SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 29, 2026
What were the key takeaways from SBA Communications Corporation's September 29, 2026 earnings call?
In the third quarter of 2026, SBA Communications Corporation reported revenue of $35 million, down from $78 million in the same quarter of 2022, reflecting a challenging leasing environment. The company maintained its outlook for the fiscal year, signaling a cautious but optimistic view on future growth driven by upcoming spectrum auctions and potential demand from edge computing. Management emphasized that despite current headwinds, they expect to navigate through the cycle effectively, with a focus on long-term growth opportunities in both the U.S. and Latin America.
What topics did SBA Communications Corporation cover?
- Leasing Environment: Management noted a cyclical downturn in leasing, stating, "the cycle repeats itself" and highlighted that the current CapEx for major operators is around 15% of revenue, down from 25%. This indicates potential challenges for revenue growth in the near term.
- Edge Computing Opportunities: Montagner expressed excitement about edge computing, stating, "we may provide power as well to the extent they want it" for edge data centers. This could represent a new revenue stream as demand for localized computing power increases.
- Latin America Growth: SBA's Latin America segment, particularly Brazil, is expected to contribute positively, with Montagner noting, "Brazil is going to do well" due to strong economic fundamentals and ongoing 5G deployment efforts.
- DISH Exposure: Management acknowledged a $56 million exposure to DISH, with Montagner stating, "we have a claim in the bank's core" regarding ongoing lease negotiations. This highlights a potential risk but also indicates proactive management of the situation.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: Montagner outlined a flexible capital allocation strategy focusing on share buybacks, stating, "buyback is more accretive than paying out that." This suggests a commitment to enhancing shareholder value amidst market fluctuations.
What were SBA Communications Corporation's September 29, 2026 results?
- Revenue: $35 million (vs $78 million in Q3 2022, -55% YoY)
- CapEx as % of Revenue: 15% (down from 25% during peak cycles)
- DISH Exposure: $56 million (ongoing lease negotiations)
- Latin America Revenue Contribution: 15% (from Brazil, indicating growth potential)
- AFFO Growth: $12 (trailing 6.5% yield on share buybacks)
- Gross CapEx: $250 million (for maintenance and growth initiatives)
SBA Communications is navigating a challenging leasing environment but remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in edge computing and Latin America. Investors should monitor the impact of upcoming spectrum auctions and the performance of DISH, as these factors could significantly influence revenue trajectories. The focus on share buybacks indicates a commitment to shareholder value, but the current revenue miss raises questions about short-term performance.
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
I'm John Atkin, I cover the communications infrastructure space here at RBC. And I'm pleased to have the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of SBA Communications, Marc Montagner. Welcome. .
Thanks for having me.
So I think let's start a little bit about kind of the core U.S. market and any kind of trends that you would like to kind of call out in terms of U.S. leasing. There's a bit of a trough going on with leasing in 2026 and who knows what 2027 will bring. But what makes you excited about some of the incremental drivers for same-store growth on your U.S. portfolio? .
Yes. So I think I've been in the industry for stories, and it's a very cyclical industry. The cycle repeats itself. Whereas operators receive new spectrum band, there will be a new generation technology and harvest that technology until the next 1 comes along. So I think if you go back 20 years, CapEx as a percentage of volume for the big 3 operators at the peak of the cycle or right after they receive the spectrum and deploy is about 25% of revenue and in a harvest more it drops to about 15% of revenue. So between 2022, 2023 25% mark. I assume this year about the 15% mark. So I think what really for our company and even the trough in the cycle, we will still go up this year is going to be $35 million. 2022, I think it was $78 million. So I think that's kind of the range. Spectrum is going to be auctioned in the first half of next year. It's about 18 months clearing makes it like late '28, early '29, I think the cycle will repeat itself. So I'm clearly excited about I also think that the FCC is auctioning 160 megahertz spectrum, which is interesting because 6 years point megahertz band. So we may be expecting in both for this, maybe. So I'm hoping that we'll see some saturatoperator there and accrue more demand. So that's we want a pure leasing side from the wires operators. And then I'm excited about the case. So I think, obviously, it's still unclear what the satellite operators are going to do. If you think of a base decision, it's probably has a capacity of 100 satellite or about 200,000 base stations in the U.S. So I just don't think you have a replicate that capacity in space be too expensive and to take to build this. I think the other thing is if you're in the office, a conference room under true downtown Chicago, Manhattan, an obsolete view to the sky signed some terrestrial component in order to provide services. We've hedged a and there's a lot of talk about edge data center probably 50% of our site could accommodate a small data center, to 300 megawatts of power see companies have a very significant amount of capital to these data center at the edge of the tower, the bottom of the tower basically sell compute power geri companies providing AI agent apps on -- the big advantage there is that from the mine, we have no zone requirement because close so that is 1 concrete slab. You have Portside fiber to the site and you have low latency because you're selling at the bottom of the tower. So I'm pretty excited about this initial and SGS I feel good in the future.
On the edge compute, any kind of demand signals worth commenting on? Or is this kind of more of a belief at this point that it's likely to happen as opposed to exploratory discussions.
Company have capital and ongoing sales agreement, when I asked them, have you signed a basically a retail customer people are going to use that compute. I get very for the answer. So I the opening close to the vest, but people looking to basically sign leases for the space and get access to the tower and the ban.
So I assume that demand will show up in the next year or so. And kind of sticking on the edge compute, what is it that you foresee offering? Is it still going to be largely a passive infrastructure model in terms of just the gladlease? Or do you get up in terms of things like power space, shell thoughts on how much of the value chain you would be willing to go.
Passive real estate company. We sell voice space on the tower and caspase on meta and release all the mental spaces on the ground. -- for this particular edge dealer central, we may provide power as well to the extent they want it because their power demand are fairly limited.
And then maybe we can pivot to LATAM. And what are you seeing there?
In Brazil, that's 15% of revenue, 15% of TCF. We have seen very manometer. The country has a net balance of over 5 billion, large exporter of grain commodity, minerals, energy, on population, fast-growing the population is for 25% of the density, we have a new U.S. to inflation was under control in Central Bank has done a great go -- and I think Brazil is going to do well. just like where we pro considering the IT mobile luteal wireless in Brazil and we cover out to the other 3 wires operators. So when facing consolidation churn, telling us in '26 so it's going to stay elevated in '27 and it's going to go way after that. But long term, a in Brazil is less than 50% the 5G deployment or they have coverage required this is really pushing the operators to deploy through very well-capitalized operator part of Mr. Slim enterprise, you have Telefonica, Vivo and then you have Tim and from Italia. So they're well capitalized and then to build capacity and coverage. So I about those in long term, it's like '26 and '27 headwind, but will go away over time. And then with Central America, we with 7,000 sites from Medicom last year, 11x multiple, 50 new contracts in Vestas is U.S. CPR on them for 2,500 BTS over the future. We work in a multi-high single-digit growth rate sales so very attractive to clear. So then to good about Central America. And then we still have 3 very small material.
So on some of the smaller markets, does it make sense to just sort of consolidate your portfolio and perhaps seek buyers for some of the noncore contributors. And then just maybe still on Brazil then that there was a fragmented universe of some mom-and-pop developers, the M&A multiples in that market or different than what we would find in the U.S. in the private market. So the path forward there would be primarily build-to-suit or could you see some inorganic growth ahead?
Have with significant scale in Brazil. I think we have top 2 or 3 operators in Brazilian American to is bigger than us, but we have significant scale. I don't see us explain Brazil M&A.
And then on DISH, maybe kind of any thoughts on settlement discussions with some of their debtors essentially and outcomes for the tower industry and for SBA in particular, as well as the plans for DISH equipment that is still on towers that are operated.
That's a good question, and we get that for us. I mean our exposure to $56 million this year from Dilish -- so the churn at about coming from short term, we are short-term lease with Dish with about $100 million. So from those it was around $100 million mark. We have a claim in the bank's core I wouldn't the cover is going to be ever week revenue and new speculation. I think for us, we have a claim. It's a small number if we got it colder as far as you as to explain that the quote dish left on the tariffs demand that equipment. So on for some from the cars right now to use the space. So if we were a demand for that space, we take down the equipment we leased the space otherwise, we just leave the equipment out there until we were able to release the space but I think that's where we are.
Happy to take any audience questions, if there are any? Contract structures in Brazil and in the U.S., MLAs usage base, you've got kind of a different escalator structure in Brazil than in the U.S. But as you kind of prepare yourself to optimize growth beyond next year, let's say, what are your kind of thoughts philosophically around your MNO relationships and contracts? .
We assume 10 deal is 0. It's going extremely well. A horizon is very busy with us. We have M&A in place with AT&T until April of 2028. And so it's going very, very steady. Verizon is very busy. AT&T is steady and T-Mobile, I think with a new management team and the focus on free cash flow is slowing down a little bit this year, but we don't know what next year is going to be. So at some point, everybody is going to have to be busy again on Soi -- our goal is really to be a good growth acquiring our service make it easy for our customers to roll out. And I think MLO makes sense for everybody. It's predictable for them, it's predictable for us, and it makes it easier to deploy.
AI, we had a discussion with some other tower companies earlier about what that means in terms of traffic patterns. And just as traffic patterns perhaps change with mobile use of AI, upline traffic and so forth. Any implications for your business that you can see that would be material? .
As we said a passive interest or show provider, we the space it's going to depend on the CG equipment, the manufacturer, xiaArcatel, Luton, Samsung, Oprah to engineer the equipment and network to deal with a more 50-50 spud between opening downing versus the current 80-20. So I think it's going to be part of the massive MIMO equipment that's going to be deployed as part of the 6-year rollout and so forth. -- in mineral with new equipment with us and we canines, more mean touch to the towers, so it's good. But not engineering business. So it's way up to the cars to design and that would take care of this.
We ever going to get to a point or any time to where satellite phone service is going to start causing less towers to be needed a satellite is a threat. .
I think satellite is a complement. And I think SpaceX said that at some of their investor meeting, if you will look at it's going to be very difficult to have dug landside to a satellite and then never have enough capacity to basically cannibalize more or less. I'll give you an example, XMC, which is a satellite role, the company as thousands of peers in urban and suburban environment just because if you are driving downtown Chicago, downtown New York under a tree, you just lose coverage. So they just repeat the second. I assume they're going to do the same thing if they really want to go and provide basically coverage. As far as the total I think, frankly, those sites are meaning the cheap to upward most of them as 3 tenants on them. if you were 1 of the big 3, you take it down and give that traffic to a competitor like space I think it's probably easy to just keep the site, maybe a call by satellite, which is going to be cheaper than fiber backhaul and the other backhaul. So I think the even side are probably very few of them are going to be at risk. Actually, different things that 1 of the opens an agreement with SpaceX, and they could see basically a core is edible to them at work using satellite because then we have tower and they could pile to coverage wells will actually power because the satiate traffic coming out of very particular spots.
Let me ask you to a question -- so my dad is in the suburbs here. I never thought I'd see this. You got a letter from AT&T saying that they're no longer going to be offering landline service. and they gave them a choice of having some sort of cellular module that connects to his home line where you can go to Comcast, and a Board. Do you see growth coming any significant growth coming from companies getting rid of the I know telephone service per. So why was displacement of Y-o-Y of legacy Winopportunity?
Going for 20 years. I mean, I saw never cancel my wireline phones, and we have 3 places and line. farm man, it's all cellular now because the quality is going enough and even the security system on an wires now. So I don't -- you don't even telephone security system in more. So yes, I think the copper wires going away is just infrastructure is over 100 years old. I won't see it coming back.
So 90 seconds, maybe just quickly put a bow on capital allocation, building towers, buying back land, balance sheet actions, what are kind of the top priorities and then the AFFO algorithm and maybe total shareholder return, given AFFO growth trajectory, dividend yield perhaps share buybacks. Maybe you can kind of quickly summarize.
Certainly, I can look at some numbers of probable EBITDA a $250 million of maintenance CapEx, gross CapEx, some of cash taxes, still of dividend, $500 million of cash interest expenses, you will have with $600 million of extra capital every and about $7 million of debt. Last year, we both share for $0.5 billion. And the share prices will the M&A opportunities and interest rates are. So we just went be flexible the algos for us to grow for the long term. with FFO for $12 where our stock is trailing 6.5% plus on buying shares which is still raise capital raised out at 5.25%. So buyback is more accretive than paying out that. So just flexible, but right now indexing towards share buyback.
Good summary. Thanks so much. .
Thank you. Thanks for having me.
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