Revenio Group Oyj (REG1V) Earnings Call Transcript
April 29, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Good afternoon, and welcome to Revenio Group Q1 2025 Earnings Call. My name is Jouni Toijala. I'm the Group CEO. And then as always, we have here as well Robin Pulkkinen, our CFO. Plan for today is to go through the highlights for the Q1, and I'll cover that part, and then Robin is going to continue going through the financials for the Q1 and then shareholders and financial guidance for 2025. And then we finish up for the Q&A. But let's kick off. Extremely good start for the first quarter. The Q1 was very strong for us in terms of the sales and profitability. Net sales was EUR 26.1 million, up 10.5% from the previous year, EUR 23.6 million. If we look at the currency adjusted growth, so that was 12%. EBIT on good level, EUR 6.6 million, 25.4% out from revenue. If we then go more to the sales split, so imaging and tonometer business grew in every region during the Q1. So we got the growth from U.S., APAC, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Lat Am and Canada. Then if we do a bit more deeper dive into the specific countries. So in APAC region, China grew very strongly, same for India as well. Then we got a good growth also from Europe and Canada. Then I'm sure that there's a lot of questions related to the outlook and the pipeline. So as of today, we see healthy pipeline from the sales perspective in the U.S.A. as well. Then if going through a bit more detailed, the actual product lines. So from the tonometer perspective, probes selling really well, IC200 selling really well. And then we launched also the new TONOVET Pro version during the second half 2024. So that has been performing extremely well as well. Then on the Fundus imaging side, more or less the same story than in the last quarters. So DRSplus business growing well and the EIDON product family growing extremely well as well. Then during the Q1, so all the growth was organic. So we didn't have MAIA microperimeter sales in at all. And from the microperimeter perspective, everything is looking extremely good. So we got the FDA approval during the Q1. And then actually, we got also the CE certification end of March 2025. So we are good to go in all the regions. And we have been -- started the deliveries already, and then we have a good order pipeline also for the coming months and coming quarters. From the software solutions perspective business is moving well forward as well. So if we look the iCare ILLUME screening business, so -- and if we go in the details of the actual installed base and the sites, so we grew roughly 50% in terms of the live sites and live customers compared to the last quarter of 2024 and also the report amount has been increasing 30% year-on-year. And we -- and the plan is also, of course, to expand the business in other countries. Then I'm sure everybody is keen to understand where do we stand with the U.S. tariffs. So let's cover this one. I'm sure there's a lot of questions as well. So let's be sure that all the questions are tackled during the Q&A, but a couple of words regarding to the tariffs. So when comparing us to the comparable companies, so we are in extremely good and resilient position. And if we look first, the macro trends, so they are definitely backing us up still. And in all the regions also during the Q1, we have been seeing increasing amount of patients. And then if we look the product portfolio perspective, so we are well positioned, but in terms of the value of the products compared to the price. And currently, as said earlier, so if we look the pipeline in the U.S.A. and globally. So the pipeline is looking still very good. Also, the profitability is in good level. So if the profitability in Q1 was 25.4% out from revenue. So for us, this means that we are able to still invest and continue all our R&D project as in the last couple of years. Then we have a good toolbox to tackle the tariff. So let's go back to that topic. So what we have been doing already in order to be prepared. So we have increased inventory levels already during the Q1 and even last part of the last year. And if you look the inventory in more detail, of course, it depends product-by-product. But we have, depending on the products, the inventory from 2 to 6 months. Of course, that's having a slightly impact also to the net working capital. But in a nutshell, we are well prepared from the inventory level perspective. Then we have been estimated the tariff impact to the bottom line. Robin is going to come back to that one. But if we look to Q2, Q3, Q4 2025, so the hit to bottom line, if we don't do anything, is roughly from EUR 800,000 to EUR 1.4 million, and this is without any actions. And if we increase the prices, which is the plan, so then we have a strong view that we are able to mitigate the impact of the current level of the tariffs, which is as of today, 10%. So this is where do we stand in terms of the tariffs, and then I let Robin to go through financials, and then we come back to this topic for sure in the Q&A.
Thanks, Jouni. So Jouni went through the numbers there slightly. Great start for the year, best quarter in Q1 in terms of profitability and top line euros. 10.5% growth on top line, FX adjusted 12% growth. Now looking at -- people remember that we did some changes in the balance sheet, restructured a bit during the last quarter of the year. You can now see some of those FX impacts that we had before hitting the revenue line now hitting the financial costs. And by doing so, there's actually roughly EUR 500,000 of FX cost that is now hitting the financial expenses instead of revenue. So if we did not do those changes, the top line would have been lower. But of course, the FX adjusted number would have fixed it, but the reported number would have been lower. Gross margin also higher than what we're used to seeing for us. There's been some changes in the IFRS accounting, more related to how we treat the -- our own personnel commissions. In the past, they've been posted to cost of goods sold and nowadays, due to the changes we are now posting it in the operating expenses. So it has a slight improvement on the margin line, less than 1% impact. The tariffs will then again go the other direction. So it's an interesting -- interesting to see how this line is going to continue to develop during the year. But in general, the Q1 average FX was EUR 1.05 compared to EUR 1.085 a year ago. And now that we can see that the FX is moving towards EUR 1.14. So this will also have some impacts on our numbers going forward. So operating profit, EUR 6.6 million, up almost 30%, 28.6% and above 25.4% of revenue. And I'll come back to the other numbers a bit later. So Q1, a bit longer trend line here for the sales development. It's really good to see that the -- we're able to grow quite well in the first quarter after having a quite flat Q1 last year. Also keeping in mind that we didn't have the new MAIA in our product portfolio. So that will be now kicking in starting this quarter. And the demand pipeline seems very strong for that. The sales team is very positive about the product. And I think the operations team is pulling out as many devices from the manufacturing line as they can, and that capacity is also increasing quarter-by-quarter as we move towards the second part of the year. Operating profit also for the first quarter on a record level, EUR 6.6 million. There were no significant extraordinary items or actually either clinical trial costs within the quarter, which would have had an impact on the profitability. So for the bit more clarified from -- we've been expecting, I think the investors has also been expecting these clinical trial costs for the iCare ILLUME-based screening solution to start kicking in, and that's been our original estimation also last year. Currently, we're still kind of going through alternatives and the authorization process for the FDA and kind of reviewing clinical study alternatives for the authorizations. And our current expectation is that the trial costs will not start to run within the next 2 quarters either, so earliest Q4. Cash generation, very good. Looking at -- if you look at last year, Q1, okay, it's flattish. But then it's good to keep in mind that all our employees have a short-term incentive program. In '24, we had very little payouts for that program. Now we're back to normalized levels this year. And then you can look at back to '22, Q1, the operating cash flow was basically 0, same for '23. So the '24 was actually quite exceptionally good due to the kind of not very -- or very low bonus payouts, which is not the normal trend. So it's the first time in the last 10 years that it was close to 0. But that was a good reason for it. It's basically for the not so good performance in '23. But this year, basically, what that difference is, this year, the payouts were roughly EUR 2.5 million in the first quarter and last year, less than EUR 500,000 during the same time. And if those were kind of set at the same level last year also, if the payouts were normal last year, our operating cash flow this year would have been almost 50% higher than a year ago. The balance sheet continues to get stronger. We're again above 80% equity. It's actually the first time since the acquisition of Centervue that we are reaching this level. So the interest-bearing debt, it's actually down from EUR 16.6 million last year after the Q1, down to EUR 11.3 million at the end of Q1 this year. So we basically have twice as much cash in the bank than we have interest-bearing debt. In Q2, of course, the cash balance is going to go down due to the dividend payouts and the net gearing will go up slightly closer to the 0 range. Shareholders, no -- some actually changes here. So at the end of last year, the amount was still around 19%, 19.6%. And now they actually flagged in Q1 that they went above the 20% ownership. And actually looking at the top 10 list and logos are all the same, but 7 out of 10 of the largest owners have increased their ownership of revenue during the quarter, which is I can't remember such a positive movement in one quarter in any of the recent years at least. Overall, I think the Finnish ownership is slightly up. United States slightly down; Denmark, slightly up; Sweden and France, pretty flattish during the quarter. And the guidance remains the same. The exchange rate adjusted net sales are estimated to grow from 6% to 15% from the previous year and profitability, excluding nonrecurring items, is estimated to remain at a good level. And like we've said earlier, even though the range is quite large, we aim for the double-digit growth, but there is quite a bit of uncertainty in the market. So that's the reason for the wider range for this year for now at least.
Great. Thank you, Robin. It's time for questions.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Nikko Ruokangas from SEB.
This is Nikko Ruokangas from SEB. I have a couple of questions relating to naturally tariff and then also another one. And maybe starting with question that you indicated in your report that your sales were supported by a couple of bigger one-off deals. So how big impact did these orders have?
So not as big as we have had, but a bit more bigger than the normal smaller deals. I think that's the best way to put it.
So are we discussing about 7-digit number or less than that?
Ballpark, yes, but not -- I mean, not the millions like we have had before.
All right.
And of course, less than the 1 million, but yes.
All right. Then on tariff and what's your take on that market and client activity since the announcement of the tariffs? You said that you have a good sales pipeline in the U.S., but have you seen kind of any changes in the demand environment before that? And then on the other hand, do you think that your Q1 sales were supported by prebuying ahead of tariffs?
So first answer to the pre-buying. So no. So if we -- especially if we look the U.S.A., so there's a tendency that nobody buys for the stock, tonometers 24 to 48 hours from order to delivery, 1 to 2 weeks for imaging devices. So the clients were not buying products in a stock. And then if we look it from the pipeline perspective, so last time we checked the pipeline on Friday and the pipeline is looking good. So we haven't seen any decrease on the sales pipeline side.
All right. That's good to hear. Then you estimated this EUR 0.8 million to EUR 1.4 million impact on earnings in Q2 to Q4 if assuming no actions taken to mitigate the tariffs. So just to get the estimate and ballpark of the impact, right? So given that you already have increased your inventory, so this kind of EUR 0.8 million to EUR 1.4 million impact would be if no other actions impacting Q3 to Q4, am I kind of assuming right?
Yes, yes. There could be also in some products, we have around 2 months inventory. So it could be some products going out the door with tariff impact already during Q2, but basically mostly Q3, Q4. And the idea is that we will be increasing our price. We did actually a global increase in price at the end of Q1, but we will be doing another increase actually in the U.S. due to the tariffs. And they will be in place as long as the tariffs are in place. So if they are withdrawn, we're kind of planning to withdraw the tariff increase as well.
Yes. I understand. And you haven't kind of seen that end of Q1 price increase impacting your client activity?
No, we do that every year around the same time frame.
Then last one for me, at least at this point. Your fixed costs increased like 10% year-on-year despite the comparable quarter having the higher FDA costs, which you didn't have now. So you already flagged change in IFRS reporting, but kind of how much did this change explain this increase year-on-year?
It's a couple hundred thousand. Then in general, we do have more people. Also the marketing costs were slightly up. But basically, it's payroll related for a big part. And also that the fact that some of that cost of goods sold is now being posted in the costs is driving the cost up from just looking at the OpEx.
Yes. Okay. But kind of if we clean those reporting related issues, but there is some kind of underlying cost as well.
Yes and more people...
Okay. I think, yes.
So, hired roughly the average number of employees is from 219 to 246 in Q1. So that also increases.
Salary increase.
Yes, plus salary increase, yes.
The next question comes from Jack Reynolds-Clark from RBC Capital Markets.
I had a few, please. So the first one, just on tariffs again. You mentioned obviously the price increases to offset the impact of tariffs. But what level of pricing increase do you think that your customers are willing to kind of accept? And is that kind of how much kind of demand elasticity to price do you anticipate?
So the plan is to -- so basically, the end user prices increase is not exactly 10%. So we'll be able to kind of split the pain to kind of borrow our Head of Sales comment on the fact. So we will be able to cover the tariff kind of euros. But kind of overall, of course, so if you say that we invoice EUR 1 million more and we get EUR 1 million more in COGS, so some of the percentages will see an impact in the percentages. But basically, single-digit increases we're looking at.
Okay. And do you expect demand to be impacted by those increases?
Well, the good thing is that all of our competitors mostly also manufacture outside the U.S. We're also the most profitable company. So it's -- many of the competitors have been struggling last year with the profitability and growth. So it's -- I would expect to see increases also from the other players, but it's a bit unclear to us, I guess, also how much different companies have inventory in the U.S. imported before the tariffs. So of course, having a close eye how things develop.
In general, Jack, so we have been extremely good when it comes to the price and value. So if you look at the competition in terms of the product, so the value which we are able to deliver in specific price points. So there's a flex on the price compared to values compared to competitors. And we are talking about the single-digit increase here. So based on the sales input, we don't see too much a risk on this one when it comes to the demand.
And I think we plan to communicate to the customers also that like I mentioned earlier. So if the tariffs are removed, the increases will be also removed that are being done for the tariffs.
Understood. Super clear. My next question was on MAIA. So obviously positive development on the launch there. Could you talk through how you're thinking about that from a kind of geographical perspective? And are you able to quantify, so what kind of contribution to revenue growth it could offer in 2025?
So a couple of topics. So the first topic is that now the approvals are okay in CE Mark countries plus the FDA. Currently, the pipeline, the order pipeline comes more from the drug research and drug testing side, which is extremely good. They are not so price sensitive in general. And for sure, they have had the will to buy the product already beforehand. And now luckily, we have a product in place. Then I would be personally extremely disappointed that if we wouldn't be selling more than we sold MAIA earlier. So we sold steadily EUR 2 million to EUR 3 million per year. So there's an expectation for higher amount during the Q -- during the 2025. But Robin, anything you would like to add on the expectation demand side?
No, it seems like everybody within the sales. The specialists in the Board are extremely positive about the product and its outlook. So we're quite optimistic. But it's -- time will show, of course, very still early. But we do have a good solid number of orders in the tens of units already in the system, so...
Great. Okay. Understood. And then my third question was just on iCare ILLUME. You mentioned obviously 50% kind of more placements with 30% kind of more patients coming through. Could you kind of remind us how that translates into revenue for Revenio? Kind of is there -- kind of what's the revenue model there? And how do those higher volumes translate to a benefit to you guys?
So we don't -- we don't, sorry, give the details, but I can go through the revenue model and the split. So first, starting from the solution itself. So it consists 3 parts. So the first part is DRSplus, Fundus imaging device, then we have ILLUME Cloud solution, then we have iCare RETCAD AI. So that's a peer on asset, which we acquired last year, the remaining shares Q3 last year. 90% of the cases when we sell the solution, so we sell also the DRSplus. Then, of course, we sell the ILLUME recurring license usually for 1 year. And then we have a volume-based prices for AI report. So there's 3 revenue streams. So there's selling the device, then selling the ILLUME subscription and then AI report. So that's a model. And if you look to Q2, so even the device sales starts to be significant in a way because we really say almost in all the cases, we also sell the hardware and this hardware sales is generally going to totally new segments like diabetic clinics. So that's where do we stand today and feedback is extremely good. Then we also launched Q1 so-called ILLUME Connect, which helps us to refer the patients to the ophthalmologists, which are in a way out from the network. So if -- as an example, in Germany, we have cases, devices in diabetic clinics or in the optometry, but there's no in-house ophthalmologists. So we are able to refer the patient digitally to the right place right away if there's challenges in the eyes. So this was the core functionality, which we got through the Oculo platform and which is used in Australia and New Zealand, but that's -- now that's also the part of the ILLUME solution.
The next question comes from Daniel Lepisto from Danske Bank.
It's Daniel Lepisto from Danske Bank. And I have a couple of questions as well. Maybe still going back to the products and discussion on this. I noticed that you didn't mention ST500 in the report, even though I recall that initial reception has been extremely good. So what's the status on that one? And how is the sort of business momentum getting traction with this device?
Let's start with the positioning the product first. So if we think the IC100, IC200 with Quick Measure, so the main segment that optometry and do optometry related workflow. Then ST500 segment ophthalmologists. And if we look now the progress on the ST500 perspective, so we started the sales work towards the end of last quarter. And now we have been moving forward in the areas where the ophthalmology specific workflows are in use. And of course, we have to recognize that the, the start applies the same logic than in the early phase for the tonometers for the handheld tonometers. So there's a more heavy lifting, which we should do because the workflow is new and the customer segment is totally new. But still feedback good and lots of, of course, work ahead, and it's a new product compared to the volumes of IC200 with the Quick Measure. So not yet moving the needle as much as an example, IC200 with Quick Measure, but moving on steadily.
Okay. Are you expecting ST500 to maybe start to contribute more later in this year or next year? How are you seeing the sort of commercial traction?
Sure. Going to contribute, but I mean, it's a so big amount what we are getting the growth from the IC200 with Quick Measure example and home continues to grow constantly in the double digit. So for the new products, of course, it's taking time.
Yes. Okay. Fair enough. Then on sort of this geographical trends, you noted that the APAC growth has been quite strong in Asia, particularly in China. China is sort of a new area for you to target. So can you sort of quantify a bit how much growth contribution is coming from China, for example, at this point?
Well, we don't disclose exactly haven't disclosed the country level, but it's -- China growth was in the hundreds of percentages. So it was a very good growth for us. Also India, very, very strong growth. So we haven't disclosed exact euros for those countries, but definitely, they had an important part in the quarter success.
Okay. Then maybe the final question on this FX. And obviously, we have seen large movements in FX once again after Q1. You did these balance sheet reclassifications. And I guess you mentioned that, okay, there is not that pronounced impact to the top line anymore from the FX. But how much of an impact we should anticipate when it comes to the percentage points since there seems to be so much changes what comes to this topic as of late. Can you help on this one?
Yes. I think this year, when you look at the FX adjusted sales, so okay, we don't get the direct postings to the revenue anymore from certain balance sheet, U.S. dollar balance sheet items, but the comparison numbers have them in them. So last year, we did still have like last year Q1, the number had 400,000 -- 400,000, 500,000 FX tailwind posted in the revenue. So kind of the divider in the FX-adjusted growth will need to be adjusted this year still. I think the balance sheet impact on this year reported numbers will be very low. But then, of course, what happens to the U.S. dollar exchange rate. So now it's around [ $1.14 ], I think. And if it goes up to [ $1.20 ], of course, it's not good for us. So that will have an impact. The good thing is, well, we don't hedge with any financial hedging, but we have natural hedging. So certain parts of our components are U.S. dollar based. Also in the U.S., we pay our commissions to reps in dollars. We have the whole sales team and marketing team in the U.S. on payroll, all the travel is in dollars. So we have like 50% or so depending on the sales mix, natural hedging when it comes to the dollar FX impact.
The next question comes from Pia Rosqvist-Heinsalmi from Carnegie Investment Bank.
A few questions. If I start with probe sales. I think in the report, you said probe sales were also really good in the quarter. Is there anything specific behind this? Is it driven by increased usage? Or is it some kind of, yes, stocking effect among your clients?
I think the probes have been growing for the last decade very strongly. So I don't know if you remember, but back when we still reported the probe part of the -- I think when I started 10 years ago, the probe part of the total sales were like 22%, 23% and it grew to over 30% by the time we stopped reporting it. So all along, the probes have been one of the very strong growing parts of our company. And it seems to be continuing that way, which is good. So we can see that our devices are being actively used around the world. We haven't really seen any slowdown on probe sales ever during my time.
All right. Then still regarding to the larger one-off orders, are they -- are the orders for imaging devices specifically and not for tonometer? And what kind of customers are placing these bigger orders?
Imaging and government, so that's in a nutshell. And then for screening for certain -- so if you think for the Europe, so also screening-related business.
All right. Then going back to the U.S. and the clinical trial, it seems that the process has been delayed further. So is there any color you can add to what you are working on now? And what do you mean by studying alternatives in the U.S.?
So this is what we discussed shortly a bit more than 1 month ago related to the extremely good quality coming from the DRSplus. So -- and also based on the discussions with the other AI players who have been trying to get the approval for the DRSplus. So the basic dilemma which we are facing is that the -- because of the extremely good image quality for DRSplus, plus good AI performance. So the results are compared to the standard Fundus imaging ground through DRSplus the human being. And that combination is not seeing as many diabetic retinopathy cases. And then when we run the same patients with DRSplus, plus AI, so we detect better the positive cases and then those cases are compared to the ground truth device, which is the standard Fundus camera plus the human, and they don't detect the same cases even they exist. So we get more false positives. And now we really have to think through that then what's the protocol and how we run the clinical studies so that we get the comparable results, and we are not wasting too much money and the time and get this one right. So that's simply the logic. So also the requirements from the FDA what comes to the -- what kind of people we reduce, what kind of ground through devices we reduce in the study, they have changed in the last 4, 5 quarters. So we are adapting to those changes as well and looking at the optimal setup. So not, of course, not optimal case. But in the mean, while I would like to still emphasize that we sell a lot of DRSplus devices in the U.S.A. for screening cases, which is a huge amount, and they are sold for the human grading. So there's a lot of human grading screening business where the DRSplus is used. But that's the status as of today.
That's clear. And if you start the clinical trials in Q4, is there any estimate or guesstimate on what kind of costs we should consider?
Not exactly, yes, I think the whole package and the alternatives are all a bit different priced. So better not to say anything on the cost yet.
Time line point of view, shooting still towards the end of next year, but now really trying to optimize the amount of the patients and the amount of the sites and the protocol.
All right. Then regarding the costs and the personnel costs in Q1. So do you consider them representative for the remainder of the year, the current personnel cost level?
I didn't hear the question. Can you repeat?
Sorry, the personnel costs in Q1, are they representative you think for the remainder of the year?
Yes. Yes. We will probably have some new people, but in -- so all the bonus accruals and others are in. There's no adjustment for last year's employee costs. So it's a pretty clean quarter when it comes to the cost. Of course, then it depends a bit if the growth is towards the upper end of the guidance, then the bonus accruals will increase towards the end of the year. But at the moment, I think it's a fair number to use throughout. Of course, the salary increases are starting from February or March, you remember, Jouni. So it's not for the full quarter. But -- so there will be a little bit higher salary basis for the full quarter in Q2, but maybe a couple of percentage more when the Q1 was.
And then finally, regarding the U.S. and your presence there. So are you looking into transferring some of the assembly to the U.S.? And then what kind of time frame and costs would that maybe include?
I think there the time will show. So of course, we look all the options. But now the tools which we have in the toolbox and which we are planning to use at first because it's a quite volatile environment, and we don't know for sure where this is going to end. So we don't want to do any hasty decision. So the tools which we are currently using is really we have been adding the inventory already during the Q1 and the last parts of the 2024. So the inventory looks good in the U.S.A. And then plan is to do a slight trade specific or tariff-specific price increase only for the U.S.A. And these are now the tooling, then we evaluate the other options. But as the direction is not clear, so we don't want to commit to investment if the situation is changing as an example to moving the production. So this is where do we stand today? Anything to add, Robin?
No.
The next question comes from Nikko Ruokangas from SEB.
This is Nik Ruokangas from SEB again. I have one additional question and also related to profitability and your guidance. As you discussed, you have personnel costs up this year and then FX headwinds will impact your kind of sales and margins even if no balance sheet impacts anymore that much. And then possibly some impact from tariffs, even though maybe not kind of absolute number impact but margin impact. So -- but kind of summing those, do you think that you should be able to improve your EBIT margin this year if you reach the sales guidance or at least the double-digit sales growth level? I know your guidance on profitability, but maybe just if you could discuss a bit factors behind that.
I think the tariff is tricky to say what happens there. Basically, we say, okay, if we have a -- we plan to kind of mitigate the dollar or euro impact with the tariff price increases, basically, it's probably more or less a flush. So say that you have EUR 1 million more on top line, EUR 1 million more on cost of goods sold, but the EBIT is 0. So in a way, it depends how big the tariffs end up being also has an impact on what the percentage for profitability will end up being, if you follow what I mean. Yes. So if the tariffs go back up to 25%, the impact will be bigger. In Euro-wise, we're covering the impact, but percentage will be weaker, just how the math works. And then I think the FX is good to remember that we have a lot of dollar-based salaries as well. So if the FX continues to get -- Euro gets stronger compared to the dollar, then also the cost on the operating costs will continue to go lower what we consolidate to the Europe or the group numbers. So it's a bit difficult to say, it's difficult because we don't know how the tariffs will play out. So -- but if the tariffs were not there, we would definitely, I think it would be easy to commit that we should do a better profitability if we are in a higher double-digit growth.
So have an extremely good continuation of the spring, and let's come back with the Q2 and first half numbers then early August. So have a good continuation of the spring, and thank you for the participation. Bye-bye.
Thanks. Bye.
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