Home / Transcripts / Kiri Industries Limited (532967) · August 11, 2025

Kiri Industries Limited (532967) Earnings Call Transcript

August 11, 2025

BSE IN Materials Chemicals earnings 57 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Kiri Industries Limited Q1 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Valorem Advisors. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Nupur Jainkunia from Valorem Advisors. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.

Nupur Jainkunia attendee
#2

Thank you. Good evening, everyone, and a warm welcome to you all. My name is Nupur Jainkunia from Valorem Advisors. We represent the Investor Relations of Kiri Industries Limited. On behalf of the company, I would like to thank you all for participating in the company's earnings conference call for the first quarter of the financial year 2026. Before we begin, I would like to mention a short cautionary statement. Some of the statements made in today's earnings call may be forward-looking in nature. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those anticipated. Such statements are based on management's belief as well as assumptions made by the information currently available to the management. Audiences are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decisions. The purpose of today's earnings call is purely to educate and bring awareness about the company's fundamental business and financial quarter under review. I would now like to introduce to the management participating with us in the conference call. We have with us Mr. Manish Kiri, Chairman and Managing Director; Mr. Jayesh Hirani, Senior Manager, Accounts and Finance; Mr. Suresh Gondalia, Company Secretary. I would now request Mr. Manish Kiri to give his opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#3

Good evening, everyone, and welcome to the earnings conference call for the first quarter of the financial year 2026. I will begin with a brief overview of our quarter 1 performance, followed by key operational highlights and strategic updates. On a stand-alone basis, in the first quarter of financial year 2026, revenue from operations stood at INR 181 crores, reflecting an 8% year-on-year growth. At the EBITDA level, the company recorded profit of INR 17.3 crores EBITDA compared to EBITDA of INR 13.6 crores in the same quarter of the previous year. During the quarter, the company reported a profit after tax of INR 7.2 crores, a significant improvement from loss of INR 1.7 crores in quarter 1 '25. This was primarily due to dividend received from Lonsen Kiri contributing notably to its other income. On a consolidated basis, the revenue from operations for the first quarter stood at INR 202 crores, a growth of about 10% year-on-year basis. At the EBITDA level, the company recorded a profit of INR 18.6 crores compared to EBITDA of INR 14.3 crores in the same quarter of the previous year. Net loss for the quarter before accounting for the share of profit from associates and joint venture stood at INR 51.4 crores compared to the net loss of INR 1.1 crores in quarter 1 FY '25. During the quarter, share of profit of associates and joint venture reported at INR 61.54 crores. On the operational front, in quarter 1 '26, FY '26, the dyes and dyes intermediate industry continued to face headwinds, particularly in reactive dyes, vinyl sulfone and H-acid due to raw materials volatility, especially fluctuating in caustic soda flakes, nitric acid, J acid, tobias acid and many other intermediates prices. While export volumes of reactive dyes improved significantly, driven by recovering global textile demand and lower freight costs, vinyl sulfone and H-acid remained under pressure. Despite these industry challenges, Kiri Industries Limited demonstrated operational resilience by maintaining a strong focus on its core business segments, liquidity management and capital structure. The company continued its efforts in optimizing the product mix, rationalizing costs and enhancing internal efficiencies, staying committed to long-term value creation even amid ongoing macroeconomic pressures. With regards to the DyStar case, following a February 23, 2024 order by the Singapore International Commercial Court for an en-bloc sale of DyStar shares held by Kiri Industries Limited and Senda International Capital Limited, court appointed receivers and Kiri Industries have executed a share purchase agreement with Zhejiang Longsheng Company Limited on May 29, 2025. Under the SPA, the purchaser will acquire 26,23,354 shares of the company held by Kiri and DyStar, representing 37.57% of its paid-up share capital for a base consideration of $676 million. An additional $20.29 million will be paid to cover any shortfall or obligations under the SPA. The final transaction value is subject to adjustments. As per the agreement, the total amount is $696 million to be paid to Kiri. The deal is contingent on customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals. The long stop date for meeting all conditions is October 2, 2025, extendable to November 3, 2025, if agreed by the parties. With that, we can now begin the question-and-answer session. Thank you.

Operator operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from the line of from Yash Dantewadia from Dante Equity. [Audio Gap] As there is no response from the current participant, we will move towards the next question. The next question comes from the line of Vignesh Iyer from Sequent Investments.

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#5

I wanted to understand what is the [ legal ] fees that we paid in this quarter?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#6

You are referring to the legal cost for Singapore case?

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#7

Yes, yes.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#8

Right. So, all put together, including cost and expenses is somewhere around INR 7 crores.

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#9

So we paid around INR 7 crores this quarter, right?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#10

Right. In the quarter, correct. which is relatively lesser than the average quarter. So it's -- it is going down now.

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#11

Right. And I mean, all this legal cost would be recoverable as part of the deal, right?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#12

No, the legal cost which has been awarded to us already will be paid to us, which is part of the recovery that we are getting, part of the amount which has been crystallized. But the cost which we are incurring for the receiver, because this also includes the cost that we are paying to the receiver right now in addition to the legal cost and which these numbers include the receivers payment cost, and all that receiver cost is going to come back to us along with interest at 5.33%. So all the receivers cost is going to come back to us, paid back to us.

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#13

Okay. Okay. And currently, the interest [ outlay ], I mean, has increased to INR 60 crores in this quarter vis-a-vis INR 54 crores that we paid last quarter. So what is the exact cost of borrowings that we are incurring behind this advance that we have received -- I mean, any borrowing that we have taken?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#14

The interest which you see in the consolidated numbers, right, is the interest which has not been paid, but which is accrued on the account of the project loan and the advances that we have taken against the judgment order. So the judgment funding, which we took about $130 million, which is being infused in the project, that interest is being accrued. And the interest along with the principal would be paid as and when DyStar sale proceed is realized, if DyStar sales proceed is realized. So, it is mainly on the account of the advance that we have received for the new project and which has not to do with the operations of the current business, which is for the copper project that we are implementing right now.

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#15

I mean it would be payable, right? It has accrued. The cash outflow has not happened. But once DyStar money comes in, we have to pay this interest, right?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#16

Yes, correct. Yes, correct. So it will be paid when DyStar proceeds are received.

Vignesh Iyer analyst
#17

Okay. And sir, could you give a brief about what is the status of corporate project about the team that has been put in for the operation and management of the project to make it ready for operations? And if you also could share a timeline, like when would be -- the same team can be also part of the call when we can interact with the team?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#18

Right. See, there are significant progresses which has happened. And I will just briefly highlight to you without going into much detail. Number one, the project implementation is on the track. The technology supply agreements have been executed. The project work has already commenced at the site. Orders are being placed to the vendors, to various vendors. And various vendors are being now scrutinized and screened and selected. In addition to that, we have significantly also strengthened the team of the project. So there are many heads have joined in a senior team, and the total team has now increased to almost 25 people. And I think by this quarter, there will be further addition. So the team will increase to at least 40 to 50 people, and this is the project execution team. So, it's strengthening quarter-on-quarter. At some point in time, yes, as we mentioned earlier, there will be a senior management team who would come to answer your questions. And in 2026 onwards, we will implement that. When we see a significant headwind, when we see that the majority orders are placed, and we are in a full phase of having proper and executed timeline, definitely will be updated by the responsible people of copper project.

Operator operator
#19

The next question comes from the line of Vivek Joshi from Bandarpoonch Capital.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#20

Yes. Am I audible, sir?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#21

Yes, go ahead, please.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#22

Yes. I have 2 questions. One, on the balance sheet, we have INR 192 crores that we have given to somebody which was not there in '23 and '24. So whom is that being loan given to?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#23

There is no such loan given to any external party.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#24

No, but it's on the consolidated balance sheet. So it has to be an external party only.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#25

So it must be within -- it is with the group company. It is within the group company. So Indo Asia Copper, Kiri Industries Limited, between the 2 entities. It is intercompany.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#26

No, but it won't come on the consolidated if it was intercompany, sir.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#27

It is...

Vivek Joshi analyst
#28

There's a loan [ lying ] on the consolidated balance sheet in the presentation.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#29

Loans. You mean the advances given, the loan given to someone or you are talking about the bonds within the company?

Vivek Joshi analyst
#30

No, the advances given, that you have loaned somebody.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#31

It's not there, I think. Can you please send an e-mail clarifying this because it's not there? The advances and the loans are within the group companies. There is nothing beyond group companies.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#32

Okay. I'll send an e-mail. My second question is, sir, can you give the capital allocated in the copper project in debt and equity currently? Because there's no mention. So it's quite disturbing to not have any mention of copper project in your press release, in your presentation, as if it just vanished. So I mean, if you can just keep updating on what's happening in the copper project, it will be good.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#33

Sure, sure. We'll be pleased to do so. We'll be pleased to do so. And if that is your suggestion, we will add at least one or 2 pages in our quarterly management note. We'll be pleased to do so. See, there is the -- right now, whatever we are infusing in the copper project is only equity, right? And equity is being infused in Indo Asia Copper Limited, which has been received from Singapore borrowings, correct? So right now, the equity which has been infused, there is no debt which has been infused as of yet. And equity that we are infusing to the extent of $130 million, which is close to INR 1,100 crores, has not been fully exhausted yet. We still continue to deploy that funds. And that deployment would continue till the end of the year till we receive Singapore sales proceeds, the final sale proceeds of DyStar. So everything is being infused as equity, but point well taken, and we will give you the numbers, and we will give you how much has been infused as an equity till date.

Operator operator
#34

The next question comes from the line of Manoj Kumar Bhura from Adinath Financial Services Private Limited.

Manoj Bhura analyst
#35

My question was regarding various visits you have undertaken. You have gone to Odisha, signed MOU with Odisha Chief Minister. You have gone to Brazil with the Prime Minister's business delegation. You have incorporated a new company in China. You have incorporated new company in Cayman Island. We have a subsidiary company in Singapore. So many actions have been taken.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#36

Yes, a lot of actions.

Manoj Bhura analyst
#37

Can you throw some light on all these things?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#38

You should be happy about. So there are...

Manoj Bhura analyst
#39

I'm absolutely thrilled that Manishbhai is moving around the world.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#40

Right. So, see, the Brazil visit was a part of the BRICS delegation where I was participating along with our official delegation which went to Brazil. And it was more of a representing the country. But as you are aware, our team also had a lot of meetings and visits in addition to Brazil with Chile and Peru, where the copper ore and copper concentrate, [ so many ] activities were -- are going on. So the visit was part of the representing country, along with the team of our Prime Minister. At the same time, the team was also busy exploring the sourcing activities in South America. So that was that visit about. Odisha has been quite a good opportunity, which the company has been exploring. Nothing has been finalized yet. But looking at several opportunities and the Odisha government's incentive schemes, it appears that there might be some viable project in another 3 to 5 years which may be able to explore that. So we are trying to explore certain opportunities in Odisha, again, which is part of the Invest Odisha or Utkarsh Odisha, which they have started the campaign for, number two. Number three, recently, I was also part of the delegates for the visit of President...

Manoj Bhura analyst
#41

Right, right. Philippines. Philippines.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#42

Philippines President who visited here. We had a very high-level meeting with them. And we have signed an MOU with Philippines, in presence of Philippines President, participating in investing into mine, a copper mine, along with the government and to sign an offtake agreement to purchase copper ore for our copper plant in India, right? So again, it is part of our entering into and securing our feedstock. Philippines is world's fourth largest copper reserve, and we are making our efforts to secure certain quantity of feedstock from Philippines. So it was part of the discussion with the President, and we were fortunate and lucky enough to have one-on-one meeting with the President and his team, and we could conclude certain future interest with them. Again, once the definitive agreements are signed, once we are able to execute the intentions that we have agreed upon, we will make the announcement when the things become concrete and the official agreements are signed. So these are the part of activities, which include representing country, which includes our interest in copper project and the feedstock and which also includes the future opportunities.

Manoj Bhura analyst
#43

And Manishbhai, regarding this -- the money which we will be receiving very shortly, do you plan to hire some Chief Investment Officer for your company to take care of the money? It is a very highly specialized job.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#44

Right. So we don't need to have Chief Investment Officer, but we have formed a committee, which is the investment committee at the Board level, correct? And we have recently hired a Chief Financial Controller, correct, because certain investments and the decisions will be taken by the Board. And out of this funds which we are receiving post-tax, half of it is going to go as an equity into copper projects. So half of the sales proceeds is already committed as an equity for the future project. So remaining half we will have Board to decide in time to come, but there is no hurry to make a decision for the deployment of those funds.

Manoj Bhura analyst
#45

And regarding financial closure for this -- our copper project, how far we have gone? What is the status of that?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#46

It is in process right now, and we have several in-principle approvals received. And we still hope that by December, or before December, we will have complete financial closure. By the time the equity is realized, the debt would also be tied up.

Manoj Bhura analyst
#47

And the current business -- our dyes business, sir, I have seen that Longsheng and Kiri is doing wonderfully, but Kiri is just lagging behind. What is the reason? And how do we propose to alleviate all those things and correct these things?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#48

See, you will have to look at the things in totality, okay? In that sense, there are 2 factors that you must analyze when you look at our financials. One, Kiri produces not only dyes, but intermediates and basic chemicals, correct? And those intermediates and basic chemicals are supplied to Lonsen Kiri and where the JV Lonsen Kiri produces finished products and sell. So finished products margin is captured through the profit of Lonsen Kiri into Kiri. So you have 2 layers. So one layer is going from Kiri to Lonsen Kiri. And when the finished products are sold from Lonsen Kiri to the external customers, that is where the part of margin is captured, and that is what you see in the consolidated numbers. So when you look at the consolidated numbers, it's a correct picture where we capture the dyes margins of Kiri, integrated dyes margin as well as integrated dyes margins for the sale of dyes of the intermediates of Kiri taking place through Lonsen Kiri. Number two, there are certain chemistries and certain specialty products that is being produced and sold in -- from Lonsen Kiri, which is not being produced and sold at Kiri. So there is a difference in product portfolio. For example, Lonsen Kiri is the only -- has the only indigo manufacturing facility in India, the only plant which produces Indigo in India. So it has certain advantage. Similarly, it produces products with the fluorochemistry which Kiri doesn't. Again, that is a differentiated product, that's a high-end product. And that is where the higher margins are being captured. So these are the 2 factors when you look at the differences between Kiri and Lonsen Kiri.

Manoj Bhura analyst
#49

And going forward, what is our expectation of Kiri standalone?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#50

Kiri standalone, the moment the legal and the receiver cost is going to go away, you will see profit after tax also. You will see positive on that side. And Kiri has been also facing challenges in terms of capacity utilization. Our capacity utilization has been almost 48% in this quarter. And that is the challenging part because we are having too much of capacities not being able to fill for almost 3 years now. So we are trying to change product mix. We are seeing what more products can be added. And the challenges on textile sector has been percolated into challenges for the dyes sector. And that is where we see the shrinkage and the reduction of margin. We are not able to earn enough. The major factor is the lower capacity utilization and also the burden on legal cost. So these are the 2 factors. Once we try to address one of them, you will see improvement in the margins.

Operator operator
#51

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from the line of Nandan Ganatra from Delta.

Nandan Ganatra analyst
#52

Am I audible?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#53

Yes, Nandan bhai.

Nandan Ganatra analyst
#54

My question is, sir, on the last quarter, we have given guidance in our existing dyes business as INR 1,500 crores top line this year. So, do we maintain this guidance?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#55

No, I think it's -- currently we tapered down. We reduced our forecast, in fact, yes. And I'll give you the revised forecast where we are trying to -- annual forecast. So we are not maintaining that currently because the headwind is still continuing, and we see the challenges continuing even the rest of the year. So we would revise it on a stand-alone basis to be close to INR 800 crores to INR 900 crores. And on consolidated basis, right around INR 1,200 crores to INR 1,300 crores. So there is at least 20% reduction in the forecast that we were trying to achieve earlier.

Operator operator
#56

The next question comes from the line of Ankit from Fusion Capital.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#57

I am audible, right?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#58

Yes, Ankit, go ahead.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#59

My question is on the -- our en-bloc sale for DyStar. So as previously discussed, we were on track on 2nd of October, right? So can you throw some light where are we now and on track or not?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#60

So that is still fully on track. And Longsheng is in the process of complying with the condition precedent before closing. And those conditions which they had mentioned in the share purchase agreement, what we have been informed, they are trying their best to get mainly the regulatory approvals from the Chinese government, and which is on track. As far as what we understand, the receiver has been closely following up, and there is a close communication and submission of a lot of information and data going on between the Longsheng and the receiver, which we are not privy to. But as far as the message that we receive is that the approval process is on track and October 2nd is a firm date in which they should be honoring. And if not, then the extendable long stop date is November 3rd. And November 3rd would be the full and the final date. So hopefully, between October 2nd and November 3rd, we should get this concluded.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#61

Okay. And sir, here, this is a deal completion date, right? So receiving the cash would need some additional days? Or is it the same?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#62

No, no, it's the same date. The deal is not complete unless and until we receive money, correct? So it's the date on which the money is transferred to the escrow account of the receiver. So the date -- and then the exchange of shares and the cash will take place. But it is the date on which Longsheng fully pay, 100% payment has been made. That is the date on which the -- the completion date.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#63

Got it. Got it. And sir, my small question on our copper plant. So are we expecting some revenues in FY '26 or we are starting off in FY '27 somewhere?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#64

'27 you will expect revenue. Partial revenue we will start expecting from FY '27. And as I mentioned earlier, from next quarter onwards, we will also keep giving updates in our management note every quarter. So you know the progress and the timeline and also key aspects of the project implementation, we will try to highlight.

Operator operator
#65

The next question comes from the line of Vivek Joshi from Bandarpoonch Capital.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#66

So one question I had is, if the finance was supposed to be -- the project money was needed in tranches only, then why was INR 1,100 crores raised in one go and we are paying so much interest cost on that? That's my one question.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#67

The entire INR 1,100 crores was raised at one go. It was all in one go.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#68

No. But as of now, how much is unutilized, so that we are paying high interest on that? That's what I wanted to know, sir.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#69

Yes, more than half is unutilized. Almost INR 600 crores is unutilized actually.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#70

Okay. And how much is the accrued interest, which has not yet been paid on the balance sheet? I could not find that figure.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#71

Accrued interest. The interest has not been paid at all. So whatever is accrued interest is not required to be paid because the debt is not required to be serviced till the DyStar proceeds are received.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#72

No, no, I understand. But the accrued interest, in the liabilities, under which has it been added? I could not find it. Like is it in the borrowings only it's been added?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#73

One second. It is added to the borrowing.

Vivek Joshi analyst
#74

Okay, sir. So as of now, it's -- INR 1,143 crores consolidated is outstanding?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#75

Yes, correct. That is the outstanding. Exactly right.

Operator operator
#76

The next question comes from the line of Sameer from [indiscernible] Global.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#77

Yes. My question is, suppose Senda doesn't get the approval from Chinese government, what happens finally then?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#78

So then -- if Senda doesn't get approved from the Chinese government and by October 2nd if receiver sees that there is no possibility or there is no certainty, let me put it this way, then this will go to the second bidder.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#79

Okay. And has the second bidder, the valuation been disclosed or in public knowledge?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#80

No, that has not been disclosed. But what we understand from market knowledge, it should be around $1.6 billion.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#81

Okay. And my last question is, suppose it has to go to the second bidder, then it will probably take 6 months more?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#82

No, then 31st of December is a long stop date. So the next bidder needs to complete before 31st December, 2025. So I think the second bidder has also right now been kept into discussion by the receiver. It has not been deactivated.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#83

Okay. But they'll be able to arrange such a big amount of funds within 1 month, you mean to say?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#84

No, the funds and the proof of funds has already been confirmed by the receiver. So access to funds and proof of funds for the second bidder is supposed to be already in place.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#85

Understood. Fine. Last question on this point.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#86

It all depends on the second bidder's regulatory requirement, if there is any. And if it is a private equity investor, it becomes easier rather than a strategic investor.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#87

Right, right. And the last question is, do you think by any chance Senda can object or not agree to have it sold to the second bidder?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#88

No, no, it's not possible at all because they have been given enough chance. They have been chosen as a preferred bidder. They again defaulted, which -- and then there's nothing can be done. There's no -- there's nothing they can do. Nothing they can object about.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#89

So by 31st December, you're hopeful whoever -- first bidder, second bidder, whoever takes it, the deal should be done with by 31st December?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#90

Exactly.

Operator operator
#91

The next question comes from the line of [ Ansh ] from [indiscernible] Ventures.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#92

Yes. So I just wanted to say that, why is it that other mutual funds have not entered Kiri Industries, specifically from India? And secondly, do you see it -- with the copper project in place, do you see this company becoming a 3 or 4 bagger in a few years, even though you cannot specifically talk about how the share itself will go, but considering what you think will happen with the business in the future? And why haven't other mutual funds, et cetera, entered? What would you have to say on that?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#93

Well, the -- if you do little bit research on the future projects and the revenue and the profits it can generate, where we are today and 5 years from now, the numbers would be changed by multiple times, right? So the performance of the company, assuming that the project is implemented successfully, assuming that we are becoming operational by 2027, '28, which are the targets of the company, assuming that this happens, you will see a vast change in terms of its performance and numbers. So that can correlate with the multiple times the valuation it can reach compared to where it is today. That's the valuation part. Now why the mutual funds are not entering, we don't have answer, to be honest with you. Neither we have any knowledge or information given by any mutual fund that why they are not investing in Kiri. So it would be difficult for us to speculate on that unless we have some information from any mutual fund, which we don't at the moment. We do have inquiries from mutual fund. Time to time they ask us for a call or a meeting, and we continue to make our efforts in that direction. So, probably whenever time comes and whenever their criteria and their investment interest matures, they might invest, but it's up to them.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#94

Okay. And just the last question. You said the guidance, you were making it 20% lower, but do you expect this to change coming forward? Or this -- for the next 12 months, you see certain difficulties in the market? Because other chemical companies have....

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#95

Sorry. The reason we have given a lower forecast is because we have taken into consideration several factors. One is, I say, the challenges in the demand and the challenges of textile sectors are continuing. Number two, with the recent tariffs which we have now faced from the U.S., we see that there will be some realignment in terms of exports of dyes from India. Certain countries would become more prominent where the duties and the tariffs are lower and the business will shift from some countries to the other. And that realignment is also going to take at least a couple of quarters. And eventually, the quantum and the size of requirements -- because U.S. is not processing any textiles, leather or to a large extent much paper also, so usage of dyes is vastly in other countries. It's only a matter of realignment of where the export is increasing and where the export is reducing. That realignment might take another 6 months' time. So the realignment as well as the lower demand, both put together, we have given 20% lower forecast, but we don't see it is -- it would be changed for the rest of the year.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#96

Okay. And just one final thing. There was talks of a fertilizer plant as well. Is this along with the copper plant? Or could that begin earlier?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#97

It is along with the copper plant. It's a byproduct of copper production. So, copper smelting produces sulfuric acid, which is converted into phosphoric acid and then from phosphoric acid to phosphatic fertilizers. So it is part of the integrated facility for manufacturing copper and fertilizer both.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#98

Okay. And just a final thing. There was some -- you are -- even though the long stop date is the end of the year, but as far as some market knowledge, the deal should be done by October, right?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#99

Yes, it should be done by October. We all expect that, and looking at the things which are going on track, we haven't seen any hiccup yet. And we have been given repeated confidence by the receiver that the deal is going to get concluded by October 2nd. So let's hope so.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#100

And there was some news in the -- this thing about a prior CEO of the copper unit who had made some drastic claims against Kiri. Could you shed some light on that because I think that...

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#101

Yes. So, I think if you look at the filings of the company to ROC, and there are certain legal notices issued to him, and the reason we had to fire him -- his name was Sanjay Sarkar -- and terminate him was the integrity issue, number one. Number two, mismanagement and misconduct. Number three, misguiding the core management team and not being able to handle the complex situations related to the project. So these are the factors and integrity was one of the main factors. And there were certain incidents which happened, which was discussed at the Board of Indo Asia Copper Limited, and the Board unanimously decided to terminate him. So he was also a Board member as well as the CEO. So not only he was fired as a CEO, he was immediately terminated by calling the Board meeting and then we had to relieve him. So whatever he must have written or he has written is coming from a disgruntled employee who got caught on certain activities and then the actions were taken by the management in the interest of the company and project both. So we need to ensure that we remain on track. We need to ensure that we remain in full budget, within the budget, and we need to ensure that the top team and the CEO, COO, all the high C-level team has -- there has to be having full integrity and trust of the shareholders and the management. So we have taken that decision in the interest of the company.

Operator operator
#102

The next question comes from the line of Yash Dantewadia from Dante Equity.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#103

Am I audible?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#104

Yes Yash bhai..

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#105

So sir, I just had a couple of very important questions. One is, your budget is INR 8,000 crores for the copper plant, as you've stated before. And after tax, I think last con call you clarified to me that you're going to receive post-tax maybe INR 5,500 crores to INR 5,600 crores. So where is the rest of the funding going to come from?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#106

It is coming from debt. So out of INR 5,500 crores that we will have post-tax, we are going to invest about INR 3,000 crores as an equity in the project and remaining INR 5,000 crores is going to come as a debt in the company.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#107

Have you already secured the debt?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#108

Part has already been secured in terms of in-principle sanction letters. Parts are awaited. So we are expecting by the time the equity fully in by October, November, full debt is also going to get tied up or syndicated.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#109

Right. And my next question is regarding your -- location of your copper plant. And basically, if you could just give us some inside -- insight on Stage 1, Stage 2, Stage 3, Stage 4 or whatever, how have you planned it? You said revenue will come by FY '27. What kind of revenue are you expecting by FY '27?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#110

So, the location of the plant, which was your first question, is at Pipavav Port, which is in Amreli District in Gujarat. And the site is pretty close to the port. It is only about 8 kilometers distance from the port. And that's a strategic location which is required for any smelter. Most of the smelters globally are at the port, and we are also at the port. So that's a strategic location. It has facilities connected to highways, connected to railways. And there are other large industries in neighboring areas, too. So it's a strategic location, and that's how the location was selected, right? Then the second part of your question, in what phased manner and how the revenue is going to start, correct?

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#111

Yes.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#112

So FY 2027 in which we would be expecting part of the facility to start, which would include our downstream products, which would include our refinery, and certain part of the plant will start. And that would generate, at least we are expecting, close to INR 12,000 crores of revenue in the first year.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#113

And as far as your capacity utilization scaleup is concerned, when you say FY '27 you'll do INR 12,000 crores, what capacity utilization are you factoring in, in the FY '27 number?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#114

That -- because at that time, full capacity might not be installed. The full capacity would be installed in 2028. But the part capacity would be installed and part capacity would be operational, correct?

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#115

So what number have you factored in, in your INR 12,000 crore guidance? What number you've factored in?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#116

So that is somewhere close to 25% of our capacity. Let me give you a rough number, correct? 25% of the capacity would be operational at that time out of the total capacity. Then 2028, another 50% capacity would be operational. And then 2029, '30, another 25% capacity. All capacity would be installed by 2028, correct? So technically, by 2029, 2030, we should have entire capacity operational, and that would generate more than INR 40,000 crores, INR 45,000 crores of revenue based on the current prices of copper.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#117

And I'm pretty sure you've been following the current copper prices volatility, right, especially in the COMEX market. How do you see this volatility? And how do you think you're going to be able to kind of navigate yourself in this kind of a market where copper prices are falling intraday by 10%, 15% and then going up the same way because of Trump and these kind of, sort of global issues, if I may? Do you have a plan? Throw any light, anything on it?

Operator operator
#118

Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management is disconnected. Please hold while we reconnect them. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for being on hold. The line for the management is reconnected. Thank you, and over to you.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#119

Sorry, the line got disconnected.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#120

No problem. No problem, sir. I hope you got my question.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#121

Yes, I got your question. And your question was pertaining to the volatility in the market.

Yash Dantewadia analyst
#122

Yes.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#123

Yes. So number one, there would be -- and you have seen the short-term volatility has been there and has been there since few years. Some of the U.S. uncertainties have increased that volatility, correct? Now the way the business functions is purely linked with LME, right? And we would be hedging the LME. So there would be a separate team and which is true with every major copper producer, is there is a permanent hedging team. So we would be continuously hedging on daily basis for our sourcing of copper as well as our sales of copper both. So hedging would neutralize the short-term volatility. And on the long-term trajectory, the copper is expected in the next 2 years to touch almost $15,000 a tonne. Now if the long-term trajectory is going to be on a positive direction, that would allow us to have expansion in our margins, that would allow increase in TC/RCs, with treatment charges and refining charges, and that would give opportunities to expand margins in future. But short-term volatility and short-term fluctuations have to be managed by hedging and we'll be capable to do so.

Operator operator
#124

The next question comes from the line of [ Jai Kataria ] from Goldman Sachs.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#125

I just wanted to understand, we are projecting such ambitious revenue numbers. Have you already identified the buyers? Is there a company that produce...

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#126

Yes. For -- see, today, as a country, we are net importer of refined copper and consumer products of copper. So for buyers, it's purely import replacements that -- and you don't need to be worried on the sales side. The most challenging part is the feedstock side, is to secure the copper ore and copper concentrate. Selling in India till we reach 1.8 million tonne of production in India, which is the current consumption, it's all going to be import replacements. And import replacement at domestic sales, there are buyers who line up, in fact. So there is no problem for sale. Everything is being sold in -- at a spot market currently for copper. We could do long-term contract. But if we do long-term contract which are linked with the price, then we might be losing because people would then ask us to bind in terms of -- bind us in terms of prices, which we don't want to do. We would rather sell material at spot and realize better pricing when LME continue to increase gradually in future.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#127

Okay. I had another question. Since we are planning to only invest 50% of the proceeds from our sale of DyStar into the copper plant, have you given any thought about what we plan to do with the rest of the corpus? I know this question has been asked, I think, numerous times in the past 3 or 4 con calls. But have we arrived at any numbers? Or are we just going to sit on it and look for another sector or inorganic opportunity?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#128

Yes. Currently, we are going to sit on it. And it is the common consensus of the Board that we will sit on it and we will look for good opportunities to invest in future, right? So there is no crystallized deployment plan yet. And we would like to have first the cash in and then look at what kind of opportunities come in the market in different sectors, this sector, other sectors. But nothing has been decided yet. We will wait.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#129

Okay. So one -- just last -- one last question. So when would -- when are we planning to have that clarity, sort of like we -- let's say, by October, we have the money. So can we expect in Q3's con call we would have some sort of idea of what we do with the money?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#130

I think post money is in, let us say, by end of the year, right? So October to December quarter, when the funds are in, we should be able to give you clarity during that time.

Operator operator
#131

The next question comes from the line of Saket from [indiscernible]

Unknown Analyst analyst
#132

Am I audible?

Operator operator
#133

Yes.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#134

Just taking a cue from the earlier question. So there was also talks of rewarding the shareholders. So any clarity on that or, like sitting part is -- both or there is some -- like half goes to copper, some portion we have already decided to share with the shareholders who have been waiting for that? So any clarity on that? Or -- and if any decision, by when do we expect any decision on rewarding the shareholders to be made by the Board?

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#135

It would also be in the same quarter when the funds are received. First, the target is to get funds and ensuring that the sale proceeds come in a timely manner, has been decided and confirmed by the receiver. But during the same quarter, we will also deliberate at the Board of Kiri to decide what could be the split of rewarding the shareholders and what could be the portion that we can keep for the future investments. But as repeatedly mentioned in earlier calls that there would be an amount where the shareholders would be rewarded.

Unknown Analyst analyst
#136

So sir, based on, say, earliest possible date, which is, I think, coming as October, so can Q2 be -- Q2 Board meeting can be one of those timelines, the earliest possible? Of course, Q3 is always there in case...

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#137

Yes. Q2 -- we can also make an attempt and try to give clarity in Q2.

Operator operator
#138

Ladies and gentlemen, due to interest of time, that was the last question. I hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Manishbhai Kiri executive
#139

Thank you, all, for participating in this earnings conference call. If you have any further questions or would like to know more about the matters related to the company, please reach out to our Investor Relations managers at Valorem Advisors. Thank you and wishing you all a great day ahead. See you in next quarter. Thank you.

Operator operator
#140

Thank you. On behalf of Valorem Advisors, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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