Shell plc (SHEL) Earnings Call Transcript
May 24, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Well, good afternoon. And of course, first, I do apologize to those of you who've had to wait patiently for this meeting to start. We do respect the right of everyone to express their point of view, and we do welcome any engagement on our strategy and the energy transition, which is constructive. Of course, what we witnessed this morning was not quite that. And due to the disruption, we will move the procedural aspects of the meeting. And post the speeches that Ben and I intended to give on our shareholder site before the end of today, and I do encourage you to read those. For those of you here or, well, I guess, on the phone, without Internet access, do contact shareholder services, and they'll be happy to send you a copy by post. I think when I was interrupted the first time around, I was starting to thank you all again for your support at our last general meeting.
[indiscernible]
Excuse me. Excuse me. Excuse me. We will have to ask you to be removed now, please, so that we can continue with the meeting. No, I'm sorry, you're interrupting with the format of this meeting, and I would ask you to stop, and I will answer your questions in time.
[indiscernible] it's my future that's under threat and you just sit there and you choose to lie again, again, and again. [indiscernible].
Shall I try one more time. Okay. Well, that's much appreciated, but I must say, it's me to thank you for your support of the company. Thank you.
[indiscernible]
Well maybe in a good way, but no -- okay. Well, if I may continue, I do thank you for your support at our last general meeting in December, which enabled us to simplify our structure. So let's get started. Again, I'm not sure I did say this, if you're participating online, please refer to the guide on the Lumi platform. If you're here in the room, see one of the ushers at the question points. And when asking questions or making any comment, please state your name and the name of your organization you represent, if anything. Tjerk Huysinga is our Executive Vice President of Investor Relations, and he will support the question portion of the meeting, which is all of it now. He'll read out the questions that are submitted on the Lumi platform. Some of the questions may be moderated just to avoid any unnecessary repetition to make sure we have an orderly meeting. And Tjerk will also balance the online questions with those on the phone line and from you here in the room. So please bear with us as we kind of bring them all together.
[indiscernible] earlier comments, but one of the reasons I come to AGMs is to hear Chairman and Chief Executive's speeches. Despite the disruption this morning, I would urge you to give them first. Let's just kind of resume from that [indiscernible].
Should we do that?
We can. Yes.
I mean it really is up to the will of those in the meeting. We were trying to obviously make up for lost time. But we are prepared to give them. But we were really, I'm just interested, if there's no -- pardon? Hands, maybe yes. Is there any or any counterview? Would you like to hear us speak? I mean.
Yes.
Yes. Okay. All right. So I think probably -- I don't have them anymore on the teleprompter up there, so I'm going to just give them from, I think, I would just use paper, but that's fine.
Do you want to introduce the Board or...?
Did we skip that bit as well? I do apologize. I think Linda is suggesting I should also formally introduce the Board. So let me do that now while we get some of the speeches organized. I've got Catherine Hughes on my far right. Catherine is Chair of the safety -- Sorry, just a minute.
[indiscernible]
Okay. All right. So I've got, look, I'm sure you can put up with this. But I think I also need to confirm that we have a quorum present and now declare the Annual General Meeting formally open and suggest, with your permission, that the notice convening the meeting is taken as read. And I would just add a little bit from some of this just to make clear that pursuant to the company's Articles of Association and as contemplated by the Notice of Meeting, I hereby call for a poll to be taken on each resolution. And I also appoint the company's registrars, Equiniti to act as scrutineers. And I hear by propose that each of the resolutions 1 to 21, which are set out in full in the Notice of Meeting. Resolutions 1 to 16 are -- and resolution 20 proposes ordinary resolutions and, therefore, each requires a simple majority of the votes cast in favor in order to be passed. Resolution 17 to 19 and resolution 21 are proposed as special resolutions, and therefore, each of those resolution requires a 75% majority of the votes cast in favor in order to be passed. So I now declare the poll open. And to allow sufficient time for other shareholders wanting to ask questions after we finish speaking, please do keep your questions and comments short and to the point and relevant to the business of today's meeting. And with those here, in the room, and for those choosing to ask a question via the teleconference facility, I do say if I believe your question or statement is particularly long, then I may ask you to bring it to a close. And I do intend to, wherever possible, bring questions or comments of a similar nature together and grouping questions in this way in many cases avoids repetition and make sure we get through as many issues as possible. So I'm continuing to indulge your patience on a few things. I will, of course, continue now that we appear to have a more orderly meeting to ensure that our proceedings are conducted in a proper and orderly manner, and we'll do my utmost to ensure that all shares of opinion are given a fair hearing. But in other respects, too, as I'm sure you will now respect our procedures and order of the meeting. And for those watching on the Lumi platform, if you're still with us, a copy of the Notice of the Meeting can be found under the documents tab on the screen. Those watching on the webcast, it can be found in the General Meeting section of our website. So all of that said, now let me introduce our directors. Their biographies are provided with the Notice of the Meeting, and that was circulated to shareholders on April 20 and added to our website on the same date. So starting on my right, Ben van Beurden, our Chief Executive Officer. Then we have Sinead Gorman, who's our new Chief Financial Officer. Sinead joined the Board in April, and she's succeeding Jessica Uhl, who resigned due to family circumstances, which made relocating long term to the U.K. unsustainable for her and her family. She has been with Shell for some 22 years and has held several increasingly senior finance positions in Europe, North America and globally. And on my left is our Company Secretary, Linda Coulter. Proceeding now with our directors, on Linda's left is Euleen Goh. Euleen is our Deputy Chair and she's a senior independent Non-Executive Director; as well as being a member of our Nomination and Succession Committee and our Remuneration Committee. Now behind me, where I was starting on the right is Catherine Hughes. She is Chair of the Safety, Environment & Sustainability Committee; and Catherine is also a member of the Remuneration Committee. And then we have Dick Boer, Dick's a member of our Audit Committee and our Nomination Succession Committee. And then Martina Hund-Mejean, also a member of our Audit Committee. We then have Neil Carson directly behind me. He is Chair of our Remuneration Committee and a member of our Safety, Environment and Sustainability Committee. And next to Neil is Jane Holl Lute. Subject to her reappointment at the end of the meeting, Jane will step down from a role in the Audit Committee and become a member of the Safety, Environment and Sustainability Committee. Moving on is Bram Schot. He's a is -- Bram is a member of the Safety, Environment and Sustainability Committee. And again, subject to his reappointment, Ben will then also become a member of our Remuneration Committee. And finally, we have Ann Godbehere. She is Chair of our Audit Committee and a member of our Nomination and Succession Committee. Look, he's not present here today, but I'd also like to recognize Gerrit Zalm, who's watching the proceedings online, I think. As we announced in March, Gerrit is not seeking reelection today following -- serving us for more than 9 distinguished years on the Board. Gerrit, on a personal basis from myself, we really will miss your insightful council, and thank you for your invaluable contribution to the business. So now that is your Board. Let's move on to the speeches. And I'm going to find my...
[indiscernible]
Okay. Well, we'll, thank you for doing it respectively. I appreciate that. I'll take this just the case. Okay. So as noted earlier, the atrocities continue in Ukraine. Just a minute. I don't know. Yes. Okay. Yes. So we've recently announced, therefore, our intention to withdraw from Russian oil and gas, and we did this with conviction. Two weeks ago, we agreed a deal to sell our retail and lubricants business in Russia, and we've stopped buying Russian crude and Russian liquefied natural gas on the spot markets, and we will not renew any long-term contracts. We've also stopped spot purchases of cargoes of refined products those directly exported from Russia. Shell is also working hard to secure the safety of our staff and contractors and to support relief efforts and take action when we need to. We continue to do our utmost to keep retail sites operating in Ukraine, where safe to do so, to keep supplies moving and all our teams in the region secure. As well as being a human tragedy, the war has led to rising energy prices and deep uncertainty about supplies. Simply put, this disruption in the global energy market means a further painful increase in the cost of living. And that is why affordable, secure and reliable energy cannot be taken for granted. Global supply must be protected and managed through international cooperation involving governments. But if these are enormous challenges that we as Shell and others must act on today, the world also faces the huge and longer-term challenge. We all agree with this, our climate change, and we must all take action with this -- or on this, with equal urgency. And for shareholder, this means we are continuing to accelerate our strategy to become a net-zero emissions energy business by 2050, and then we'll talk about this in more detail in his speech. It means achieving short-term targets for cutting the intensity of our carbon emissions as we've done for 2021. It means working towards our interim targets for 2024 and 2030. And these are demanding targets, of course, but we're determined to meet them. No ifs, no buts. And finally, it means building on strong financial results like those we announced just a few weeks ago for the first quarter of this year. Shell must play its part in both supplying the energy of today and helping to build the low-carbon energy system of tomorrow. And for this, we want your support. In fact, I would urge everyone here today, everyone listening online or reading this later to see the energy transition as it should be an opportunity. It's also a great challenge. It's huge in complexity, and it is one that the teams in Shell, our people work on every day. And to make the most of the opportunity of the energy transition, we're transforming Shell. We're using our powerful, trusted brand to help us build market share in new low carbon products and services. It is the integrated nature though, of our businesses, that allows us to move fast to generate value, and I saw this very much in action recently on the Shell trading floor in Houston. There, I saw our teams operating second by second, looking at how we keep the energy flowing. While considering all the time the impact of the carbon emissions of our sales and purchases and in their way, making their own contribution to our targets, and as well as getting that energy to where it needs to be across countries, continents and oceans. So I want to thank all our different teams around the world for their incredible work and continue to supply energy to all corners of the world even in these most difficult times or other difficult times, I'm sure to come. We have the scale, the expertise and the experience to make the most of the opportunity that is the energy transition. And today, I want to give you a few specific examples of the kind of change taking place already, big and small tangible change. And I'll start with small and local. Just a short drive from here, perhaps in an electric vehicle where you will find our first EV-only charging hub in London. This is the first time that we have swapped all our petrol and diesel pumps at a site for an ultra rapid charge points. Apparently, local residents say, the site is quieter, cleaner and better per hose prices. Well, I can't vouch for that, but I can say that our hub on Fulham Road in Southwest London is part of a much larger charge, a larger change. At the end of 2021, we operated almost 90,000 charge points globally. By 2025, we're aiming for more than 500,000. And in less than 10 years, by 2030, we're aiming for 2.5 million and that will include 100,000 public charge points here in the U.K. That's a huge change that is taking place all around us. So now let me take you to the other side of the world to China, to our project in Hebei province, which offers a glimpse of how we're expanding our hydrogen network. Through our joint venture there, we have built a 20-megawatt electrolyzer that will produce hydrogen from renewable energy. And as we grow, we're using Shell's integrated businesses to connect the different parts of the hydrogen system. This means going all the way from offshore wind to power the electrolyzers that produce the hydrogen just as we are in China to then using hydrogen in our energy and chemical parks and eventually supplying it through our retail network to power trucks and buses. And to give you a sense of scale overall, we now have 30 megawatts of total electrolyzer capacity. And according to the statistics from the International Energy Agency, that is on Shell's account 10% of the global capacity of electrolyzers that were installed in 2020. My final example takes us back to Europe, to a large part of land at our energy and chemicals park in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. From 2024, we expect this site to play a key role in meeting Europe's growing demand for low-carbon fuels. This facility aims to produce 820,000 tonnes of biofuels a year. And when this site starts up, sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF for short, could make up more than half the capacity. Globally by 2025, we aim to make about 2 million tonnes of SAF a year. And by 2030, we aim for SAF to make up at least 10% of our global aviation fuel sales. So these 3 examples are glimpses of what a low carbon energy system will look like. And there are just some, a few examples, very few examples of what we're doing as an energy supplier. But for Shell's transformation to happen at the speed and scale that we wanted to, we must match our role as a supplier of energy with the role of others as the consumers of energy. Supply and demand both have to change. And our role is to work with -- that they have used for decades. And so far, we've formed more than 50 collaborations with key customers. For instance, with Daimler, we're working on how to increase the market for hydrogen trucks in Europe. With Hyundai, we're establishing a hydrogen refueling network in California. And with Rolls-Royce, we're looking at how planes can be powered 100% by SAF, sustainable aviation fuel. And when you consider that we span 160 markets, serve 32 million people a day at 46,000 branded retail sites and work with more than 1 million business customers, you see the great potential we have to grasp the opportunity of the changing energy system. Today, we're asking for your support on what we've achieved so far. To follow this resolution, Resolution 21 rejects and, in fact, imposes our strategy, and Ben will also talk more about this, too. I urge you to vote against it and in favor of Resolution 20. I urge you to acknowledge the progress that we have made and are making in our energy transition strategy in the space of a year. We are moving fast as we said we would. We are working with others to make significant change. We are rising to the challenge, and we're making the most of the energy transition. Thank you. I'll now ask Ben to add his remarks, Ben.
Well, thank you very much, Andrew. And thank you very much for our shareholders for joining us today. I hope many of you are still watching from home or from another place. Quite a few shareholders still in this room and I, again, also would like to add my appreciation to your patience and stay with us. And thank you, sir, for suggesting that we will do the speeches. That's actually a very good idea. Now a year ago, on our AGM, I told you about how excited I was about the future of this company because then we had just presented our new strategy, which we called Powering Progress. And we have just presented our targets to accelerate the transition of our business to a net-zero emissions energy business by 2050. But then, of course, the world has changed dramatically since then. Andrew already explained it. The war in the Ukraine, well, it still appalls me every day, as I'm sure, it also appalls you. And added to this humanitarian disaster that has disrupted, destroyed so many lives, people across the world, of course, also face other urgent challenges. Some parts of the world are still struggling very much with COVID, for instance, but we're also facing an urgent challenge to deal with climate change. Of course, very much also the theme of today, and many around the world are also experiencing a very difficult cost of living crisis. And this cost of living crisis is, of course, affecting life. And if you ask me what a role of a company like us, an energy company should be in helping to solve this crisis, I think the answer is a sustainable long-term transformation of the energy system because I believe we need policies that ensure that energy companies can deliver the oil and gas where it's urgent lead is today to rebalance supply and demand, which is a bit disrupted today, but simultaneously help replace these fossil fuels quickly, but responsibly with low and zero-carbon energy. If we want to prevent energy disruptions in the future, we need stable policies that stimulate investment in both the energy of today and the energy of future. Now with all this uncertainty and all the change that is currently going on in the world, some of you may wonder whether our powering progress strategy, the strategy that is going to transform Shell into a net-zero energy business by 2050, whether that strategy is still the right one. You can ask yourself, can our strategy withstand the fuel shortages for customers, the inflation, the extremely volatile commodity prices that we are witnessing? And can it cut emissions but, at the same time, continue to create shareholder value? Can it supply reliable energy to places where it is needed most? Fair questions, but my answer to all of them is, yes, our strategy is still the right one. Precisely, because it is designed to cope with change. It is designed to continuously deliver value for shareholders and society while taking the opportunities to grow and become an even more competitive and an even more resilient company. Now this means that we are focusing even more than we did on our customers. It means retraining thousands of staff and skills that will be needed for energy transition. And it means radically transforming the company over the next decades. Now let me give you some examples what this really means in practice. So to start, last year, we completed one of the most effective reorganizations in our history, and we are now operating in a smarter, more customer-focused way with fewer people. But we also simplified our share structure, and we moved Shell's headquarters, including our tax residence, from the Netherlands to here to the U.K. And these changes have given the company much more flexibility, and that, again, helps us to deliver value to you, our shareholders. The company must, of course, create value for shareholders. So I'm happy to see our financial performance and the recent quarters have been very, very strong consistently. But let's face it, we cannot just only use these metrics to judge the investment case in our company. Apart from...
[indiscernible]
Let me restart with the paragraph where I got interrupted. So apart from creating shareholder value, we must also respect nature. And we do this by recognizing the growing urgency and the growing need for action to protect biodiversity or to protect water quality and to use resources more efficiently. You must also power lives by supplying, first of all, the energy to those that need it most and by being a diverse and an inclusive organization. So in 2021, last year, for example, 47% of all the graduates that we hired were women. On our Board, the percentage is 50%. Of all our employees and senior leadership around 30% of women, including senior leadership. So we are making progress, but then I'll be the first one to first admit that we need to do more and we can do more. Now another way to judge our investment cases by our readiness for the future because the world is changing. And as more people use low and zero-carbon energy, this is also where the customers of the energy sector will be in the future. And as you've heard, this means that for Shell, the energy transition is a great opportunity as long as we change as well. And our portfolio is changing. We recently announced the acquisition of Sprng Energy, which is one of India's leading renewable power platforms, and we won bids for offshore wind in Scotland that will produce enough renewable electricity to power every Scottish household, twice over. In fact, once the Sprng acquisition is completed, we will have about 50 gigawatts of renewable generation capacity in operation or under construction and potentially future projects, which should enough to more than power all the households in this entire country in the U.K. We're also building a comprehensive network of charging points for electric cars and we mentioned it. During last year only, we grew our worldwide network by about 50%, 50% more in 1 year. And we're making good progress towards our expected average 1% to 2% reduction in oil production to 2030. That's 1% to 2% a year. Now for some we're not moving fast enough to get out of hydrocarbons, but I believe we are. We have set climate targets that we firmly believe are aligned with the more ambitious goal of The Paris Agreement on climate change, which is to limit the increase in the average global temperature to 1.5 degrees above preindustrial levels. And last month, we published a report on how we are delivering on these targets. And today, you get the opportunity to vote on our progress, which I think really has been very strong. Let's start to recap it a little bit. By the end of 2021, we reduced the absolute emissions from our own operations and then the energy that we used to run these operations by 18%. That is compared to 2016, it's on a net basis. And our target is to achieve a 50% reduction, halving it compared to 2016, by 2030. Now cutting these absolute emissions from our operations is important, but you have another target that is perhaps even more crucial, not just for us but for the world because it includes the emissions from our customers. And this is the target to bring down a net-carbon intensity. So by the end of last year, we had reduced the net-carbon intensity all the energy products that we sell by 2.5%. That's also compared to 2016. So that means that we have met the target that we set to cut between 2% and 3%. Now you may say 2% to 3%, well, that doesn't sound like a lot, but let me give you some context. Last year, the world economy experienced a very intensive recovery with a 6% growth in global GDP. And at the same time, a 6% increase in CO2 emissions. And there was no reaction whatsoever in the world's carbon intensity. So the 2.5% reduction that we achieved in carbon intensity is indeed significant. And then, of course, this reduction target will quickly become much more larger, so we have set a target for 9% to 12% carbon intensity reduction by 2024. And we tie these targets to our executive pay of the top 16,500 people in Shell. Now like I said, this carbon intensity is just not crucial for us. It is also important for the world. And I can illustrate this with a simple example. Shell sells a lot of aviation fuel. You may see Shell trucks at airports, if you fly to another destination. Now imagine that we just stop selling the fuel. Imagine that we decided to close down our kerosene plants in our refineries, we stop supplying to our customers and leave this sector altogether. Now that would bring down our absolute emissions from our aviation business to zero, but would it help? Would it really help the world to come closer to achieving necessary emissions? But as a result of our departure from this sector, fewer planes depart from airports. I don't think so. Because if we supply less kerosene, it wouldn't mean that people would fly less, people are not that loyal to our brand. That simply buy from another company, and the total demand for fossil fuels wouldn't change at all. Now imagine another scenario. And this is the scenario where we continue to sell aviation fuel, but more and more the fuel that we sell is sustainable, sustainable aviation fuel. And so we help our customers change the type of energy they use and then lower the CO2 emissions that they produce. And this is what we are doing, and I believe this is the best solution for both our shareholders but also for society. Because together with our customers in aviation, we are helping to change demand for energy to lower carbon. We are working on ways to help increasing the use of low carbon fuels, and we are decreasing the emissions of this sector. Now in Rotterdam in the Netherlands, as was said before by Andrew, we took a final investment decision last year to build at 820,000 tonnes a year biofuels facility. And this will be amongst the largest biofuel facilities in Europe, producing the sustainable aviation fuels from waste and from certified sustained vegetable oils. And this sustainable aviation fuel will not replace all the kerosene in the world in the next few years, but it will help the sector move away from kerosene. It will start to help lower emissions from aviation as a whole, and it will bring down the carbon intensity of the energy products that we sell. And that is a difference. That's the difference between helping reduce the intensity of emissions by gradually improving the energy use of an entire sector or just letting go of our customers in this sector altogether and let somebody else deal with the problem. It's a difference in my mind between walking away from a problem or stepping up to be part of the solution. And that's what we intend to do, be part of the solution. We are stepping up. We are working with all the sectors that use a lot of energy and that need help from energy companies like us with expertise and experience to find a path to net-zero emissions. And aviation is just one of a good set of examples of these sectors. But in the same way, we are working together with our customers in shipping. We are working with our customers in heavy-duty road transport. We are working with our customers and industry in the production of chemicals, et cetera, et cetera. And we are investing in the technologies that will help these sectors find their own path to net-zero emissions. And these parts can include beyond biofuels that I just mentioned, wind and solar power, of course, hydrogen, carbon capture and storage, offsetting mechanisms by planting trees, preserving nature, et cetera. And in this way, apart from bringing down our own emissions, we also help our customers to adapt. That brings you back to our strategy, Powering Progress. It was designed to respond to changing circumstances. Without those insights, it factors in different ways in which energy makes a difference. And in doing so, our strategy helps us to deliver a secure supply of reliable and sustainable energy across the world. And that's a tall order, but we will not shy away from it. But no company can do this in isolation. So we will continue to work with our customers, of course, with governments, and with you our shareholders because we need your support for this. Now last year, in the AGM, you actually overwhelmingly supported our Powering Progress strategy and our plans to transform Shell into this net-zero emissions energy business, both purposefully and profitably. And today, the vote is about the progress that we have made in the last 12 months since we launched that strategy. And I think this progress has been strong. It has been strong, especially if you consider that according to the International Energy Agency in Paris, almost all activities in the global economy produced more carbon emissions in 2021 compared to 2020. Just try to think of a single sector that succeeded in reducing emissions. Power generation did not. Industry as a whole did not reduce emissions. Transportation did not reduce emissions. Emissions from all these sectors went up in 2021. So our progress in the energy transition is ahead of what we see in most sectors using energy. And what's more? We achieved this progress profitably. So I think our strategy is working. And therefore, I ask you shareholders to vote in support of the progress that we have made in the last 12 months and not to vote for the resolution or Follow This. The Follow This resolution calls for targets that actually would conflict with the Shell strategy that so many of you agreed with. In fact, this resolution could be harmful to our strategy that you approved last year. The Follow This resolution proposes targets that go much further than even the most progressive pathways to net zero in our sector, for instance, the pathways that have been proposed by the -- in the governmental panel on climate change and the pathways of the International Energy Agency. And what's more? The IPCC and IEA pathways include actions by all parts of society. But Follow This suggests that we should reach the targets on our own, which is unrealistic for Shell as a single company to achieve. And most significantly the Follow This resolution focuses solely on changing the supply of energy. This approach would mean, as I said earlier on, that we have to abandon our customers and shrink our business. And that's fundamentally different to the energy transition strategy that we have just explained. And hopefully, you understand from the example that I've given about Shell's role in helping aviation reduce emissions. So we believe that a dramatic change in demand for energy is just as critical as the required changes to supply, and that's needed for the energy transition to really take place. And this means working together again with government, society and crucially working together with our customers. That's why our strategy is customer focused. So in short, the Follow This resolution is unrealistic. It wouldn't help reduce the world's carbon emissions, and it is not in the best interest of you, our shareholders. So today, we ask you to vote in support of the progress that we have made in the last 12 months, and not to vote for a change in our strategy by pursuing misguided targets for our company as suggested by Follow This. Because I believe we have made significant progress. We are reinforcing Shell to deliver secure supply of energy in the places where it's needed most. We are changing into a net-zero emissions business by 2050, and we are strengthening Shell as a business for today, and a business for the future. Thank you very much. Back to you, Chair.
Thank you, Ben. So we've now finally come to the part of meeting where you have the opportunity to ask questions. And a little bit of repetition, you may have seen in the Notice of the Meeting that most of the resolutions are of mainly routine nature for a listed plc with the exception of the 2 climate-related resolutions, which both I and Ben have just made reference to. Just to remind you, the first of these is Resolution 20, which is proposed by the Board and represents an advisory board on Shell's progress against our energy transition strategy. And I think you've heard that your directors strongly believe that Shell's energy transition strategy is in the best interest of our shareholders as a whole, and as a whole of wider society as we've explained. Equally, the Board and management also believe it's important for all shareholders to have a vehicle to express their views on whether our strategy and progress against it is reasonable in the current environment. The advisory vote resolution is designed to be such a vehicle. For clarity, it doesn't shield or abdicate the Board or management's legal obligation under the U.K. Company Act nor does it ask shareholders to take responsibility for formally approving or objecting to Shell's energy transition strategy. That legal responsibility continues to remain with the Board and the Executive Committee led by Ben. The other climate-related resolution is resolution 21, and that is a special resolution, which has been requisitioned by a group of shareholders represented by the organization Follow This. Your Board believes that Shell's more comprehensive strategy and actions to support society in meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement, which have been summarized in the energy strategy, make this resolution redundant. And further, the directors believe that Resolution 21, if adopted, could be harmful to what we think is a successful energy transition strategy and against good governance. And so we unanimously recommend that shareholders vote against this resolution. We'll shortly hear, I think, first, from Mr. Van Baal, who will tell you more about this resolution. But to ensure orderly discussions, I'm going to put this upfront, but for all questions or comments of a general or open nature, including those about climate change or the energy transition and all questions or comments about our strategy regarding including those about Resolution 20 and our energy transition strategy, we'll then take all the questions then and, again, those with the remaining resolutions. Again, just a reminder, to keep your questions to the point and short, preferably no longer than 1 to 2 minutes so we can get through as many as possible. And if you're asking your questions through the teleconference facility, please give your name and if you represent an organization, the name of that organization when asking a question or making a comment. So maybe I could, as I've said, just ask Mr. Van Baal to make a short statement about your resolution. Thank you.
Thank you so much. Yes, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Van Beurden, directors and fellow shareholders. An organization that has so many qualities, so much expertise, so much capital has to be able to reinvent itself. Mr. Van Beurden, I hope you recognize this quote, it's your own quote in 2014 when you just took the helm of this company. After we read this quote before, this would be demand who could drive the energy transition. And in the 7 years that followed, we tried to help you with a shareholder mandate to reinvent Shell. And on the way, we support it, and we welcome every single step you took, specifically accepting responsibility for Scope 3. Reluctantly, but you accepted responsibility for Scope 3, you're the first oil major to do so. Today, the Follow This climate resolution will come to vote for the sixth time. For the sixth time, the Board advised the shareholders to vote against the climate resolutions, against this climate resolution. And since 2017, we consistently support this company, Shell, to set no more and no less. Let me emphasize this to shareholders. Mr. Van Beurden misconstrued our resolution just before me. We asked no more nor less than Paris-consistent emissions reduction targets. And in 2017, you called this Paris-consistent emission reduction targets unreasonable. In 2018 to 2021, you call them unnecessary. And in 2022, a new argument came onto the table, unrealistic. It's the exact same resolution, dear shareholders. So after 7 years, we have to conclude that Shell has not reinvented itself. Emissions have not been down dramatically. And more important, the investments, 90% or more of the investments still go to fossil fuels and not to renewables. And in this decade, and that's very important, Shell has no plans to substantially shift investments to decrease emissions. Nowhere what is needed to radically put the climate, realistically put the Paris goals within reach. According to the benchmark of the Climate Action 100+, the world's largest investors alliance, Shell has no Paris-consistent emission reduction targets. And even more important, no Paris-consistent capital expenditure plans for this decade. A Dutch court confirmed this order to decrease emissions. The IEA told you not to invest in more renewables of the IPCC, contrary to what Mr. Van Beurden just said. It also says, emissions have to be down by around 40% this decade. And how much you want to contribute to that, that's up to you. But at this moment, you still want to increase emissions. So today, shareholders in Shell will show what future they prefer, a world of increasing oil and gas production and devastating climate change, or a world that curbs emissions in order to achieve the goal of the Paris Climate Agreement. They will do so by voting for or against Climate Resolution 21. That's a request, again, no more than no less than emission reductions in line with the Paris Accords. And the key question on the AGMs of Big Oil in 2022, indeed, is, will investors give in to the narrative from oil companies that the energy crisis created by the Ukraine war overrides the climate crisis? We think, not. So we thank the investors in advance who voted for curbing emissions. They are the true change agents of this industry, an industry that has proven to be changed the first for decades but can make or break the Paris Accords. Together with these shareholders, we must convince more shareholders that Big Oil will only change course when they vote as well. Luckily, 9 out of the 10 largest investors in the Netherlands, these shareholders, 9 out of the 10 largest investors in Netherlands have predeclared their vote for the Follow This resolution and against Shell's climate plan because they simply think it's not good enough to reach the goal of the Paris Climate Agreement. And I think investors who vote against Paris-consistent emission reduction targets should realize that they are complicit in Big Oil's refusal to seriously cut emissions these decades, not in 2050, but this decade. So at the AGM, Mr. Van Beurden a year ago, who offered shareholders transparency about your strategy, we asked you a very simple question. And that year, the question was, yes, your answer was it's a guess. So I hope you can answer that question today to your shareholders. Your shareholders need to know where your absolute emissions will be in 2030. So that's my question for today. What reduction in net absolute emissions will Shell achieve by 2030? I hope you can answer that question today.
Thank you, Mr. Van Baal. I'd like to ask the CEO to respond before we invite any more questions or comments. Ben?
Yes. Thank you very much, Mr. Van Baal for coming to London and for also being patient through the morning. Thank you for reminding me of my statement back in 2014. It sounded quite familiar when you started mentioning it. And I believe actually that we have reinvented the company quite considerably already. I must say, we take a little bit of issue of you calling us an oil company, but I guess that is probably something that we cannot agree on. We think of ourselves as an energy company rather. To your points and the concerns that you have, we believe that our strategy and the target that we set are actually consistent with the Paris Agreement. We have explained how that works in the strategy last year and the document also this year. And to be perfectly honest, to put pretty simple for the shareholders here, what you are asking for which a 40% reduction is 2x Paris. Let's be clear. We are Paris compliant. We're being asked to do 2x Paris. And of course, there will be a 40% reduction in the entire economy, et cetera, but it's usually not over 10 years. Europe talks about 55% reduction over 40 years. The IEA talks about a 20% reduction over 20 years. And if you just look at the sectors that we serve, it's about a 20% reduction that is going to be needed to be Paris consistent. And that is what we do. You talk about the investment levels that we put in. Our investment levels have gone down quite consistently and considerably and are now more or less in line with the net-zero emissions scenarios of the IEA. We used to invest more than $13 billion in oil, per year, we now do less than $8 billion. The IEA says, as a world, we should go from $700 billion a year to $500 billion a year. The IEA never said zero, that is misconstrued. To say that we have no plans, I think, would be mischaracterization. You also say we still increase emissions. Well, no, we have reduced emissions. I just mentioned it, 18%. And don't think I can get away by just saying something and not be serious about it. Everything that we say in meetings like this, everything that we file in an Annual Report or in a document is being scrutinized by regulators. We have no option to just say something because it sounds convenient. It has to be true. It also says, by the way, that our absolute Scope 3 emissions have come down by 16%. We don't set a target for it, by the way, but it's just a fact. So everybody who says, you just do more, is just quoting from a set of data that I simply do not recognize. Like I also don't recognize that we would be pedaling a narrative that Ukraine now overwrites Paris. It's exactly the opposite to what I say. Actually, Ukraine reinforces the need to go faster. That's exactly what we are doing. We have not set a target for absolute emissions simply because we believe an intensity target is better. Think of it this way. Do you want to be judged on how fast you shrink your legacy business? Or do you also want to be judged on how fast we grow a new business? If you want to just have a shrinking target, then absolute emissions will do the job. If you want to have a replacement target, then you have to work with an intensity. So the intensity target that we have set for 2030, and that's the only commitment I make to you, Mr. Van Baal, is at least 20%, which is fully aligned with Paris for the sector that we serve. And I will commit to that again, and we are well on track to meeting it. Thank you very much for coming.
Yes. Thank you so much for answer. It's very clear that you don't want to commit to absolute emission reductions. I think your shareholders, your responsible shareholders are aware that the world has to halve their emissions by 2030, approximately 40%, maybe 30%. That doesn't matter. Paris consistency matters. Your shareholders really want to know what your contribution will be in absolute terms to achieve the Paris Accords? And dear shareholders, I want to advise you, you have a CEO here who says, a resolution that ask for Paris-consistent emissions that cast their vote next year. Thank you.
Thank you, Mr. Van Baal. I mean just to reinforce. We do think that Paris is realistic, and we do think that we are consistent with it. And we have offered our absolute targets for our own Scope 1 and 2 emissions. We just believe it's more top effective for the world to have carbon intensity emissions for our Scope 3 anyway. So we now can open it more widely to questions, Tjerk.
[Operator Instructions] So I now invite someone and this, I think, is Sylvia van Waveren. And for the next question here from the room, and then I will go online, and I will come back to you, sir, on number two. So Sylvia, go ahead.
Yes. Thank you. My name is Sylvia van Waveren. and I'm from Robeco. And today, I speak on behalf of a group of institutional investors. So including Robeco that is PGGM, Mn [indiscernible] and SPV. To start with, I would like to thank management and the Board of our ongoing discussions on topics like strategy, remuneration and climate change. It is of crucial importance to have this open dialogue, especially in these challenging times of ever-increasing climate risk and international military conflicts. And on the last couple of years, we have attended Shell's AGM with the same basic message that Shell has a critical role to play in mitigating climate change. And that it is of the utmost importance that the company clearly discloses how it aims to achieve the energy transition strategy by showing plans, actions, targets and progress that minimizes the risk to shareholders. We recognize that the company has shown leadership by being one of the first companies in the sector with the [ say on ] climate vote last year. And the current progress report is beneficial in helping us to understand the steps the company is taking throughout its transition. And that is clearly illustrated with the fact that Shell has had climate targets that cover carbon emissions of Scope 1, 2 and 3 with short-, medium- and long-term reduction periods with the end goal of achieving net zero by 2050. Furthermore, we are encouraged by the fact that the Shell executives are incentivized to reduce these emissions as this is incorporated in your annual bonus scorecard as well as in the long-term incentive plan. At the same time, however, we should be mindful that we have moved another year down the line, and that meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement requires far greater immediate actions, and Shell progress report and its strategy in our opinion, has several items that trigger our concern and should be improved. And I name here three: First of all, except for the net-zero target for 2050, which has recently been strengthened, Shell has not set absolute targets for Scope 3 emissions in the medium term unlike some of your peers. And as such, there are no guarantees that the action that Shell is taking in investing in low-carbon technologies will help to reduce climate-related financial risks for the company. Secondly, the net-carbon intensity metric and target setting is the guiding metric for Shell strategy. And at this point, there is certainly not a single framework for independent verification of that. With our recognized tool, for example, those based on methodologies from TPI that show us that although Shell's long-term net zero target is aligned with the Paris goals, there is greater uncertainty whether this is the case for the short- and medium-term targets. And thirdly, we are concerned about the risk of overinvestment in fossil fuel assets. It's critical for the company to have clear disclosures on how investment decisions are made around high carbon assets, including the assumption used within your investment decision making and how these are consistent with limiting warming to well below 2 degrees and the ambition of achieving 1.5 degrees Celsius. Today here at this AGM, the investors I represent have made their voting decisions each on their own merits. And voting, by definition, is binary. You are either for or against. And the reality is much more complex, and actions require more balanced nuance and granularity. And in that spirit, we would like to share with you our suggestions and some questions on how we think the company could enhance its strategy in order to be considered aligned with the goal of the Paris Agreement. And we believe it is our duty to provide you with this feedback, and we hope we can count on you and on your openness, as you have shown us in the past. So here are my 3 questions: We agree with you that the sole focus on changing the supply of energy is not enough, and it's only a one-sided approach, which will not lead to the desired energy transition. A dramatic change in demand for energy is just as critical as a required change in supply, as you already indicated. And we see in your progress report that you are actively acting on this front, and you provide a couple of examples which we highly appreciate. This is my question. When do you think, and how would you be able to formulate quantitative progress for the full scope of your actions towards changing the demand side? Secondly, the current mid-term target of 20% CO2 intensity reduction does not align, we believe, with the TPI, the IEA global CO2 reduction target of around 40%, and we have heard your comments already on that. What would it mean for Shell if you would report on the main differences of your current strategy compare what it would be against those 40% that's, for example, the IEA pictures? And thirdly, there has been a court case in the Netherlands last year. You have responded to that ruling and saying your Scope 1 and 2 absolute emission reduction targets of 50% and the actions you are taking to deliver position the company well to meeting the obligations of the District Court. However, it is unclear whether and how Shell's Scope 3 emission reduction targets are aligned with the so called significant best efforts obligation ordered by the District Court. How are you seeking the necessary assurance that you are in compliance? And what are your legal counsels advising you? Furthermore, could the company expand on how it plans to manage broader climate litigation risks? I will end here now. I would appreciate your responses to the above raised questions, suggestions, and comments. But before I hand over to you, Mr. Chairman, I would like to repeat and indicate to you that we very much value the engagement results we jointly achieved so far. And as I expect, we will achieve again going forward. Thank you very much.
Thank you. Thank you, Sylvia. Look, I'll probably pass some of the more detailed parts of the questions to Ben. But I would observe obviously, and along with Mr. Van Baal, we clearly have a difference of agreement as to where to place the emphasis on Scope 3. Where we believe the best way to help the world as well as Shell and Shell to play a part is to be based on carbon intensity targets around absolute emissions at this stage. We agree with you that short or medium-term targets matter. And that's why we've introduced more recently and be very clear about our absolute emissions targets we have on Scope 1 and 2, and I welcome your acknowledgment of the importance of changing demand, and we're working on it. I don't know if there's much more that you can add, Ben. But I would reinforce that from our analysis and, particularly, when you take account of our medium-term target for 2035, we are strongly compliant with Paris, and I don't recognize your statement as being thus. So Ben, anything for me to add?
Well, first of all, Sylvia, thank you very much for coming. And thank you also for recognizing the progress that we have made ever since I have been in discussion with you for the last 8.5 years. You're very right to acknowledge that indeed what needs to be done on demand, and it needs to be acknowledged. And that I hope you will recognize also our strategy. Our strategy is actually to reduce the demand for carbon-intensive energy and replace it with low carbon or no carbon energy, which basically means working with our customers and trying to, of course, make money in that transition that our customers also need to do. Now on the IEA, I know there's a lot of discussion out there about while the IEA has a scenario that brings us to net zero, why don't you follow that? And there's, I think, two misconceptions about it. First of all, the IEA scenario does not prescribe a 40% or 50% or 45% reduction this decade for customers of our company. It talks about a reduction in the entire economy. And most of that reduction actually comes from switching coal-fired power stations to renewables. If you just look at the transportation sector and the industrial sector, the IEA scenario actually looks at something like 20% to 25% reduction over 20 years. Here, we are constantly talking about the remainder of this decade. Can't you do the same for the remainder of this decade? But that's -- actually half of the time is already gone. And secondly, it is a subset of the economy that we happen to serve. We don't have coal-fired power stations that we can switch off. We can only switch planes to fly on sustainable aviation fuels. We can encourage customers to come with their electric cars rather than the petrol cars. And that actually is a different reduction scenario than the overall reduction scenario of IEA. That's point number one. Point number two is the IEA scenario, which was made at the request of the British Government, in the lead up to the Glasgow Cup, is a goal-seek scenario. So it's how could you mathematically get there? It didn't sort of say, well, this is how it's likely going to happen or this is what could happen or whatever. It actually works out how you're going to get to net zero in a mathematical way, not necessarily in a sociological way. And if you now look back, this scenario came out a year ago, yes? And a year into this scenario, the world is 2.5 years behind. So we managed to get a 2.5-year sort of backlog a year into this scenario. And this is not my number. This is the number of the IEA. So this scenario is interesting, and I think it's really good, as a society, to just say, well, look at what we should have been doing and this is what we actually have done. And, therefore, it's a good mirror to have, but it's not necessarily some sort of business plan or a target that you can adhere to. And that's why we are focusing on the strategy that we have, and that we are using the parameters that we have. The only thing that actually the IEA scenario has been delivered on, is the amount of investment in oil and gas. The investment in oil and gas in the world has indeed reduced in line with the IEA net-zero scenario. Apparently, that is why we are looking at $115 oil today. Now can we do more to track against it? Yes, I think we should, Sylvia. I think we should -- in our next year's report, we should bring this out more clearly where we are going, what others are doing. We should give also more assurance that we are working on the sector strategies and the progress that we are making, and we should demonstrate, which we are doing, by the way, but we should demonstrate more explicitly that indeed, we are making significant best efforts to help our customers reduce their emissions. I think we are doing that. I think we are complying with the court case, but I agree with you we need to make that more transparent for you as a shareholder as well.
Okay. We're going to take one more from the...
Yes, we go to question point number 2, if you can stand up, and then I'm going to go online, and then I'll come to you at question point number one. So you go first. So we have quite a few questions online as well, and I want to make sure that those questions are asked. Go ahead, sir.
John Farmer, Mr. Chairman. A shareholder. There's a substantive question on performance. But first, quick constructive questions on your annual report and the AGM. Thank you, first for your, Chairman and Chief Executive, presentations. Fully welcome. As to the Annual Report, speakers one, who reads many with optician-tested excellent eyesight. But suggest respectfully, there is room for improvement in yours. The content page white on red is poorly legible. And I for one intend to refer back to that when I'm going through the text. Your gray print just about manageable, could be blacker, and it sometimes gets a bit small, but the red subheadings are quite a good contrast. But importantly, particularly, with the trends reading online, would you print across the page and not in columns to save worrisome scrolling. And finally, Chairman, on the Annual Report, I suggest, respectfully, it's far too long. The aim should be to communicate succinctly and relevantly to your interested shareholders. World War II, Prime Minister, Winston Churchill, had a habit of requesting briefings on no more than half a page. That is a far cry from your 350. Could you please shorten and be more incisive and concise and relevant. But as to the AGM, Chairman, perhaps laboring the point. But first, a constructive comment, welcomed as your extrication from Royal Dutch Shell and you'll return to Shell plc, and your return to London because video linked to The Hague was imperfect and a bit worrisome. But can you please learn from this morning and plan for dissent. In my opinion, those dissenters should have been extricated far more quickly. And I suggest an analogy with BAE Systems plc, which is an arms supplier, has had demonstrations in its time, although I haven't been to its distant Leatherhead AGM. On one occasion, protesters plastic handcuffed themselves to block 6 seats, which were amenable to being carried out. And I suggest by analogy that you could have carried out the protester stuck to the seats and dealt with them later. So there's a constructive set of point there. Would you like to respond before I go on to my performance question?
I would mainly say, thank you for your suggestions. I mean, of course, we always look to improve and then it's designed by younger people on average that are meant to read them, and I have the same issue. So we'll take them all on Board as well as those for the AGM. So thank you for them.
Thank you. And most sensitive question on performance, Chairman. You say on Page 12 of the Annual Report that you have an aim of being a compelling investment case paying yourself lavishly as a Board, performance is lackluster in terms of total shareholder return. I think I looked up that you have paid executive directors in the last year some EUR 12 million. Is that right? Nonexecutives another EUR 2.6 million, quite a some. And what have shareholders got for it, a total shareholder return in 10 years of a paltry 20%. And harking back to my point about the Annual Report, Chairman, would you in future reports, please quantify the inflections of the graph, which this year is on Page 182, so we can actually read it. And that graph does show that you're well below peer group. So were I being rude, I could suggest that the Board is money for all group. What you and your colleagues, perhaps the Remuneration Committee Chairman and maybe even the Finance Director and perhaps the Chief Executive, give some thoughts on what you're doing or propose doing or will do in future to align Board remuneration with what shareholders actually get. Because fundamentally, you are here to perform, and I just round off by quoting the Chartered Institute of Marketing's definition of marketing: The management process responsible for the identification, anticipation and satisfaction of customer requirements profitably, and I stress the profitably. Shareholders are rewarded by total shareholder return. And frankly, Chairman, over 10 years, we've had very little of it from your Board. So what will you do in the future to improve?
Okay. Well, there's a lot to take on board there. I mean, of course, I would have to say on behalf of the Board that we absolutely want to stand for improved shareholder returns. And we share in many ways, your frustration and not being able to return more and are working hard on the agenda that you were describing. I think in terms of the relationship between executive remuneration and the shareholder experience, I think it's closer than you're suggesting. I mean most of the executives are substantial shareholders themselves and are required to have very large share holdings before they can sell, I think, up to about 900% of his base pay in the case of the Chief Executive. And so in that sense, we build the alignment. About 35% of the bonus is based on financial performance, the things that you would recognize. But we do allow allocations for other things like operational performance and there is an increasing slug for what will probably be the predominant discussion of this meeting of our -- you would call our performance in the energy transition. And that is seen by many stakeholders as significant and an important way of rewarding shareholders. But we -- you have our commitment as a Board and as management to continue to live performance. I hope you've enjoyed some of the more recent results. I mean just in the last quarter, we were able to announce earnings over $9 billion in the quarter and an EBITDA of $19 million in the quarter and an aggressive continuation, which is a return to shareholders of our buyback program. And we have been continually increasing the underlying dividend, the underlying progressive dividend as well. So -- but I take it all on board. And we will work for a larger returns as we improve the running of the business. And we've already suggested on the current track that we expect our return, our cash returns to shareholders in the second half of the year to be in excess of our upper part of the range in our financial framework of 30% of cash from operations.
So could I provocatively suggest, Chairman, that the performance metrics, such as you've alluded to have not actually succeeded in the last 10 years to any great extent. And secondly, as to your Board being large shareholders, you're paying them so much they [ want ] to be.
Well, I did -- our Board are not large shareholders. I mean we have small shareholdings to protect our independence. They can't be too large, but our executives are large shareholders.
All right. Well, just as a final remark, say that your presentation this morning probably welcome to the intelligent converted and urge you to maintain the momentum in moving the emphasis away from fossil fuels to clean energy. Thank you.
Yes. You can take that for granted. Thank you very much for your constructive comments.
Thank you. We'll now take a question which has been posted online. It's a question from [ Mary Ann Pritchard. ] Her question is as follows, the IEA states, governments, companies, and investors will need to do much more and fast in order to bring more affordable and clean energy into the system. Why is Shell not doing much more? First part of the question. The IEA notes that there can be no new oil, gas or coal development if the world is to reach net zero by 2050. Why is Shell ignoring this? These are the 2 questions, Mr. Chair.
Well, I think quite a few of the issues around the IEA, Ben has already addressed in answers to other questions. I think I'm right. Ben, correct me if I'm wrong, but the IEA has not said no to all new oil. It's just said, no to new provinces. And we've, as Shell, committed that from 2025, we will not go into any new frontiers, but we will continue to develop the hydrocarbon provinces that we're operating at, albeit at a slow rate of capital spend, as Ben has described. But if I might point out that oil -- no oils are the same. And as we're going forward, we have to find the kind of oil whose carbon cost of production is low. Now there is such a thing as a low-carbon hydrocarbon value chain, and they're the ones that Shell strives to build. And we do that by carefully adding to some of our existing developments. So we're not ignoring this. We're very active. And I hope, actually, from both Ben and my speeches and our commitment that I think we communicated recently that we expect about half of our investment in new activities by 2025 to be into the low-carbon and zero carbon space [ dedicates ] that we're very serious about this. I don't know if there's anything you want to add.
No.
Okay.
Okay. Let's then go to question point #1. Ma'am?
[ Jenny Edwards ]. I'm an individual shareholder, and I've been a shareholder for some time having inherited my shares. Last time I was with you was in 2019 in The Hague, so I'd like to say hello to people who were there. Nice to see you again. Welcome to slightly weird start to your time in London and also welcome those of you who are new faces. Welcome to Andrew. I'm here both as a shareholder. Of course, I'm retired. I'm very keen on my dividends, but I'm also a human being, and I'm deeply concerned about the future facing us. I heard from the IPCC in their mitigation report that they're calling for a revolution in energy generation and supply. And what I've heard is, though it's welcomed steps in the right direction, it's not a revolution. So I look to all of you who have responsibility on the Board or as executives to move up to that energy revolution. The planet is not negotiating with us. The planet has a timetable, which actually is racing ahead all the time of our predictions for it. We have to move faster and with greater determination. I have to say I'm not convinced by your change in investment plans. You may say anything else is unrealistic, but the planet is not negotiating with us. Now I have been alerted by the Union of Concerned Scientists to one particular aspect of what's happening in Shell. It actually came from your climate lobbying report last month, where you found that there was misalignments in some of your lobbying investments and your aspirations. Specifically, 2 examples were the American Petroleum Institute, which is trying to use the war in Ukraine as an excuse for stalling or rolling back on climate change aspirations and the transition; and also the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which is lobbying against climate policies. But you're still in there saying you're working from inside. I think that strategy has been tried for a long time, and it's time for Shell to cut that connection and either find lobbying bodies that properly are aligned with what we know is needed, what the UN and what the IPCC is telling us or to establish something to actually lead that revolution that we're being called upon to do. And I do that with goodwill. I intend to stay with Shell, and I intend to be here every year to raise similar issues but also to say you're not anywhere near there at the moment. You must move faster. We must move faster because I accept I carry a very tiny part of the responsibility for what this company does as a shareholder.
Okay. Well, I guess it's -- context is everything. And I've been in this industry for 40 years, it feels like a revolution to me, but I accept your take on the system as well. But we are definitely increasing the pace. And we're always dreaming of greater possibilities of change. Look, we've all read the most -- the latest IPCC report, and we agree with their call to action. And we believe we're following it, but we are more than happy to be held to task by you. I think the issue about membership of trade associations is a thorny one. Shell has a process where they review, I think, annually -- Ben will correct me if I've got this wrong -- the -- our membership of a wide range of associations. And we are looking for exactly what you're concerned about, that they may be lobbying counter to the views that we and shareholder that you hold about what is necessary in the transition. And that has led to us resigning from some of those associations, and we will continue to repeat that. The API and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce are more complex, and this will sound a bit like a sort of a lame excuse. But of course, they do many more things than talk about climate. The API provides an awful lot of standards and is a great place for sharing how we can make the industry safer. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, of course, is seriously concerned about a number of issues that matter to Shell, for example, trading conditions and our commitment to free trade. And so it's not as easy to just say, "Well, we like all these bits, but we don't like the climate bits. And therefore, we're going to resign and leave all of that." But it's something we keep under review. I understand the tension. I'm not sure I would quite characterize these organizations as use -- trying to use the Ukraine war as a reason to reject climate change. And maybe some of the members are like that, but I don't think that's a consensus. So I don't go to the API. I think Ben does or maybe not. I think probably it's our U.S. President. I don't know if there's anything you want to add, Ben.
Perhaps just to reinforce. And indeed, we have left some of these associations when we felt that the differences became just too large, too irreconcilable and started to overshadow the good signs of being part of such an association. And we will continuously evaluate that on a year-by-year basis. What we will not do is do something that is optically interesting but actually has no substance. And in the years that we have been in the in the API and the last few years that we have indeed threatened with leaving, and we have worked very hard from the inside to change their policy positions. It is remarkable how much they have changed. And I have no issue to publicly say that we take credit for it and credit to Gretchen Watkins, who is representing us there. But there may come a time, as with some of the others, I would just say, "Well, now we don't see any progress anymore. Let's just go." I just want to make one more point, if I may, Mrs. [ Edwards ], on your investment levels and the revolutionary nature of it. So a lot of people talk about Paris-compliant investment. Well, there is no such thing. But if you just look at the total amount of money we spend, our capital investment and our operating costs, we spend $55 billion a year on stuff, projects, making energy and supplying it to people. About 1/3 of that spend is actually on low and no carbon this year. And by 2025, we think it will be 50%. So sometimes you hear people just quote historical numbers at 1% or 4% or whatever else. It is actually, by the middle of this decade, half of our expenditures will go on low and no carbon energy. There is no definition of whether that's enough or not enough or whatever else, but it's not insubstantial. It's not as if we are ignoring this. And indeed, if you look at historical numbers, they're much lower, and that's why I would agree with Chairman that it is actually -- it feels to me also like quite a significant change.
I can see there's been progress since 2019, but not what I would have hoped to have seen and certainly don't do anything for the optics that isn't serious. But I think Shell should be absolutely working with those who are saying we must go further and faster because the planet won't wait for us.
Correct. We agree.
Thank you. I think we'll go now to question point #2, and then I'll go online again because there are quite a few questions online. Go ahead.
My name is Sophie Marjanac, here today representing ClientEarth. In our view, in order to maintain confidence of the company's shareholders, the Board must demonstrate that the energy transition strategy supports and secures the long-term commercial and financial sustainability of the company. Yet, as recognized by our fellow shareholders today, we believe that there are serious flaws and discrepancies in the Board's current approach, which undermine this objective. Three key points. The first already raised by, follow this, the company is absent -- the absence of short- and medium-term absolute emission reduction targets despite the judgment of the Dutch Supreme Court that the Board make a contribution of 45% by 2030; secondly, the scale of the intensity targets, which we believe to be too low, and the risk of the company missing these targets; and finally, despite your previous comment, the continued investment in the so-called legacy business with 14 projects in the pipeline that are inconsistent with the IEA's net zero scenario. For these reasons, we are unable to support the energy transition strategy and consider it appropriate to hold the Board to account on the company's behalf by way of our anticipated shareholder litigation in the English High Court. We encourage our fellow investors to support that claim. We do not ask the Board to comment on that claim in this forum. Rather, our question relates to the long-term net zero goal. And really, in your most recent disclosures, you found that there was a significant risk that, should society not move fast enough, that Shell would not meet that so-called 2050 target to become a low-carbon energy business. So our question is does the Board accept that this goal is unrealistic, potentially implausible and amounts to a vague hope given the state of inconsistencies with net zero targets that have been pointed out by others here today.
Okay. Well, I think you were good enough to mention that because, to some extent, it's in the court, there's a limit to what we would be prepared to comment on in this forum. And so I probably -- and I think in all of your 3 points, we've tried to address them in answers to other questions anyway. I think on our long-term net zero target, we've always said that it needs to be something that we do together, but we are determined to be a very strong partner and driver in that change.
Okay. Mr. Chair, I'll go to a question online here then. We've got a question here from [ Christian Donovan ]. It's a relatively long question, so bear with me. Question is in 2 parts. The shareholder again seeks reassurance of the Board that it wants nothing to do with identity politics, quotas and the like of the leftist toxic agenda. Appointments across our organization will be down entirely to merit in a competitive process. Those selected should be those that are considered to bring the best value to our business. Our marketing and our communications will not be a bias towards any particular agenda, bias or a representation of certain races over others, which is common in the [ MSM ] nowadays. The Board should not give into bullying from those who seek to disrupt our business. Whilst clean energy is a desirable objective, we cannot sacrifice the lives of our customers and shareholders, many shareholders being people who live ordinary in communities on the basis of bullying and harassment from those who seek to disrupt our business. Respectful dialogue and an exchange of ideas is to be encouraged. Bullying is not. I'm sorry. It was a statement and not necessarily a question.
Okay. Well, look, well, I don't recognize Shell in this would be my first comment. I mean I think my second comment would be that we make all our appointments based on merit. But we are actually very, very proud that we have a gender diverse Board and of the statistics that I think Ben covered in his speech about the strong pipeline of diversity that we have feeding the senior management of Shell to, in many ways, replicate what you see in front of you and the Board. I've said earlier, I've worked in this industry for nearly 40 years. And I certainly find that diverse and inclusive teams outperform those which aren't. And I have hard evidence to support me on this and not just a sense of feeling about it. And it's something we do because it's the right thing to do. But in many cases, it's actually very commercially sensible to do it, and it's entirely based on merit. I think that really covers everything.
Yes. Let's go to question point #1 again now. And then we'll go to 2 and then we'll go online again. Thank you. Ma'am?
My name is [ Grace Smith ], and I'm a long-standing shareholder not aligned to any particular group. During the long pause this morning, I was chatting and reminded of Mark Moody-Stuart, who was one of the first to set this company on a path towards greater sustainability. I used to enjoy coming to the meetings and looked forward to hearing the vision for the future and innovation. I go from this meeting a feeling that I've heard justifications and explanations. And our CEO has referred to strategies that can cope with change and responding to change. So my question -- my first question is, is that all we can aspire to. We've heard about helping to reduce emissions. We've heard about looking to find a path to solutions, but surely a company this size and capacity ought to be leading and spearheading change. So my question is where is our vision to lead towards a better future. And then secondly, moving from lofty aims to practicalities. Now that we are Shell plc, please, could we have an AGM at a reasonable time, Greenwich Mean Time, because some of your shareholders are disabled and have great difficulty traveling towards Central London during rush hour?
Okay. I will take note of that. But I also, as I mentioned earlier, acknowledge we're now doing all this online and trying to reach a global audience as well, but point well made on your second point, Ms. [ Smith ]. I've clearly done a bad job. I actually think that -- and I know Mark Moody-Stuart quite well -- that the Shell of Mark Moody-Stuart is alive and kicking. This is a highly innovative company that is driving hard to reduce emissions. Since becoming Chair, I've had the opportunity to visit quite a number of locations, and 2 of my trips have been to our major centers of research and development, where we are driving hard to really unlock some of the technologies that will allow all of us to move to a lower-carbon future. And so I'll watch our language, but I feel that I have failed and I've slightly misrepresented. And I have to apologize to Mark when I see him next.
Okay. I'm just looking for the time when I don't have to come here or go online to hear about what Shell is doing because I've already heard it out there because it's so exciting.
Okay. Well said.
Okay. Let's go to question point #2. Sir?
[ Paul Rustenburg ], a private investor, who's gained his shares by inheritance like our previous speaker. First of all, I'd like to thank you for making this AGM accessible to people in London, having had to miss several because I've not been in a position to travel to The Hague for about 10:00 in The Hague. I'd also like to thank you, Sir Andrew, and commend you for the way you handled the events of this morning. That wasn't easy, and we've all survived very well. I'm afraid this question slightly echoes the previous one. You've referred to the IPCC report a number of times in which it talked about the need for immediate reductions in emissions of GHGs. I'm not going to bore everyone by repeating it. But the UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres responded by stating that investing in new -- and note that word new, not where it is already, not the continuous, new fossil fuels infrastructure is moral and economic madness. What is the opinion of the Board of the UN General Secretary's comment? And bearing in mind also yesterday's resignation of Caroline Dennett, will Shell commit to cease investment in new fossil fuel infrastructure as soon as possible, if not immediately, and certainly before 2025? Or will they continue on the path that the UN Secretary General has described as moral and economic madness even if only for a couple of years?
I've got to think. Yes, I mean I perhaps tried to give an answer to that, and I think so has Ben in other -- in our answers to other questions. We probably do, respectfully, disagree in a small way with the UN Secretary General, that we think that a zero carbon world will still require some hydrocarbons, in particular, for things which are not to be burnt, like lubricants and chemicals, for example, and that hydrocarbon production will be necessary to sustain that. We also believe that until a proper solution is found for the ability to store renewable energy, we are going to be dependent on gas, which is the cleanest of all hydrocarbons. And so in our twin duty of guaranteeing security of supply and also driving to lower and lower carbon, we do have to balance and phase the withdrawal of hydrocarbons or people will go short and maybe less aligned to what we're trying to do as a consequence. So we do introduce new ones. But directionally, we're in the same place. We are, as Ben has described, reducing our investment in hydrocarbons, significantly growing our investment in low-carbon and zero-carbon sources. And we feel this will offer the fairest solution, if I could put it that way, for the whole world because for people in less advantaged countries or people a lot poorer than ourselves to create a shortage or a high cost of energy prematurely through not getting this transition right could be very bad indeed. So in spirit, I'm with them; but in detail, I think we see things a little more nuanced in Shell. But don't doubt our commitment to go with the world to net zero by 2050 and a very much lower-carbon future in a sustainable and just way.
Thanks, Mr. Chair. I'll do one online now, and then I will go to question point #1. The question online here is from [ Robert James Michael Barrett ]. And his question is can we have more assurances of Shell's transition to renewable energy sources and supply, please. Relatively short question.
Why don't you try that, Ben?
Yes, happy to do so. Thank you very much, Mr. [ Barrett ]. I think, absolutely, we are investing more and more in more renewable sources, more renewable supply chains for cleaner energy. And of course, as I said also in the speech, we try to, at the same time, create a market for these products as well. I hear a lot of times people just say why don't you just build more wind farms. Not that we're not building wind farms. We're doing a lot in terms of building new wind farms, but wind farms will not help make flying carbon neutral. So we need something else for that. We need to make a product that doesn't really exist at scale. In shipping, we will not have electric heavy-duty road transport. And many of the industrial energy uses are not going to be electric for a long time to come as well. So for those, we need to do different types of supply chains. Some of it is hydrogen. Some of it is bio, and you will exactly see us focus on those supply chains as well. But we cannot just build the supply chains and that will come. We have to, at the same time, develop the market for that. And therefore, our customer-backed strategy is still very much relevant. I cannot go to British Airways and say, "Buy this beautiful sustainable aviation fuel. It's only 3x as expensive as kerosene, but at least your customers feel good about flying on it." It doesn't work like that. It will only work if there are mandates from governments compelling airlines to use sustainable aviation fuels. And therefore, the price point is being created rather than innovated towards. So yes, we absolutely have this commitment to go as fast as we can. We will probably go ahead of society on this. We are putting investments in for which markets do not yet exist. We are contemplating very significant investments of hydrogen plants at the moment for which there are 0 customers. But I can't put $10 billion to work in the hope that over time this investment will come good. You will not approve if we would do that. So it is going to be supply and sources, absolutely, but pulled by demand. And that is where the focus of our strategy is -- also is.
Thanks, Ben. We'll go to question point #1 now.
I am a shareholder, a long-standing shareholder. Mrs. Thatcher made that possible for people like us. Oil spills are still a major problem in Nigeria. You know Nigeria very well. You've been running the oil company since 1958. And in fact, 2 weeks ago, there was news that 100 people died trying to vandalize 1 of your pipelines. What does it take for Shell to get around with the Nigerian government and really tackle this problem? Because I have mentioned this problem on so many occasions in the past and nothing has been done. I don't know whether you're afraid of the Nigerian government. After all, the American President fines you straightaway for any spills in the Mississippi. They do that. Nigerian leader has very little power to do anything. You have more power than he has. So please try and explain to us what you intend to do to try and minimize this problem. 100 people have just lost their lives trying to make a living out of vandalizing your pipelines. Okay?
We'll look at -- that was a terrible incident. I can assure you -- I'm going to ask Ben to talk about some of the details. But in the short time that I've been on the Board, we spend a lot of time, the Board and the committees, discussing the challenges of Nigeria, which are quite extreme in some places in order to avoid things like that and to continue to operate the business. So it has our attention. And I'm very satisfied that we do spend a lot of time talking with the government and their representatives, but it's still difficult. But Ben?
Yes. Thank you very much. And I remember, indeed, we have talked about the subject many times before. It -- and it is a subject that I also personally engaged. Theft and then illegal refining, et cetera, has been really growing very significantly and in the end, has resulted in a situation where there is almost complete lawlessness at times in the delta, which is very difficult for a company like us to operate in. We cannot be a force on to ourselves. We cannot even have security people. We have to rely on the protection from government. If we have to look at the percentage of spills, more than 90% of the spills being caused are caused by vandalism, sometimes very sadly vandalism to create a spill so that a claim can be made, which, of course, is a tragic consideration for everybody affected. And what we have been resorting to other than increased vigilance and shutting down pipelines as soon as we have a detection of a spill or a loss of pressure in it, et cetera, what we have also started doing is to just put restrictive facilities on. So we have, at the moment, 187 of our wellheads have cages on them with CCTV, so we can monitor vandalism in progress and we can notify the authorities that there is vandalism in progress. But it is a very difficult environment to operate in, where in the end, the end responsibility for the rule of law is not to a company like us to enforce. I do think that the Nigerian...
There is money as well, yes?
Well, but the amount of money we...
[ Our profit's ] going away. It's been scared away.
That's very true. And the percentages of crude being indeed stolen or unfortunately also leaking to the environment or being illegally refined and sold on is not insignificant. It is actually a significant hit economically for the country as well. But I must regretfully say that some of these challenges are beyond what is sort of controllable by a company like us. We do clean up spills though. Every spill that is being caused, whether it is an operational leak, which, unfortunately, also happens but even if it is a sabotaged leak, we clean it up. And last year, we remediated 187 sites where the leaks have occurred. And the very large leaks that happened there for some time, like Bodo and other leaks in Ogoniland, we continue to make progress with the cleanup there as well. So we take responsibility for those leaks that have been caused by operational circumstances; and even if they have been caused by sabotage, we take responsibility for it. I think in the end, unfortunately, we have to concede that this is sort of beyond what we can do. And therefore, we have decided to also review our operations onshore in Nigeria. And we are deciding, as we have been doing for almost a decade now, to gradually and maybe now quite quickly remove ourselves from onshore oil because we believe this is an impossible position to manage. I agree. It's sad.
Okay. I will go now to a question online, and I'll come to question point #2. There's a question online from [ Stephen Derek Pullin ]. I note that Shell are prioritizing biofuels from ethanol in a partnership with Raizen and others for SAF production. But isn't this a false economy when such offsetting will inevitably take up more land than should be used to grow food, not to facilitate businesses as usual for aviation? The aim to increase sales from SAF biofuel production to 2 million tonnes by 2025 will increase land use problems. Where is all this land going to come from? Is it the only way to reduce aviation emissions to reduce aviation rather than offsetting using land or facilitating growing food for planes rather than for people? Further, are Shell not offsetting investments in nature-based solution projects and trades in associated carbon credits country to the corporate responsibility statement, the powering progress strategy and achieving true energy transition? This is resulting in buying time for a delay rather than urgent and planetary essential transition.
Okay. Well, if you're listening online, Mr. [ Pullin ], thank you for your question. I mean the points you raised are absolutely spot on. We really have to get this right, and we certainly don't want to be in a position of substituting fuel for food as you're talking about this. I mean the reality is, is that we very much want to work with waste and with bio products that grow in places where food couldn't grow. And we're scrupulous in trying to make this the case in many of the things that we're looking at. And the same goes, I think, with the opportunity for nature-based solutions, where we want to be very clear that they are genuine credits and they have genuinely captured carbon in a permanent way. And I think we pioneered the way of doing that. There's nothing in this that is seeking to avoid working on other forms of decarbonization, the move towards more renewable energy, the hydrogen economy and potentially also the use of carbon capture and storage. They're working together. And I think if we're going to get there and we're really determined of getting to net zero as quickly as we can, we need to make sure we fully utilize biological sources as opposed to crude oil sources for a number of things that we might do, make very good use of things like nature-based solutions to offset while we can. And we may need this forever because we may want to continue taking carbon out of the atmosphere even when we get to the point of not adding new additional carbon. So this is something that we will do with great care. And we understand the issues that you raised, and we certainly don't use this as an excuse for not doing other things that we can do that don't involve nature. But the other thing about this is, of course, if we get it right, we make other contributions to things like biodiversity, which we would welcome as well as, of course, the carbon reduction that they can bring.
Okay. Thank you. We'll go to question point #2, and then I'll go online, and then I'll come to you on question point #1.
[ Andy Coulter ], shareholder. Thank you very much for your speeches that we heard and particularly your insights on to the supply and demand side and the risk of substitution from Mr. Van Beurden, the risk of substitution on the supply side. My question is quite simply what scope do you see to increase the speed to net zero and low-carbon emissions within Shell.
Okay. Well, maybe, Ben?
It's, of course, the question that we are contemplating all the time. Let me break it into 2. First of all, we're looking at net zero of our own emissions. And just again, to put some numbers in the room, our own emissions back in 2016, if you look at our facilities and the energy that we use in those facilities, is about 80 million tonnes. We are well on our way to halving that by 2030 to 40 million tonnes. And that needs to come down, of course, to 0 by 2050 as well. And if we can go faster, we will go faster. The Scope 3 emissions, so the emissions of U.S., hopefully, one of our customers and other customers around the world are, of course, much larger. It's all the petrol and diesel and everything else we sell. That's more like 1,500 million tonnes per year. We could halve that quite quickly. We could just get rid of half of our customers. And then that would be fine. But then, of course, we can't work with those customers anymore to help them reduce their own emissions. So the pace with which we work with our customers to bring them to net zero on their Scope 1 and 2 is ultimately going to be the pace with which we will reduce our Scope 3 emissions. Now what we have said we would do, sir, is not to just say, well, we'll hang back. And if our customers are ready, we'll be there to supply them the energy they need. As a matter of fact, we have made it our strategy to work with our customers and say, "We hear that you are interested in reducing your own emissions. How can we help you?" And we are continuously finding new ways. We are even finding also those customers who say, "You know what, energy is not a necessarily a big deal for me in my -- the cost of goods or whatever else. I just want to go to net zero. I don't mind paying more." And we use those customers to actually help us boost the innovation and deploying new supply chains. And we're -- actually, if you look to some of the results slide pack that we bring out, we have now -- just last year, we signed 50 agreements with large companies, yes, Amazons, Microsoft, Googles, but also DHL and others, to just find new ways to bring sustainable fuels into the mix, new power into the mix to really go faster. But it is these types of activities -- because again, to a question by another shareholder earlier on, for me to just build the facilities in the hope that customers at some point in time will have use for the products is not going to be a sustainable strategy either. But I can tell you, we are going as fast as we can even to the point that we have said we will remove this [ in-step ] society language because, first of all, reality is we are going much faster than society. And secondly, really, our strategy is to, where we can, help drive society to a net zero outcome. That's exactly what we are doing. And as I said, the 2.5% may not sound like a lot, but if society does exactly 0, it is progress that is faster than society. And we will continue to accelerate, and I think that we can get to 0 even if society is lagging behind.
Could I suggest a supplement then, there's also a strategy for acceleration?
It's a fair question. I thought that was what it was but clearly not enough. But we will have a look at it and see how we can point out where acceleration is possible, what we are doing and how well we are succeeding in it. I think that's an excellent point.
I have one more question online, and then I'll go to question point #1. This is another question from [ Robert James Michael Barrett ]. Can we -- how are you planning your strategy while you take into account volatile oil and gas wholesale and retail prices?
I mean when you work in the commodities business, you actually have a strategy that anticipates and expects volatile input costs and output costs. It's the nature of the business. And actually, the people who are the most successful ones are the ones who can manage that in the most effective way. I think it's the whole basis really of how Shell plans. We assume that things are going to be volatile, and we build balance sheets, and we have capital allocation frameworks that anticipate that we are going to see reasonable volatility in both top line and, indeed, the bottom line of this company. I think nothing more I can say to that really.
Thank you. Let's go to question point #1.
My name is [ Gloria Brown ], and I'm a shareholder. I'd like to say that the bible, it's very difficult to navigate; the typeface, very small, at least 12 point and maybe some more pictures. It's just very complicated to read. I was here probably 3 years ago, and I brought up the -- what I observed about diversity. And it says you have 82,000 staff; and yet, it appears that you don't seem to have any BME people. You have a percentage of women, but I don't see any men on the Board certainly from other nationalities. And I think when I read your diversity, I'm just -- I just can just summarize it. It says our ambition is to become one of the most diverse and inclusive organizations in the world, a place where everyone, including employees [indiscernible] evidently, I feel, and just in terms of what was said earlier about we're very diverse. I think there's work to be done. And looking at your version, I wasn't clear about the apprentices and for people who are on low incomes. I think you need to include that because it's a very hard time for a lot of people, and I'm feeling -- although I'm a shareholder, there's few...
People of color and about that, I think, about 21% in the U.K. classifies themselves as -- of an ethnic minority. So more to do, but maybe it's not quite as evident to you as we should have made it and possibly made it in the report, and I accept all of that. But I think this is a company that is very serious about all dimensions of diversity, ethnic diversity, gender diversity and diversity in sexual identity. And we, I think, do some pretty decent stuff, but we clearly need to showcase it more.
And please now, you have to have a diversity training, so maybe that's something you can look at because the world is changing.
Yes. I'm on the Board, I suspect there are such people in Shell having run another big company. Thank you.
Thank you. I'll go to question point #2. Then I'll have statements here, and then I'll go to question point #1. So sir, go ahead.
[ Norm Edwards ], shareholder. There's a growing lobby that there should be a windfall tax on the big oil companies. I think the government has said one thing against this is that the company should increase their investments into the U.K. So what is Shell's strategy for trying to avoid the windfall tax? And are they sort of collaborating with other companies such as BP and the other majors in trying to convince the government that a windfall tax sounds a good idea, but in terms of the long term, your commitment not to increase your investments into new regions?
Well, in general, we leave matters of withholding tax to politicians. And our contribution to some of the factors that have risen to that is to commit to invest to secure here in the U.K. its energy supply and reduce its carbon footprint. And David Bunch, who's with us today, he's the country head, recently talked about an investment plan of up to GBP 25 million in the next 10 years, of which about 75% of that is in the lower-carbon sector. But I'm -- Ben maybe want to say more about the dialogue that we have. But as always, we hope that any changes are -- have a net effect of incentivizing investment and not the other way around.
Yes. Thank you very much. It is indeed a very topical subject, as Chairman said, so we have plans to invest in this decade up to GBP 25 billion in the U.K., subject, of course, to all these individual projects being approved by this Board. But it's a very significant amount of money. As a matter of fact, we are already significant investors in the North Sea. But of course, more and more, this investment will go into alternative sources of energy, charge points, other facilities, et cetera. So about 75% of that GBP 25 billion will be in low- or no-carbon energy systems. Government is very much aware of that. As a matter of fact, we work with the government all the time to help them improve regulations, planning constraints and everything else for us to get ahead of it. Maybe you heard Chairman talk about our Fulham EV charging station. Well, that took 1 year to build, and that took 5 years to get the permit for it. And you heard me talk about having a ScotWind floating wind park off the coast of Scotland. Well, if we go at the rate that we are currently going, it will take us 10 years before we get the permits for it. That, of course, cannot be the way it needs to be done. And Prime Minister very much agrees with that as well. Now in terms of the dialogue, of course, we talk amongst the industry to the extent that it is permissible because there's only so much, of course, we can talk to each other. And it -- and we talk to the government as well. I will not tell you exactly what the details are. But of course, first of all, the prerogative for a windfall tax is the government's, not ours. There is good and bad ways of designing a tax structure. And if you do it in a bad way, then indeed, it can discourage investment as has happened before. But the supplementary charge that currently exists in the North Sea, so it was about -- we pay corporation tax and then a supplementary charge on top of it, that, for instance, comes with investment allowances. So those who invest in new energy actually get partly their money back from the supplementary charge. And these types of mechanisms can actually be quite helpful mechanisms, and we continue to remind the government that there is good ways and maybe that's good ways of doing it. But in the end, it's a government decision.
Thank you. I'll go with a statement online, and then I'll go to question point #1. It's a statement from [ Lydia Patricia Mesne ]. I suggest you give the protesters a few shares each and insist they attend the next online AGM meeting so that they can see what positive and detailed steps organizations are trying hard to make. I attended the Bedford Borough Local Agenda 21 workshop on sustainable communities in Bedford in the U.K. from the mid-1990s to early 2000s, interesting and very constructive. It's reported to the then Minister of the Environment, which then fed into the future UN ideas. I agree it's frightening that the LA 21, which was referred to earlier, started about 25 years ago, and there still seems to be more talk than walk. However, there were similar initiatives nationally and internationally. Perhaps a review process to involve the protesters in constructive ideas, feedback to those who are protesting, also make them aware of the UN web pages and maybe their national UNA websites so as the una.org.uk and also the Together First initiative to mark 75 years of the United Nations. Thank you for all the work, and take care. That was the statement. Let's go to question point #1.
First of all, can I say how great it is that Shell has got an AGM back in the U.K. after so many years and as a single company? That's a modest thing to do. The second point, I'd just like to say to the Chair, compliment to you on steering the ship in these stormy waters today. Your first stormy AGM, well done. Thank you, sir. I've actually got 3 topics, which I'll go through quite quickly. The first one actually was slightly preempted a few minutes ago about windfall tax. And I guess my question is very simply, what investments would Shell not do if it was subjected to a U.K. windfall tax. That's the first one. The second one I have is about Shell Energy, which is very much in the retail area that Shell operates in. In the most recent Which Magazine, domestic customer survey of 18 energy supplying companies in the U.K. and published in March '22 this year, Shell Energy was the second worst with a score of 53% versus the best, which was Octopus with customer satisfaction score of 70%. The various criteria, customer service, bill accuracy, bill clarity, value for money, with maximum star rating of 5, Shell scored either 2 or 3 stars. And this was a survey done in September '21. I drew attention to this poor performance at an AGM of Shell before COVID. The situation does not seem to have improved. This is definitely not a case that go well with Shell. Indeed, quite the opposite. Does Shell Energy accept that all is not well? And when will this be fixed? So if I could just move on to my final point, sir. The subject of biofuels was mentioned also from -- on the line. I just want to pick up a bit on liquid biofuels. Page 67 of the annual report and Page 17 of the energy transition booklet identifies that 9.1 billion liters of biofuel went into Shell's fuels worldwide. Some of this biofuel is bioethanol derived from the Raizen sugar-related operation in Brazil. The rest, I guess, will be from buying ethanol from other bio sources, principally corn or maize as we would call it over here, which in the U.S.A. is federally subsidized in preference to growing wheat for food and other cereals, biodiesel from vegetable, animal fats and oil crops such as sunflower seed and of course, what you've mentioned several times already this afternoon, sustainable aviation fuel. Putting this into context, the U.S.A. is the largest gasoline market in the world. Heavily subsidized corn production has replaced wheat in the [indiscernible] ethanol for trucks and cars is from -- coming from corn. U.S.A., this can add up to 15% of the fuel; and in the U.K., it's now 10%, E10 and E15. The U.S.A. share of world wheat export is now only 13%. It was 25% in the period 2001 to 2005. As a result of the Ukraine-Russia war, which you referred to at the beginning of your -- this afternoon, the world is now in a food crisis situation as the Ukraine was the bread basket of Europe and Russia were the major exporters of wheat, other cereals and sunflower seeds. And as you know, the sunflower is the national flower of Ukraine, a symbol of resistance. Your argument will be that this is justified in the pursuit of net zero by 2050, and it is economically attractive or mandated in some markets. However, I would suggest that it is ethically indefensible to continue using biofuels sourced from land, which could be better used for food production. Can -- on its sources of biofuels commit not to use any which compromise the use of land for food production and assure that all bio sources are truly sustainable?
Okay. Well, there's 3 questions there. I mean I think we've partly dealt with the biofuel question earlier, but I mean I'll give a chance to Ben to add to that on Shell Energy performance. Perhaps, actually that's another one for you, Ben. It's very hard to give a sort of judgment about when you're seeing the changing in incentive for regimes as to just what would happen. So many things are changing at the same time. So I would just repeat that we would hope that any change in taxation or whatever that's to do with the current situation we find in terms of very high energy costs around the world, it balances the incentive to invest for the longer term as well as looking after those in greatest hardship. But Ben, maybe you might -- feel free to add to that as well, but you probably need to comment on Shell Energy and anything extra on biofuels.
Yes. Thank you very much, and I don't have anything to add on the windfall tax. I share your concern about the performance of Shell Energy. That is a performance that we have to turn around. I cannot negate what is there as a rating of the company. We're working very hard, by the way, to improve customer satisfaction. As you can imagine, it's quite a tough environment for our customers as well. So therefore, there is a lot of dissatisfaction in general, but some of it, I think, comes clearly from processes that kind of should improve internally. On your biofuels question, you're right. These numbers are the numbers. And indeed, a significant quantum comes from our sugarcane ethanol in Brazil, which is a well-established business. It has been there for decades, if not, a century or more -- centuries actually. It was predominantly sugar but now increasingly, of course, also alcohol. As a matter of fact, there is no sugar shortage in the world at this point in time. We can switch between producing sugar and ethanol. But the point is, indeed, that in the United States, there are legal obligations to put ethanol into the mix, and we have to therefore buy if you want to sell petrol. And the only way to not comply with it is to just get out of the business. And so it's a government policy. Having said that, though, sir, I fully agree that we should have a biofuel long-term strategy that is focused on being not in competition with food, and that's exactly what we are doing. So if you look, for instance, to one of the previous questions on alcohol for jet fuel, that is going to come from investments that we are making at the moment in our Brazil footprint of so-called second-generation fuels. So this is waste material that is currently left on the field to rot, plowed into the field perhaps, which we now collect and also convert into biofuels. There's 5 plants in the world that can do that, one of which is Raizen. And it is the only well-performing plant in the world. So it shows you there is quite a technological challenge. So a little bit to your question, we do have actually quite a bit of technology vision out to where we can be a leading player. And not only will we be building most likely 10 of these large-scale second-generation waste-based ethanol plants. We also are very far advanced in waste-based drop in kerosene, for instance. At the moment, we use animal fats and the like and waste oils, et cetera, but also those are not going to be sustainable in the long run. We have to look at garbage or woody biomass or rubbish in general. And we have the technologies at breakthrough point to produce biofuels in that way. But at this point in time, we're also, of course, beholden by government mandates that specify what one should do. But it's not the long-term strategy of our company.
Can I just add -- I don't think I added my name. [ David Sums ], long-term shareholder and Shell pensioner.
I'll do one more question online, sir. If you sit down and then I'll do your question. Is that okay? I'll do one question online, and then I'll take your question. We've got a question online from [ Anthony David Bradford Ware ]. Good morning, he said. It's now good afternoon. Would you please give a clear and concise update on the future dividend policy for the company? In particular, what growth rate is anticipated given the experience of the recent dividend cut at the behest of her majesty's government during COVID?
I'm going to ask the -- our new Chief Financial Officer to answer this question, although I just want to clarify one thing. I mean I think by the recent dividend cut, they mean the -- a couple of years back now, and that was a result of a COVID-induced slump in the world economy. And I don't think I could blame that entirely on the government here in the U.K. But since then, we've -- I think we've been growing the dividend. And maybe, Sinead, you could add some more color.
Thank you very much. And Mr. [ Ware ], the concise answer, of course, is that we have a 4% progressive dividend. However, if I were to take a step back, I would say that, of course, we return to shareholders through a variety of elements. And our shareholder distributions, of course, include both buybacks as well. So what you will have seen, of course, in the first half of this year is us following through on the $8.5 billion of share buybacks that we have also done. So that is combined with the 4% progressive dividend. And you will see that $8.5 billion continue to play out until our Q2 results. What we've also said, of course, is that at our Q2 results, we will give an update with respect to our distributions. So I won't go further than that at this point in time apart from to clarify that we did say that we expect to be in excess of distributions in the second half of this year of 30% of CFFO or cash flow from operations.
I think we go to here, question point #2. Sir?
I'm going to ask -- [ I was getting here ] one way or another. A few years ago, at a Shell meeting, I was persuaded because I was talking to your Shell Energy people saying that my gas and electricity company was basically -- I was coming to the end of my contracted, and I wanted to find -- so was going to start looking around, shall we say, for a new, shall we say, energy company. And well, I was persuaded [ to go and ] my gas and electricity bill increasing dramatically. How much it is at the moment? I don't know. I was hoping there'll be somebody here from Shell Energy I can most likely talk to afterwards one way or another after this meeting. So I can talk about it. But you have been talking about investment for the future. And as I say, the previous speaker was talking about how low down, i.e. shall we say, the quality to give you, Shell Energy here, a chance to, in a way, redeem themselves. I'm on pension credit. And as you know -- as you could see, I'm a pensioner. I don't have a private pension. I rely on what you call the state pension plus their handout. I'll be interested to know if you're going to invest in what you call members of the company who are on pensions credit, whether you will be able to give them what you call a very, very good discount on the gas and electricity to keep them as a member of Shell Energy. That's all I want to ask you, something that's food for thought and something that you look forward to hearing about and reading about that you're going to do something for us pension credits senior citizens because there's quite a few in this country. There might even be some here for all I know. As I say, I look forward to having...
So at the registration desk, so on the way out, they may be able to talk as with any aspect of your Shell Energy service or bill. And we are -- we're obviously concerned about the hardship of the -- the high prices are causing and what measures we could introduce, including within Shell Energy, and I think they may be able to help you with that as well.
Okay. Question point #1. Go ahead, sir.
Yes, it's pretty similar. You're obviously making fantastic profits at the moment. Why can't you just charge a bit less to your customers for gas, electric, oil, petrol, whatever, reduce your profits, head off any windfall tax and that would benefit customers, the economy. Everyone's a winner.
It's a matter of policy. I mean you either direct or help for the most vulnerable -- could provide to the most vulnerable.
Well, it seems like you're not providing to anyone.
Well, again, I don't know the details. I'm aware there are some hardship funds in some of our areas but...
Maybe a few points to also bear in mind, sir, and of course, we very much recognize the concerns not just in this country, many other countries where people are facing very significant increases in the energy cost. And at the same time, of course, we are reporting very significant profits. These profits, of course, we do not necessarily [indiscernible] energy retail business. They are actually quite slim businesses. We talked earlier about Shell Energy here in the U.K. That's not a very profitable business. As a matter of fact, it's a loss-making business. But of course, yes, we do make profits in the international oil and gas markets, power markets, chemical markets, et cetera. What we can and should be doing is to make sure that not only is there more and better infrastructure in those parts of the world, whether it's a supply-demand mismatch like here in this country. We do not have enough access to energy to bring energy prices in general down. And secondly, we have to have mechanisms where we retail to end customers, to consumers like yourselves and other people, we have to have mechanisms to find how to protect the most vulnerable. And we do have those mechanisms. We do have hardship funds. We do have funds to give people payment holidays. We do have other ways of making sure that those customers who are being hit by the escalation and cost and the rise with the release of the price cap actually get protected where that is due. And we are, at this point in time, considering how we can extend the facility because we do not see at this point in time the problem getting any smaller anytime soon. So we hope that we can demonstrate that we are a responsible player. But to just say let us, just on the retail side of business, make a loss because that would just -- what it would be. And then channel some of our international profits into those markets where we now are loss-making is just not a sustainable way to run our business.
I've got one last question online. And there are no questions on the phone, so we've just checked that. There are no questions on the phone. Last question here online is from [ Robert James Michael Barrett ]. Windfall tax would deprive Shell of scope for debt repayment. I think that Shell should and wonder if Shell would commit to corporate debt repayment as a priority of dividends and buyback of shares. Should we not also use cash flows to maintain Shell's credit rating?
Well, of course, the choice about what to do with free cash is a big job of this Board, and you kind of outlined many of the things that we could do with it. But the guidance, of course, is always sought from the CFO. And maybe, Sinead, you might want to add to that.
See if the microphone works. Indeed, it is a matter of balance. So when we look at our financial framework, there are many elements that come to it. One is ensuring that we have a robust company that we can invest into the future and of course, ensuring that we can spend the monies that we're talking about, which are more than 23 billion at the moment a year, investing into the future with that mix for the energy transition as well. It goes back to ensuring that our shareholders have the necessary distributions to reward them as well, whether that's through the buybacks that I discussed earlier or the progressive dividend that we also discussed. But beyond that, it is about ensuring that we have a healthy and robust balance sheet. In times like this, it is incredibly important to do so. And you will, of course, see that in Q1, we reduced our balance sheet by several billion as well in terms of the debt number to reduce the debt down. So this is a balance that we go through. Our credit rating is important to us. It allows us for the future to be able to continue to invest, even if we see situations where there are turmoil in the markets, et cetera, but we are doing that in a steady manner. And that balance is definitely there. So I think it is clear to see -- to say that we will be able to continue with a very robust financial framework and continue to monitor it accordingly.
I see there's another question at question point #1. Is that correct? Go ahead, sir.
[ Jon Quickly ], a normal shareholder. Two things, wind farms are very labor intensive at the moment, aren't they, for the checking of the cables and the actual wind farms themselves. In Aberdeen, there is a company now that does robotic checking of the things. Is there any possibility that you might invest in that where somebody on land can remotely check everything on your behalf and then do it that way? Secondly, with the wind farms, is there a storage facility? Is it for us to have the storage facility? Or is it for the national grid to provide a storage facility?
I think Ben will answer that.
Thank you very much, Mr. [ Quickly ]. It -- I'm not so sure whether wind farms are more labor intensive than some of the other operations. But you're absolutely right. We always look at ways to deploy things like robotics and advanced digital technologies to do things smarter. I'm not specifically aware of a robotics company in Aberdeen, but I will take it back to the team that we have looking at these types of investments. We have a -- in Shell a branch called Shell Technology Ventures that continuously scans the market and see which promising start-up companies or early life ideas are out there for us to grow up, invest in, then maybe become a customer of or maybe even taking the company in if we believe it is strategic for us. So this is definitely an idea that I will take back. On your battery question, yes, indeed, batteries are going to be needed, particularly, of course, to deal with the day and night variations. Many time, you need the electricity on moments when there is insufficient wind or insufficient sunshine. So dealing with that day/night variation is important. But increasingly, we're also beginning to see seasonal needs. So we need to store energy in the summer for use in the winter. You can't really do a very conventional battery, but maybe you can do this with other technologies like hydrogen again for instance. So what we actually see is a whole patchwork of storage and other technologies to deal with this problem that you cannot turn on the wind when you need it or you cannot turn on the sun when you need it. You have to somehow have a response to it, which is either storing it or maybe also asking certain customers to switch off because they can afford to switch off just for a few hours. And that actually is part of our electrical strategy as well, to be a very clever operator of these types of technologies, quite often, of course, together with our customers and in a way then also make money that we can share with our customers by bringing the cost of electricity down. That strategy is not fully implemented, of course. No company exists that can do this in the way that I just described, but it's very much at the heart of our strategy to be that type of player. So we are always looking out for ideas like the ones that you mentioned.
May I suggest yourself and your colleagues go into the BBC iPlayer and look at last Saturday's addition of Click, the magazine, the electronic magazine, and you will see the robotic being based in Aberdeen.
We've got one last question, Mr. Chair, online, which I'll read. This is a question from a Dutch shareholder, Mr. [ Jan Stoker ]. Shell reported over the last 10 years EUR 350 billion in operating cash flow. Shell paid out EUR 127 billion in dividend and share repurchases to shareholders, which is about 1/3. How much of the operating cash flow has been invested in old energy and how much in new energy? How much of your prospective cash flow in euros over the next 5 years can go into new energy? And how much will go into old energy? How fast will you be moving with your investments towards complying with the court decision in the Netherlands? In order for outsiders to monitor improvements, can Shell mention these exact amounts in its annual reports?
Okay. Well, thank you, Mr. [ Stoker ]. I mean Ben and I have referred to aspects of this -- of your question in some of our other answers. Just to repeat, when we take account of all funds that are going into new investments, and we think about 1/3 is going into what you would call new energy and 2/3 into old energy, but by 2025, so that's almost the next 5 years, that should go over 50% into new energy. But I'm not sure how much they relate to the court decision in the Netherlands. But Ben, maybe you might want to add to that.
Yes. Well, thank you very much, Mr. [ Stoker ]. We now see there are ever more opportunities to invest in lower- and no-carbon energy products. And that is basically because technology is coming off edge. It is because customers demand it and are sometimes prepared to pay the so-called green premium that these products still have. And yes, we are much more imaginative and risk is much more important. Now for the avoidance of any doubt, the court in -- the Lower Court in The Hague that rendered the verdict of a 45% reduction in our own emissions and a significant best efforts obligation for our customers' emissions [ never sat ], and this means that you have to invest X, Y or Z amount. Whatever it takes, we are going to reduce by 50% the emissions in our own operations and we think this will all make economic sense. And of course, the emission reductions in our customers' operations, that actually needs to be a source of profit for us. Otherwise, there is no longevity in a company like ours. If indeed we cannot make money by selling low- and no-carbon energy to our customers, then we have a problem not as Shell but as a world because if there is no money in the energy transition, what solution is there then? So we will find that way, but it necessarily is not translatable to you have to invest this minimum amount of money. It is the outcome that matters, and that's how you should judge us, on outcomes.
Thank you, Ben. I think we have now covered all the questions presented. So that brings us to the conclusion of the meeting and on to the voting. So we'll now move to the formal voting part of the meeting. Many of you will have already sent in your proxy cards and do not need to vote again. But as I mentioned earlier, voting has been open throughout the meeting and will remain open for 15 minutes following the conclusion of the meeting. And if you're unsure how to vote, the instructions are provided on Page 23 of the Notice of Meeting. As a reminder, we took the Notice of Meeting as read earlier in the meeting, so I will not be reading out each resolution. Proxy votes that have been submitted in advance of today's meeting amount to 4.55 billion votes, and that represents approximately 61% of the company's issued share capital. And I'm now going to put up a breakdown of the proxy results we have received on the screen. So for those here in the room, Linda Coulter, the Company Secretary, will explain in more detail the voting procedure.
Thank you, Chair, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Please cast your vote by completing your white paper poll card handed to you at registration. If you agree with the resolution, place an X in the box marked for. And if you don't agree, place an X in the box marked against. If you wish to abstain, place an X in the box marked vote withheld. However, please note that the vote withheld option is not a vote in law and will not be counted in the votes for or against the resolution. The scrutineer will establish the register -- will establish from the register how many shares you hold and will assume you wish to vote all your shares in the way you have indicated. If you wish to split your vote, please speak to a member of staff at the registration desk. If you've lodged a proxy form, you do not need to complete a poll card, unless your proxy is not present or you wish to change the way your shares are voted. Please remember to sign your card and add today's date, which is May 24, 2022. Please note, if you do not sign your card, we cannot count your votes. Please deposit your card in one of the ballot boxes, which you will see clearly marked as you leave the auditorium. These boxes will be removed in 15 minutes or earlier if I'm satisfied that the voting process has completed. The final results of the poll votes, including the tally of votes cast by the shareholders attending online today, will be sent to the Amsterdam, London and New York Stock Exchanges, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and shown on the Shell website tomorrow morning or later today if time permits. We thank you all for your time and your votes, and back to you, Chair.
So thank you, Linda. So ladies and gentlemen, that brings us to the end of the meeting, and I'll leave you to your voting. For clarity, if you sign off by closing the Lumi platform, please rest assured that your votes cast before the voting cutoff time will still be counted. So -- but before we leave, I'd like to close on a few points. First, as Chair of the meeting, I'm, of course, charged with assuring safe conditions and maintaining order to facilitate the business of the meeting. And it was that duty that compelled me to take the actions I took, somewhat reluctantly, to remove those who were disrupting the meeting. I do apologize for the break we had to take and, of course, the long period before we could get started on the meeting. And I really appreciate your patience and understanding with that. However, we, I want to be very clear, it was not the opposing nature of the messages that led to the expulsion of those disrupting. We and your Board recognize that we do live in a rapidly changing world with numerous and significant societal and environmental challenges, including, of course, climate change and the energy transition. And we sincerely believe that as long as they do so in a safe and orderly manner, if I -- the reason we put our energy transition strategy forward as an Advisory Board was designed to obtain our shareholders' input, whether it was positive or negative. Your Board firmly and unreservedly shares the goal of the world in achieving the Paris Agreement, as I think both Ben and I have made quite clear. The core disagreement there is not whether the Paris Agreement should be achieved or even when. It is only how the world achieves it. And when we say the world, we include Shell as well as governments and all other industries and companies, and yes, all of us as consumers, too. We all need to make the changes. So climate change is a global systemic problem, and we believe that resolving it requires a global systemic solution. And your Board fully intends for Shell to continue to be part of that solution. Our energy transition strategy lays out how Shell has changed, is changing and will continue to change. And this includes how we're collaborating with our customers and others to be part of the solution. And our annual progress reporting will demonstrate that change, and your Advisory Board tells us that our progress is currently meeting your expectations, balance. Indeed, today's voting results on our energy transition resolution indicate that we appear to be on the right track. And while we deeply thank you for your support, rest assured that our approach to the energy transition is an ongoing and, of course, a dynamic process. We fully recognize we still have more work to do. So with that, I wish you all a good day, and thank you for attending and for your forbearance. And on that note, I formally declare the 2022 Annual General Meeting closed.
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