Twilio Inc. (TWLO) Earnings Call Transcript
November 11, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Great. Thanks, everybody, for joining today. We are pleased to have Andrew Zilli from Twilio, who's VP of Investor Relations and Treasury. I'm going to start with a short disclosure, and then we will jump into questions. So please note this webcast is for Morgan Stanley clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. The webcast is not for members of the press. If you're a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosures website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative.
So Andrew, thanks for joining us so much today. The last time we hosted you guys at an investor event was right at the start of the COVID pandemic and back in March. So maybe we can just start off with some of the incremental use cases you've seen as a result of telehealth and just how that kind of evolves as we move past COVID.
Yes, thanks, Meta, and thanks, everybody, for joining. Yes, it feels like a lifetime ago that we were at your conference in person when that was still allowed. Yes. I mean, obviously, it's been a pretty crazy year for us. I think there have been a lot of new use cases discovered with Twilio that companies have found. Some of the main highlights that we've talked about have been areas of telehealth, mass notifications, distance learning, areas like that. And importantly, I think a lot of these areas are things that even -- despite what the last couple of days of the market would tell you in -- that a vaccine is apparently bad for cloud companies. We feel like a lot of these use cases are going to be here to stay for the long run. Something like the telehealth solutions. We're seeing a lot of use cases there, and that's pretty early days for us, right? We haven't had a huge presence in health care previously. We announced HIPAA compliance with very lucky timing in February for most of our core products, and we have continued to expand that over the last 6 or 7 months. So if you look at our website now, you'll see a longer list of HIPAA eligible products these days. And so I think some areas in health care are a big opportunity. There's a reason that we hired a woman to run our global health care team. She was really our -- kind of our first true vertical hire and I think that really -- we were focused on it previously, and I think COVID has just really accelerated that focus on what we think we can do in the health care space in general. And I think, overall, just a lot of the new experience that we've all had as consumers. So when you think about the curbside pickup at retailers. That is likely not something that is going to go away, even once things return to whatever normal looks like again. I think we -- now that we've all experienced how easy it is to place an order online and go pick it up and be in and out in a few minutes. That feels to us like something that is going to continue on. And so some of those use cases that were sort of borne out of necessity have now become the sort of standard practice and expected by consumers. And so I think a lot of those things are likely here to stay. And so as you look forward for us, well, we have all of these new use cases that have come on board, we continue to have all the existing use cases that underpinned our success for the first 11 years as a company. And you'll start -- hopefully, in time, you'll see a rebound in some of those travel and hospitality and rideshare customers. And so we think we're on a great trajectory looking out over the next few years.
Got it. You guys published a survey amidst all of this that said that you were seeing or kind of the survey respondents were seeing a pull forward in digital transformation initiatives by upwards of 6 years. How does that translate to opportunity for Twilio? How does that change the discussion that you're having with customers?
Yes. I think that was a bit of a surprise to most people internally and externally that it was such a drastic pull forward and I think there was some misunderstanding that, that suddenly meant that in the next quarter, we were going to see some massive influx of contact center deals or something like that. But I think in reality, what we've seen happened is companies that had projects in mind for 2022, 2023, suddenly, we're talking about those projects halfway through this year. And I think that, again, sort of borne out of the necessity of COVID, and what that has meant for their business and for their customers. And so for us, we looked at that and said, this is a great trend. We think we can really take advantage of this and be a meaningful player in the digital transformation efforts. And something like the contact center world just doesn't move that quickly though, right? It might be that they had that on their project. And even though they've started talking about that now, it doesn't mean that 10 days later, they're signing a big contact center deal. Those deal still takes some time to work through, but it's -- it was very clear to us that the discussions were -- this is a here and now problem, and we need to start talking about this right now because we know that this is going to take some time, especially in the larger contact centers. So I think we've started -- this really started with George Hu over the last couple of years, we had really worked on elevating the conversation that we were having with customers to be more of a solution approach already. And I think the feedback from that survey just furthered that approach for us, where we don't want to go talk to a CEO about an API. That is not an exciting conversation for that CEO to have. But they do want to talk about engagement. They do want to talk about how they're communicating with customers and providing another level of customer service and leveraging the data from that survey and just the kind of broader economy and impact from COVID. I think we've been able to really position ourselves for a lot of these companies as that solution as a company that can help them manage through this difficult time with a highly customized product that we can tailor for by channel and use cases and things like that. And obviously, now with Segment on top all of that, which I'm sure we'll talk about, that just sort of furthers the value of the platform overall for us. But it was really something that a lot of customers were turning to us to say, hey, help us. We don't know what to do about this. We've had a -- we've only had a voice line. We've only used e-mail. What are some other options? And we I think we really became kind of a trusted adviser to a lot of these companies to help them through this time that nobody had really ever seen, and we were -- we talked a lot about these on various calls and conferences that in a lot of situations, we were able to get these solutions up and running in a matter of days and weeks. And that really goes a long way to building customer trust. And that's a really important thing for us. So when you -- when I look out over the next few years, I look at the 30,000 or so customers we've added through Q3 this year, not all of those were COVID use cases. But obviously, a lot of them were related to COVID. And I see the opportunity for us to continue to sell into those customers going forward because we've built such a good relationship with them. And I think it all kind of came back to just the agility that our platform offers.
Got it. And I mean, maybe that jumps into the question of how do you judge what use cases were permanent? How do you judge which are more -- or more temporary? Or -- and maybe a customer that might have been using you for contact tracing but now realizes kind of the other services that you could offer? Like how do you evolve some of those temporary use cases into more permanent ones?
Yes. I think we've been able to already do that. We've seen some good expansions with customers that signed with us earlier in this year that have already taken on kind of different use cases and products this year as well. Overall, I would say that we -- again, most of those use cases are here to stay. I think there's probably some seasonality in a few of them, right? We think about distance learning that's obviously -- when you hit the summer months, it's probably going to be a little bit slower. When you get to the holidays, it might be a little bit slower here and there. But even if schools opened back up again over time, there's probably going to be some element of remote learning enablement at these schools. And so we saw kind of to start, there were some deals where it was just, hey, we've got to be able to communicate with parents and teachers and make it easy, right? And that was sort of the baseline. Then we started to like broaden that reach a little bit more, and we got into test proctoring services, which I don't know about anybody else on the webcast was not something I'd even really thought about as a need. But it makes a lot of sense that when you're having people take test at home, you need to figure out a way to proctor those exams. And so that was sort of a whole new world for us. And we -- one of the deals we talked about in this last call was a test proctoring deal, but they also started leveraging Flex actually as the interface between their agents and their end users. And so we started to see kind of an interesting blend of some of these solutions come together. And I think we obviously have a really strong playbook from the last several years of talking to customers about some of the more basic solutions that we provide, 2-factor authentication, onetime passwords, delivery notifications. And for companies that came on for things like contact tracing. If you think about some of the universities that we are working with, we got our foot in the door because they needed to figure out a way to do contact tracing for their students. But that now opens the door for us to do -- maybe it's mass alerts for those students. Maybe kind of messaging between professors and students about certain topics. Maybe it's replacing their e-mails provider to be able to send e-mails out. So I think we look at this as kind of a foot in the door in a lot of situations for us to now go back and talk to them about kind of more standard use cases because we were able to help them through such a tumultuous time.
Got it. And a similar concept but on the opposite end. There's obviously areas around travel and hospitality, where you saw a downdraft. How -- like how important are these customers coming back to some of your growth objectives? Just how are you seeing their needs kind of evolve as their usage picks back up?
Yes. And obviously, over a longer period of time, it's going to have some benefit to us, certainly. Those customers represented less than 10% of revenue as we disclosed in Q1, and we showed a little bit more on that on the Analyst Day as well. But we're not banking on a sharp return for them. I think we're expecting some level of a slow rebound, obviously, now with Europe shutting down, maybe that changes some of the ridesharing aspect of things, but then you have things like Uber Eats where maybe the Uber ridesharing is down but Uber Eats usage goes up because everybody is ordering food again. So I think we're -- we have enough diversification across the rest of the business that we're not reliant on those industries to bounce back soon to hit our targets. That's something that we've been really focused on is how do we diversify this customer base across industries, across customer sizes. And so being able to weather the storm a little bit for those industries that have been really impacted has enabled us to continue to invest, to be able to take advantage of this market going forward. So areas like health care, financial services, obviously, tech companies, in general, haven't really had the same level of impact. And so we've had more than enough offsets to weather that. And I think, hopefully, over the next year or so, those industries start to rebound. It seems like flights are starting to pick up a little bit more. People are kind of willing to take that opportunity. And so I think we're starting to see some of that slowly come back. They're still certainly below their pre-COVID levels. But that will sort of act more of just a little bit of a tailwind for us over the next year or so.
Got it. And so taking a step back, I think what's differentiated about your platform and being able to capitalize on the moment was just kind of developer reach focus. Can you lay out for investors, maybe what helped during COVID as far as having a developer focus and platform approach and how that can continue to differentiate you guys going forward?
Yes. I think this has been one of the things that I think George has done a remarkably good job of as COO over his tenure here. He's been threading that needle of staying very focused on the developer ecosystem, while also elevating the company to be an enterprise company, right? Those are 2 sort of very different groups of [indiscernible], and I think George has done a very good job from the go-to-market aspect of managing different expectations there. We are to the core a developer company. I'm sure people have heard Jeff speak, and it pretty much always ends everything with we can't wait to see what you build, right? That is the mentality of Twilio is let's build, let's help the builders of the world with these things. And so obviously, for those that attended SIGNAL this year, it's a very different conference than a lot of other tech conferences, right? We [indiscernible] for our keynotes where developers could like get into the coding and see what was going on. And I don't know any companies that do that, but that's who we are. And so I think we've done a great job of building up a developer base that I don't use this word lightly, I think really loves Twilio. Because they know that we're a company that was founded by developers that put the developers at the heart of everything we do and really listen to what they need from us. And I will never forget, personally, my first SIGNAL last year. The biggest cheer at SIGNAL was when Jeff announced the command line interface. And he's announcing conversations and we've got Netflix up there and all the stuff is happening. And the command line interface got the loudest cheer. And as a nondeveloper, I didn't really understand that. I was like -- I remember writing in the DOS prompt when I was younger, but that didn't really excite me that much. And talking to the developers at the conference, they all said, we live in the command prompt, we live in a terminal like that. And so being able to access Twilio API is something we wanted to do for a while, and this just made our job so much easier and that is why we love Twilio because they actually listen to our feedback. And so having that sort of groundswell of support inside of almost every company really helped us immensely, as we're talking to the CEOs and CIOs of the company is because they're not going to go against what their developers want to do, right? The developers are the ones that actually have to create these solutions. And so as we talk to CEOs and say, hey, here's -- we're going to paint this vision for you of what customer engagement could look like for you and your company, it's going to trickle its way down to the developers, they're the ones that actually have to do that. So keeping that focus has been really important. And in a lot of situations, the Epic deal that we talked about a couple of quarters ago for the telehealth solution that started because of a developer internally at Epic. That was not a go-to-market approach from our side to go reach out and try to do this, a developer internally at Epic was the one who said we need to rebuild this. We need to do something different. And I'm going to go sign up for Twilio and start building with their video API to build the telehealth solution. And that was how we actually got our foot in the door at Epic. So that ecosystem is incredibly important and having more than 10 million developer accounts on the platform is a great way for us to get into a lot of companies where we might not have the go-to-market presence quite yet. But that we can see them sign up, and we can reach out and have that conversation and that oftentimes really ends up driving a lot of the deals for us.
Got it. And I'll break up my questions a little bit. We've got an audience question, but just as you talk about kind of the developer base of just opportunities within the gaming universe. And clearly, that's another group of developers. But it's just that been a network where you've seen any ability to penetrate, if we're either providing voice or video into that market or just other kind of interactive opportunities within that?
We actually do work with some companies that are in and around that space. We haven't really been able to disclose many of them, but we do have customers that power some of the voice and video and services that a lot of the gamers use to stay in touch or watch other people play the games and things like that. So we are engaged in a lot of those companies. It's a pretty small percentage of revenue for us today. I think, overall, I think you're right, that market is obviously very hot right now and is probably something that we will expect to see some more revenue to be generated from that. But I will say that it has not been a focused industry for us in the gaming world. And I think for us, we're really -- we look at things like health care as a much more relevant opportunity for us today. So we do have some solutions that we -- in some companies we work with there, but it's a pretty -- I would say it's a pretty small percentage of revenue overall.
Got it. Obviously, part of the developer community extends the ISVs and the system integrators. You announced your first major kind of Global SI partnership with Deloitte Digital, kind of in the midst of all of COVID. How do you see kind of the -- why you need system integrators to kind of help expand the solution? And maybe what is some of their focus in their go-to-market?
Sure. So getting a GSI like Deloitte on board has been a focus of ours for a while now. We hired a woman early last year, who used to run the global partnerships, the GSI partnerships at Salesforce. We brought her over to start building those relationships out over here. We have a pretty good partner ecosystem in general today. But we -- being able to really unlock the enterprise space, you have to be working with one of the GSIs. And in order to get them on board, it takes a lot of effort, right? You need to be able to prove to them that there's value in this market for them. And so you have to go get enterprises that are willing to be referenceable customers to a GSI. But obviously, in a lot of situations to get those enterprise customers, you need a GSI. And so it takes some time to really build that out. And I think it's been a focus for Twilio a little while, and we finally were able to sign Deloitte. I think for us, the way that we really look at that partnership and really kind of broadly across the Deloitte, obviously, is the largest of the SIs that we have today is they are going to be using our entire Twilio platform. So they're going to have access to and be selling and leveraging all of our APIs, our, obviously, Flex, things like that, to really help companies transform their internal systems a bit more. And why getting somebody like Deloitte was -- on board was so important for us is, we've obviously done a great job with developers and everything over the last several years. And you get companies like Shopify and Lyft who are tech first and real heavy development companies and love to build. But not every company has that technical prowess or capacity to be able to do this. And those needs still exist. And so getting somebody like Deloitte, who knows the enterprise space well, has extremely broad reach, much more than we do at this point. Has some good, deep technical expertise, industry expertise around things like health care and financial services. All of that will come together to help expand our reach quite a bit and will allow us to unlock some opportunities in companies that might not have the engineering capacity, might not necessarily want to take on the building aspect of it themselves. And I think that's really where the SI community plays a big role for Twilio is we are not the out-of-the-box application, right? And that's -- a lot of companies have that, and that has worked really well for a lot of people. But the building blocks approach that we've taken to our platform requires some aspect of building for the most part, right? There's some basic stuff you can do in our studio product that's drag and drop, and that's great. But if you're really going to take on a new contact center or implement a robust SMS system, that's going to take some level of integration and customization. And not all companies have the capacity to do that. So getting somebody like Deloitte on board to help out and build out a team of Twilio engineers and start talking about this in all of their customers as they see certain projects come about, really just expands our ability to penetrate the enterprise. And hopefully, over time, expand our presence in -- especially the G2K, which as we showed at our Analyst Day, we only have about 18% of today. A GSI partner like Deloitte is certainly going to help our ability to do that.
Got it. That's helpful. Clearly, at your Analyst Day, probably the most press-making piece of that was the committing to the 30% plus growth for the next 4 years. Just how much of the confidence in laying out a target like that came from changes that you've seen during COVID, use cases coming back, newer use cases, just kind of what goes into the formulation of a target like that?
Sure. So we, obviously, built out a long-range plan and looked at a lot of inputs, and this went across the company at different levels of the company. And so a lot of people had input into this plan. And I've got a lot of questions, so I want to clear this up for people on the call as well. This plan is not based off of an assumed dollar-based net expansion rate or anything like that. We actually don't really forecast that number. That's not how this model was built. We think about it more from a capacity standpoint from the sales organization, productivity rates, penetration in certain markets and certain verticals and things like the enterprise, so there's a lot of pieces in this. And as we build this plan out, we took into account of course, what we saw this year, right? All these new use cases, things that we expected to continue going forward. Like I mentioned earlier, the ability to -- we added 30,000 customers so far this year and being able to go back and sell into them with different use cases. And I think across the board, we just felt like we were still pretty early innings in this opportunity. And I think we've done -- back to what I mentioned with George, we went from being like really just a communications API company to more of an engagement company. And that has obviously been further accelerated by the Segment acquisition to really make this a full customer engagement platform. But Segment wasn't contemplated in that 30% plus growth that we gave for the next 4 years. It was really just the trends that we're seeing, the interest we're seeing from companies. How little penetration we have in certain markets. The areas -- you've obviously talked a lot about health care. I think something like FedRAMP is certainly an opportunity for us over the next several years to be able to unlock more of the public sector space. All of that came together for us. And obviously, we wouldn't have put that number out there if we didn't feel that there was quite a lot of confidence in it. I also think part of what I found benefiting in doing this is, hopefully, that it brings investors along with us on more of that intermediate-term investment strategy. And why we're making some of the decisions we're making today to support us over the next several years. We're aiming to have a loss this year that, obviously, hasn't really come to fruition because of everything in light of COVID. But that we expect to have a loss next year, as we said on the call, because we still need to make those investments. There's a lot of systems that we need to update. And all of this is being done because we look at the next several years out, we're not just plotting for the next quarter or the next 1 year. And so I think this, hopefully, will help investors kind of joined us on that journey a bit more and give them the confidence that we see a lot of opportunity ahead of us.
Got it. And you just noted Segment there. From an acquisition perspective, you've done kind of 2 more meaningful acquisitions in the past couple of years Segments and SendGrid. How do you think about Segment? You clearly also have still a fair amount of dry powder kind of on the balance sheet. Does how are -- how does Segment fit into the company? And how do you view kind of a build versus buy formulation?
Yes. We obviously go through the build versus buy this discussion pretty much with every acquisition. This one specifically, there just isn't a great option to try to build this right now, right? It would have taken us a long time to get to the point where we were ready. And this market is moving pretty quickly, all things considered. And so we wanted to make sure that we were still focused on building a data platform that our customers were asking for, being able to continue to leverage the communications platform that we've already built. And we -- in talking to Peter and team, it was really kind of Jeff that was talking to Peter a lot about combining these 2 companies and what that really means. And the ability to take Segment's data and push that out over our communications, which the more personalized that data gets, the better those communications are going to be. The more likely everybody is going to be to engage in those conversations, making that data even better for the next time and making that message even smarter the next time around. So it creates this really virtuous cycle. I think we had talked about building this. I think that would have probably taken us a long time to do so, and we probably would have really missed out on the market. And we want to make sure that we were adding the combined power of the 2 companies. And even Peter, I asked Peter, who -- why would you sell now? Why do this now? And he said, look, this really accelerates our vision by 5 to 10 years of what this could be. And sure, we could have gone public, and we could have slowly built to this but the market could change a lot in 5 years. And we think this is a great opportunity for us now. And this is a little bit broader than something like SendGrid, right? SendGrid slotted in as a very clear channel that we didn't have in our communications platform as much as people have been saying, e-mail is dead for the last 10 years, it obviously isn't, and it's still sort of the workhorse for marketing. And so that was a pretty clear need. I think Segment really kind of goes across our entire platform, right? It's going to make the messages over e-mail, the messages over SMS better. It's going to make Flex more powerful because the more data that we can pull into Flex from disparate systems, the better that agent is going to be able to provide a better service for you. And so we look at this as something that's going to benefit the entire platform and help us with our AI efforts and our autopilot and chatbots and things like that because there's going to be more data to ingest. And so look, as we look at this going forward, we see this as a really major opportunity to position ourselves as the customer engagement company. And there's a lot of companies that have pieces of this or have attempted to do this. Obviously, you've got -- Salesforce has Customer 360 and Adobe has, I think it's called Experience Manager. We've taken a little bit of a different approach and Segment has as well, where those companies, great companies, obviously, most of you know, I worked at Salesforce for a long time, and I love that company, but that's more of an app-based approach. And that works for a lot of customers. But ours is more of the platform approach. We want to be able to make it so companies can customize and build and do what they want to do and pulling the data from a bunch of different systems but only have 5 of those feed into Flex and maybe 12 of those feed into marketing and whatever that might be. And so we think that, that platform approach is going to be something that really differentiates what we're doing in this space.
Got it. And maybe just last question with the last minute we have here. Flex has been something that you've alluded to multiple times. Contact center has also seen kind of a pickup in kind of importance with digital transformation initiatives. Just how do you view maybe some of the acceleration you're seeing there and just the time period it will take to see some of the traction there?
Yes. I think we've seen some great traction with Flex to date. I've sort of explained or described the Flex experience over the last 2 years, at least from my experience with investors as a bit of a roller coaster. I think internally, we felt like Flex has performed very well. We -- the contact center space, like I mentioned, doesn't move very quickly. So it takes some time to really get your foot in the door and especially in the larger contact centers for them to really go through a replacement cycle. And we've seen some good traction in getting our foot in the door in a small way in certain departments. We talked about Allianz last year. That is -- a department inside of Allianz who said, hey, we want to build and customize this and get rid of this legacy on-premise vendor, and we're going to do that. And so we were able to do that. We talked about this Fortune 50 bank we just signed last quarter that has a similar situation. It's not a full rip and replacement of their contact center solution today. But it is a -- or getting our foot in the door in the department there and helping them kind of build a new solution for that 1 department. And that is something that we have seen consistently is we get in about 3 different ways, typically with customers. One is a small replacement of a solution in a department. Another way is an augmentation of a current solution, especially in the remote work environment. That's been a pretty common use case for Flex today. And third is they just do a full rip and replace. And the smaller contact centers tend to do that full rip and replace a little bit more than the larger ones. We did talk about the deal at our Investor Day with a large insurance company, who was on -- with an on-premise legacy vendor and was fed up with the way they were being treated and potentially being charged more to enable remote work. And they said we're done, and they -- we're moving everything to Flex for 5,000 full-time agents and 5,000 part-time agents. So I think we've done a good job so far. I think we have a lot of good referenceable customers, especially at the enterprise level now. You've probably noticed that over the last year or so of the customers we've been able to reference for Flex. It's still going to take some time before it's a really meaningful contributor to revenue, partially because our messaging product continues to reaccelerate, which is a great problem for us to have. But equally, every time we sell Flex, we sell the underlying portions of the business. The customers are not going to typically buy Flex without buying voice or without buying messaging and that revenue does not get counted as flex revenue, that gets counted as voice and messaging revenue. And so that alone is going to make it a little bit longer time period for Flex to really become a meaningful contributor as it pulls the rest of the business along. But I think to date, we -- I think we feel like we've done a really good job with Flex. And I think we feel, especially with Deloitte on board now, that we have a great opportunity to had to become a really meaningful player in the contact center space.
Great. With that, I know we need to let you go, and I appreciate you being here today. Any -- there's a list of questions people have entered that we didn't get to, but either feed them through me or write, Andrew himself. And I appreciate you guys being here today. Thanks.
Thanks, everyone.
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