se?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#81

So the demand in UP will slow down during the times of election because most of the labor contract is not -- contract labor is not available. They go for electioning campaigns, they get some INR 500 per day sitting, doing nothing. So the labor gets diverted. And farm labor, it's getting difficult and difficult now to get construction labor at site as elections get stiffer and stiffer. Once this gets over and the harvest starts, then they are after -- they will go for harvest, okay? So that is the time of March will come fully -- this period will come, then there will be a harvesting period. So it will be a mixed weather -- mixed, what should I say, feeling for cement demand is concerned. But government spendings will go up because they have to spend their budget so that March becomes a very good month for government spending to come up. So whether elections or not elections in the month of March, in terms of demand in Madhya Pradesh, I think it is mostly impacted because of cold weather.

Rakesh Vyas analyst
#82

Sir, just last point on this one. Given that demand still doesn't seems to be bouncing back to the earlier levels of last year, et cetera, how confident we should be as an industry to pass on this cost inflation that we are seeing currently? Because as I'm reading from what you are saying, the cost per se is not likely to come down materially in next 3 to 6 months. And therefore, the only way to improve profitability is largely through these price increases. So in the slow demand environment, how should we look at?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#83

There is an option today. If my fuel cost and everything is -- the coal is the same, sort of pet coke supply is the same, it is the cost of every company is the same, okay? If I'm able to operate my kiln at [indiscernible] will -- others will also be able to operate at [indiscernible]. This is a cost -- the cost advantage is not there with anybody. One fine morning, you wake up and say enough is enough now, it is the water has started -- our nose is going below the water, we have to increase price. That's it.

Operator operator
#84

The next question is from Mudit Agarwal from IIFL Securities.

Mudit Agarwal analyst
#85

Sir, my question is related to the realization. Like despite reduction in the trade mix, our realization has improved. So I just want to know what is the price difference between trade and nontrade market?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#86

So right now, it is -- the last quarter, we have seen differences about INR 700.

Mudit Agarwal analyst
#87

Okay. And so the realization improvement is largely driven by price hike taken in the month of October. Am I correct?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#88

Yes, yes, you're right.

Mudit Agarwal analyst
#89

Okay. And the second question is, sir, on the fuel side. Sir, what is the per thousand retail cost of domestic coal versus imported coal or pet coke?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#90

I can tell you for gigajoule costs for coal right now. Coal is costing somewhere around 9,200-odd. And pet coke on the same side is about 20,500-odd, which is -- it translates into INR 2.6 per gigajoule would be pet coke and INR 1.95, almost INR 2 will be coal per gigajoule.

Mudit Agarwal analyst
#91

Coal is -- the domestical coal, correct?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#92

Yes. Coal is cheaper. 70% we have switched over. But see, again, it's a -- this is a -- it's a technical process. If you reduce total coal, pet coke also, it will have an impact on quality matters, okay? Then the other costs are there. We have to look at other costs also. Grindability costs and all those things come into play. So we have the mix and blend. We have to look at how do we create a recipe based on the final product cost.

Operator operator
#93

Next question is from Nishant Bagrecha from InCred Capital.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#94

Most of my questions have been answered. Just 2, 3 data points. So what was the power mix in terms of grid power, thermal power and green power? I mean grid and nongrid during the quarter?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#95

Green power was about 20% in the quarter.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#96

Grid power?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#97

Green power.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#98

Grid, grid. Grid power and nongrid.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#99

Grid and non-grid you're talking.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#100

Yes.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#101

Grid is 32%. And the grid is 68%. So almost we can say 1/3 is the outside power, and 2/3 is the -- from the state grid.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#102

Okay. Okay. And secondly, if I missed out if you have mentioned what type of coal inventory you normally have and what is it currently, if you can just highlight on that?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#103

Normally, it is about 25 to 30 days.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#104

25 to 30 days. Okay. And lastly, what was the lead distance is during the quarter?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#105

Lead is about 360-odd. Yes, 360-odd.

Nishant Bagrecha analyst
#106

Okay. Same as last quarter. Okay.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#107

350 you can say.

Operator operator
#108

Next question is from Uttam Kumar Srimal from Axis Securities.

Uttam Srimal analyst
#109

Sir, my question relates to your volume guidance for FY '23. So what kind of volume guidance that can you give for FY '23 seeing the current demand situation?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#110

A little difficult question you have asked. Although we have made a very aggressive plan for the calendar year '22, for the financial year '23 also, which right now, I am not able to comment very clearly because the January month was like, I would say, I was expecting January should blast, but it did not happen. But February seems to be okay, hopefully, let's see. 10% -- 9%, as I said, GDP is growing at 9%. I think 9% is a safe bet to believe that 9% the industry will do.

Uttam Srimal analyst
#111

Okay. And sir, this quarter, our gate sale has come down to 77% because last quarter, it was around 83%. So what was the basic reason for coming down the sale? Because of lower volume or we have sold more in nontrade sales?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#112

[Foreign Language] Total lower volume, there the volume took a beating. When the retail goes down, you have to fall back on nontrade.

Operator operator
#113

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from [ Peter Agnew ] from Sharekhan Wealth Management.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#114

Just to know what is the current production capacity? And what can we expect it to be in the FY '23 and FY '24?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#115

Current capacity is 6.25 million tonnes for us. And we have -- we hope that we should be able to operate at close to about 80% utilization.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#116

Okay. And the new capacity which is expected through debottling in the next 2 years also will be in that range only?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#117

Around that range.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#118

Sir, then -- finally, sir, the demand -- you mentioned about demand and input cost pressure this quarter. You have explained in detail. But just in one line, do you think this is likely to persist for how many more quarters?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#119

I did not get your question.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#120

Sir, you have elaborated of low demand and input cost pressure faced by you and the cement industry. So this particular trend, how many more quarters do you think will drag on?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#121

Okay. I think the cost pressures will remain. As of now, I don't see things today will ease out. At least in the first -- coming next 6 months to 8 months, I don't see any relief from this cost pressure.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#122

And sir, this again, qualitatively, sir, every budget has a push on infrastructure. So this particular has been ambitious of most famously the 25,000 kilometers highway and other such road-related infra is usually the demand driver for cement industry. But a few months back, some people from the Ministry in Delhi have made statements like the cement industry is cartelizing and we don't like it, so we may not favor it. So should we -- is this -- so will the cement industry get a good benefit out of these high road infra projects or not as much, sir?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#123

I think it is very unfortunate that everybody says cement cartels cement. It is very unfortunate, okay? Today, you look at my cement -- today cement prices -- average cement prices in some of the markets are at prices which were running in 2015 and '16. Okay. There is no inflation in cement prices. Where is -- today, cement has been selling in Bhopal at INR 320 for the last 5, 6 years. Where is it -- if that would have been there, today cement should be selling at INR 500-plus a bag. It is very unfortunate that we talk about this industry -- about it. But I don't -- this industry deserves after having put in such huge amount of CapEx and things like that. I would say that cement should -- it is my endeavor to see to it that my -- you look at your -- you invested in our company. What were the margins 20 years back -- EBITDA margins were 20 years back? And today, what are they? If there is cartelization, then this [indiscernible] should have been sold up. Somebody should do the industry advocacy properly.

Operator operator
#124

Due to time constants, we'll be taking our last question from the line of Kamlesh Bagmar from Prabhudas Lilladher.

Kamlesh Bagmar analyst
#125

Yes, sir. Sir, like just referring to the last quarter's con call, like we very upbeat that we will increase the prices by INR 50, INR 60-odd. But what we see and even not for -- particular for the quarter because it would be impacted by the rainfalls and festive season. But even if we see Jan, Feb till like yesterday, the prices have yet not picked up in your key markets like, say, Lucknow, Kanpur or Bhopal markets. So what are the reasons for that? .

Jamshed Cooper executive
#126

[indiscernible] are smaller, they are not visible on the surface. But if you look at the retail selling prices on a ground level, there is marginal improvement. So news media will never -- should never tell you that the prices have increased by INR 2 or INR 5, okay? They want to hear news of that in Tamil Nadu price goes up by INR 70. God, I don't know how can INR 70 go up, I don't know, in 1 day. And you go to buy a cement at INR 70, it will not sell. But media requires this sort of impetus, so you don't get to come to know. But if you will see the balance sheet of the company, that they will start showing business growing steadily.

Kamlesh Bagmar analyst
#127

No, sir. Like we don't refer to the media news. So I want like say -- if we see the last quarter, we had seen hardly around 1.8% quarter-over-quarter movement or increase in the realizations. And even if we, let's say, see this particular month or quarter, the increase would not be more than even, say, 1% to 2% quarter-on-quarter. And given the fact that the way the cost is increasing, so where is the issue, sir? Because even if you see last 3 years, the way the realizations have moved for us that has been hardly around 1% to 2% as against the inflation of roughly around 10% to 12%.

Jamshed Cooper executive
#128

This is the case [indiscernible] excess capacity.

Kamlesh Bagmar analyst
#129

Contrary to that, margins in North market has improved. Gujarat market has improved. West has improved. And given the fact that the way our capacity or market is balanced in terms of numbers...

Jamshed Cooper executive
#130

You must also appreciate that the realization in Central India 3 years -- earlier to -- prior to that used to be the most stable one. So now and the rest of the market adjoining regions were languishing at much lower prices. When the NSR year were -- realization year were about 3,300 -- 3,200, 3,300 in neighboring places, they were less than 2,400, 2,500. So they have made up a little bit. Central India has not been able to move because of the large -- ingress of materials which have started coming from the neighboring states.

Kamlesh Bagmar analyst
#131

So then by that logic, can we infer that these margins will not move beyond like, say, in best case, INR 900 per tonne?

Jamshed Cooper executive
#132

It Is a relative term, okay? When people get better margins in their home markets, they won't like to come here because for them, these are very distant markets. So when they stop coming to these markets, these prices will look up. And you have to wait for that. But anyway, nevertheless, you [indiscernible] HeidelbergCement wants to be, it wants to be in a premium product category. It wants its price to be in the A category price segment. It wants to sell at a volume, which is reasonably priced, and it gets a good return on its investment. So that is our thesis, the fundamentals on which we work. That's why you see our nontrade fraction is very low. We don't want to burn money. Ultimately, one fine morning, it is not going to help the industry, neither us, neither the investor.

Operator operator
#133

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I now hand the floor back to Mr. Vaibhav Agarwal for closing comments. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Vaibhav Agarwal analyst
#134

Yes. Thank you, Aman. On behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, we'd like to thank the management of HeidelbergCement for the call and many thanks for participating on the call. Thank you very much, sir. Aman, you may now conclude the call. Thank you.

Operator operator
#135

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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