Home / Transcripts / Molten Ventures Plc (GROW) · June 9, 2026

Molten Ventures Plc (GROW) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 9, 2026

London Stock Exchange GB Financials Capital Markets earnings

What were the key takeaways from Molten Ventures Plc's June 9, 2026 earnings call?

Molten Ventures Plc reported strong financial results for FY 2026, with significant developments that could positively impact the stock. The company achieved a 13% increase in portfolio fair value, signaling a recovery towards venture-type returns. Revenue and earnings specifics were not disclosed, but notable realizations included partial exits in Revolut and ICEYE. Management highlighted a strategic focus on narrowing the share price discount to NAV, which has already improved from GBP 2.57 to a higher level. The company announced a cornerstone investor for its growth fund, indicating progress in scaling third-party capital. Guidance for FY 2027 appears optimistic, with expectations of continued portfolio growth and further realizations.

What topics did Molten Ventures Plc cover?

What were Molten Ventures Plc's June 9, 2026 results?

Molten Ventures Plc is positioned for continued growth, driven by strategic investments in high-potential sectors like AI and space. The narrowing of the share price discount to NAV and expansion of third-party capital are positive indicators for future performance. Investors should watch for further realizations and the impact of AI on portfolio companies as potential catalysts. Risks include market volatility and the pace of pension fund investments into venture capital.

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#1

Right now the market contains 400 unicorns, and that matters quite a bit when we discuss secondaries, since clearly the illiquid portions of the market require liquidity. Given that companies remain private for longer periods, that's a trend we believe we can both gain from and support. Around the world, we're in the middle of this generational shift in technology, and for many years Europe has been a key generator of IP, so the chance for us to put money into these businesses is very profound. The central theme we're going to discuss is these structural shifts that are occurring, and I think that's a very important point, because they aren't cyclical — they're structural — and it has led to recognition of the need for European sovereignty and resilience in its defense, but also in the technology assets that it owns. The underpinning assets, whether that's cloud computing or payment infrastructure, are drawing a lot more focus and a lot more capital into this ecosystem. A structural gap to capital still exists in the market, and that is precisely the space where Molten is investing. At the growth stage, we're thinking sort of 20 million+ tickets.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#2

The aim behind expanding both the PLC balance sheet and our third-party assets is to make sure we can keep serving this segment of the market on a consistent basis. How do we capture these openings? We’ve put together a platform at Molten. There are three investment strategies we run. Direct investing has always sat at the center of our activity—that means Series A—but the larger share of our capital goes to Series B businesses and situations where the route to market is already established. That scaling gap, where larger investment tickets become necessary. We see venture as its own asset class, so even for investment managers taking a pure portfolio view, having some exposure to private companies that perform differently from other parts of a listed portfolio matters, and there is clearly some resilience attached to that. Over the long run, venture has beaten other asset classes. With venture, as we understand, manager dispersion is wide, so placing your capital with a manager that carries a 20-year record through these cycles is, in our view, a strong pitch. We also manage our secondary funds, where, as I said before, we have substantial experience investing in this area of the market.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#3

We've put money into whole funds and acquired those stakes. That happened with Seedcamp across their Fund I and II during 2017 and 2018. The same applies to Earlybird in 2019 with their Fund IV, plus the Digital East Fund. The purpose behind those transactions was really to grant us exposure to important assets we found appealing. Within the Seedcamp portfolio, TransferWise stood out as the primary one, and then in the Earlybird portfolio there was Peak Games, smava, and UiPath. That illustrates the way we assess portfolios — we essentially value the underlying companies and that determines how we price these deals. What we're doing is supplying liquidity to an illiquid segment of the market, and that is the crucial element here. Doing it successfully requires being able to price the assets, but you also need the network to reach the deal flow, and we've consistently had that. We've taken the same approach with individual assets too — Trustpilot is a great illustration, since in 2016 we held 4% of Trustpilot and grew that to 14% by the point of their own IPO, after which we sold down, given it was a public vehicle.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#4

The chance to reach later-stage, highly robust companies whose financials ought to produce returns over a shorter horizon is really compelling to us. With more than 400 unicorns out there right now, we see this as a very deep opportunity. That's the reason we strengthened the team further by bringing in the secondaries group this year, and that group will also be raising third-party capital for this strategy. You'll be seeing more from that team in the market pursuing these opportunities. For us, that should mean more deal flow. A network effect emerges across these three strategies of fund of funds investing — where we put money in at the earliest stages as an LP into funds, gaining visibility into the underlying companies, and we have proprietary deal flow and access, plus the technical expertise of those GPs to draw on that feeds our direct strategy, and that enhances the secondary strategy. I think it matters that when we say platform, we're thinking of these three component parts as being greater than the sum of their individual parts. Just to touch on those strategic priorities we laid out a bit more than a year ago, what I'm proud to say is that as we go through the presentation today, you'll see a significant demonstration of the progress we've made, the execution we've delivered against these priorities.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#5

NAV growth has clearly been a key driver. That showed up in today's results, and also in this morning's ICEYE announcement. On scaling third-party capital, we've been delighted to name a cornerstone investor for our Growth Fund, along with progress on the Molten East Fund. As I said, the secondaries team will grow that capital base through their strategy, and then we'll redeploy our own capital into NAV-accretive uses. I think that's critical for us — really thinking through all those different opportunities we're creating across the strategies, as well as having buybacks of our own shares, which ultimately let us narrow the share price discount to NAV. With that, I'll hand you over to the main event. I'll leave you with Andy to walk through the financial highlights.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#6

Love that — the main event. I don't get called that very often, which is a good thing. Okay. Welcome, everyone. My name is Andrew Zimmermann, and I'm the CFO at Molten. This is now my second of these annual results. Compared with the first one, this year has been even more interesting and active. So, without any further ado, let's get on to that. Too quick. There are three main themes I really wanted to cover. The first one — sorry, the first one is clearly accelerating portfolio fair value growth. That came in at 13% for the year, beginning to pick up a bit after 2023 and 2024, and 2025 to a degree where it started to recover. It's accelerating much more back towards venture-type returns, which is what we want to see in the portfolio as well as long track record. We need to start achieving that in discrete years. Then, obviously, the ICEYE news today is a really good start for FY 2027. We've also maintained strong realizations, which Ben alluded to there in terms of the cycle and being able to recycle into NAV accretive opportunities. Keeping that going has been really important. Again, we've also announced this year that there have been some partial realizations in Revolut, and then also ICEYE today was part of that deal.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#7

To reiterate, we're already on track for this year, and that matters. Last, the subject of reducing the gap between our share price and NAV. Clearly, 12 months ago our share price stood at GBP 2.57, so it has come back substantially since then. Plainly, there is still a considerable distance left to travel. By lifting NAV per share somewhat, we have raised the bar a little higher, and I regard that as a very good thing. Naturally, we would want to see further share price appreciation and to begin closing that NAV gap once more. I will highlight specific items as we proceed. A 13% gross portfolio net fair value movement, clearly far above the earlier 5%. We are genuinely beginning to see that momentum build, driven chiefly by the core, which I will address in more detail shortly. A GBP 60 million FX benefit, which clearly provided support on that front this year too. That comprised close to GBP 300 million of write-ups and roughly GBP 120 million of valuation reductions. Such a net movement is always present, yet it is plainly very encouraging that it has risen so substantially. As a result, our gross portfolio value and net asset value are once more well above where they stood on the 31st of March last year, at GBP 1.5 billion and slightly more than GBP 1.3 billion.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#8

When it comes to cash proceeds from realization, once more, this builds on the prior year, when we had GBP 135 million. We completed full exits in Lyst and Freetrade, followed by partial realizations in Revolut and ICEYE, plus a few other miscellaneous smaller ones. That clearly pushed it forward. One important point to note is that all of them were at or above the holding value, which once again just proves out that our valuations are robust. Out of that cash, we invested GBP 89 million during the year. We welcomed Duel, General Index, PolyModels Hub, and MAIA to the portfolio. We also did follow-ons into some exciting existing portfolio companies of ours, such as Modo and Manna. They are now up in the core. Again, we will come onto that, but with Modo, for example, we led the Series B in that round, which is exactly the space we want to be playing in when it comes to direct investment. We also did a secondary in the Speedinvest Continuation Fund. Again, mentioning that earlier regarding the secondary strategy and investing in the things we think are the most NAV accretive opportunities. To that end, we also did GBP 38 million of share buybacks during the year. Our share price was a little bit lower and the discount was wider.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#9

There's still roughly GBP 4 million remaining from the latest buyback tranches we announced, but right now the discount has narrowed and the price is higher, so other investment opportunities look more NAV accretive to us, and that's where we've been putting money to work. Turning to OpEx, we brought that down year-on-year. Our general and admin expenses came in at just over GBP 24 million, a decrease of 14% versus the prior year. That cost efficiency matters. We don't want it weighing on the return, yet we're still investing in quality. The secondaries team is a good illustration. We're running very efficiently on our platform, while making sure the right people are in place to help us scale and grow that third-party AUM business. As you can see at 0.5%, we're comfortably under our 1% target. Last, we finished the year with GBP 52 million of cash. Clearly, the post year-end proceeds from Revolut aren't reflected in that figure. Since then, roughly another GBP 70 million of exit proceeds has been added. On top of that, there's around GBP 24 million of EIS and VCT cash that hasn't been deployed, plus an undrawn RCF of GBP 60 million.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#10

Our cash position is really strong and solid, and we can seize opportunities as they come up. So we finished the financial year with a NAV per share of GBP 7.60, and that's up 13%. Of course, today's ICEYE news adds roughly another GBP 1.20 per share on top of that. Not in this financial year, clearly, but it's substantial. This is only beginning to demonstrate that our fair value growth is starting to pick up. Through the cycle, we target a 20% return. Our record shows a 26% return, but clearly we can't keep standing up year after year without hitting the 20% and simply talk about the long track record. It's genuinely good to see that starting to spike up. Again, today's ICEYE news by itself is probably about 15% in terms, and that's obviously in FY 2027. With traction from the rest of the portfolio, that should begin accelerating upward, which clearly matters a great deal. Clearly, this is driven by macro tailwinds as well as the company's performance, so some sectors, such as space, AI, and quantum, are really benefiting from that theme of European sovereignty and resilience. Those comps are helping to drive valuations as well as the commercial traction of those companies.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#11

The fair value returns have really been driven by the core, and you can see that of the GBP 1.5 billion in gross portfolio value, nearly GBP 1 billion comes from those core companies. That's about 16 companies, almost 65% of the portfolio value weighting. Obviously, they're the more mature businesses, the real winners, if you like — the Revoluts, Ledger, ICEYE. They're the ones really driving returns and accelerating. That 26% is much more in line with what you'd expect for venture returns, and it's really pleasing to see that coming back, with the biggest companies in the portfolio obviously driving it. A multiple, invested capital of 3.3x. Again, if you factor in the ICEYE news from today, that's closer to 4x. Again, really positive. The rest of the portfolio is what we call the emerging — the ones growing up to become the next version of the core — plus smaller investments, some of them legacy. Then there are the fund investments, which are part of the pipeline Ben alluded to. Performance there was a bit more mixed. The emerging portfolio is obviously the smaller holdings. Quite often they're not as old. The venture model is high risk, high return, so there will be some valuation write-downs as we go along.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#12

Roughly GBP 50 million of that got written down within the emerging portfolio, which spans over 80 companies, though the real driver was three businesses hit by specific events — Robin AI and Schüttflix, a German working capital logistics outfit that simply hasn't quite taken off. The German government has sort of shifted its spending away from construction toward defense, and that company wasn't quite in the right spot. Still, on the whole the traction looks good, and there are some positive companies in there that I'll get to shortly. The fund of funds — our early stage, our seed stage pipeline — delivered a really positive return this year, which is pleasing, since those are the ones that will drive some of the graduation, so to speak, into our emerging portfolio. We lean on those relationships with the fund to fund managers to build and hunt for the next opportunities at Series A and B. The remainder of the portfolio came in positive as well. A good overall return. Slightly negative on the whole, but clearly far outweighed by the core. One pleasing note: Manna and Modo Energy graduated — if that's the right word — out of emerging and into core during the year.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#13

That is genuinely encouraging. At Modo Energy, we spearheaded the Series B, and we developed a very solid conviction about that business. With Manna, we have been investors for quite some time — as you have likely heard me mention repeatedly. It is truly satisfying to watch them begin reaching their inflection points and expanding, and to have us provide capital that helps them graduate into the core. On realizations, once again, that figure now exceeds GBP 250 million from March 2024 onward. Including the Revolut deal, that adds roughly another GBP 70 million, and then there is an ICEYE secondary that is set to take place later in the year, which we have discussed. Once more, our average return across the cycle stands at 15%, comfortably ahead of our 10% target. This ties to the same principle as fair value growth — you want to be hitting that target during the discrete years at this stage. It is really gratifying to see where we stand for 2025 and 2026, followed by a very strong start already in 2027. We feel confident about the progress on that front. That clearly underpins our evergreen model when it comes to producing cash that flows back to the balance sheet for investment in accretive opportunities for our shareholders. And then lastly, the fan. I still believe this remains the clearest way to lay this out, though the scale on the right side is evidently a bit different from the left, since the companies on the left are especially large when it comes to their share of the core.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#14

Revolut clearly has strong commercial momentum. The customer base continues to expand, and it now exceeds 70 million people. Revenue is still increasing at a very rapid pace, and the company is profitable. That stake was valued using commercial marks, and it also gets support from a GBP 75 billion secondary. We're pleased with that. Once more, there's plenty of positive news surrounding it. If you follow the press, it appears they could be moving toward another secondary. Ledger, the crypto hardware wallet software company, enjoys substantial tailwinds in that sector, so its comparables benefited considerably from that. Ledger on its own has been doing very well, with revenue rising nicely; things have perhaps been somewhat quieter given the war in the Middle East right now and people not trading Bitcoin as heavily as before, yet it remains on a very solid growth path. ICEYE — I don't think I need to elaborate much there. It plainly shows exceptional commercial momentum. Very good, and we're extremely pleased with that one. That green investment will now, of course, accelerate enormously. Aircall is intriguing, since it's voice telephony customer relationship software — the sort of thing you'd imagine AI might displace, but in fact they've been acquiring AI companies and integrating it into their offering, really embedding themselves with their customers.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#15

Their focus is on smaller and medium-sized companies, roughly. Over 26,000 clients, with revenue growing 25% a year. In fact, it's a strong illustration of how AI can present an opportunity for such businesses. That one has us quite happy. CoachHub was really the sole write-down in our core portfolio. That's clearly enterprise software. When businesses hit a crunch, coaching perhaps isn't the highest priority, so their growth had slowed considerably. They've carried out a bit of a reorg and a restructure, and they're rebuilding toward growth. Hopefully we'll see that one begin to climb back up. Isar Aerospace — today there was an announcement regarding the new investment round, in which Molten is among the participants. Space again, truly a hot topic. They're benefiting from solid comps in that sector, along with excellent technical progress. Their next launch is actually scheduled for next week. I believe they have their launch window. So keep an eye on that. For them, it's a massive technical milestone. Lastly, I'd like to highlight Riverlane, which I believe is our quantum error correction software one. Again, it shows how we play across the sector — we sit in that middle layer rather than the actual quantum computers, providing the error correction software that works across all of them.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#16

It's been advancing quite well on the technical side and, once more, is getting a real lift from benchmarks, public comp multiples, and plenty of M&A activity in that area. So, overall pleasing — you can see plenty of green on the chart, and that's exactly what we're after. The yellow at the end is Modo and Manna, which represents our investment into them. Again, it's really pleasing to watch them move up into the core. All in all, I'd say FY 2026 has just been a really strong year. Good portfolio growth, NAV per share growth, disciplined realizations once again, and some progress on narrowing the discount — which, clearly, we'll keep working on, obviously, now that NAV sits higher — and then the focus for the current year, which Ben will cover in far more detail, centers on building this third-party platform and really continuing to execute on everything we said we would do. Thank you.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#17

Thank you, Andy. I'll walk through a bit of the portfolio, and one point I want to stress is the way we think about our investment thesis. As everyone knows, we put money to work across four broad sectors: tech, consumer enterprise, hardware, deep tech, and digital health. Those also span a wide set of sub-sectors, so we have domain expertise inside the team for each of them — fintech, cyber, quantum, energy transition, space, crypto and blockchain, and health tech. All of these are structural growth drivers that are disrupting markets around the world, and we believe our investors ought to have exposure to them. Getting that exposure via the public market is nearly impossible for them, at least to the same degree. It's very gratifying today when there's news from a company such as ICEYE, where we've been investors since 2018, and people can begin to see that growth come through as those structural shifts turn into key growth drivers in those sectors. Balance across the portfolio matters a great deal, in our view. When we back these companies, it's with a long-term horizon. Our investments are held on average 8 to 10 years, let's say, and so spreading your investments across those sub-sectors becomes an important feature.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#18

I believe this lets us be more consistent in how we realize assets and more consistent about where those returns will come from, effectively giving a portfolio more shots on goal. Those kinds of structural growth themes that are reshaping our economies are really where we're trying to invest as a venture investor, investing for the upside. The other factor that's relevant to that is, of course, AI. We're seeing a huge amount of disruption in the public markets from AI taking market share from SaaS businesses, or at least the perceived threat. We've done an analysis of our own portfolio to see where that might be disrupted. The work that we've done identifies that actually the majority of our portfolio will have opportunities from AI. We think that the public markets have clearly had a moment where the pendulum swings too far one way and everything gets tarred with the same brush. When you actually look at these underlying companies where they have enterprise SaaS models, quite a few of those businesses will still have resilience in the events where they have critical client relationships, critical infrastructure for those enterprises that they're servicing, but also where they are bringing proprietary data sets.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#19

We apply that same lens to our own portfolio. After having made that investment across those sub-sectors, and especially in the enabling layers of technology, which is where we prefer to invest, it becomes clear that most of our portfolio comes out as a net beneficiary. We anticipate that's 75%. That's the case where AI compounds an advantage a company already has in data, distribution, or workflow. We've put 15% of the portfolio in the category of manageable headwinds. Here there are both opportunities and threats. Andy gave Aircall as a solid example of this, and if those companies respond well, we think that can cement their existing customer relationships. Then the last group, which we view as neutral, is the 8%. Why is it that the winners keep on winning? What is it that compounds in this area? For us, it's those infrastructure layers — for instance, a Thought Machine core banking system, or Form3, which does payment systems, or even something like a Riverlane, which is software spanning all of the quantum layers. AI isn't going to disrupt these. They can bring AI into their development, and so the 0:1 is what we see as being accelerated with AI, but the 1:10 is those governance relationships, those customer relationships.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#20

I think that owning that end-customer relationship, along with all of that critical infrastructure, is going to be a real point of differentiation — both in private markets and in public markets — and we're seeing that play out across our portfolio. I actually believe our portfolio is well-positioned to benefit from this. That approach of investing across sub-sectors, and having infrastructure layers plus enabling layers for technology, is proving very critical right now, and that favors the portfolio we've built. Just touching on a few of the drivers behind that core growth Andy mentioned, over GBP 1 billion in value in the core — or just under GBP 1 billion in value, sorry, in the core — but 2/3 of the portfolio value coming from there. These companies are more mature, and so we're seeing growth slow somewhat, but that forecast growth of 30% is still well above what you'd see in public markets. This is underpinned by strong gross margins, over 70%, and seven of the 17 companies in the core are profitable. It's very pleasing to see that resilience in that group and the continued growth, and that it's driving those gross portfolio value and NAV returns.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#21

Andy already covered the emerging segment in some depth, so I’ll keep this brief, but we’ve provided a little more clarity on the GBP 200 million of direct investments — how those split out by revenue maturity, and also the steadiness of our approach to investing within each of these sub-sector themes. It’s a longer tail of companies, yet more than GBP 200 million of value, plus a further GBP 150 million of value in the fund of funds. That gives people visibility into what sits beneath the core. A great deal of the support these companies receive is where the team will devote much of its time. These are earlier stage businesses in which active management will make a meaningful difference, so we’re working alongside those companies to try to grow them, and also working with them if they won’t become companies that move into the core — to recycle capital and make sure all investors and founders end up with a good outcome. I think we’d all agree that space is having something of a moment in the technology arena. If you consider what’s behind that, our investment thesis with ICEYE rested on the need for commercial constellations of satellites capable of improving the intelligence derived from optical imaging and synthetic aperture radar imaging.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#22

Here, the main advantage of what they've built is being able to capture pictures of Earth even when clouds are in the way or it's dark outside. And now ICEYE is broadening that sensor lineup to add optical imaging as well as the ground-based data stations that make sense of the data. What they've demonstrated is an ability to serve as the preferred supplier for governments, and that is the primary force behind the shift in their revenue growth trajectory. During 2024, they brought in roughly GBP 130 million of revenue. That grew to more than GBP 250 million in the last year. For 2026, the forecast is above GBP 500 million, with expansion beyond GBP 1 billion the following year. Those financial figures are what's pushing up their valuations, along with, naturally, the comparable multiples coming from other space tech companies. The financing round they announced today, at a EUR 10 billion valuation, has clearly lifted our own NAV per share. It isn't often that in the public markets you release numbers that are already out of date, but that's how it goes. It's a positive story. Our NAV of GBP 7.60 has climbed to GBP 8.77, implied by the valuation on that round.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#23

Naturally, we’ll go through our usual steps in September, but this is a very significant increase for us. ICEYE isn’t the sole company we’ve put money into. Isar Aerospace is the German rocket-launch firm. That idea of European sovereignty and NATO sovereignty truly carries through to these businesses. In our view, Isar is the company that can reach orbital launch and provide NATO nations with the capability to launch satellites of their own. There is obviously a bottleneck. We see that reflected in SpaceX’s valuations. SpaceX is currently booked for launches roughly 3 years ahead, and a fairly active secondary market exists for those slots too. If we can help Isar succeed with its later launches and demonstrate repeatable access to orbit, then they will plainly enjoy a strong valuation tailwind alongside that. Then there’s another company we’ve been investing in for many years: a British business called SatVu. Again, it is a satellite company, with low-Earth orbit satellites, but its technology stands apart because it uses thermal imaging. Whether you are a nation-state, a defense organization, or even a commercial organization, having pictures of the Earth and then being able to observe what is occurring through thermal images means you almost need those two component parts aligned.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#24

Our view is that this ecosystem is going to begin consolidating around various sensors that enable data to be acted upon in real time. This is an area that has us quite enthusiastic. By year-end it already represented 9% of our portfolio. Being able to show that each of those sub-sector themes we have been putting money into offers our shareholders strong exposure to exciting trends matters to us. Fintech is another trend we have invested in for a good while. Perhaps it gets discussed somewhat less than before, yet it remains a very powerful growth engine within our portfolio, with Revolut as the biggest holding, naturally. Over the weekend they released news of their own — or rather, it was Bloomberg who put out some news over the weekend that referenced them, not the company itself. Revolut makes up the biggest piece of this 25%, carrying GBP 175 million of fair value, and after the period end we sold down GBP 63 million, though it is still among our largest assets and keeps growing nicely. On the retail consumer side, we put money into a handful of assets. Our thinking was that this market would not be winner-takes-all.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#25

The market opportunity here is really deep. Through the Forward transaction we put money into N26 and Zopa, so we have exposure there. And it's not only about neobank exposure — we also think about how to drive financial inclusion via entities such as Crowdcube, where we've been an investor and board member for many years, plus smava in Germany, a consumer financing company. Then we examined how incumbent banks would have to respond. The crucial competitive differentiator was that neobanks possessed a far cheaper technology stack, letting them engage customers with a superior user experience and a lower cost per customer as well. We put money into Thought Machine, a core banking system that services Tier 1 banks. We also put money into Form3, a payment architecture. Those are excellent illustrations of the payment and core banking infrastructure layers where we favor investing in tech-enabling themes. FintechOS is another illustration. Low-code, no-code banking for other financial institutions, non-bank financial institutions that want to spin up their own financial products. Much of that architecture is what allows some of these consumer-facing products to be driven. Lastly, I'll touch on the outlook for the coming year.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#26

The year has gotten off to a very quick start. The European sovereignty tailwind in the portfolio is something we shouldn't underestimate. As I said, AI is, in my view, a tailwind for the portfolio. There was obviously a stretch when everyone was chasing exposure to pure enterprise SaaS themes. What I think is happening now is that these infrastructure themes — this investment across sub-thematics, which the push for governments to spend more on defense and resilience is backing — are genuinely supporting what we already hold exposure to. After the period end, as we've already noted, the realization in Revolut generates more capital, and that lets us make new investments. A few people have already pointed out that Isar Aerospace announced a new funding round today that we took part in. That is precisely where we want to be backing those core companies as their growth inflects and as they put meaningful investment tickets to work using this capital. We have a cornerstone investor for our Series B fund. Growing that third-party capital is, we believe, very important, so having that cornerstone in place is something we'll share more detail on in the weeks ahead. Getting that third-party capital strategy moving clearly sets us apart as a business — first, through our ability to consistently deliver on high-quality companies, since we have the depth of capital to do so.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#27

On top of that, pushing fees back into the PLC vehicle, which helps offset our cost base. And I think it validates us as an investment team, with that read-across as more capital comes in. Isar's funding round this morning — clearly a fantastic uplift in their valuation. That comes out of their execution as a business. It's real plaudits to them as a company and how they've executed, but also how they've been led by Rafael and had that leadership, which has driven their ambition, and I think they're very much now the number one player in that ecosystem globally and can expand that even further with those defense budgets increasing. On that NAV accretive use of capital point, this is our guiding star for how we think about realizations, how we think about reinvestment, and how we think about share buybacks. We're very much trying to drive that NAV, so announcing today that we've had a further uplift of 15% on the NAV is clearly something we're very happy about. As I mentioned, tailwinds. The capital that will come into this ecosystem will be driven by governments, but it will also be driven by pension funds. We haven't touched on it too much today, but the NAV, sorry, the Mansion House Accord pensions bill that came through Parliament a few weeks ago, and the general kind of momentum that's been there, has been very slow to come, but there is momentum, and we feel that as an entity that has a public market listing, we have the governance, we have a level of relative scale, and we've proven that we can manage co-investment pools of capital.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#28

We believe our Growth Fund looks highly appealing for pension capital, providing exposure to pan-European investments. We are hopeful that we can expand our AUM and asset base even more. With that, I think we will move on to questions from the floor. Thank you, everyone, for attending, for listening, and for following us. It is obviously a moment of great pride for us to be able to come and speak with you about strong delivery and execution.

Operator operator
#29

Thanks a lot, Ben and Andrew. We’ll take questions from the room first, and after that we’ll move to people joining online. If you’re with us virtually, please send your questions in through the platform.

William Larwood analyst
#30

Thanks. This is Will Larwood from Berenberg. I have a couple of questions. Clearly, you're getting a lift from the space exposure this morning — so how are you viewing that sector going forward, especially when it comes to valuations, given that more capital is flowing into that area? The second part of that: you mentioned the three areas you're currently exposed to — are there any other areas within the space theme that you're considering? Then my second question: regarding the exits you've completed with Revolut and ICEYE, GBP 85 million, what should we expect for realizations in FY 2027? The second part of that is that most of your realizations so far have come from secondaries rather than M&A-type trade sales — could you give us a bit more indication of how the exit market is evolving outside of secondaries?

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#31

All right. Perhaps we can take them one at a time. I'll start with the space one. We'll go into a little more detail on the realizations. I think at first, when you get a shift as rapid as the one we've witnessed over what is literally probably 1 year, with governments altering how they behave and capital pouring into a particular sub-sector of technology, it's the incumbent players that stand to gain the most. I think that's what we've seen happen. The incumbent players, such as an ICEYE or an Isar, will then ask themselves how they can capture market value, so their models will evolve over time as well. Last week I was in Finland with the ICEYE team, looking at some of their production plants, but also hearing the strategic updates from the management team. They will add additional sensors onto their capability, and they will also manage that customer relationship to provide them with the intelligence that they need to service their own defense and resilience. We'll see those companies adapting. I think that sense of what their market share can be, how their financials can move alongside that, is really how we think about it from a valuation perspective. Yes, the multiples of comparable public peers have moved, and that's been supportive.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#32

One could say they started from a pretty low base. At that point, it's really about us examining how recurring the revenues are and attempting to foresee the extent to which these businesses are able to grow and scale. When we consider fresh investments in that ecosystem, plenty of companies are emerging. Space is an area where the U.K. is very strong. Take Oxford — it has laboratories, for instance, including labs with a space focus. A great many companies are located at the Harwell campus there. Quite a lot of space technology has already come out of Southampton. It's among those areas where, once you shine a light on it, you come to realize the U.K. is in fact already very strong in these fields. As we have observed, emerging from various laboratories across — in this instance, for ICEYE, Finland — the technology is present. Those companies are going to create, or new companies are going to create, fresh opportunities as well. Once you enter the space ecosystem, all of those adjacent supply chain components are there. In the public markets, I think Filtronic has been a great success as part of the SpaceX supply chain. We will keep monitoring that and thinking about how they can capture market share, very much in the same manner we do for any new investment.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#33

When it comes to realizations, we've been cutting back in places where we can access capital and secondaries. That's simply a sensible way to manage the portfolio, in our view. Roughly 85% of our realizations, I'd say, come via trade sales, and you'll see that in single asset sales. We regularly receive interest in our assets. Sometimes a deal goes through, sometimes it doesn't — the price is wrong or whatever the reason may be. We stay on that same path of actively managing the portfolio. In the core, certainly, you can see close to GBP 1 billion of value, fairly mature companies. We'd expect a few of those to transact. When precisely that happens, what the ideal timing is, we don't know. We had Ledger say it wouldn't go to public markets for an IPO. There were rumors they would, but some of those IPO windows — of course, you understand that better than I do — but some of those IPO windows need to be favorable for those transactions to occur. If it's a pure M&A scenario, it's more about the acquirer, where they stand in their own technology stack, what they're aiming to accomplish with the technology of the company they're bringing in.

Conor Finn analyst
#34

Hi, this is Conor Finn from Barclays. I’ve got a couple as well. First, regarding the capital raising: how much should we expect perhaps over the next 12 months across, say, Molten East, the Growth Fund, and the secondaries? Second, on portfolio construction, obviously you have a diversified approach. Given, say, recent developments, would you be happier running a more concentrated book, say, in future?

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#35

I may address those in the opposite sequence. Take Isar as an illustration, and then the Modo Energy Series B investment — there we are deploying additional capital at a moment when our confidence is high and the company is expanding and scaling up operations. Putting more money into those central businesses at the proper moment is definitely our focus, and that is where I am steering the team. Additional Series B investing, plus increasing our commitments to the winners we already hold. That is definitely the plan. I would prefer to make the portfolio somewhat narrower. We have been pursuing that for the past two years. It is decreasing, yet conceptually, a portfolio of roughly, let's say, 60 companies, 20 of which are the most valuable, and we continue increasing our commitments to those assets as they scale — that is how I would like to proceed. I believe we have achieved some progress on that front during this year, and you will see more of it coming together. Regarding the third-party capital, for the Growth Fund, we consider that, where an average Series B investment in Europe comes to about GBP 20 million, I mean. To assemble a portfolio, you need 10+ assets, so let's say it is 10, 12, 15.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#36

When you're at that 10 to 12 level, you need a portfolio big enough to handle that sort of construction across different assets, and you also need real depth of capital. If each position is GBP 20 million, you're likely looking at a minimum of GBP 200 million just to launch the fund. On top of that, we'd want about 30% set aside for follow-on capital in those companies. My thinking on the fund is GBP 200 million for a first close to get it going, and ideally building it to GBP 300 million+ after that. For a first fund, you could obviously go larger with growth funds, but reaching that level with a first private fund would count as a great success. On the Molten East strategy, my expectation is they'll close at probably sub-EUR 100 million initially, then grow at second closing past EUR 100 million, and that could rise to, say, EUR 150 million. As for the secondary strategy, the target for the first fund is EUR 150 million. The opportunity there runs deep, and I believe it can expand considerably past that level over time. One point I'll keep repeating about private funds: the time horizons are extended.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#37

Raising these simply requires a lot of time. I don't want someone coming to me in September asking, "Where's that GBP 450 million we discussed?" It genuinely does take time, but we'll provide updates on how things are going as we move along, and we're definitely seeing strong momentum in that area.

Operator operator
#38

I think that covers every question from those here in person. Sam, I'll hand things over to you for the online side.

Sam Austrums unknown
#39

Yes, there are a few online. I hope you’re able to hear me clearly.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#40

That's great. Thank you.

Sam Austrums unknown
#41

The first question comes from Matthew Lloyd at BNP. He asks when we would anticipate U.K. pension fund capital being put to work in U.K. VC, and whether we have a view on how large the flows from pension fund money into venture capital might be over the coming five years.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#42

To give a little background here, on the U.K. defined contribution side — the DC side — when the Mansion House Accord was released, the discussion was about GBP 500 billion in assets expanding to GBP 1 trillion by 2030. That gives you a sense of the size of the pool. Then you have to consider what portion of that flows into private markets. The initial signatories were referencing 5%, and that figure rose to 10% across private markets, so not solely on the equity side. Venture will represent a smaller piece, but even now you can see there's an opportunity in the tens of billions coming in, and these funds currently have almost no exposure. The ABI, the Association of British Insurers, surveyed their members, and that percentage climbed from 0.36% to 0.6%. When the target you're discussing is reaching 5%, obviously there's quite a distance still to cover. Momentum does exist. The pension bill has passed through Parliament, and local government pension funds are being amalgamated. They're working to build pools of capital capable of backing the teams with the experience needed to invest in private markets.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#43

The processes are in motion. If they're going to reach their targets by 2030, what might that look like? Clearly, a great deal of work remains, and I think we're beginning to see some movement there, but it's still incredibly slow. When the UK Private Capital surveyed its members, many said, "We're not actually seeing great traction at all." It's still to come, but I believe it will, and I believe it has to, and it's really giving those pension fund members exposure to this growth that we're seeing in the private markets, and also balancing of portfolios across different asset classes. I think there's enough momentum that it will happen.

Sam Austrums unknown
#44

Thanks. Our next question comes from Milosz Papst at Edison Group. "Could you give us a bit more color on the way ICEYE builds out its data platform and the analytical insights it delivers to customers?"

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#45

That's a fair question. Clearly, with those 70 satellites up there, you've got synthetic aperture radar technology, which means images of the Earth can be captured. Then ICEYE provides technology on the ground that lets that data be interpreted, so on a single screen they can see where the satellites sit in geostationary orbit, and after that they're figuring out, sort of, low-Earth orbit. Next, they determine which among those satellites is best suited to capture the images a customer is after. Those images get taken, and AI is used to interpret them. In a case like military buildup, which is a very obvious one, in Finland, where some NATO military exercises were run, it could show the generals exactly, on the battlefield, the military hardware that was building up, what was moving, what wasn't moving, and it could identify what type of equipment they were looking at. Some of those generals came back saying, "We've never had anything with this capability." Warfare is shifting much more toward the visual, on-screen aspects and real-time decision-making, but that's only possible with this technology. The ICEYE technology that lets the customer interpret the data matters just as much as getting the data itself.

Sam Austrums unknown
#46

Thanks. Here's another one from Matthew Lloyd at BNP. He asks, "With ICEYE commercializing so quickly and owning the data itself, are you starting to see investment opportunities in new companies and business models that make use of that data?"

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#47

One thing that stood out to us was that the initial application we backed for ICEYE was commercial in nature, and that application is still going strong, with plenty of opportunity remaining for them in that space. In the case of flooding and fires, they were capturing imagery of the Earth, examining buildings that had been affected, and then selling those data to insurers so claims could be paid out and losses quantified. The Brazilian government, for instance, was also relying on it to track deforestation in the Amazon. There is a whole other range of applications you could apply it to that they are currently exploring. In fact, ICEYE is itself building those products that let customers make sense of the data. Yes, I believe that as additional data comes online, much like what we are observing with AI, the way that data gets interpreted keeps getting more sophisticated, and that is giving rise to new companies building products that enterprises can use.

Sam Austrums unknown
#48

Thanks. We have a couple from Tintin Stormont at Deutsche Numis. The first one asks: which sub-sectors do you especially want to double down on, and could you discuss the investment opportunity set that's available in those sub-sectors-new follow on?

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#49

Sub-sectors, yes. The team is quite focused on — I believe we showed a slide during our Investor Day in February — AI infrastructure, meaning that middle layer which lets data generated by large language models be interpreted with proper governance levels plus the right speed and accuracy, while also considering the enormous cost arising from data usage in AI. There are certain middleware areas, AI infrastructure, that excite them a great deal. We're likewise examining fintech at its next stage, so obviously things such as stablecoins, but also disruption within wealth management. Quite a lot of activity is visible there. And then this theme of critical infrastructure. Everything is AI-enabled — critical infrastructure in digital health, for instance, companies such as Deciphex, which we invested in a few years ago, whether building an AI platform for pathology or, more recently, IMU, where data gets interpreted for immunology and that AI capability is layered on. Much more remains ahead in those areas.

Sam Austrums unknown
#50

Thanks. Tintin's second question is this: "Could you talk us through how you think about the right amount to sell down in assets that you clearly still have belief in and are backing? Would that shift much once you have more third-party AUM?"

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#51

It's a great question, since I think it really opens up how broad the opportunity is with the platform we've built. If we consider portfolio management, first of all, when do we sell down assets? We're weighing, one, what value is being offered today? Is that tomorrow's price today? Could the company go a 2x, 3x return from there? So we think about it in the context of our cost of capital. Then the second layer is thinking about the portfolio's shape and making sure it stays balanced. We're not outsized to one individual asset, and so we become a look-through. We've always managed positions like Revolut in that context. The other lens we're looking at is kind of where our discount to our share, to our NAV is, so the share price discount to NAV. Clearly, if we're doing a drive capital to buybacks, it's the opportunity cost of that capital, where can we use it? There are kind of a few component parts to any of those decisions. As we build out the third-party capital, I think that broadens the opportunity for selling from EG the PLC to create the liquidity to a third party, and we remain the manager of that asset.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#52

So you're generating additional AUM via your own ecosystem. That's something I think will shift across the coming few years. In the same way, when it comes to follow-on into assets, that could be PLC capital if that's what's right for the PLC shareholder, or it could be third-party capital coming into those companies, so we're able to manage the stages and opportunities in a different way.

Sam Austrums unknown
#53

Thanks. We’ve got the last two questions from the webcast, and they’re from Alex Trett at Winterflood. His first one is: “Could you give us more detail or a breakdown regarding what the valuation uplifts were when realizations came in beyond at or above holding value?”

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#54

To me, that sounds like something Andy would ask.

Andrew Zimmermann executive
#55

I believe we disclosed all of those in our RNSs, in terms of what they were. I'd need to go back and verify them. I don't have those figures in front of me right now, but Lyst was a smaller one, at just above 1x, I believe. Freetrade was higher. I can't recall what it was at this point. Then Revolut at 20x, for instance, 21x, so.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#56

The key thing to keep in mind is that our asset valuations are clearly done at fair value. We take them up to the balance sheet date at an appropriate value. Our approach is always to be slow about marking them up, essentially making sure what you see matches the commercial traction, and then we move them down quite quickly. That has been shown over time. When we sell those assets, we sell them at an uplift. For each individual asset, it clearly depends on where we were holding it at the time and whether a strategic premium is being obtained for that asset. Today, we've seen ICEYE move up 200% because it has moved very rapidly, and we'll see that play out in different scenarios. We don't tend to publish an average uplift on the assets because arguably, especially in the view of our auditors, if you're fair valuing them, they should be pretty close to that anyway. Of course, you do get upside surprises in technology like the one we've had this morning.

Sam Austrums unknown
#57

Thanks. Alex has one last question: could you give us any guidance on how today's Isar Series D announcement will affect the portfolio when it comes to GPV and uplift?

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#58

We'll likely release our own statements on that tomorrow. There's obviously a lot of news flow today—Isar's announcement came a bit later in the morning. From our side, it's an investment round, so we're putting capital into the business. That's really just new capital, bringing the cash down and raising the portfolio value. We'll get into that in more detail, but it's more about us doubling down—to go back to Conor's original question—doubling down on companies we believe in, putting more capital to work where we can see that upsized opportunity.

Sam Austrums unknown
#59

Appreciate it. That wraps up the Q&A portion.

Benjamin Wilkinson executive
#60

Excellent. Thanks. Great. Thanks, everyone. I appreciate you spending time with us this morning. There’s a lot happening. We would prefer to sequence our news flow more effectively; that isn’t always within our control — or rather, within our gift — but it is clearly very positive and provides us with a great deal of momentum as we enter the new financial year. Thank you.

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