Home / Transcripts / BSR Real Estate Investment Trust (HOMUN) · March 12, 2026

BSR Real Estate Investment Trust (HOMUN) Earnings Call Transcript

March 12, 2026

Toronto Stock Exchange CA Real Estate Residential REITs earnings 58 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator operator
#1

Hello everyone, and thanks for joining us. I'm Jim, your conference operator for today. Right now, I'd like to extend a welcome to all of you on the BSR REIT Q4 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. Every line has been muted so that background noise doesn't interfere, and once management finishes its prepared remarks, we'll open things up for a question-and-answer session. Should you wish to pose a question at that point, all you need to do is press star and one on your telephone keypad. Leaving the queue is equally easy. Simply repeat those same steps of star and one. At this point, I'd like to hand the conference over to Mr. Spencer Andrews, Vice President of Investor Relations and Marketing. The floor is yours, sir.

Spencer Andrews executive
#2

Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to BSR REIT's conference call, where we'll be discussing the financial results for Q4 and the year ending December 31, 2025. On the line with me today are our CEO, Dan Oberste, our Chief Financial Officer, Thomas Cirbus, and our Chief Operating Officer, Susan Rosenbaum — all of whom will be available to take your questions once our prepared remarks are done. Before we get started, I'd like to remind listeners that some statements made during this conference call regarding future events are forward-looking in nature. Any such information carries risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially. We will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe offer useful supplemental information about our financial performance. For more details, please see the cautionary statements on forward-looking information and the description of our non-GAAP financial measures in our news release and MD&A dated March 11, 2026. Dan, over to you.

Daniel Oberste executive
#3

Thanks, Spencer. When you look at how we performed financially in 25, what you're seeing is a REIT in transition—one that intentionally rotated close to $1 billion of property over the course of that year. That transition is now mostly behind us. We carried out a strategic disposition of stabilized assets, put that capital to work in newer lease-up assets offering greater growth potential, and simplified our capital structure by cancelling approximately 75% of our Class B units, which equates to 27% of our total units as converted. Each of these moves makes the REIT a much more appealing investment today than it was twelve months ago. Through all of this change, our team kept performing at a high level, even with leasing conditions remaining difficult throughout our core Texas markets. We're delivering incremental gains in performance, helped along by lease-up at our new properties and other growth initiatives. Over the year, same community revenue slipped a modest 40 basis points, and that's despite every challenge I just described. Same community NOI fell 1.6%, partly because of a deliberate choice to hold on to overhead so the REIT is positioned for growth down the road. Same community weighted average occupancy finished the year at 94.3%. At quarter end our retention rate stood at 59.5%, which is a 130 basis point expansion versus the end of Q3 and higher than the 56% we saw a year ago.

Daniel Oberste executive
#4

At both of our main lease-up properties, we achieved meaningful gains. Aura 3550 finished 2025 with occupancy at 92%. For comparison, that figure stood at 86.6% when Q3 ended and was in the low 20s early in 2025. Having Aura 3550 physically stabilized for a full year should deliver year-over-year upside in 2026. The Owensby ended the year with 70.4% occupancy, which adds further upside for the non-same community portfolio in 2026. Even with everything positive we accomplished in 2025, our Q4 and full year 2025 results, along with our preliminary 2026 guidance, mirror a handful of realities we cannot avoid. First, recovery in new lease rates has trailed our expectations somewhat. Given 24+ months of minimal new supply lying ahead, we see an obvious route toward better rates. Second, the interest rate climate we now operate in differs materially from the one that existed several years ago. Our interest hedging program definitely helped protect our investors from interest volatility, which let the REIT separate itself from ZIRP reliance, yet in the end, we anticipate minimal future advantage from zero interest rate policies. Finally, moving capital into newer lease-up focused assets delivers an immediate favorable effect on our portfolio quality, but fully flowing that through our financials requires time. To put it plainly, vacant apartments bring us $zero.

Daniel Oberste executive
#5

Still, the hit to earnings from properties in lease-up won’t last forever. Aura 3550 has reached 92% occupancy, and the Owensby is now ramping up. So our team will keep doing what it does best: concentrating on what we can control and skillfully balancing risk against return. We’ll keep pushing occupancy higher at new assets, take advantage of organic growth opportunities built into our properties, hold down our cost of capital, and seek external growth opportunities that deliver accretion on a per unit basis. With market fundamentals steadily improving across our core Texas markets, even if more slowly than we’d prefer, and with the best in class portfolio behind us, we like our relative position in the market as we head into 2026. I’ll now ask Tom Cirbus to walk through our financial results and 2026 guidance in more detail. Tom Cirbus.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#6

Thanks, Dan. Operationally, what we delivered in Q4 came in basically where management expected, and it matched the usual dip in leasing activity that we always see in the fourth quarter. That seasonal pullback did hurt rates, especially on new leases. So a 2.2% gain in renewal rates was more than offset by a 6.3% drop in new lease rates, which pushed blended rates down 1.3% for the quarter. January was still seeing blended rate decreases decelerate, and we were glad to see blended rates improve modestly on a sequential basis in February of this year compared with January. We keep watching absorption across our markets against the vacancy that remains, and we expect somewhat more month-to-month movement in rates, both up and down, near term. That said, with very little new product anticipated to come online over at least the next 24 months, we're confident the overall direction of blended rate changes will keep getting better in the quarters ahead, given the fundamental setup in our markets. Taking a broader view, same community revenue fell 1.2% year-over-year in Q4, driven mainly by the lower average monthly in-place leases I just mentioned. Average monthly in-place leases dropped to $1,436 per month as of December 31, 2025, down from $1,447 per month last year.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#7

A decline in average monthly rent was partly offset by higher other property income. That other income keeps gaining from internalization efforts, such as expansions of our existing Valet trash and bulk internet programs. We anticipate these programs will meaningfully boost our organic growth starting this year. For Q4 2025, same-community NOI came in at $12.7 million, down 6.1% from a year earlier. The drop stemmed from the lower revenue I just covered. Our strategic choice to hold onto overhead pushed an extra $0.3 million of expenses onto same-community properties versus the comparison period, along with a $0.2 million rise in real estate taxes and a $0.1 million increase in each of repair and maintenance and utility expenses — all partly offset by a $0.2 million decrease in property insurance expense. Below NOI, G&A expenses rose by $0.6 million on payroll costs and legal and professional fees, while net finance costs climbed $0.1 million because of resets in the REIT's interest rate derivative portfolio. Overall, FFO for Q4 2025 was $0.14 per unit, against $0.19 per unit in Q3 and $0.22 per unit in Q4 of 2024. Similarly, AFFO per unit ended the quarter at $0.11 per unit, versus $0.17 per unit in Q3 and $0.20 per unit last year.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#8

The drop in per-unit metrics from Q3 to Q4 was mostly about when real estate tax appeal proceeds came in, plus the legal and professional fees tied to those appeals. Looking at FFO and AFFO per unit year over year, three items drove the decreases, listed by how much they mattered. First, the REIT faced headwinds from higher relative interest rates. Second, there's an inherent lag in earnings that comes from rotating capital, especially when that rotation moves capital out of stabilized properties and into a smaller count of newer lease-up properties. Third, the leasing environment in Q4 compared with Q4 2024. The same applies to our full year financial results. For full year 2025, FFO per unit came to $0.79 per unit against $0.96 per unit in 2024, while AFFO per unit was $0.70 versus $0.88 in 2024. To restate, there are many moving pieces at play, but in short, the per-unit FFO and AFFO declines in our full year results likewise stem mainly from higher realized interest rates, timing drags produced by rotating the portfolio, and a softer leasing environment in 2025 compared with 2024. Turning to the balance sheet, the REIT's debt to gross book value stood at 51.2% as of December 31, essentially in line with Q3.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#9

That comes to $723.1 million in debt outstanding, carrying a weighted average interest rate of 4%, and 99% of that is either fixed or economically hedged to fixed rates. Turning to liquidity, total liquidity stood at $52.7 million at year-end, which includes cash and cash equivalents of $6.3 million plus $46.4 million available under our revolving credit facility. As always, we can obtain additional liquidity by adding unencumbered properties to the facility's current borrowing base. In December, we refinanced our revolving credit facility, pushing the maturity out to December 2030, assuming the REIT exercises its one-year extension option. That refinancing lowered the interest rate margin across most leverage points in the agreement. We also extended our $160 million term loan by an additional year, moving it from December of 2026 to December of 2027, which locks in the highly attractive cost of capital on that tranche of debt for another year. Please note that our subsequent events show that the REIT's only previously remaining 2026 maturity — a $28 million loan tied to our Vail Luxury property in Houston — was refinanced onto our credit facility this week, so the REIT has no remaining 2026 maturities. Finally, let's turn the page to 2026.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#10

Yesterday evening, we put out preliminary guidance for the full year, with FFO per unit expected to land between CAD 0.75 and CAD 0.79, which works out to CAD 0.77 per unit at the midpoint, and AFFO per unit guided to a range of CAD 0.68 to CAD 0.74, or CAD 0.71 per unit at the midpoint. The assumptions behind this guidance include same community revenue growth of 50 to 150 basis points, same community property operating expense growth of 100 to 200 basis points, and real estate tax growth that translates into 0 to 100 basis points of same community NOI growth. Importantly — and again, we recognize there are a lot of moving pieces here — for illustrative purposes we have also provided an annual bridge running from our 2025 FFO per unit actuals to the midpoint of our 2026 FFO per unit guidance. The main point to take away is that, despite an uncertain macro backdrop, we expect our core real estate business to stay healthy, contributing $0.03 per unit, or 3.5% growth, to the business versus 2025. Unfortunately, at present we anticipate that this growth will be more than fully offset by a higher net interest impact, as revenue continues to build from our lease-up activity, together with marginal additional overhead costs. Keep in mind that we plan to publish this bridge only once each year, alongside the initiation of our guidance.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#11

Naturally, we'll revise these projections during the year whenever necessary. At this point I'll hand things back over to Dan so he can offer his closing comments.

Daniel Oberste executive
#12

Thanks, Tom. In straightforward terms for 2025, we took on the effect of about $1 billion in total rotations, and that hit was visible in our per unit figures. That period is behind us now. I'd like to restate that the real growth potential we pointed to in December is still in front of us. Our strategy and outlook haven't changed. Here's why we believe these figures point to an inflection point. To repeat, Aura 3550 finished the year at 92% occupied, up from the low 20s at the start of the year. The Owensby is leasing up in 2026. Our two Houston acquisitions, though reasonably occupied at purchase, will stabilize and contribute more fully in the back half of 2026. A full year of physical stabilization across all four assets flows straight into cash flow in a way that 2025 simply couldn't capture. That by itself produces meaningful year-over-year improvement before we receive any credit from the market. We aren't sitting back waiting on the market. There are two growth levers we control that don't depend on where new lease rates land. First, occupancy revenue from lease up and stabilization at our 2025 acquisitions are all on track to reach physical stabilization by year end. Second, the internalization of certain real estate adjacent business functions.

Daniel Oberste executive
#13

To give you a current snapshot, 6 of the 26 properties in our portfolio are now live under the bulk internet program. Talks are actively underway with providers regarding the other 20, and we anticipate kicking off deployment in the relatively near term. Eighteen months back, this revenue stream was nonexistent for us, and consistent with what we shared in December, we anticipate incremental earnings of as much as $0.08 per unit, stabilizing by early 2028. On their own, these efforts will push growth beyond whatever level the market eventually concludes is achievable through market rents. On that topic of market rents, the 24-month macro backdrop in our Texas market now favors us compared with the prior 24 months. The wave of supply that weighed on new lease rates starting in mid-2023 is being absorbed, and the pipeline ahead is thin. Over the past couple of years, there has been considerable attention on the supply picture, and justifiably so. It can mask the ongoing population and economic expansion that far outpaces the national average, along with the strong absorption still taking place. Demand has never been the questionable part of this equation. Supply has always been the story, and that story is now shifting.

Daniel Oberste executive
#14

In closing, the quality of our portfolio is better than it has ever been, by a wide margin. The bottom point is now behind us. We're in the middle of the lease-up ramp, and we have incremental forward growth initiatives underway that are entirely within our control. We're pleased with our position. Before we take questions, I'd like to recognize two board transitions. At the beginning of January, W. Daniel Hughes, Jr. retired from the board. W. Daniel Hughes, Jr. co-founded BSR's predecessor company and was an integral part of the BSR team for nearly three decades. He is a personal mentor of mine, and I cannot overstate what he has contributed to our business. Yesterday, we announced that Bryan H. Held will step down at the upcoming annual meeting. Bryan has served as a trustee since the REIT was formed in 2018. Known for his high ethical standards, he was instrumental in leading our audit committee and, most recently, our governance committee. Bryan has been an invaluable member of our team, and we are grateful to both Bryan and Daniel for their contributions. In their places, we welcome Mark Decker, who joined the board in January to replace Daniel. Mark is the President, CEO, and Director of Kiron Real Estate and previously led Centerspace, a fellow U.S.

Daniel Oberste executive
#15

This is a multifamily REIT. During the annual meeting, the board—following what the CGNC recommended—has decided to put Corinne McIndoe forward as Bryan's replacement. Corinne brings 30 years of experience, mainly in real estate and capital markets, and that includes serving as a trustee on multiple REITs. Mark and Corinne both offer abilities and background that will greatly strengthen our team. That brings our prepared remarks this morning to a close. Tom, Susie, and I would be glad to take your questions now. Jim, please open the line for questions.

Operator operator
#16

Absolutely. Thanks. For those of you on the phone joining us right now, we're set to take your questions. As a reminder, please hit star and one on your telephone keypad to signal for a question, and I'll open your lines one at a time. Again, ladies and gentlemen, that's star and one on your telephone keypad. Our first question today comes from Brad Sturges at Raymond James.

Brad Sturges analyst
#17

Hello everyone, thank you for taking my question. Perhaps I could begin with the 2026 guidance, and I truly appreciate the detail you provided in building up to the midpoint. I'm just curious about the underlying assumptions — could you elaborate a bit more on what you anticipate, perhaps across a wider range, regarding leasing spreads and occupancy as part of the revenue guidance you gave there?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#18

Yeah, Brad — Tom here. On the top line, like we've consistently mentioned regarding occupancy, we consider a healthy level to be roughly 94%-96%. Our guidance takes, say, the midpoint of that range from an occupancy standpoint. On the rate side, I'd put it this way: we expect rates to be flat to up 1%. So again, let's say the midpoint there lands in the 50 basis points range, broadly speaking.

Brad Sturges analyst
#19

Could you share some perspective on leasing concessions — what sort of impact that would imply inside the guidance, perhaps expressed as a share of revenue or framed in whatever manner you prefer?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#20

Brad, just to reiterate, the revenue we report is net effective — meaning it's already net of every concession. So as we work through guidance, we really don't even need to form a view on concessions. Guidance is on a net effective basis, and whether that comes via a six-week concession or a zero-week concession, we're steering toward a revenue figure. So I can't give you a great answer on that point, but that's genuinely how we think about the business.

Brad Sturges analyst
#21

Yeah, got it. I suppose my other question is this: part of not just the plan going forward for 2026, but also for the following three years, involves the ancillary revenue opportunity. How much of that would be included in 2026, and how should we think about the ramp-up there?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#22

Okay, Brad, thanks. So for 2026, roughly $400,000 is included, and that relates to the five properties that went live with bulk internet at the end of this year, or at the end of 2025. Keep in mind that this is part of the buildup. Once things are stabilized, once you reach 2028, those 5 properties ought to be contributing around $1.1 million. We still have 20 properties remaining, and implementation on those will begin in 2026. They won't add to NOI in 2026, but the ramp-ups will be underway by 2027. Those are expected to add another $2.5 million in 2027, and then finish the ramp-up at $2.8 million in 2028.

Brad Sturges analyst
#23

I just want to clarify something: as you bring properties online through that program, might there be some near-term margin impact, since the expense could sort of come ahead of the revenue stream, so to speak? In other words, would you see somewhat more upfront cost first, and then the revenue comes online? Or how should we think about that?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#24

You've got the right frame on this, Brad. As we laid out in December, under the internet model we use today, we gather what you could call participation fees through the internet service provider. Once we take control of that, those participation fees clearly disappear. There's a short-term lease-up period inside the bulk internet program as connections come online, the rent roll turns over, and we add more tenants to the program. Margin takes a temporary hit while that lease-up plays out, but down the road the offset will be more than enough. That's what makes this a very justified investment call, especially when you look at it from a margin standpoint, once tenants occupy the program even marginally, if you will, not to mention when it's fully stabilized.

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#25

For those five, the figure comes to roughly $150,000 in the current year.

Brad Sturges analyst
#26

All right, thanks for that. I'll hand it back over. Thank you.

Operator operator
#27

Sairam Srinivas from ATB Capital Markets will be asking the next question today.

Sairam Srinivas analyst
#28

Thanks, operator. Morning, everyone. Dan, you brought up new lease rates coming in below what we’d expected. As you look at Q4 2025 and compare that with an earlier winter quarter—say Q4 2024—how have our expectations changed? Was it worse than typical seasonality, or is that generally consistent with what we’d expect for a slower winter quarter?

Daniel Oberste executive
#29

Sure. I’ll give the broad response first, and then I’ll have Susie address the specifics. There has consistently been a degree of seasonality, Sai, in the Q4 figures. At a very high level, I simply expect that we will lease 50% as many units in Q4 as in any other quarter. Consequently, we also have 50% as many move-outs. It’s just that people aren’t moving in December, if that makes sense, Sai. As an operator, you really concentrate on the lease-up season, and I’ll say the bookends between the start and the end of summer. That’s where we have historically observed performance. Susie, is there anything else you’d like to add?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#30

Sure, that's completely true. Dan makes a very fair point. When the weather is cold we end up signing fewer leases, and activity always rebounds once spring arrives. Typically, Q2 and Q3 are our strongest periods. I'd also like to highlight that Q4 is improving on a year-over-year basis. On a same-store basis last year, our blended figure for Q4 was roughly negative 3.4%, and for Q4 2025 that has improved to negative 1.3%. Renewals came in positive at 1.6% in 2024, and in Q4 of 2025 they are positive at 2.2%. New leases stood at negative 8.4% in Q4 of 2024, and they are now negative 6.3%. As you can see, we are closing that gap right now.

Sairam Srinivas analyst
#31

Susie, that’s a genuinely good observation. So perhaps returning to volumes, have they remained steady quarter over quarter too, or has the volume picture improved when you look at how many move-outs and move-ins there are?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#32

The number of leases we're signing is roughly flat from one quarter to the next. In Q4 it comes to around 1,000, which is comparable to a year ago, and then once more that figure begins to double in the spring and summer months.

Sairam Srinivas analyst
#33

All right, that’s clear. Perhaps to follow up on that point—as you observed during January and February—what has leasing momentum looked like so far in Q1, and how does it seem to be taking shape as we move toward spring?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#34

Okay. Yeah, you know, February got better, and we expect that to keep getting better. In our minds, though, our guidance points to things turning more positive at the end of March and early April.

Sairam Srinivas analyst
#35

Thanks for that useful context, Susie. Perhaps this will be the final question for you, then. You noted that one objective involves bringing down the cost of capital as we head into the coming year. Which levers can you actually pull to make that happen, and how are you weighing that against the upcoming REIT swap redemption?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#36

Sai, apologies — your audio was dropping out. What you're asking, I think, is whether the guidance takes into account any swap resets happening in the near term?

Sairam Srinivas analyst
#37

Right, and in addition to that, sort of returning to what you mentioned about bringing down the cost of capital — have you tied that together with the swaps that are scheduled to terminate out there?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#38

Yes. Regarding the swap book, you noticed that in the subsequent events we executed a few trades early this year. Two trades were completed — one extended a term, and the other added a new trade to handle some floating rate maturities we took on at the start of the year. Those came in at 3.13% and 3.19%. We currently have a possible slate of maturities at mid-year in July, and we are actively marketing or managing that daily and reviewing our alternatives to lock in our rate there past July, assuming we get placed into the trade. Either way, today's market sits right between the goalposts of what we did earlier this year, somewhere between 3.1% and 3.25%, so right in the middle there. That is our assumption baked into the guidance from a cost of capital perspective. I don't believe there are any other material fluctuations in our cost of capital that we're factoring into our guidance at this point.

Sairam Srinivas analyst
#39

Tom, that's really helpful context. Appreciate it — I'll hand things back over now.

Operator operator
#40

We'll now take a question from Kyle Stanley of Desjardins.

Kyle Stanley analyst
#41

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Perhaps we could start by examining a few of those realty tax items in Q4 that are more one-time in nature. Could you walk us through a bit of what those involved and maybe, you know, how that carries into 2026? For instance, do you see any possible opportunities that could present for your numbers in 2026?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#42

Absolutely, Kyle. On real estate taxes, Q4 affected us in a few ways, so let me give you some detail. To start, we received no tax refunds at all in Q4. As an illustration, during Q3 we received roughly $730,000 in tax refunds. Across the full year, tax refunds came to $2.1 million, and once more, nothing in Q4. Q1, Q2 and Q3 all benefited from tax refunds, while Q4 simply absorbs the impact of receiving none. Meanwhile, on the other side, real estate tax expense—as everyone is aware—gets accrued over the course of the year, and we true it up once better information becomes available. In Q4, that true-up was mostly tied to assets acquired during the year, where the greatest uncertainty exists around what an appraiser would initially tell us versus what their original position would be versus what we believe market comps actually reflect. That was an adverse item: when those initial appraisals arrived in Q4, they came in somewhat higher than we would have estimated.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#43

From what we've seen, we're optimistic about receiving appeal proceeds during 2026, yet because there's no technical accounting basis allowing us to recognize them, we recorded those true-ups in Q4. Real estate taxes in Q4 were affected by that as well. And lastly, it's important to mention that we received quite a few refunds near the close of Q3 last year, and we engage a legal expert for that work. So certain legal fees also rose in Q4, and that simply reflected the invoice we got for those services. So there's somewhat of a timing quirk here. Every so often this occurs, where the refund, so to speak, doesn't line up with the cost of securing it. So that's somewhat transitory by nature. As we look toward 2026, our guidance noted that property operating expense along with real estate taxes will rise in a range of 100 to 200 basis points. Real estate taxes account for part of that, certainly. For real estate tax expense, we anticipate it being, say, flat, or perhaps even down 1%, since mill rates truly are unchanged, and we're confident in our capacity to secure the appropriate appraisal levels.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#44

Even so, with everything we've accomplished on refunds, our expectation is that they'll come in at roughly half of what we received in 2025, or thereabouts. In turn, that same dynamic will push real estate taxes up by 5%. The main reason our same-store operating expense guidance is heading upward really comes down to taxes.

Kyle Stanley analyst
#45

All right, no, I believe that holds up. What you said there about being fairly confident regarding success on the appeal side, particularly for the assets acquired in 2025, but simply not yet having a leg to stand on — would that, you know, success on the appeal side, would it already be baked into your guidance at this point?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#46

It's a bit of both, honestly. We base our projections on our assumptions about refunds and on what we can realistically underwrite, working alongside our third-party experts and drawing on our experience. Part of that is definitely baked into today's guidance, though perhaps not all of it. That's still to be determined. It sort of hinges on how appraisals play out in the courts, so it's tough to pin down, and we aim to be reasonable there.

Kyle Stanley analyst
#47

All right, understood. Perhaps we could shift to the assets you're leasing up. Previously, you've noted, of course, that when stabilization gets close, an NOI margin gain is probably going to appear. I'd like to know whether you could share or discuss perhaps what the NOI margin is at Aura 3550, since it's, as you know, pretty much at or very near stabilization, and where that stands now compared with where Owensby might be, simply to give us a sense of how that could develop as time goes on.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#48

Kyle, that figure isn't right here with me, so I'd rather not give you an inaccurate quote. I'll get back to you about it. It's simply not in front of me at the moment.

Kyle Stanley analyst
#49

All right, that's fair. I'll take just this final one. Clearly, the three-year outlook that was given through 2028 at the Investor Day — just, I suppose, your big-picture thinking on it — still holds intact. How do you expect that to perhaps feed through your results across those three years? Obviously, with guidance of CAD 0.77 for 2026, I think we see a modest step down compared with 2025. But after that, how do you see the ramp in 2027 and 2028, if you're able to walk through that?

Daniel Oberste executive
#50

Yeah, Kyle, it's Dan here. I believe Susie might have covered part of this already. You know, if you look at bulk internet, right? I think there's a penny in 26 for bulk internet, right? I think 6 sits in 27, and I think there's one more penny in Q1 of 28, right? That's how I'd frame it if I were comparing and contrasting the bulk internet and Valet trash initiatives we talked about in December. On the occupancy side, I think as of December, we had 250, or as of that LQA, we had 250 apartments to lease. I think at year-end, we had 188 apartments to lease at year-end 2025. Naturally, our expectation is that we'll lease all 188 over the course of this year, right? We're still not ready to discuss the margin on that, because the first of those 188 will carry a much lower margin than the last of those 188, right? That's where the problem comes in when you get to the lagging impact of lease-up financials. While the properties will be occupied this year, I think that's a first step.

Daniel Oberste executive
#51

I believe you'll observe the complete benefit carrying through all the way into 2027. That acceleration will show up quarter-over-quarter on a sequential basis, powered by gains in occupancy. In 2027 the team gets another bite at the apple, when you're fully occupied — what we refer to as stabilization. You're at full occupancy, and those residents might have been brought into the market with concessions of 4% or 8%. That equates to 2 weeks or 1 month. Come 2027, you're renewing those leases at higher rates. Perhaps you won't capture the entire concession, correct? Even so, you'll pick up some advantage from that renewal as markets ramp up and reset. Now, from where I sit, that 2027 — or the December 2027 investment presentation — that's. We remain right on track, I mean, toward earning that money. What I think frustrates our investors, and I sympathize with them, is that the character of these investments — purchasing lease-up assets, making initial investments in bulk internet — is that they don't appear tomorrow, you know? They appear across the course of year one, and we're seeing them appear. As a public company, you begin to notice that lagging effect once lease-ups truly materialize, once that final unit is leased at a 100 margin, right?

Daniel Oberste executive
#52

There's another opportunity for you in 2027, when you'll see growth speed up as concessions get compressed on renewal.

Kyle Stanley analyst
#53

Alright.

Daniel Oberste executive
#54

Kyle, count me fully committed. That ends up being a choppy 15, correct? I would prefer — how does that saying go? A choppy 15 beats a smooth 10 in my book.

Kyle Stanley analyst
#55

That seems correct. All right, many thanks. I'll hand it back over.

Operator operator
#56

Dean Wilkinson from CIBC, the next question comes from you.

Dean Wilkinson analyst
#57

Thank you. Dan, this is more of a big-picture question than a modeling one. A few of the bigger buyers down in Texas have noted in their commentary that they're essentially not pursuing acquisitions of any meaningful size — pens down, so to speak. So, first, do you see that as counterintuitive, given that in this kind of environment, with valuations where they are, it would seem like an opportune moment to buy? And do you think that once rent growth has turned the corner, you'll see a wave of capital that just starts chasing assets, which would push prices up?

Daniel Oberste executive
#58

Yes, Dean — just kidding there. No, seriously, what we're really focused on is the relationship between cap rates and the cost of capital. You still see some irrational movement out there between the financing level someone can afford for an acquisition and the price at which a worried developer seller is actually willing to part with an asset. There's a huge pile of money parked on each side of that gap, right? The two sides are gradually moving toward each other and reaching agreement. I'd say patience matters a great deal at this point. As has happened many times before, the moment those parties begin to agree, you'll witness a meaningful pickup in activity — or rather, a meaningful pickup in transaction volume. Our view is that the market has gotten better, and I suppose capital deployment has picked up somewhat over the last few months, and we anticipate further improvement ahead. Once again, we ask ourselves: what is our relative cost of capital? What alternative sources of capital do we have available? How would our leverage be affected? What potential dilution — or accretion — would there be to our FFO earnings, and additionally to the per unit NAV for our investors? Okay, that's point one. Point two: what return are we able to earn if we buy some assets at a favorable moment?

Daniel Oberste executive
#59

Although we're moving nearer to that point step by step, we'll stay quite disciplined about deploying any outside capital right now.

Dean Wilkinson analyst
#60

Got it. Basically, if that defensive end had been able to clear the physical, you'd have gone ahead and taken him. You can see where that line of thinking leads. Appreciate it, everyone. Back to you.

Daniel Oberste executive
#61

That's it. Had Crosby cleared his physical, he'd have been our pick.

Dean Wilkinson analyst
#62

That covers everything, correct? Okay then. Appreciate it, everyone.

Operator operator
#63

After that, Jonathan Kelcher from TD Cowen will be our next speaker.

Jonathan Kelcher analyst
#64

Thank you. Morning, everyone. To revisit what Kyle asked about those lease-up assets: could you possibly size up the amount of NOI that isn't there yet relative to what they'll generate once they reach stabilization?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#65

Jonathan, Dan brought up the 188 at market rents figure in revenue, which comes to $3-$3.75 million in gross revenue. As Dan said, I don't think we're really in a position yet to give you the precise margin on that. Back in December, when we worked it up, we had a range for it. I'd suggest you continue to rely on that range. I don't think we've got a solid answer on NOI, but that top line number reflects where things stood as of December thirty-first.

Daniel Oberste executive
#66

Yeah. Tom, if I could jump in here, this is Dan. Not to add on to what's been said, but we wanted to cite revenue figures and give our investors margin underwriting should they wish to select it. In my opinion, Jonathan, that becomes visible. It does become visible, though I'd describe it as being in disguise, during the latter half of the year, and after that it begins to speed up, and you truly observe it in Q1, Q2, Q3, and then it peaked in Q4 of 2027. That is the point when the genuine effect of all that revenue appears on FFO per unit and is not otherwise skewed by any other leasing costs or similar items.

Jonathan Kelcher analyst
#67

All right. It’s still a build that takes the better part of two years, and then 2028 will be, like, completely stabilized and kind of just absorbed into the same property, right?

Daniel Oberste executive
#68

Yes, that’s reasonable — fair to say. What I mean is that a lot of this money will show up in 2027, though it will arrive sequentially quarter over quarter and keep arriving that way. We have eight quarters of sequential quarter-over-quarter growth. Then, when you’re at Q4 2027, you can underwrite what is nearly an annualized runway, along with some organic improvement in 2028.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#69

Jonathan, one more point on that, just to remind everyone: our guidance contains a bridge from 25 to 26. On an FFO-per-unit basis at the midpoint, the non-same community pool — which would take in the lease-ups — comes to roughly $0.19 in 2026.

Jonathan Kelcher analyst
#70

Alright, yeah, okay. Regarding the second question about guidance, I suppose you provided some detail on leasing patterns during January and February. I think it would be reasonable to say you're weighted more toward the back end as lease-ups begin stabilizing further? How should we think about the cadence of guidance for this year?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#71

I believe that's correct, Jonathan. By definition, since we have lease-up assets and they're a significant factor across the year, we anticipate it will ramp up during the latter half once that asset reaches full stabilization in December. It would be above the 70% level where it stands now, correct? By definition, I think it would be a back-end ramp. We expect that to unfold. Naturally, any quarter has many moving parts, so it might not be perfectly linear, as we discussed regarding real estate taxes earlier today. Directionally speaking, yes, it should be weighted toward the back end.

Jonathan Kelcher analyst
#72

Yes. Should we view that in a similar manner, with the same community and the same revenue growth profile?

Thomas Cirbus executive
#73

Okay, got it.

Daniel Oberste executive
#74

Absolutely.

Jonathan Kelcher analyst
#75

All right, thank you. I’ll hand it back over.

Operator operator
#76

Star one, ladies and gentlemen, for a question or follow-up. Next up, we'll hear from Himanshu Gupta at Scotiabank.

Himanshu Gupta analyst
#77

Thanks, and good afternoon, all. Just regarding the acquisitions completed last year — roughly $300 million, give or take — what's the stabilized cap rate, and how wide is the gap between the going-in figure and that stabilized cap rate?

Daniel Oberste executive
#78

Himanshu, as we have mentioned, for each of the past 32 quarters, we have not reported cap rates. The rationale we have given for not doing so is that, you know, there are 13 analysts in the room. If I were to quote a cap rate, each person would think of a different method to arrive at it. It's somewhat like if I said, "Everyone picture a dog," each person would be picturing a different dog. A cap rate quoted by BSR is quite different from open market cap rates. It is quite different from how other companies do it. Because of the translation gap between our two countries, we fear that this creates a great deal of distortion. Once again, at present and in the near term, BSR will not quote going-in cap rates. Now, regarding your question about cap rate velocity spread on a look-back basis, we have addressed that previously. Generally, as we have stated, in new development transactions, we prefer to see a spread of 2 to 250 basis points relative to our cost of capital to develop an asset. In lease-up transactions, we prefer to see a spread of 125 to 150 basis points on a look-back cap rate such as a year two or a year three versus our going-in.

Daniel Oberste executive
#79

So on a stabilized asset, what we want to see is somewhere between 100 and 125 basis points of look-back cap rate expansion from the acquisition date to the year two or year three look-back. With the deals we closed last year, as I mentioned in my remarks, every one of those is leasing up. They're right on schedule, and at this point we don't see any reason to move away from the methodology we've laid out in prior quarters. We like what we're seeing.

Himanshu Gupta analyst
#80

Alright, no — thank you, Dan, I appreciate that comment. What I mean is, the guidance landed below what, you know, some of us had been anticipating. I was, you know, sort of questioning whether we had perhaps been overestimating all along the, you know, the NOI contribution coming from those new acquisitions. I appreciate what you said there. Okay, so then, moving to the next question: what's the effective interest rate for 2026 — I mean, taking into account all the swaps you've put in place, and compared with the last year? I'm just trying to get a sense of how much of an interest rate headwind there is in 2026 FFO versus the last year.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#81

Sai, if you take the midpoint of that guidance, it implies a $0.04 headwind from interest rates in 2026.

Himanshu Gupta analyst
#82

On interest expense, that's $0.04 in 2026 compared with 2025.

Daniel Oberste executive
#83

That's right.

Himanshu Gupta analyst
#84

All right, all right, that's fair. And this will probably be my final question, I'd say. Yes. So the last thing I'd ask is this: have your internal expectations for 2026 FFO shifted at any point since December? In other words, over these past two months — or was this run rate always what you anticipated, with the ramp-up then taking place across the following two years?

Daniel Oberste executive
#85

Yeah. That's a really good question, Himanshu, and I can only speak for myself here. I'd say my expectations for December have shifted, and as I mentioned in my comments, I had anticipated that rate improvement in our markets would come a bit sooner than what we're actually seeing. In my view, that impact — whether in January or back in December when we talked with our investors — comes to roughly a 1% number on rate for 2026. What I find interesting is what's going on with market projections for 2027 and the back half of 2026. Market expected rent growth appears somewhat higher than what we initially expected back in December for 2027. The market's playing a little hide the ball with us, you know. I'd say 2026 comes in about 1% lighter on revenue than I'd have hoped, but I'm seeing roughly 1% more in organic expectations toward the back of 2026 and really all the way through 2027. As I said in my prepared remarks, it's always been a supply story, and I think that rate expectation from all of our economists, CoStar, everyone else — that movement ties directly to lower deliveries, lower expected deliveries, and continued domestic migration, particularly in our markets.

Himanshu Gupta analyst
#86

All right, thank you very much, and I'll hand it back over. Thanks.

Operator operator
#87

After that, we'll get an update from Khing Shan of RBC Capital Markets.

Khing Shan analyst
#88

Thanks. I have just a couple of quick questions. First, regarding renewal rates, how would those compare with market rent in the various markets? Then my second one concerns the retention rate. You know, it's quite high. Do you expect it to stay at this level?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#89

Right, Khing. Renewal rates behave pretty much the same way across the markets as what I shared with you for the entire portfolio earlier. They look stronger in Q4 of 2025 compared with Q4 of 2024. I suppose the same holds true if you look at the average effective rate for 2025 — that came in at $1,436 per month, correct? For 2026, we're anticipating $1,446. That works out to a 70 basis point rise in average effective rates over time. The market is doing the same.

Khing Shan analyst
#90

All right, then — how about the retention rate?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#91

Absolutely. Our retention rate is basically at an all-time high. Given that renewals bring in more profit than new leases do, we're going to keep pushing them hard at the moment. That's right.

Khing Shan analyst
#92

All right, you're figuring it stays roughly around this level, then?

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#93

Apologies — I didn’t catch the question you just asked.

Khing Shan analyst
#94

My apologies — I imagine you were anticipating that the retention rate would keep holding at this elevated level.

Susan Rosenbaum executive
#95

At this moment, that's correct.

Khing Shan analyst
#96

Alright, thanks — and yeah, sure.

Operator operator
#97

Matt Kornack from National Bank Financial, the floor is yours — go ahead with your question.

Matt Kornack analyst
#98

Hey, guys. If you could just give us a sense of things on the demand side. I know this has always been a preface to the supply issue, but how is demand holding up, and what metrics do you kind of look at. Then also, maybe as a tangent to that, we'll see how long this current geopolitical situation lasts, but energy prices are up. Obviously, Texas, there's some exposure to oil and gas. If you could give a sense of whether you think that would be a net positive from a demand standpoint as well.

Daniel Oberste executive
#99

Yes, Matt, I’ll take your questions in reverse order. On the war and the political situation—are you asking about the war, or about tariffs? Or did a tweet go out during this earnings call that I haven’t seen?

Matt Kornack analyst
#100

Yes. That conflict.

Daniel Oberste executive
#101

All right.

Matt Kornack analyst
#102

At this point in time.

Daniel Oberste executive
#103

Regarding the war, we talked about that among ourselves. Neither our guidance nor our estimate is affected by the war, whether for interest rates or for our revenue estimate. Are we currently seeing any effect on population growth and migration patterns stemming from the war? We hold no direct exposure to military bases. An exodus of our residents after deployment doesn't worry us, as would probably be the situation in San Diego, San Antonio, and parts of North Carolina. Honestly, from the war we aren't seeing any impact, and at present we don't expect to see any impact in the near term on our occupancy and our FFO per unit. When it comes to demand drivers, I mean, I think I hope that our investors, and Matt, I know you're reviewing the same information we are, the CoStar, the CBRE, JLL, Witten. I think domestic migration remains intact. International migration remains intact. Our markets aren't necessarily driven by international migration, or haven't been as much as domestic. That remains intact. If I look ahead at population change projections, you know, Austin's in 2026 is sitting at 1.53%. DFW is at about 1%. Houston's at about 1.15%.

Daniel Oberste executive
#104

The difference now compared with the last five years is the spread separating these three markets from the national figure. I just gave 1.5%, 1%, and 1.15%, correct? For 2026, US population growth on average sits at 0.22%. So today I can state that growth in our markets should run at six times the US average rate, rather than merely exceeding it. The four-year projections for population growth in our markets look even stronger, in my view. Austin comes in at 1.65%. DFW at 1.19%. Houston at 1.27%, compared with 0.23% for the US. That multiple therefore widens across the four-year horizon. It gives us added confidence to invest in this, in this triangle. Domestic migration is what drives it. Job growth drives it too, and that keeps beating any employment effect on the market. It comes, I think, from our discipline, Matt, of locating fast-growing markets that have several pillars of GDP growth. You mentioned the Houston energy market. I believe Houston may rank as the second biggest health sciences market nationwide, right? When we examine those ADP payroll figures for the past couple of months, a couple of interesting facts stand out. First, January national payroll was distorted somewhat by 34,000 jobs tied to a nursing strike, which ought to be added back in March or April, right?

Daniel Oberste executive
#105

And second, health sciences is among the two parts of the country experiencing payroll growth. We have investments in a market that certainly carries an energy concentration, yet it likewise holds a huge healthcare and health sciences concentration. Those fields, along with—as I've mentioned before—population growth that outpaces national averages. You purchase apartments in places people are relocating to, and in time they get occupied, and in time no further apartments get constructed, and in time rates rise. Proven and reliable.

Matt Kornack analyst
#106

Great, thanks. Yeah, I really do value that rundown on those numbers. Perhaps one very brief final question regarding the accounting side, specifically G&A. Did anything of a one-time character show up in Q4, or is this simply a seasonal sort of variation? I realize it has fluctuated throughout the year, so I am merely attempting to understand what an appropriate run-rate number would be in that area, or what figure would be included in the guidance.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#107

Yeah, no, I think where guidance is concerned, G&A should come in roughly flat — maybe a touch higher, but essentially flat. There's definitely some one-time noise sitting in G&A for Q4. That's probably not the ideal run rate to focus on. Looking at the full year is what I'd suggest. It gives a better picture of G&A and where we are today. I could walk you through all the nuances and put you to sleep, but I'll save you from that. The full year is what I'd focus on, and versus last year, I think it'll be broadly flat.

Matt Kornack analyst
#108

All right, that covers everything on our end. Thanks, everyone. Take care.

Thomas Cirbus executive
#109

Appreciate it, Matt.

Operator operator
#110

We want to thank everyone in our audience who sent in their questions. Now, I'm glad to hand the call back over to our management team, and to Dan, for any extra or closing comments.

Daniel Oberste executive
#111

Thanks, Jim. Look, 2025 was an ugly win, but a win nonetheless, and I'd choose an ugly win over a pretty loss every day of the week. I want to remind everyone that we're a real estate company, not some bond alternative. Real estate companies make strategic moves meant to create value for our investors. We don't put making those moves ahead of any concern about choppy Q4 earnings quality. We do empathize with the potential volatility that follows, but a deadly focus on buying low and selling high is embedded in our DNA. We've proven that repeatedly, year after year after year. We proved it in 2021, we proved it in 2022, we proved it in 2019. For us, this is business as usual, though we do empathize with the frustration that some or many of you feel about our Q4 FFO per unit sequential impact to Q3 FFO per unit. We certainly do. That wraps up our call today. Thank you all for joining us, and we look forward to speaking with you again after the re-release of our Q1 results in May.

Operator operator
#112

That brings us to the end of today's session, ladies and gentlemen, and we appreciate everyone for joining. You can go ahead and disconnect your lines now. Have a good rest of your day.

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