Home / Transcripts / Nokia Oyj (NOKIA) · March 2, 2020

Nokia Oyj (NOKIA) Earnings Call Transcript

March 2, 2020

FI special 43 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Barry French executive
#1

All right. So let's get started. Thank you all for joining today on such short notice. My name is Barry French. I'm the Chief Marketing Officer of Nokia. I'm at the Nokia Experience Center in Espoo, Finland. And I would like to start by noting that during this Media Conference, we will be making forward-looking statements regarding the future business and financial performance of Nokia and its industry. These statements are predictions that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may, therefore, differ materially from the results we currently expect. We have identified such risks in more detail on our latest annual report on Form 20-F, our Q4 financial report as well as other filings with the SEC. So with that, I am joined today by Risto Siilasmaa, Nokia Board Chair; Sari Baldauf, Nokia Board Chair Nominee; Rajeev Suri, President and CEO of Nokia; and Pekka Lundmark, the President and CEO of Fortum. We are here to discuss the news that Nokia announced earlier today that Pekka will succeed Rajeev as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Nokia later this year. All 4 of the people that I just mentioned will make brief remarks, and then we'll have a Q&A session. Now for that Q&A session, we will take questions both from the room here in Espoo and from people on the webcast. We will prioritize questions from the press as they are the focus of this event. After the Q&A session, we will have a brief photo opportunity. Now before I -- we get started, I just want to make one additional comment. For those with cameras and particularly TV cameras, please make sure you get what you need during the formal event today as we will not be providing availability later for one-on-one interviews. The reason for that is simply, we do not have anything to add beyond the press release and the comments that we will make today. I'm sure we will have more to share in time. But today, we are focused only on what we announced earlier. So with that, let me first turn to Nokia Board Chair, Risto Siilasmaa. Risto?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#2

Thank you, Barry, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. Before I talk about the details of today's announcement, I'd like to take first a step back. As I was thinking about what we are announcing and the 4 of us here, I was struck by the profound impact that Nokia tends to have on people and has definitely had on all of us. All 4 of us have spent significant time with Nokia. Rajeev, for the last 25 years, of which more than the last 10 years as CEO; I for 12 years on the Board, and the last 8 as Chairman; Sari for 22 years, ending in 2005; and Pekka for 10 years, early in his career. We have all left our mark on Nokia, but Nokia has left an even larger mark on us. We 4 stand here united by a deep feeling of caring for this unique company, its values and culture, its many people across the world, and of course, its future. This shared foundation has made it easy for us to work on succession in a flexible and pragmatic way. I will focus my remarks on the succession planning process we have followed, which led us to today's announcement. Sari will then talk about our selection of Pekka, and then both Pekka and Rajeev will have a chance to make some personal remarks. As you can imagine, succession planning has always been a top priority for our Board, one of our core processes. We have worked closely with Rajeev to develop internal candidates. Many of the changes we have made at the GLT level and below have been motivated by the need to ensure some of our future CEO candidates get challenged more broadly in the different business areas of the company. We have also consistently monitored external leaders who could be a compelling fit for Nokia. And Pekka has been one of those leaders on this list for the last several years. Rajeev indicated some time ago that he was considering stepping down from his role at some point in the future, provided a solid succession plan was in place. As a Board, we understood that position taking into account the length of Rajeev's tenure. So we ran a structured meticulous process, assessing both internal and external candidates and ensuring deep engagement from the entire Board of Directors and, of course, Rajeev. We looked at a range of candidates across the globe and gave serious consideration to some of Nokia's excellent internal leaders. For those internal candidates, we decided that now was not the time. However, we do have some truly exceptional talent in the company. The outcome of this process was the decision made earlier today by Nokia's Board of Directors to move forward with the appointment of Pekka Lundmark. Sari will talk more about Pekka. So I will limit my remarks to saying that I'm very happy we can make this announcement today. I have known Pekka for a long time, and I believe that he is a terrific choice. He has my complete confidence. I'm also confident that we will have a smooth transition process. Our plan is that Rajeev will step down as President and CEO on August 31, and Pekka will assume those duties on September 1, 2020. This timing is consistent with our current understanding of Pekka's availability. Both Rajeev and Pekka will work closely together, particularly related to our customers, where they are planning to do a joint outreach in order to enable a seamless handover. The fact that Rajeev has also agreed to serve as an adviser to the Board until January 1, 2021, will further ensure that we make this leadership change without disruption. After he starts, Pekka will, as is normal for a new CEO, have the opportunity to review the company's strategy and make proposals to the Board to adjust it as he sees fit. You may have seen recent speculation in the media that we are assessing strategic options for the company. We do not have any such actions underway. In short, we have worked closely together with Sari over the last year for a smooth handover from me to Sari in April, and we'll have a smooth CEO transition later in the year. Before I hand over to Sari, let me say a few words about Rajeev. Rajeev and I have worked closely together for many years now. We have seen our share of changes of ups and downs for the company. After all of that, I can say 2 things without any doubt in my mind: first, Rajeev has been instrumental in making Nokia one of today's top players in the telecommunications infrastructure sector, a company with both the scale and scope to be a long-term winner. That was anything but a foregone conclusion when he took over as CEO in 2009, but it is the reality today, and it gives Pekka a platform on which to build. Very few companies can go through the kind of radical change that Nokia has been through and emerge as an industry leader, but that is what Nokia has been able to do and it is a testament to Rajeev as a person and as a leader. Second, Rajeev has served the company with honor and distinction. On behalf of the entire Board of Directors, I want to thank him and be clear that he leaves Nokia with our deep respect, appreciation and gratitude. Rajeev, thank you. And with that, let me hand over to Sari.

Sari Baldauf executive
#3

Thank you, Risto. I would like to start by adding my thanks to Rajeev, even though he is not leaving the company quite as yet. Rajeev, we've known each other for a long time, and I have a deep respect for you as a professional and as a human being. I look forward to continuing working with you in the coming months as we focus on implementing our strategy and our plans and ensuring a smooth transition. You have driven some unprecedented changes by leading consolidation in the industry and positioning Nokia for long-term success. You, together with your team, created a company with a scale to be a leader in 5G. You had the vision and courage to embark on a path to diversify into enterprise and software spaces, 2 areas that have significant growth potential for Nokia. You had the long-term insight to see that a broader scope and robust portfolio could help smooth out the sharp cycles of the mobile radio business, a benefit that, I think, will be increasingly clear in years to come. Achievements to be proud of, Rajeev, hats off. Then let me turn to Pekka. Our industry is truly global. It's complex and fast-moving. The search criteria centered around analytical and strategic skills, a track record of solid execution in the role of CEO of listed companies, leadership capabilities in terms of leveraging diversity to build high-performing teams with clear shared direction, industry knowledge and capacity to create trust among customers, our own people, investors and stakeholders -- other stakeholders. Values are the foundational pillars of Nokia and thus, were critical criteria in the search as well. Pekka fits our requirements extremely well, exceptionally well, I would say. He brings what we believe matters in Nokia, a passion for technology and performance, an open and curious mind, determination, all combined with humility, respect for others, responsibility and high integrity. He brings strong business-to-business background as well as understanding of how digitization and connectivity can be utilized to improve productivity. He has experience in dealing with the regulatory and political aspects of running a company, as those are very much prevalent in the energy sector. He brings a passion for innovation and technology, and he has experience in the key markets of North America and China. Pekka lived in California while working previously for Nokia Networks, and led Konecranes, where the United States and China were the 2 largest markets for most of his tenure. He brings a record of delivering for shareholders, of ensuring strategic clarity, operational excellence, excellent team leadership and strong financial performance. He was the unanimous selection of the Nokia Board of Directors, and I am pleased that he made the choice to join us. With that, let's hear from him. Pekka, the floor is yours.

Pekka Lundmark;Incoming President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#4

Thank you very much, Sari. And thanks to both you and Risto for the kind words. I know what Risto means when he talks about something that creates unique bonds to Nokia because I feel that as well. I also recognized that the Nokia I left is not the Nokia of today, and it will certainly not be the Nokia of tomorrow. Before I left Nokia in 2000, I was deep into the world of networks. I spent time as the account manager for the world's first GSM network, which was built not far from here in Finland in 1991. Later, I moved to California, in part to assess how Nokia could take the opportunity -- to take the technology built for telecom operators and use it also for enterprises. So I have some understanding of where Nokia has come from. And as someone who has worked to drive industrial digitalization, particularly in my role as the CEO of Konecranes, I have a good view of where it is going. I know telecom operators and I know enterprises in several industry verticals, and both will be essential to really tapping the full potential of 5G. Telecom operators, Nokia's largest customers today, are facing all kinds of challenges from margin pressure to technology shifts to competitive threats and more. And I want to be sure, Nokia remains with them every step of the way. Our mutual relationships run long and deep, and I want to work with everyone in Nokia to ensure that this continues. As the current CEO of an energy company and former CEO of a material handling company, I have seen firsthand the power of industrial digitalization. While I want to reserve any judgment on Nokia's strategy for the appropriate time, I have no doubt that there is opportunity for us and for our operator customers as enterprises go digital. Then turning to my regional experience. As a Fin, of course, I know Europe well. But in the recent years, I have expanded that into new European markets. And on top of that, I earlier lived and worked for many years in the United States, including for Nokia, as I just mentioned, and most recently, actually helped Fortum launch a new venture capital entity based in California in order to target new energy technology opportunities. As CEO of Konecranes, I also moved my own office to Asia for a couple of years as that's where most of the growth potential was. Additionally, I have extensive experience in China and, as Sari noted, it was the largest single market for Konecranes after the United States during my tenure as CEO. I have a deep appreciation for the transformation of China into a global technology powerhouse. I hope this helps you understand why I believe the Nokia Board sees me as a good fit for Nokia. But now let me flip this around a bit and talk for a moment about why I thought Nokia was right for me. Three simple reasons: values, innovation and opportunity. As both Sari and Risto have suggested, Nokia puts its values at its core: respect, humility, a drive for results, a desire to win and win in the right way with high ethical standards, a passion to create new technology. Innovation is also core to Nokia. Even from afar, I have watched new 5G deals being won and new 5G -- new live 5G networks being launched despite the company's acknowledgment of near-term product challenges. I have watched in recent months as the company has launched new products in routing, software, optical and others that are based on some unique and powerful innovation. And finally, opportunity. The world is going digital. Our telecom operator partners need us to be with them and be strong. Every business everywhere needs to become more and more connected. And with its mission to create the technology to connect the world, Nokia is a great place to be. I know I have a lot to do; a lot of people to meet, employees, customers, shareholders and more; and a lot to learn in the coming months. I look forward to getting started. With that, Rajeev, let me thank you for all your support. I'm greatly looking forward to working closely with you as we transition. And the floor is yours.

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#5

Thank you, Pekka, for those comments, and thank you, Risto and Sari, for your very kind words. It has been an honor to serve Nokia these many years. It is a lot to take in today, and I leave Nokia knowing that I'm ready to do something new after more than a decade in a CEO role and 2.5 decades with the company. So it is the right time for me to step aside. Nokia will always, always be a part of me and hold a place of fondness in my heart. But there is a time for change for everyone, and that time for me is in the months ahead. I'm proud that during my time as CEO, Nokia has become the world's #2 player in telecommunications infrastructure growing from a #4 position, that we have successfully extended our portfolio into software and enterprise, that we have 68 5G wins and launched 19 5G networks and over 130 private wireless networks, that we significantly grew our highly profitable patent licensing activities into a robust, sustainable business. These are changes that position Nokia well for the future. Sure, we've had our share of ups and downs, but Nokia has been around for more than 150 years, and I leave knowing that there is the potential for 150 more. Ultimately, I'm most proud that when it comes to our mission to create the technology to connect the world, we have delivered. The world is a better, a more connected and a more sustainable place based on the work that we have done and the technologies that we have delivered. I have committed to be available as President and CEO until August 31, 2020, and then continue as an adviser to the Board until January 1, 2021, to enable a seamless transition. But that, of course, means that my work is not yet done, and I will continue to focus on delivering improved business performance to put us in a stronger position at the start of 2021. So no slowing down. Pekka, I'm looking forward to working with you in the months to come. With that, Barry, back to you.

Barry French executive
#6

Terrific. Okay. Thank you, Rajeev. We will now turn to the Q&A session. We'll be taking some questions from the audience and some from the webcast. Now for those in the audience, please raise your hand and a microphone will be brought to you. I already see hands going up. Please state your name and the outlet that you represent before asking your question. For those joining via the webcast, please note you must include your name and outlet for your question to be considered. It would also be helpful if you want to target your question to a specific individual that you make that clear. We will be taking questions in English, Finnish and Swedish today. I hope you can appreciate that not all of our speakers speak all those language. So if you do ask in Finnish or Swedish, I would ask you to also repeat the question in English so that our entire panel understands what's been asked. If that's not possible, I will ask one of our team members to translate. As I mentioned from the start, we will focus on questions from journalists. So let me dive straight in. Do we have a question from the floor? Go right in front here.

Anni Lassila;Helsingin Sanomat attendee
#7

Anni Lassila from newspaper Helsingin Sanomat. I have a question for Pekka Lundmark. One could say that you're leaving Fortum at a sort of challenging time. Now they have lots of challenges with their Uniper affairs in Germany, how do you see that? And do you think that you're sort of getting an easier position in Nokia? And then I have one question for Sari Baldauf. It seems like Nokia is becoming a more Finnish company now or gradually. I think that's something that it shouldn't be said, but that's what it looks like. Is that true? Or is there some sort of cultural considerations behind that notion?

Barry French executive
#8

So Pekka, you first, please.

Pekka Lundmark;Incoming President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#9

Okay. Yes. Well, first of all, I'm not looking for an easier position. That's definitely not the case. The timing for this type of a change is never optimal. We have been through a long and successful journey at Fortum. Now the Uniper deal is actually entering a new phase where Fortum is becoming clearly a majority owner. And that means that a new era is entering in the -- is starting in the development of that company. So from that point of view, this is a natural time to do a transition. But as I said, it's never optimal.

Sari Baldauf executive
#10

And to your question about whether Nokia is becoming a more Finnish company, no. Nokia is truly global company and this search was a global search and it included globally internal and external people. And based on that search, we believe that we chose the best possible person for the job at this point in time. For Nokia, definitely. So the markets like United States and China are extremely important. We have a lot of people there. Basically if I count correctly, I think 6 out of the GLT, the leadership team members are in the United States, 2 of the business groups are led from there. So don't read into that. This is not about nationality. This is about competence.

Barry French executive
#11

Okay. Let's go ahead. I think Reuters is here, yes?

Anna Gordon;Reuters attendee
#12

Anna Gordon on for Reuters News. She just said here that you're leaving -- Lundmark is leaving Fortum at a critical time, but we could also say that it's a critical time for Nokia after profit warning, after losing some of your share price. So how serious would you say that these problems are now? You said that you're not considering strategic options, but what are the first issues that you need to address?

Barry French executive
#13

Risto, do you want to comment briefly on that? Or Rajeev, do you want to take it in terms of the issues we have to address?

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#14

You start.

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#15

Who did you want answering your question?

Anna Gordon;Reuters attendee
#16

I'm not actually sure whichever one of you is the best person to answer.

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#17

Well, we are very convinced that our broad product portfolio is a good choice. We also believe that our expansion into software and enterprise are the right way to go. And therefore, we are not currently working on any strategic reassessment. But of course, we expect the new CEO to do his review of our strategy, and he may propose changes to that strategy to the Board in due course. But maybe, Rajeev, you want to say a few words about our current business.

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#18

Well, as we said, when we closed Q4, we expect that based on the guidance that we gave at the time, that this would -- all things being equal, if we execute well, this would be a better year than last year, and then we've given long-term guidance also of 12% to 14% operating margin. I do think that our broad portfolio has enabled us to go to new places. We would not have been in the software business opportunity where we expanded margins quite significantly in the last year compared to 2018 and also in the enterprise opportunity. For me, 5G is certainly about consumer and massive consumer broadband, but the reality is it's also about enterprises as, Pekka, you also talked about an industrial digitalization. So the portfolio helps us do that. And I want to also repeat what I've been saying a lot that 5G is a complete change in network architecture. And so there is a virtuous cycle of 5G that requires updating of multiple domains, and that goes from radio, which is what we're experiencing now, but also transport, i.e., IP routing and optical, and then core networks and then software platforms that tie into all of these and then fixed wireless access as well as enterprise 5G. So I think the strategy is a sound one. But of course, Pekka will have a look.

Pekka Lundmark;Incoming President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#19

And if I continue from my point of view, it's clearly -- it would be premature to comment. I recognize the good work that has been done as well as the challenges that the company has also quite openly acknowledged, and I will now have an opportunity to review the strategy. I'm not coming in with any foregone conclusions regarding that one.

Barry French executive
#20

So let me -- I will take one from the webcast, and then we'll go, I think, here in the back row. But Richard Milne from the Financial Times to Risto and Sari, but Risto, why don't you go first? I mean how concerned is the Board by Nokia's recent performance, including the profit warning? Are changes in strategy needed?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#21

Well, it's not all doom and gloom. We had a strong Q4. While we have challenge in -- challenges in Mobile Access, we also have businesses that are performing very well. And the challenges in Mobile Access, especially as they're related to silicon, are being gradually fixed throughout this year. And we believe that we will enter next year from a much stronger position.

Barry French executive
#22

Okay. Let's go back in the room here.

Unknown Attendee attendee
#23

[ Antonia Veriente ], Uutiset. I need some answers in Finnish, please, for our news, but -- so Pekka Lundmark and everyone else who wants to answer. You said that you can't comment so much, but I would like to hear what you think are the biggest challenges and how you would get Nokia to become even bigger, please, in Finnish.

Pekka Lundmark;Incoming President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#24

Yes. Thank you. I will answer in Finnish. [Foreign Language]

Barry French executive
#25

Okay. Let's go to another one back row here and then we'll come to the front to over here.

Magnus Hertzberg;Yle attendee
#26

Okay. My name is Magnus Hertzberg from Yle, a broadcasting company. I ask in Swedish, but I can start in English. My question goes to Pekka Lundmark. There are some similarities between Fortum and Nokia. You have a lot to do with politician and decision-makers in politics. How do you look to that challenge? [Foreign Language]

Pekka Lundmark;Incoming President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#27

[Foreign Language]

Barry French executive
#28

Okay. Let me take 1 or 2 from the webcast, and then we'll come back to the room. So Risto, for you, Alex Webb from Bloomberg Opinion. Can you please talk through the timing of this move? And why is now the right time for a change?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#29

Well, you see a succession process that we have run over the last several years has been done in very close cooperation with Rajeev, who very understandably so let us know that he wants to step down at some point in time. And of course, Nokia asks a lot of its people. So in this case, we asked Rajeev to be very flexible as regards to the timing, then he supported the Board in allowing us to pick the right time when we have the right candidate, and that right time was today. And this morning, we have decided to appoint Pekka Lundmark as the next CEO.

Barry French executive
#30

Terrific. Risto, thank you. Let's go -- let's -- first in the very end, and then we'll just hand the microphone over.

Janne Toivonen;Yle attendee
#31

Janne Toivonen, Finnish national broadcasting company, Yle. I would like to ask Mr. Siilasmaa and Ms. Baldauf. You're having a double team in quite a big part of this year still, and we are living in the middle of a boiling 5G race. Is it possible to sharpen the actions when it comes to -- in this 5G race during this time of this double-teaming or are we waiting for a fresh start later this year?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#32

Well, we definitely don't have time to stop. We need to run as fast as we can, and we have done that. And with Sari, over the last year, we have been working hand-in-hand from meeting to meeting, and I personally have felt that 4 eyes see more than 2 and 2 brains get more ideas than just 1. So it has been useful. It has not slowed us down. It has actually speeded us up. And I know that Rajeev and the GLT, they do everything possible fighting for new opportunities, fighting for our customers and absolutely, we will not slow down.

Sari Baldauf executive
#33

I basically have nothing to add. Just concur. That's how it has been. And like also I think Rajeev was pointing out in his remarks, that there is not going to be any slowing down.

Barry French executive
#34

So I will -- I'll take one from the webcast, and then I'll go here and then I'll go over here. So Rajeev, from HSS Media, do you feel that your job ended at the right time? Or is Nokia in the position you hoped for?

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#35

Well, I started in Nokia Siemens Networks as the CEO on 1st October 2009. At that point, we had EUR 28 million non-IFRS operating profit for the full year and we were #4. And though, I have to say, I'm not entirely satisfied with last year, but we still had EUR 2 billion compared to that EUR 28 million. I finished 25 years with the company. I joined when I was 27. And I've given a lot of my life to this company and richly so, and the company has given me a lot as well. And then this is my 11th year as CEO of the Networks business. So is there an optimal time? There never is. But then, isn't this an optimal time after finishing a quarter-century with the company and more than 10 years as CEO? And I think that I fully agree with what Risto and Sari have said. This is going to be an orderly transition. And so we have planned it as an orderly transition. And I'm very, very loyal to the company, so we should expect no slowing down, not for me and not from my team. In fact, Pekka and I will talk frequently, do a joint customer outreach. There is no question of switching off from me or slowing down. That would be the last thing on my mind.

Barry French executive
#36

Okay. Let's go over here.

Tuomas Savonen;Tuomas Savonen STT attendee
#37

Tuomas Savonen from Finnish News Agency STT. I have 2 brief questions to Mr. Suri and Siilasmaa. First of all, how would you describe the role of the alleged problems with the 5G technology in these 2 leadership changes you are now having in Nokia? And secondly, Bloomberg last week speculated on the fusion between Nokia and Ericsson. So how would you comment on that?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#38

Great. Well, starting with the rumors. We don't comment on rumors. But I already said that we are not evaluating such strategic options at the moment. And the new CEO after coming in will do his normal review on our strategy and may then propose changes to the Board. But at the moment, we have no such actions underway.

Barry French executive
#39

And Risto, the question, the role of kind of 5G and the challenges that we had there and impact on the transition we're making now?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#40

I was trying to ignore that question. The -- both processes, both the Chairman succession process as well as the CEO succession process, have been underway for quite some time, and they have not been related to any recent events.

Barry French executive
#41

Okay. Let's go over here.

Markus Ekholm;Yle attendee
#42

Markus Ekholm, Finnish Broadcasting Company, Svenska Yle. I have 3 questions. The first to Risto. Why are you switching CEO at this moment? The second to Sari, why Pekka? And the third to Pekka, what are the changes that you would like to drive in Nokia? And please in Swedish.

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#43

So first, why are we changing CEOs. Rajeev has really given his life to...

Markus Ekholm;Yle attendee
#44

Swedish, please?

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#45

I think I will answer in English.

Markus Ekholm;Yle attendee
#46

Okay.

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#47

So Rajeev has given his life to Nokia over 25 years. And when he tells us that he still wants to do something else, he is still a young man, we have to respect that and we have to support him as he has supported and given so much to the company. And as I said earlier, we also ask a lot from our people. So we asked him to stay in the company until we have the right successor. And then we have run a robust process to look for both internal and external candidates. And today, we have appointed Pekka. Sari?

Barry French executive
#48

Sari, why Pekka?

Sari Baldauf executive
#49

[Foreign Language] So it will be in English. Pekka will cover for both of Risto and I for Svenska.

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#50

He can add many, many words very quickly, so...

Sari Baldauf executive
#51

Yes. Well, as I indicated earlier, this was a global search, and I tried to also explain the criteria that we had for this search. And basically, we were looking for someone who has a strong analytical head and strategic skills, who has CEO experience, track record of being successful. A CEO has industry knowledge, has the capability to create trust, has been delivering shareholder value. And among the sort of candidates that we gone through, Pekka is the best and fits this criteria. In addition, like we also tried to emphasize, we put a lot of importance on values and then Pekka is a perfect fit with Nokia values. So that's why Pekka.

Barry French executive
#52

Pekka?

Pekka Lundmark;Incoming President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#53

[Foreign Language]

Barry French executive
#54

Let me look in the room, any additional hands in the room?

Sari Baldauf executive
#55

There is one in that corner. Yes.

Barry French executive
#56

Wait. Yes. And then we'll go from there to there.

Kati Pohjanpalo;Bloomberg News attendee
#57

Kati Pohjanpalo from Bloomberg News. You talk a lot about the 5G race being fast-paced and you having no time to slow down. What I wanted to ask is, are you confident in your direction? Because it sounds like shareholders will have to wait for 6 months to find out whether you're running for the right goal as it were.

Barry French executive
#58

Rajeev, do you want to take that one in terms of 5G status?

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#59

Yes. I think we talked about some of the near-term product challenges, but we also gave some operational key performance indicators with the Q4 results. And we said that we expect the percentage of system-on-chip as part of our 5G product portfolio to be at about more than 35% by the end of this year and more than -- around 70% by the end of next year and then about close to 100%. That shows the progress we can potentially make on that particular goal, which helps reduce product costs and, therefore, gross margin. On top of that, we also gave other indicators, as you might have noticed, market share, excluding China. On 5G, we said 4G and 5G at 27%. We're also talking about the number of deals and so on. This year, we're going to see another maybe 60 to 80 operators move into rolling out 5G in a meaningful way. And then next year, there would be probably another 40 to 60 being added. So next year will be the big phase of massive commercialization of 5G. And this year, we'll be moving from lead countries to deploy 5G to a lot of countries to do 5G. So obviously, no time to slow down. We have 68 deals. More will come as we make progress and more networks are being launched as we speak.

Risto Siilasmaa executive
#60

And I think you should remember that the 5G cycle is at least 10 years long. So it's not about what happens this month. We will run as fast as we can, but we need to think about winning throughout this whole technology cycle.

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#61

Exactly. It's 10 years by which time it could potentially beat, but then overall, it's even longer. It will be 15-plus years.

Barry French executive
#62

So we'll take one more question from the room.

Carl-Gustav Lindén;University of Helsinki attendee
#63

Yes, Carl-Gustav Lindén from University of Helsinki. So more chances of research [indiscernible]. What about -- after the next 10 years, what about -- what happens after 6 -- 5G? I mean what is -- will 6G be about? Is it brain-attached devices? Or where do we go?

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#64

Very early days to describe what 6G might be about. Obviously, we are doing research on it in Nokia Bell Labs as we typically do these things 10 years before things get commercialized. I would say that it's going to be a lot more about very high bandwidth, ultra-high bandwidth-type millimeter wave and beyond millimeter wave-type spectrum. And then it'll be about sensing and indoor sensing and things like that. But early days, and we have so much to do in 5G that I wouldn't even start hyping up 6G yet.

Sari Baldauf executive
#65

Yes.

Carl-Gustav Lindén;University of Helsinki attendee
#66

Okay. Please don't.

Barry French executive
#67

Okay. We'll do one more quick one here, and then for sake of time, we will have to start to wrap up.

Anna Gordon;Reuters attendee
#68

Anna Gordon from Reuters again. Just a quick clarification for what Rajeev just said about the numbers, about the operators. Were those Nokia contracts that...

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#69

No, no, no. Sorry, finish your question. Yes.

Anna Gordon;Reuters attendee
#70

Yes. You mentioned 60 to 80 operators next year -- no, this year and 40 to 50 next year. So those are all...

Rajeev Suri;President and Chief Executive Officer executive
#71

Yes. Out of the approximately 800 operators that exist in the world, so these are -- last year was about lead countries: South Korea, United States, Saudi Arabia, Japan, and now it's moving into mainstream deployment. So these are not Nokia numbers. These are number of operators out of the universal for approximately 800 that will start deploying 5G.

Barry French executive
#72

And if more clarification is needed, we can take it up after this in the room. Okay. Well, listen, thank you all very much. We will now end the session for those on the webcast. For those in the audience, we will have a brief photo opportunity. Just give us one second, and we're going to remove some of these stools, but thank you.

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