Home / Transcripts / Bureau Veritas SA (BVI) · October 21, 2026

Bureau Veritas SA (BVI) Earnings Call Transcript

October 21, 2026

ENXTPA FR Industrials Professional Services trading_statement 61 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator operator
#1

Welcome to Bureau Veritas Third Quarter 2026 Results Presentation. [Operator Instructions]. Now I will hand the conference over to the speakers. Hinda Gharbi, Chief Executive Officer; and Francois Chabas, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Hinda Gharbi executive
#2

Good morning, good afternoon and good evening. Thank you for joining us for Bureau Veritas' Third Quarter 2026 revenue update. I'm joined today by Francois Chabas, our CFO. This was a busy quarter for us with a major update to our investors during the Capital Market Day late September. I will come back on that later on in this presentation. Let me now begin with an update on the quarter. Organic growth improved sequentially. In the third quarter, we have seen a continued momentum throughout the year. This growth is broad-based across all divisions and geographies, demonstrating the resilience of our business model and the robust mix of product lines growth in our portfolio. Based on our solid year-to-date delivery and growing pipeline, we confirm our 2026 outlook. Our LEAP 28 disciplined execution continues. In almost 3 years, we delivered on our commitments of organic growth and portfolio rotation, delivering mid- to high single-digit growth -- organic growth and rotating 21% of our portfolio. We have now put in place a simple product line centric operating model, evolving Bureau Veritas into a focused multi-specialist company, asserting leadership in certain markets. At our Capital Markets Day in September, we explained how we will amplify execution in 2027 and 2028. We will accelerate acquisitions, and we'll continue to scale our performance and people program. AI is both a growth catalyst and a transformation level for Bureau Veritas. Our ambition is to generate EUR 1 billion in revenue from AI-driven markets and services by 2030. Starting with the revenue performance for the quarter. Revenue reached EUR 1.57 billion, representing total growth of 10.1% at constant currency, total growth was 8%. Organic growth reached 6.2%, continuing the sequential quarterly acceleration of this year from 4.8% in Q1 to 5.9% in quarter 2. This performance reflects our market favorable secular trends and a disciplined business delivery across our 10 product lines. The scope effect was positive at 1.8% and Acquisitions contributed 2.7%, reflecting the bolt-on transactions completed over recent quarters that were partly offset by a 0.9% impact from disposals. Currency contributed 2.1%, mainly due to the strengthening of the dollar against the euro. This follows 2 quarters of negative year-to-date currency impact this year. Overall, the quarter demonstrates a progressive growth equation, robust organic delivery and increasing contribution from acquisitions and a more favorable currency environment. Francois will come back to the bridge in detail later on. Before that, I will update you on the growth by division and geography. This quarter, all 4 divisions contributed to organic growth. We operate today with a portfolio of product lines exposed to growing end markets, robust investment cycles and broad geographies. This creates a more resilient and decyclicalize growth profile. Buildings & Infrastructure is the strongest contributor with 7.9% organic growth in Q3. Mission-critical assets remained 1 of the main growth engines with growth above 40% and supported by data center investments, primarily in North America and in some -- in other countries in the rest of the world. Product testing and services delivered 7% organic growth, technology grew double digit, benefiting from AI-enabled device renewals, increasing connectivity and increasing technology product regulations around the world. Industrials and commodities grew 5.1%. The main drivers are oil and gas CapEx, Metals & Minerals and Marine new construction. Metals & Minerals grew 14% organically in the quarter as investments into precious and green metals continue as we expand capabilities and reach. Business Assurance accelerated organic growth sequentially to 3.2%. Sustainability services remain in high demand with carbon and environmental services delivering particularly strong growth. Growth was also resilient and broadly distributed across our geographies. The Americas delivered 8.7% organic growth, supported by strong momentum in North America, particularly for mission-critical assets and energy and industrial assets. Asia Pacific grew 8.6%, driven by strong activity in China and South Asia and solid demand for technology testing services Marine & Offshore and specifically infrastructure services in Australia. Europe delivered 2.6% organic growth. The U.K., Italy and France performed well, supported by regulatory inspections and building safety, demonstrating the resilience of these mature markets. Africa and the Middle East grew 5.6%. The region remained resilient and a self changing geopolitical environment that is impacting project planning and inducing delays like more recently in Saudi Arabia. It is important to mention that our reshaped portfolio and geographical footprint position us well to capture the ongoing investments in the markets we serve. It also gives us a natural hedge against different geopolitical disruptions. I will now hand over to Francois for the financial review.

François Chabas executive
#3

Thank you, Hinda. Good afternoon, everyone. Let me take you through the revenue bridge and the financial dynamics for this quarter, Q3 and the first 9 months of the year '26. So starting with the Q3 revenue bridge. Revenue increased from EUR 1.42 billion in the third quarter of EUR 25 million to EUR 1.57 billion in the current quarter reported -- representing the reported growth of more than 10%. The main contributor was organic growth at 6.2%. As a reminder, it's an acceleration. Q1 was at 4.8% to 5.9%. So this is, as a consequence, the third consecutive quarter of growth acceleration and confirms the stronger momentum across the company. Scope 1.8%, acquisition added 2.7%. It reflects mainly the transactions completed over the recent quarter. While the disposal for our B&I activity in China reduced growth by roughly 0.9%. The positive contribution is particularly visible in building infrastructure following the integration of Lotus works from August onwards in no numbers. Currency added 2.1%, mainly due to the strengthening of the dollar and pet currencies against the euro. As a result, total growth at constant currency over the quarter reached 8%. On a 9-month basis, next page, Group revenue reached EUR 4.5 billion, up 4.9% on a reported basis and 6.1% at constant currency. Organic growth is at 5.7% and reflecting the continued strength of our three largest divisions, together with improving performance for business assurance. Overall, scope contributed 0.9% over the first 9 months. include the increasing contribution, as mentioned from acquisition, offsetting the impact of activities divested over the last 12 months. On a 9-month basis, currency remained slightly negative at minus 1.2%. However, you may remember that the currency impact in Q1 and Q2 were rather different, minus 5.3% in Q1, close to 0 neutral. Now moving to positive in Q3 at 2.1%. We started, as Hinda mentioned this in July, we started to have positive FX impact from June onwards. It does continue, as we've just explained, driven mainly by strengthening of various currencies against the euro. If you now [indiscernible] by -- on the main divisions we have, I would like to highlight a few elements on that page as far as Q3 is concerned, which is on the left-hand side. First, a strong acceleration on B&I, as you see a combination of organic growth, 7.9% and scope at 4.2%. Here again, we have the impact of Lotto starting to kick in, in the numbers, which means after 9 months on the right, you're going to see that this division is the first one to deliver double-digit growth at constant currency. It's an echo of what Hinda mentioned in the Capital Market Day at the beginning of September. Second element of highlights. The 3 other divisions are accelerating the organic growth sequentially. So it's not only at group level, as well as division level. As a reminder, Industry & Community grew 3.3% in H1, it's now 5% in Q3. Business Assurance grew 2% in H1 it is now slightly above 3%, and product testing and services grew 5.6% in H1, it's now 7%. The overall organic growth is accelerated in a relatively spread manner across the division. A quick summary or focus on the scope point of view. In the part of the plan, Data has rotated approximately 21% of this portfolio. 24 acquisitions represented more than EUR 400 million of U.S. revenue and for divestment and exits around EUR 800 million. So it's active portfolio management in motion. Capital has been redeployed towards higher growth and more scalable activities. And moving forward, as mentioned, we expect the net M&A contribution being M&A native divestment to increase as the bulk of our divestment program is behind us. I close this financial review with a quick snapshot on the balance sheet item. [indiscernible] is in a very strong financial position, as you know, and we enacted proactively to refinance our debt ahead of the recent increase in interest rate volatility. It's been timely, as you may consider. In September, early end of September, we had a placement of EUR 700 million [ A3 ] rated bond, which was -- which is due in 2034 with a 4.1% coupon transaction has been covered twice and attracted obviously strong investor demand. Perhaps to keep in mind, and that's what is depicted on the right, in refinancing the September '26 and January '27 maturities. And as a consequence, we don't have any maturity until 2031, 0.1, 0.2. All of our debt is at fixed rates. So no risk on that front. And to close on this, the net financial debt of the company at the end of September was probably unchanged compared to what it was at the end of [indiscernible]. I now hand back to Hinda for the portfolio business highlights.

Hinda Gharbi executive
#4

Thank you, Francois. I'll be looking now at the performance of our 4 divisions, starting with industrials and commodities, our largest division. It delivered 5.1% organic growth in Energy and Industrial assets product line recorded low single-digit organic growth. This performance is a mix of a strong double-digit growth in oil and gas CapEx that was partly offset by softer OpEx activity, and we talked about this recently, oil and gas operators are deferring some inspections to maintain production. While, of course, they're always managing risks as they do that. So we have seen some of these deferral in fact, since the start of the year. The commodities product line delivered high single-digit growth, driven by the continued strength of upstream metals and minerals activities. Lastly, in this division, the marine and offshore product line also grew at high single digits supported by double-digit CapEx growth from backlog conversion. This is for new ships. The order backlog actually continued to grow and reached a record of 36.3 million gross tons giving us very strong visibility as we consider our future growth for this product line. Buildings & Infrastructure, our second largest division, continues to deliver the highest organic growth performance, delivering 7.9% in Q3. Now looking at the two product lines within this division, the buildings product line delivered high single-digit growth, mainly fueled by CapEx activities, mission-critical assets continue to grow, delivering, as I mentioned earlier, over 40% on an organic basis. The business also secured a backlog of commissioning services, a strong backlog of commissioning services for the next 2 to 3 years. We are expanding our capabilities in the mission-critical space with new access with now our new access to the semiconductor market. We are pleased to report that we have now closed -- as we have closed the Lotus Works acquisition on July 31. It is progressing well in its first 2 months. I take this opportunity to welcome all our new colleagues from Lotus works to Bureau Veritas. OpEx delivered OpEx buildings delivered low single-digit organic growth, owing to project time line shifts. Now if we exclude this, we will see that the activity is actually quite robust in most of Europe where we have our mature OpEx activity. The infrastructure product line delivered mid-single-digit organic revenue, organic growth, supported by a broader, more diversified portfolio, considering the multiple acquisitions we have completed in the last 2.5 years. activities maintained strong momentum for infrastructure, supported by recurring asset integrity and specific monitoring programs in Italy and Asia Pacific. Moving now to business insurance. The division delivered 3.2% organic growth in the third quarter, an improvement from previous quarters following the implementation of a number of operational remedial actions. Certification Solutions reported mid-single-digit growth with resilient demand for customized insurance solutions and transition-related programs such as carbon and environmental services. Digital Insurance recorded a low single-digit contraction due to a contract termination late last year. The service offering continues to be shaped, particularly in cyber, with strong growth in certification services that are offsetting lower offensive security testing activity. We expect this product line to grow from Q1 2027 onwards. Lastly, product testing and services, a newly assembled division that includes consumer products, technology products and industrial products delivered 7% organic growth with all -- with these three product lines growing at least at mid-single digit organically. The consumer product line delivered mid-single-digit growth Testing activities were accretive to organic growth carried by higher volumes in South Asia and a sourcing shift back to China. Supply Chain and Sustainability Services improved, supported by demand for supply chain resilience and responsible sourcing solutions. The technology product line delivered a very strong double digit or double digit, so organic revenue growth. The diversification strategy and the acquisition completed in the last 2.5 years contributed to the strong organic performance. Growth acceleration in Electronics was supported by the renewal of AI-enabled laptops, desktops and connected devices as well as increasing local testing requirements for market access provision. Industrial Product Certification delivered high single-digit growth. The base business of this product line is pressure vessels and welding services. that continue to grow on par with the product line, while rail and mobility growth in Europe is growing faster and is accretive to this growth. Let me now turn to our outlook and the next phase of LP. On the outlook. Our year-to-date delivery is solid. Our pipeline continues to grow and the portfolio post reshaping is well positioned for growth. We therefore confirm our 2026 outlook. Mid- to high single-digit organic revenue growth, adjusted operating margin improvement at constant exchange rate and strong cash flow generation. Let me now move to talk about our LEAP 28 ambition. At our Capital Markets Day in September, we confirmed the strategic pillars of LEAP 28 and explained how we will amplify execution in 2027 and 2028. The first phase from '24 to '26 has been about execution, refocusing the portfolio, building a product line centric and multi-specialist operating model and deploying performance programs. The next phase is about scale. The three pillars remain portfolio performance and people, where changes is the pace and level of ambition. On portfolio, we'll accelerate acquisitions and scale organic growth within our product lines. On performance, we'll complete the rollout of proven operating systems and we use technology to improve productivity, service quality and margins. On people, we will make expertise more visible and more mobile. This is how we are transforming Bureau Veritas into a more focused, faster-growing and higher-performing multi-specialist company. Now our new operating model is central to achieving these ambitions. The purpose of our operating model is simple: make growth more focused, more repeatable and more accretive. We have moved from 6 reporting lines and 21 subsegments to 4 divisions and 10 product lines, this aligns the external reporting with the way the company is now managed. Each product line is a growth platform. It has clear accountability to scale services, deploy expertise across geographies and strengthen client interactions and identifying capability gaps. At the same time, the four division structure allows us to leverage our global scale and bring more of Bureau Veritas to each client in a more systematic way. This operating model enables a self-sustaining dynamic of organic growth and M&A. The first engine is organic execution. We scaled new services, expand proven capabilities into new geographies increased cross-selling and use our product lines to deploy expertise more effectively. The second engine is disciplined M&A. Targeted bolt-on, strengthened leadership positions, add specific capabilities and increased density in attractive markets. Selected midsized transactions can accelerate our entry into strategic high-growth areas. Selected disposals are also an integral part of the model. They release capital and management attention from activities with lower growth, lower margin or limited strategic relevance. Together, organic growth and M&A creates a compounding effect a higher-quality portfolio, stronger execution and greater financial capacity to invest in the next wave of growth. In terms of ambition for the coming 2 years, for organic growth, it is mid- to high single digits, our M&A plans will support our upgraded ambition of double-digit total revenue growth at constant currency. The second phase of LEAP 28 will also amplify our performance and people programs. On performance, we are creating operational leverage and functional scalability through standard processes, digital operating systems, shared services and disciplined overhead management. The impact is already visible. We have achieved 110 basis points of margin improvement towards our 180 basis point ambition. The next step is to move from discrete programs to broader deployment across the company. We will also evolve our digital process modernization towards AI-enabled operating systems. This will help us automate routine work, improve planning, accelerate reporting and deliver a more consistent customer experience. On people, our multi-specialist model makes expertise more scalable. We are developing specialist skills, strengthening internal mobility and giving our experts clearer pathways across product lines and geography. The objective is straightforward: high productivity, better service quality, stronger customer experience and a more scalable platform for margin expansion. In this simplified phase, AI will play a larger role. AI is an accelerator of the execution of the portfolio, performance and people strategic pillars. It creates opportunities for Bureau Veritas in three areas: first, new markets, AI is driving investments in data centers, semiconductors, power infrastructure and other mission-critical assets. These are complex, high-performance and assurance intensive systems that require testing, inspection certification and assurance at scale. Second, new services. As AI adoption accelerates, clients face new needs around model reliability, data quality and privacy cyber security, regulatory compliance and responsible component. These needs are aligned with our capabilities and track record as an independent trusted third party. Third, new ways of working, AI can automate repetitive tasks support technical decisions, improve consistency and service quality. Bureau Veritas differentiation is built on its independent broad technical expertise, the body of accreditation and licenses to operate that we have footprint and reach and brand and accountability. AI, we believe, will amplify this foundation and increase our company relevance. Now in terms of future ambitions. We aim to generate EUR 1 billion of revenue from AI-driven markets and services by 2030. Approximately $800 million would be coming from AI-driven markets, including data centers, semiconductor fabs, new power systems and other mission-critical assets where Bureau Veritas has existing client relationships and proven technical capabilities. We target an additional $200 million from new AI-related services. These include AI assurance, cybersecurity and data integrity services to list a few. Finally, AI will transform our delivery model. We aim to fully integrate the technology into activities, representing 30% of our revenue by 2028 and 60% by 2030. At our Capital Markets Day, we confirmed our LEAP 28 total plan ambition. We also updated our growth guidance for the next 2 years. For the full plan, we continue to target mid- to high single-digit organic revenue growth and consistent margin improvement at constant currency. Our cash conversion ambitions remain above 90%, and we confirm our double-digit shareholder return ambition. Our CapEx and dividend policies remain unchanged. For 2027 and 2028, accelerated acquisitions through a combination of bolt-ons and selected strategic deals mid-sized strategic deals support an upgraded ambition of double-digit total revenue growth at constant solvency. Our cash conversion will be strong and will narrow our leverage range to 1.5 to 2x net debt to EBITDA. To close, we have delivered sequential organic growth acceleration in Q3, consistent with our expectation for the quarter. This growth is broad-based across geographies and product lines. This performance, coupled with a robust pipeline of opportunities and a track record of reliable execution supports our 2026 confirmed outlook. Our new multi-specialist operating model provides a stronger platform to accelerate growth, scale our expertise across markets and geographies and create greater value. We entered the next phase of LEAP 28 with confidence and momentum. We're fully committed to delivering our 2028 ambitions through disciplined execution, accelerated portfolio development and the continued deployment of our performance and people programs. AI is a key element of our future development. On the growth front, we'll capture in the coming 2 years, the opportunities associated with the AI build-out and the new risks created by white AI adoption. AI is also a level of performance and its integration to our workflows will drive the next step of performance beyond 2028. Bureau Veritas is well positioned for the future, and we remain focused on creating sustainable long-term value for all our stakeholders. Thank you. Francois and I are now happy to take your questions.

Operator operator
#5

[Operator Instructions]. The next question comes from Victoria Chang from JPMorgan.

Victoria Chang analyst
#6

Hinda, I have two. My first one is on the delays in OpEx inspections, particularly within the energy assets that you've seen through this year. To what extent do you think these delays can continue? Is there a window of time that inspections must happen for regulatory or contractual reasons, for example? And what do you anticipate the impact to your margins for this year? My second question is on your activities planned for exit. Are you able to disclose what the revenues from those activities were in 3Q and what the growth was for those, please?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#7

All right. Victoria. Thanks for the questions. I'm going to answer the question on the OpEx and then Francois will answer the question on the business for Exito what we can answer that. So on the OpEx, we've explained since the start of the year impact, we did specifically mention that the OpEx delays we've seen the we had some delays late last year, late Q4, this sometimes happen. They are -- they might move a little bit. Some of the shutdowns we see for refineries would move. I think this year is a little bit more complex, first owing to. So we had some of these traditional delays. But we're also seeing some delays that were induced by the conflict, particularly in the Middle East, where operators either they had damage to some of their facilities, so they really weren't going to continue with the schedule they initially had anyway or they had they have facilities that are operating. And at some point, they made the decision, of course, always with the risk in mind. So these are important decisions when people delay some of the scheduled inspections. Some of them are regulatory and some of them are rather based on risk assessment. So that's really what we have seen. So there is a dynamic of you do get delayed, which you've seen many of them, of course, compounded with the fact that you have the conflict decision-making on when to schedule these there is what created even more delay. And I think in general, OpEx spend. I wouldn't say it's completely discretionary, but there is some flexibility when you schedule it, again, provided you're managing the risk. And that's really what we've seen. Now do I think it will resume at some point? Absolutely. And I think we will see some facilities, we'll see is some damage assessment as well added to that, plus other inspections that need to be done. So it's a matter of time. It will have to be done, and we've seen that in different parts of the world, but of course, the Middle East has been the most impacted. The second question was on the businesses -- the exited businesses. I let Francois comment on that.

François Chabas executive
#8

Yes. So as you know, as per IFRS 5, we now publish numbers excluding activities for exit, at least from the revenue down to the adjusted operating profit. Not to let you with our answer I think we've communicated during the Capital Market Day that the two activities, which are exit being namely the fuel testing business and the government has been storing less than the average of the group by 30 basis points, some of organic growth. So you could easily think that this has not dramatically changed over Q3. And considering we are actively pursuing a strategy of existing government services, most probably the gap is even a bit wider in Q3 because we are closing contracts and as a consequence, reducing the level of activity.

Operator operator
#9

The next question comes from Annelies Vermeulen from Morgan Stanley.

Annelies Vermeulen analyst
#10

Two questions, please. So firstly, in terms of -- Firstly, on the operations review in certification that you announced at the H1, could you comment on any progress you may all finding. And as part of that, for Business Assurance, do you still back a material improvement in growth in that division into 2027. We've seen some improvement now in Q3? And then secondly, I just wanted to ask on the Middle East and Africa. The growth here in Q3 looks better than in H1, but you've mentioned some ongoing and broadening project delays. I think you mentioned Saudi Arabia, for example. So I'd be keen to understand what the situation is like on the gross in the Middle East? And what are you hearing from your customers in terms of when that might more formally recover going into next year?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#11

Thanks, Amy. There is four questions there -- or 3, 4 questions. You tell me if I addressed all of them. So look, on the operational view, yes, indeed, we did say that on that business, we had some issues in the certification solution. We have some geographies that struggled a little bit commercially. There were some operational management concerns in terms of how they were managing their there are opportunities. We have reviewed those. We have planned, we have put plans in place. We are building the pipeline. It's starting to recover. Of course, it takes time. And that's why we can't confidently say that we said it, in fact, in half 1, we said the performance will improve gradually. You've seen it in Q3. We believe you will see something similar, slight improvement as well in Q4. And the question for 2027, yes, absolutely, I expect that business assurance will improve. Overall, that includes Certification Solutions product line and also the digital assurance is expected to improve as well because we are difficult -- we have a difficult comparable this year that will be off by the end of this year. And therefore, I expect business assurance to resume growing in 2027. In MCA and Africa, I think -- what is important to keep in mind for this region, we have had a number of years where we have worked on diversifying our growth from being really mostly around energy and industrial assets into more buildings and infrastructure and metals and minerals. And of course, we always have had certification there. And I think that's resilient performance you see is the result of that very resilient portfolio we have in place. So while industrial, energy and industrial assets have struggled to your point, and I just expect to Victoria, the OpEx delays. We continue to have very strong -- it's very important, very strong CapEx performance in energy and industrial assets, particularly in oil and gas. We haven't seen impact there. those are long-term projects, but the OpEx indeed did suffer. But what was interesting is the activities in the other -- the growth in the other activities and particularly Metals & Minerals certification and to some extent, B&I have been actually quite healthy, and that's why you have that resilient aggregate organic growth performance. I think these are the three questions there, Have I missed anything?

Operator operator
#12

The next question comes from Suhasini Varanasi from Goldman Sachs.

Suhasini Varanasi analyst
#13

Just two small ones for me, please. Just wanted to clarify your organic growth expectations for the next quarter. I know at the beginning of the year, you had talked about sequential improvement in organic growth from the first quarter which you have delivered on. And therefore, can we extrapolate that for Q4 as well? That's my first question. The second one is on B&I, mission critical assets doing very well on growth driven by data centers. Can we expect further acceleration in the coming quarters as the backlog converts to sales.

Hinda Gharbi executive
#14

Thanks for the questions. On Q4, I think we believe we'll have a slight organic growth improvement in Q4 versus what you have seen in Q3, and we have reiterated our guidance. So that gives you an idea on where we think we will land. So that's really our plan. Now in terms of how we see that performance. I think previous questions were on business assurance. We expect that to continue to improve. I expect that B&I in Q4 continued to deliver a very robust performance. And then I would say, in general, probably the best way to think about it is out of the 4 divisions, B&I would do a stronger performance than what we have seen and the others should be mid-single digits roughly around that.

Operator operator
#15

The next question comes from Neil Tyler from Rothschild & Co Redburn. The next question comes from Geoffroy Michalet from ODDO BHF.

Geoffroy Michalet analyst
#16

Yes. So two questions. I think you answered the first by anticipation -- speaking on the normative growth profile for next year. in mind that B&I should lead probably business insurance catch-up. And at some point, product testing and services could be considered as having maybe a growth that is probably a notch higher long-term potential currently? The second question was on acquisition. I think it's the first quarter since a while that you haven't announced any acquisition this quarter, yet you are the matter at Capital Markets. So can you operate on the pipeline and your ambitions?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#17

Yes. Thank you, Geoffroy. So yes, I think you -- for -- I mean, we're not, of course, guiding right now or next year. But obviously, we have worked on -- with our new operating model, our different divisions. We have very clear plans of growth that we shared throughout the Capital Market Day a few weeks ago. Yes, I think B&I is very well positioned to continue to perform nicely next year. And it's a combination of very strong, of course, expectations from our -- our strong expectation for our mission-critical but also the rest of the portfolio that is -- that we continue to monitor very carefully, and we expect that it will continue to grow on par with the market. And we are very vigilant to the B&I portfolio because we want to make sure that our acquisitions are really contributing to this high level of growth that we like to maintain and that we committed to in the Capital Market Day. Business Assurance, I think, absolutely, I think this was a year of reset for a number of reasons that I explained earlier and both on the certification solution from an operational perspective, but also commercially, and as we diversify our activities in the digital assurance, I expect that business assurance will have a stronger performance next year. And I would say, overall, again, we reiterated our guidance for LEAP 28 to be mid- to high single digits for 27 '28. So I cannot say more than that on 2027 at this time, but I think that helps you to triangulate how we think about the year. In acquisitions, you're absolutely right. We did say that we will pursue more acquisitions going forward. And we upgraded to your point, 2027, 2028 total growth at constant currency guidance. And yes, in Q3, we didn't announce acquisitions, but we are very active on scouting for opportunities, sourcing opportunities, engaging with targets, defining understanding these targets. And I think you will see in the by the end of this quarter and certainly early quarter 1, we would be able to complete some of these acquisitions. So it's not -- it's -- again, it's a disciplined approach. It's very focused, very clear. We know what we want to buy. We know where we want to buy them. It's a matter of executing all this, and we're trying to remain disciplined and not focus on the numbers. So yes, indeed, we did have a bit of a lump. But we were busy preparing for completing those in the coming quarters.

François Chabas executive
#18

Geoffroy, perhaps adding one point to what Hinda explained very clearly. M&A have very little regard to quarterly close. Unfortunately, we try and discipline them, but it -- you feel that it has less predictability as intervention. And just keep to keep everyone in mind that's our ultimate focus pretty much in Q2 and open until the end of July to close to deal with noise works and to divest our large oil and petroleum and [indiscernible]. So it's not totally a surprise to us that Q3 would not see big announcements, but we push hard and make you happy in the next quarter, for sure.

Operator operator
#19

The next question comes from Neil Tyler from Rothschild & Co Redburn.

Neil Tyler analyst
#20

A couple from me, please. the comments you made in the release around the backlog in B&I. And specifically, does the visibility you talk about, I guess mainly around the mission-critical assets -- or are you -- can that comment expanded more broadly across the B&I portfolio in terms of the visibility, the 2- to 3-year visibility on order book. That's the first question. And then secondly, I wondered if you could expand on the comments you make and consumer product testing around the sourcing shift back to China, how that's impacted your business? And whether that's a sort of structural change that you see or something more temporary?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#21

Yes. Thank you, Neil. Look, the backlog, absolutely, I was referring to mission-critical assets. We had -- of course, a number of questions and inquiries and ourselves, we are watching very closely this market. And I wanted to share that the backlog is clear for us. We have very close relationship with our customers, hyperscalers and others. And we are -- we monitor how the whole space of data center construction is going. And what is reassuring about that. First of all, our backlog is strong. and we have a good, I would say, a very good visibility over the next 2 to 3 years. But also, and it's very important is while there is a lot of noise around data centers, particularly in the U.S. and how that is our position in some states, et cetera. what we understand from that, and really, we have very good proximity and knowledge on the ground is, first of all, the need for construction of data center is not going to go away. The compute cost. The computes needs are high, the compute cost is very high, they need more capacity. So that is basically the need front. We are very clear on that. Second, a lot of these projects that started initially probably as a real estate projects where you have technical assets inside, but -- it's just a real estate project and moving into full-blown infrastructure projects, which means that the expectations in terms of permitting and regulatory compliance and environmental assessments and usage of water, noise, all these things that are actually strength for Bureau Veritas are becoming real parameters that need assurance that need for many of the stakeholders that in the past weren't involved during the CapEx phase of these data centers. So for us, we see actually resilience in the space, but we see movements, movements for future projects. For now, we are comfortable with our backlog. But for the future, it actually gives us a very nice motivation to continue to develop our services around the objective data center that is becoming more complex and more, I would say, tick intensive. So that's on your first question. On the second question, on the product testing and services and mainly for consumer product line. What we have seen at the early start of the conflict and the Persian goals. And when some parts of South Asia and Southeast Asia started struggling with access to basically to oil and refined products. We have seen very quickly a realization by a lot of producers of goods, particularly soft line, hard line, that by not having some exposure to China, they're actually at the mercy of energy issues in some of these countries. So we've seen -- for me, it's a rebalancing. We've seen a bit of an exit out of China to gear risk China, but maybe too much. And now we've seen that rebalancing of that pendulum swinging back to say we need to have a mix of geographies in our production footprint for many of these -- of the producers and of course, the buyers -- and we have seen that movement back to [indiscernible]. That was a very nice increase in volume that helped us deliver a very nice performance in Q3. Now is that structural, I believe so.

Neil Tyler analyst
#22

That's very helpful. And if I could just ask a quick follow-up or third question really. You mentioned in the release, both in Marine and in the Business Assurance, the effects of deliberate exits from activities that are none contracts. Aside from, obviously, the Government & Trade Services exit. Can you just help me understand the sort of impact on when those annualize in each case, please?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#23

I'm not sure I heard you very well. Sorry, Neil, if you could repeat again. Are you referring to exit, you said Marine and Offshore and business issues that what you said?

Neil Tyler analyst
#24

Yes. You talked about -- in Marine, I think it was nonrenewal of contracts and in business assurance as well some exits away from the government trade services, I thought I read. And I wonder if you could just sort of clarify that. And verify winners would annualize.

François Chabas executive
#25

[indiscernible], congrats. It's a really tiny business. We are talking about something that is less than EUR 10 million on the 12-month basis. So a bit of cleaning, nothing, nothing material, but [indiscernible].

Hinda Gharbi executive
#26

Yes, yes. And on the business assurance now we referred in our digital assurance product line to a cyber contract that was terminated late last year that actually is providing a very unfavorable comparable for digital assurance, and we have seen the contraction in Q3. And we want to explain that. For me, what's important is if you exclude that particular contract comparison to that particular contract. We're actually reshaping our services in cyber, and we're able now to increasingly grow our certification solutions under cyber owing to needs and operation technology in IoT, and that's actually growing double digits. So we just -- it's really for full transparency wants to explain the digital assurance performance.

Operator operator
#27

The next question comes from Virginia Montorsi from Bank of America.

Virginia Montorsi analyst
#28

I just had a quick one on digital appearance. Considering what we've seen, particularly in the U.S., the CEOs of AI companies like soon Anthropic discussing a potential slowdown for the development of artificial intelligence calling for more regulation and more in the space. So I appreciate this is very quick, but have you already started having made different conversations in terms of ability to certify for different ISO certifications. And how do you think this kind of turn total for you? I know you spoke a lot about this at the CMD, but just wanted to ask if you're already starting to have some more nuanced conversations about this. And obviously, whether there's an expectation that this industry could become a bit more regulated.

Hinda Gharbi executive
#29

Well, I think you -- Hi, Virginia. Thanks for the question. I think you said it, right? This is really fast evolving. There's a lot of thinking around how to regulate these technologies. I don't think anybody is used to regulate the technology that is so fast moving and that develops so quickly and being so technical. So -- and the time frame is just so compressed, right? If we look at many other industries where there is a very deep technical expertise needed, it takes years to develop regulations. I think -- what is the struggle today here is the technology is moving very fast. A lot of it is not very well understood and the companies adopting it are very worried [indiscernible]. So the way I look at it is I think that conversation on regulation is going to continue. We're going to see different jurisdictions and different philosophies to that. You will see, as we have seen so far, the European block will be considering regulations. I wouldn't call it traditional way because there is a realization. It's a very difficult technology to regulate. But definitely, a framing of some regulations from angle or data privacy from cyber perspective. So quite well defined on these two paths and you will see other jurisdictions like the U.S. that are going to be probably fragmented is going to take a while. Now, what do we do with all that? I think for us, first of all, we're looking at this AI assurance in particular, in two ways. One is any schemes that are out there, be it the UAI Act or any other country-specific regulation, we will prepare ourselves and give ourselves the license to operate and the capabilities to support that from an insurance perspective. We are -- we just got our accreditation, for example, from a practice perspective, the ISO for 2K, we just got an accreditation or starting to scale it around the world. And then we will seek partnerships for very specific needs with tech players who understand deeper the technology, but they don't have one, the third-party nature of who we are or the expertise to build the methodology around Assurance. So those are the different parts we're looking at. And of course, we always have cyber, and we're looking at cyber with the AI risk of cyber versus what we have seen in the past. So I think it's all very much in moving as we as we go, and it's all about finding on these parts, developing the capabilities as fast as we can. I hope it answers your question, Virginia.

Operator operator
#30

The next question comes from Arthur Truslove from Citi.

Arthur Truslove analyst
#31

Arthur from Citi. A couple of questions from me, please. The first 1 was on certification, I understand that next year is a major recertification year. Clearly, one quite productive from an organic growth perspective, what sort of uptick are you expecting for organic growth as a result of that in that division next year? Second question, I understand you just consolidated Lotus works. And at the CMD, you talked to 15% return on invested capital on transactions. I was just wanted to has a little bit more about how that happened? Is it principally via growth in the underlying asset? Is it synergies with the other ship and hence going up -- and how quickly does it normally happen that you get to that 15% return on capital?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#32

All right. Thank you -- thank you for the questions, Arthur. So I'm going to answer the certification question, then Francois is going to comment on the Lotus Works metric there. So on certification, yes, of course, we expect that we will grow higher than this year. You've seen the growth so far this year for certification for 9 months and it's in the low -- 2.3% for business assurance. So I think going from Q4 onwards, we will improve we will see that continuous improvement, and I expect for this -- for next year, definitely to be beyond that growth we've seen this year. So I am reluctant to give you a specific guidance and number. But definitely, I would say we will connect with what I consider normative growth for certification, and it's definitely not low single digits. On Lotus works?

François Chabas executive
#33

Yes. on Lotus work in terms of in the bulk of the -- I would say, the investment phase is here is notice work is made of a few hundreds of very strong professionals. We are capable to deliver commissioning services on semiconductor assets primarily plus users, including some data center activity. The limitation initially is that they are active only in two countries, two jurisdictions, Ireland and the U.S. And what betas brings to the equation is we are bringing to the equation the capacity to expand basically in any geography on the back of contracts being won by Lotus Works, in joints, which they are not for which -- for them would be extremely difficult to -- should they win a contract with a client in selling a seminal factory in Poland at the moment, and we had this discussion pre-deal opening a legal entity, finding a finance person, getting the HR and the part together, et cetera, was such a burden that those contracts were not even looked after. They were not even signed. So we are replicating , I would say, an approach that has been very successful in the data center commissioning business, where for the same -- we have the same approach. We purchased a company that will have a same even smaller, Active as well only in a very limited number of [indiscernible]. And we offered the platform of all SG&A services. And simply this is a very strong both growth accelerator and margin accelerator because we offer cost synergies knowing that we don't recruit in a content every time we win a large data center for semiconductor commissioning services. So that's really the theme behind the investment. And that's why we can count on good organic growth and then trade and direct impact on the bottom line.

Operator operator
#34

The next question comes from James Rowland Clark from Barclays.

James Clark analyst
#35

Two questions, please. You're obviously partway through exiting government services contracts at the moment, and I understand you've done a bit already. I wonder if you could update us on how much of that business you are -- you've now exited at this point? And I guess, a targeted time line on when you think you'll complete that maybe by the end of the year or by the end [indiscernible] Q1? And then secondly, just on the Middle East, Africa and Europe. I just wanted to follow up on the earlier question. You have got an improved performance. That's a 5.5% growth in which I understand is on the continuing. But I can see you were sort of on two on the old business in the first half, including government services and petrochemicals. So I just wondered what that actually looked like on the continuing perimeter, if that makes sense. Maybe if you could give us the Q2 performance in Middle East versus that Q3 0.6?

Hinda Gharbi executive
#36

All right. So on the government services, we have said it in the past, and it's very important to reiterate. We -- in this activity, we work with governments on very, very essential services for their goods that they import in the country. And therefore, we took some time to connect and engage with all our customers, all these governments to ensure that, that is very clear business continuity path and plans for them to take over these contracts. I'm pleased to say that a lot of work has been done. A lot of contract terminations have been done so far all customers we've engaged with all these governments we engage with, and we have plans to close everything by all contracts to be basically terminated by end of the year. There will be some services that will be part of those contracts that were stopped, that will probably pull into early next year, but no later than Q1, and we will be done. So that's what we've been doing. Lots of work, of course, its impact in a number of countries, but we have progressed quite well on that. On the Middle East, I'll let Francois on your question on the continuing coke performance prior to that.

François Chabas executive
#37

Thank you, Hinda. James, I think you're right. The 5.6% you see is on the let's call it the new perimeter to make it simple, the 3.5% in H1 is on the previous one. So it makes me just think we may in the further publication, perhaps a line as we wanted to give you guys a bit of a historical data by division by quarter. And actually, we missed pat the geographical part. So if we want to read that properly, I would say, the 3.5% in H1 is heavily impacted by the all in petroleum testing, obviously, which was a stand still. The 5.6% we have in Q3 looks better on the face of it. The reality is -- the business is not going better there. I mean it's we are still under pressure from the event over there in our activities in OpEx industry as well as our activities in B&I. So I think to be fair with everyone, the reading of the numbers for Middle East and Africa at 5.6% is not improving towards H1 to make it very simple. I think you can reach out to Laurent Brunelle perhaps further for the [indiscernible]. And by the end of the year, we will postables, disclose the numbers properly.

Operator operator
#38

This concludes the question-and-answer session. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Hinda Gharbi executive
#39

All right. Thank you very much, everyone, and looking forward to talking to you early in the year. Thank you.

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